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Week ending wrap on the gold market from Doc

October 17, 2014

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Discussion
54 Comments
    Oct 17, 2014 17:05 AM

    COOL GORY COOL its COMING BUY BUY BUY ! THE NEXT 3 MONDS BUY BUY BUY !

    Drudge was a miss print……………..DOW ” SORE”s…..like pain in the butt………

    Oct 17, 2014 17:13 AM

    A number of margin calls must be on there way to insecurely margined traders, this break has carried prices down a good deal further then most people had reckoned. The volatility is so bad that margin calls will be triggered, if that isn’t ominous enough next Friday will be October 24th.

    Oct 17, 2014 17:28 AM

    Hi Doc,

    Market up, Gold even, Miners…….down…..hard???

      Oct 17, 2014 17:42 AM

      Yep!

      Oct 17, 2014 17:23 PM

      Exactly! Dow soars and….whoops….miners drop like rocks. It was perfect (and expected).

    Oct 17, 2014 17:33 AM

    Hi Doc,
    I have a queston for you about silver: Do you think we should have our silver-mercury fillings removed from our teeth for health reasons? And do you take flu shots?
    Thanks,
    Bonzo

      Oct 17, 2014 17:46 AM

      I would leave the fillings in especially if you’re as old as I am. I personally don’t do flu shots since there are a raft of different viruses and you can only cover a specific small number. I have taken a bacterial pneumonia vaccination.

        Oct 17, 2014 17:08 PM

        Thanks, Doc. I agree with you about flu shots. Haven’t had one since the ’09 swine flu panic and haven’t even had a cold the last 4 years. As for fillings, I’m 66 and may be as old as you, but I have only 2 fillings left. The others were replaced with crowns, gold of course!

    Oct 17, 2014 17:38 AM

    Quadruple bottom doc? Is there a such a thing? If there is not that means we’re going to 1050?

      Oct 17, 2014 17:47 AM

      Stewie, I cannot recall a quadruple bottom—-it’s got to be as rare as hens teeth.

        Oct 17, 2014 17:22 PM

        Here you go….chart of a rare Quadruple Bottom. They don’t end well.

        AUD/JPY Quadruple Bottom
        http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-E7eejvOX5uI/T59xOawMFCI/AAAAAAAADHU/Khy4CYPpdh8/s1600/AJ4hr.jpg

          Oct 17, 2014 17:31 PM

          Thanks Bird.

            Oct 17, 2014 17:34 PM

            I might note that if we take out the current triple bottom, IMO it would not qualify as a quadruple bottom due to the short time frame. It would just be a triple bottom.

            Oct 17, 2014 17:48 PM

            You have a good point there Doc. For me though, if I can read it on a weekly chart when it arrives then it will be a quad.

    bj
    Oct 17, 2014 17:04 PM

    Think this was a relief rally, dead cat bounce, in the general market with traders going flat in front of the weekend.

    Maybe the same for gold, which looks like it wants to form a head and shoulders trying to work through the 1240-1260 overhead barrier. Right now treasuries are the ‘go to’ for traders during market corrections and probably will stay that way until rising interest rates eat away at the principle for bonds.

    Oct 17, 2014 17:56 PM

    Al,

    You can’t have it both ways.

    You can’t congratulate Gary for calling a turn and then say Drudge is wrong for saying DOW soars.

    First of all Gary’s cycle BS hasn’t called anything. This is only one day.
    Every bear market has counter trend rallies.
    So to say he called the turn is ridiculous.
    When the Dow gets back to the old highs then you can pat him on the back.

    If you are saying today was the turn then you have to agree with what Drudge said as well; because in essence they are both saying the same thing.

    When the conventional markets do not get back to all time highs or if stocks go lower from today will you publically say Gary was wrong?

      Oct 17, 2014 17:22 PM

      James,
      This hard of a decline will very likely need a retest before it can get serious upside traction. But we are putting in an intermediate bottom.

    Oct 17, 2014 17:00 PM

    And PS the Russell is DOWN TODAY.

    That is the only conventional market that matters right now

    Oct 17, 2014 17:05 PM

    james,

    Any thoughts on gold/miners looked awful into the close?

    Im still on the sidelines..

    Oct 17, 2014 17:24 PM

    Glenfish why are you still on the sidelines?
    Didn’t I call the $1212.80 bottom and the bear market trap overshoot?
    Gold is up $50 since then.
    Didn’t I say run, don’t walk to the betting window?
    Didn’t I say bet with both hands?

    What are you waiting for?

    There is no such thing as being on the sidelines. CASH is a symbol, just like IBM is.

    Get in the game!

    Right now you will be hearing a lot of BS. Keep your wits as it you.

    They will try to tell you FALLING OIL is good for the consumer.
    BS

    They will try to tell you Europe is in trouble but somehow WE ARE DIFFERENT
    BS

    They will keep telling you to buy the dip
    BS

    Go long gold!

    As far as gold stocks. Remember they are STOCKS.
    They are their own animal.

    Classic correlations can break down.

    Right now the stock market is in a slope of hope and gold is climbing a wall of worry.

    Go long and stay strong!

      Oct 17, 2014 17:35 PM

      Wow! James I totally disagree. If you said long stocks and short gold we would see eye to eye because that is what is happening now.

        Oct 17, 2014 17:15 PM

        I think your making the wrong bet this time too James,
        but good luck.

        ….which reminds me, one of my cousin’s horses is running in todays Caulfield Cup. I hope it gets up for them. Will be a big pay day for them if so.

          Oct 17, 2014 17:26 PM

          Horse’s name is ‘Lidari’….number 14….barrier 4.

    Oct 17, 2014 17:33 PM

    Doc, the miners and gold are now setting up for a breakdown….not a breakout. From where I sit it is obvious as hell and an easy call to make. The Dow, S&P and others will be on the move higher next week. Our correction has now come and gone and we are back in the saddle. Whoopeeee!!!

      Oct 17, 2014 17:37 PM

      You could be right —-we’ll know by the end of November. Right now, I can’t take a position either way since the TA of multiple stocks and gold are showing conflicting information.

        Oct 17, 2014 17:42 PM

        BIRD AND DOC COCKING ? WHAET ?

    Oct 17, 2014 17:41 PM

    I stayed away from gdx today. I bought & sold it 4 times yesterday. Got into the general market today and ended up a little positive. Early yesterday would have been a better time to get in before the feds opened their big mouth. Bought back into Transocean (5.6 PE) on the late day sharp fall as there might be a bounce for oil at least for the short term. Bought some cybr on the sharp dip.

      Oct 17, 2014 17:47 PM

      Paul, I believe you’re right in qualifying a short term bounce for oil. I’ve been following Transocean and I believe it technically has room to fall further although it’s showing short term volatility and could bounce higher for a short time. I hope to purchase transocean in the future at lower prices.

        Oct 17, 2014 17:52 PM

        I UNDERSTAN AL IS OK THE CNBC AND CNN WEEKENT SHOW COMING EAT ITE USA !!!!!!!!

          Oct 17, 2014 17:57 PM

          ALL DEMOCRATIE HIER ! BYE BYE IDIOTS WAR 3 BIRDMAN 8888888888888888888888 RICHARD WW3 88888888888888888 ?

        Oct 17, 2014 17:00 PM

        I had it at much higher prices before in the 38 area and took some heavy losses on it so I would like to make up some of those losses. If oil can hold the 80 area it will be okay but the oil drop is so steep it could end up at 70 eventually but it would be nice to have a bounce to the 90’s if the Fed is able to say more positive things for the market to juice it up and the ECB can come with something more than just talk.

          Oct 17, 2014 17:04 PM

          don’t worry the democrate will put your price nore low and the bank will pay !

        Oct 17, 2014 17:05 PM

        RICHARD YOU A COMMUNIST IN YOU THINKING MAN ?

    Oct 17, 2014 17:28 PM

    In terms of the conventional markets, if it looks like a short squeeze, walks like a short squeeze…. its a short squeeze. And not necessarily a good thing.

    Oct 17, 2014 17:11 PM

    Skeeta….the tin foil helmt made me laugh.

    Oct 18, 2014 18:41 AM

    mr. AL
    I heard something about newsletter issuing with Doc.
    How can i subscribe would let me know please.
    By the way i am listener from S.korea. thank you. you guys are super great!!!!

    bob
    Oct 18, 2014 18:57 AM

    Hi Richard. I’m bearish this market 2-3 years out but not sure about near term. What are your thoughts on the advance decline line reaching new highs in September? I know before previous bears it topped out at least 3-9 months before. 1987, 2000, 2007. Do you know any instances where we had a sustainable downward move in the equity markets without the advance decline declining first?

    Oct 18, 2014 18:39 AM

    Skeeta, good luck to Lidari