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If you desire to trade gold now might be a good time to jump on board

January 6, 2015

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Discussion
57 Comments
    Jan 06, 2015 06:00 AM

    The general and overall trend has been deflationary and that is the nub, every prognosticator can say what they want but this trend will continue. The bottom line is until the interference from central banks is nullified the system will just keep slipping into an ever expanding deflationary sinkhole. We need to cleanse the system by letting go and allowing the market to correct on it’s own.

      Jan 06, 2015 06:15 AM

      DT, absolutely correct. The question is will they let it happen. A lot of people are going to get wiped out and will not be able to recover any of the losses in their lifetime.

        Jan 06, 2015 06:17 AM

        BTW, Happy New Year! And don’t forget to root for your favorite political party! I know I will.

          Jan 06, 2015 06:24 AM

          So are you in charge of the fund raising for Hilary down there!

      Jan 06, 2015 06:21 AM

      I have to agree, Machine Gun!

    Jan 06, 2015 06:02 AM

    GOLD MARKET ALERT!!!
    Big volume GLD bought at $117.08, more than 330K shares.

      Jan 06, 2015 06:24 AM

      Thanks Peter, did not see that.

    Jan 06, 2015 06:07 AM

    Kind of lonely on the sideline isn’t guys.

    Peter

      Jan 06, 2015 06:21 AM

      Peter I have said for the longest time, by the time they figure it out the major gains like today will be gone..They will jump back in at higher prices.

        Jan 06, 2015 06:32 AM

        Glenfidish don’t be in a hurry to take profits in the miners just yet. We are at serious resistance. Lets see how it handles this level first and then we decide.

        Peter

          Jan 06, 2015 06:13 PM

          Peter,

          Im expecting next stop is 1223-1228..Then spike to 1233-1235. It needs time to digest today’s gains. I agree with you. I have not sold anything today.

          Not my long portfolio
          Not my short trading portfolio

          You gotta be nuts to sell here when seasonality is favoring gold/miners etc.

          I expect Wti 40/42 by friday then a spike. Spike can come at any moment but will be a false breakout.

          glen

            Jan 06, 2015 06:48 PM

            Glenfidish we see the charts same way, I agree with you a 100% ๐Ÿ™‚

            Peter

            Jan 06, 2015 06:09 PM

            Peter

            Always nice to have someone else reading charts alike ๐Ÿ™‚

            Matt is roughly in the same boat give or take. I’ve said this a few times in the past, everyone can see a chart and put there own interpretations on it but very few have the visions of what it is really doing and where it is going. Putting the puzzle together is not as simple as a,b,c.

      Jan 06, 2015 06:25 AM

      May not be here for much longer. (Vis a vis the stocks!)

        Jan 06, 2015 06:02 AM

        No comprendo Al?

          Jan 06, 2015 06:26 PM

          A few more days of this, and I will be doing a bit of buying of the mining stocks.

            Jan 06, 2015 06:35 PM

            The long term bear trend in gold is still intact Al.Technicals are bearish and imo gold is heading to 800.Bancruptcy phase,for junior minors in particular is yet to come.Take care buddy

            Jan 06, 2015 06:44 PM

            Yikes
            AL is ready to leave the sidelines bearish signal ๐Ÿ™‚

            Peter

            Jan 06, 2015 06:09 PM

            I hear ya!

    Jan 06, 2015 06:08 AM
    Jan 06, 2015 06:15 AM
      Jan 06, 2015 06:28 AM

      I am a big Blues Brothers fan Duke. The song would not play on this link.

    Jan 06, 2015 06:19 AM

    Can The Dow Correct for up to 5 Months? Posted on January 6, 2015 by Martin Armstrong

    There is now a potential for up to a 5 month correct into May. This may be the real driving force behind sending heaps of capital flooding into the bond markets on the flight to quality scenario. If this unfolds, we should have a really wild bubble for recessions are created by a stock crash. However, moving into a bond crash wiped out the capital formation. This is why the 2007-2009 crash was so devastating. Bonds are where MOST capital resides โ€“ not equities. The swing into equities REQUIRES a swing out of bonds. That is what BIG BANG will be all about.

    So for now โ€“ CAUTION is advised in stocks. Pay attention right now for we may be in a phase transition in bonds.

    http://armstrongeconomics.com/2015/01/06/can-the-dow-correct-for-up-to-5-months/

    Jan 06, 2015 06:23 AM

    Gary are you still in equities? It’s going to get ugly over there. Gold/silver is the place to be. The charts are screaming it. There needs no more confirmation. 1275 will be broken shortly.

    We are headed to 1350.

      Jan 06, 2015 06:36 AM

      Glen,
      We took profits Thursday morning as soon as the S&P broke 2080 support. Now on the sidelines until the next daily cycle low comes due, sometime in the first week of Feb.

        Jan 06, 2015 06:05 AM

        Ok good to hear from you. Please update us on new cycle counts if you can. I know your a busy guy but your cycles are the best I have seen along with charles nenner.

    Jan 06, 2015 06:30 AM

    I will post this again as it deserves much credit!

    Posted December 20th 2014

    Id have to say that if we are not a bottom we are so darn close to it. Volume like I have never seen before in iag and across the board. 8x the average volume on iag and at a time were iag is above its november low. Me guts tells me we are about to explode higher. Me charts tells me its going to move very fast tomorrow into new years. You guys remember all my stars aligning story going back many many months? ok so we have aligned everything except canadian dollar i was looking at in the 77/80 region. It can come after. Euro 118/121. It can come within a day or two.
    โ€˜
    Wti oil 35/40..It may not get there
    crb=220 region. almost there
    1180 triple bottom call i made. Few days before it broke i shared with you that it would not hold. Al said glen why the sudden change? It broke
    Then two weeks ago i said silver will not break 15? Im hanging in there with that call
    And finally i said buy buy buy gold has put its bottom on november 5th.
    Here iam again and im telling you with a great amount of certainty that I believe we are headed higher into new years. We may just get a santa rally for the precious metals and a rally well deserved after 3+ years. I expect this rally to break the ICL gary gave up on.
    Gary wanting nothing to do with metals put the nail in the coffin as to sentiment in metals. Lets see what happens sunday night.
    Merry chistmas to all and to all a goodnight.
    Not sure if i will have to post this coming week. My wife has a list. All the best and merry christmas to all of you and thx al,cory the 4 muskateers and all you posters in here for your invaluable contributions. We are really blessed to get world political and metals information updated at every hour.
    Thank you
    Glen

    Jan 06, 2015 06:31 AM

    Hi : Just bought a high yield preferred on a oil production company yield 9.9% yield and below call price. Dividend well covered and production hedged at 90 per barrell for next 2 years. Preferreds are justly called the poor mans bond market. Also have high yield reits in my port. most are dong well up slighly. best of health and wealth to all S

    Jan 06, 2015 06:38 AM

    EU inflation numbers out tomorrow – dependent on what they say I suspect there will be a sharp move in the markets.

    If there is inflation then I can see the Euro up against the Dollar, gold down and a big spike in the conventional EU and UK markets.

    But, if as I suspect, there is sign of contraction – especially any hint of deflation in Germany – then I can see the USD up and everything else… oil, conventional stocks, the Euro and Sterling… down big time. I suspect gold will also go up.

      Jan 06, 2015 06:28 PM

      I am currently under the impression, Bob, that the inflation numbers will be pretty low. Let’s see if that is the way it plays out.

    Jan 06, 2015 06:17 AM

    but if you lived in Russia and owned gold it reached an al time high against the ruble. In fact Gold reached a 52 week high against the Euro today. Why can’t this happen in the US?

    LPG
    Jan 06, 2015 06:54 AM

    FWIW,
    I haven’t checked the data, but I suspect we’ve crossed 1000/Oz in EUR terms for gold.
    Best,
    LPG

      Jan 06, 2015 06:06 AM

      LPG

      Gold seems to be up in all currencies. Something that Marty the great armstrong mentioned would happen. I believe this is the turning point he was talking about in Jan. Gold higher!

      All the best and happy trading/investing

      glen

        Jan 06, 2015 06:35 PM

        Glenfidish… Marty was still calling for Gold $800 this very past december….

          Jan 07, 2015 07:19 AM

          Gen,

          Marty will change his tune shortly..Everyone does.

          Jan 07, 2015 07:21 AM

          gen,

          Marty said if we closed above 1155 we would not see below 1000. Thats 100% what he said. He also said if we didnt close above 1225 we would see a lower low. Meaning above 1000 below current level. Glen is telling you he will revise and change his tone again.

            Jan 07, 2015 07:28 AM

            Over a year ago, I said 1155 to 1125 was the worst case for gold. So far so good…

    Jan 06, 2015 06:29 AM

    Nobody is sure where oil is going to go to, the SP500 is not good value, how much can the dollar rise without leading to liquidity issues somewhere down the line? The eurozone in trouble again with Greek elections on the way, as well as many other European countries having elections.

    In this guessing game, I think that leaves gold in a pretty good position after showing up well in terms of worldwide currencies. Gold largely flat for a year is suggestive of a bottom. Rising uncertainty gives a rising demand for insurance, and in the world of currencies gold fits that bill pretty well.

      Jan 06, 2015 06:29 PM

      Good points, The Greater

    Jan 06, 2015 06:32 AM

    35/40 wti

    Equities going to take it in the arse this time around. Santa claus left town lol.

      Jan 06, 2015 06:19 PM

      Santa just forgot to leave everyone a bar of Gold ๐Ÿ™‚

      Peter

        Jan 06, 2015 06:20 PM

        NO PHYSICAL AROUND.

        NO GAUST.

        Peter

    Jan 06, 2015 06:55 AM

    I think it could be dangerous to jump in now as gold might correct as the general market turns up.

    Tom
    Jan 06, 2015 06:57 AM

    Nothing has changed. Oil has just gotten so weak that its bringing the general market down now. Once this stops, it will be stocks up and gold stocks down. Good day to sell your metals folks.

      Jan 06, 2015 06:05 PM

      Lol, good one!

      Jan 06, 2015 06:08 PM

      Obama admits that US crashed oil price to punish Russia. If this is the case, oil decline will continue. The only logical result is US bail out high cost shale companies or buy their junk debt to rescue banks. The stock may comeback if someone talks. It has been silent . It is not consistent with what happened before.

      Jan 06, 2015 06:43 PM

      I’ve got you marked tom! We shall see.

    Jan 06, 2015 06:05 PM

    GDX coming into resistance.

    Jan 06, 2015 06:33 PM

    Thanks Lawrence,

    Note the post we just put up on this subject.

    Jan 06, 2015 06:45 PM

    This schmuck had people buying oil in the high 90’s!

    He is the master of catching falling knifes.