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Gold, National Debt, And Debt Limit Correlated For Over Six Decades

April 2, 2014

While the title says it all the chart below really drives home the point. Gold has followed the US debt and debt limit very closely since 2000.

US debt and debt limit to the gold

If we look back 70 years we see that the “Gold Price/Debt Limit Ratio” further drives home this fact.

Year

Gold Price (yearly average)

Debt Limit (Billions US$)

Gold Price/Debt Limit Ratio

US Gold Reserves (metric tonnes fine gold)

$ Value of Gold Reserves (Billions US$)

Value of Gold Reserves/Debt Limit Ratio

1940

$34

$49

0.69

19,543.30

$21.4

0.44

1945

$35

$300

0.12

17,848.00

$20.1

0.07

1950

$35

$275

0.13

20,279.00

$22.8

0.08

1955

$35

$281

0.12

19,331.00

$21.8

0.08

1960

$35

$293

0.12

15,822.00

$17.8

0.06

1965

$35

$328

0.11

12,499.00

$14.1

0.04

1970

$36

$395

0.09

9,839.00

$11.4

0.03

1975

$161

$577

0.28

8,544.00

$44.2

0.08

1980

$613

$925

0.66

8,221.00

$162.0

0.17

1985

$317

$1903

0.17

8,169.00

$83.3

0.04

1990

$384

$3,195

0.12

8,146.00

$100.6

0.03

1995

$384

$4,900

0.08

8,140.00

$100.5

0.02

2000

$279

$5,950

0.05

8,137.00

$73.0

0.01

2005

$445

$8,184

0.05

8,135.00

$116.4

0.01

2010

$1225

$14,294

0.09

8,133.00

$320.3

0.02

Today

$1300

$16,700

0.08

8,133.00

$339.9

0.02

                                                                                                                        Source: MGI

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Discussion
12 Comments
    Apr 02, 2014 02:12 AM

    Nice chart……………….conclusion…………..GOLD UNDER VALUED

      Apr 02, 2014 02:57 AM

      And what would your conclusion to the long term trend?
      What are the chances our US Debt Ceiling actually acts like a ceiling?
      What are the chances the ceiling continues to be a non-ceiling?
      What are the chances Gold continues its long term trend higher?
      Nice chart Cory!

    Apr 02, 2014 02:52 AM

    That reminds of the below chart of minimum wage v. gold
    http://www.silverdoctors.com/chart-of-the-day-federal-minimum-wage-in-gold/
    The stair step in the minimum chart is due to during the era when gold was fixed at $35 an increase in USD/hour was a real increase in wages and in real terms.
    It also shows that recent increase in USD minimum wage are irrelevant in real gold terms. Maybe we are destroying the units purchasing power faster than adjusting the tyrannical wage regulations. It is the old story “He who is able to spend inflated money first….wins.”

    Apr 02, 2014 02:21 PM

    Why Warren Buffet’s a billionaire patsy among other topics. Mhttp://mcalvanyweeklycommentary.com/cAlvany at his best.

    Apr 02, 2014 02:23 PM

    Readjusting the above blog. McAlvany at his best:
    http://mcalvanyweeklycommentary.com/