Minimize

Welcome!

Both Fundamentals and Technicals are suggesting a bad day in the markets today.

Big Al
September 1, 2015

Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show

Currently the DJIA, the S&P and the Nasdaq are down considerably. Will the momentum continue in this direction for the rest of the day. Gary does not seem to think so; however, Cory and I do. How about you?

Discussion
87 Comments
    Sep 01, 2015 01:15 AM

    Its interesting that oil is an easy trade it seems by that I mean you buy the breakout it pops 25% and you sell it, well done, yet if that was gold nobody would have sold cause its going to da moon you know, lol

    Apply the same approach to gold, silver and the miners!

      Sep 01, 2015 01:32 AM

      I have been adding to position for oil on the dip. Not easy to capture the rebound these days since the move is so sharp. You most likely to capture the peak than the lows.

        Sep 01, 2015 01:50 AM

        I wouldn’t go heavy Lawrence as the US Oil inventory data is out Wed (will want to see a big draw down of reserves=oil bullish), ECB is on Thurs (dovish will be euro$ negative oil negative) and US NFP data Fri ( strong numbers puts US$ higher off rate hike fears, not oil bullish) good luck!

          Sep 01, 2015 01:52 AM

          A little at a time on extreme stingy bid only. And also on dividend paying company only. No shale play.

            Sep 01, 2015 01:25 AM

            I like the dividend paying companies, with a DRIP PLAN. …..

        Sep 01, 2015 01:27 AM

        Technical factors I believe are very important currently in this particular sector.

      CFS
      Sep 01, 2015 01:59 AM

      Big Al, There’s nothing wrong with being short in a bear market.

      Just don’t get greedy and gear.

      As Trade geared shorts, or options, but for long term just buy a non-geared short ETF and enjoy the ride of ups and downs until you think the market has turned to a bull again.
      Won’t make you rich, but neither will gold. Just preserving buying power sure helps though.
      Ultimately we may have a Wiemar style collapse as Asia takes over.
      In the Wiemar collapse stocks went up, but that did not save buying power.

        Sep 01, 2015 01:32 AM

        Thanks CFS for the reminder about stocks not saving buying power.

        I personally am a bit confused right now. Fundamental factors tell me that the markets (conventional) should absolutely tank right now. But the really important question is “do fundamentals matter at a time like this”? I personally believe that they do because of the definition of the word “fundamental”

        Got an opinion?

          CFS
          Sep 01, 2015 01:43 AM

          I won’t post much today. I got up this morning and it is one of those days when my peripheral vision is not good enough to allow me to read.

            Sep 01, 2015 01:52 AM

            Take care of yourself Professor. I would personally mosey on down to the Oakville Grocery in Healdsburg.

      Sep 01, 2015 01:27 AM

      I do agree with you jj!

    Sep 01, 2015 01:19 AM

    HOARDERS OR SPECULATORS……………

      Sep 01, 2015 01:22 AM

      you missed one, sheeple

        Sep 01, 2015 01:34 AM

        “sheeple”…..one who does not know his master…..which really does not apply to a HOARDER OR SPECULATOR

          Sep 01, 2015 01:36 AM

          see the prior article, for definition of HOARDER AND SPECUATOR………

          Sep 01, 2015 01:51 AM

          Funny, Sheeple usually refer to people who blindly follow their leaders. It should not apply to the contrarian investors, especially gold bulls.

            Sep 01, 2015 01:55 AM

            :)…………..CCF

            Sep 01, 2015 01:58 AM

            goldbugs are the #1 SHEEPLE example…..always buy never sell and keep following the same idiots who have been wrong forever!

            Sep 01, 2015 01:59 AM

            OR contrarian’s contrarian frank

            Sep 01, 2015 01:00 AM

            o jj………. turn on your light………and read the other article

            Sep 01, 2015 01:07 AM

            I do think everyone needs to own other investments…………..just saying……..ccf

            Sep 01, 2015 01:35 AM

            Completely agree with you Lawrence!

            Sep 01, 2015 01:20 AM

            Thanks Al, Sheep follows the power, e.g. guard dogs or shepherd. They are fed until slaughtered. A Gold bugs is like tigers waiting patiently for the prey. He may starve to death but he definitely only following his own idea. No one force him to wait. So use sheeple to describe gold bug is funny. Not I agree with gold bugs but they are opposite of sheeple IMHO.

            Sep 01, 2015 01:29 AM

            the CLAW………………

      Sep 01, 2015 01:35 AM

      I have to assume that you are talking about gold and silver.
      By the way on that not I had a long conversation with David M last evening. He recently spent an entire day on the telephone questioning dealer friends of his and they all verified a delay in getting product of up to six weeks and pretty significant premiums to them.

      Go figure!

        Sep 01, 2015 01:24 AM

        I like David Morgan. He is the only analyst who called the top and bottom(s :). He is a lot more practical than others. Can you bring him on soon?

          Sep 01, 2015 01:48 AM

          Of course.

        Sep 01, 2015 01:24 AM

        NICE TO KNOW……….the street told me three weeks ago……………

          Sep 01, 2015 01:33 AM

          But a lot of people on this site told you not.

            Sep 01, 2015 01:46 AM

            Gotta stick to my guns Lawrence.

    CFS
    Sep 01, 2015 01:27 AM

    I think the blog called today pretty well.
    Buy VIX, Short conventional stocks, and get out of the way to avoid being run over.

      Sep 01, 2015 01:37 AM

      At least so far Professor!

    CFS
    Sep 01, 2015 01:30 AM

    I’m worried about the silver I supposedly bought.
    Not sent yet…..should have been last week. ……?
    I kept my order small because some dealers are going to have problems.

    Sep 01, 2015 01:39 AM

    Gary,
    do you think will oil retrace to the $44 dollar level before working back up to test the $50 level now or are you seeing a -%68 retracement first before we head back up?

      Sep 01, 2015 01:00 AM

      Confused

      I was thinking the fib 61 retracement, because it was such a steep incline: $42.10?

      (I know you want Gary’s opinion …)

      Sep 01, 2015 01:42 AM

      No idea. It is pulling back from the 50 DMA. Where the pullback stops and the trend resumes is anyones guess.

    Sep 01, 2015 01:39 AM

    Marty’s computer data on the DOW

    http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/36762

      Sep 01, 2015 01:47 AM

      Armstrong is so cryptic, with so many different targets that I have no earthly idea what he’s saying. Sounds kind of like Greenspan 🙂

        Sep 01, 2015 01:56 AM

        Its a dry read for sure, targets are a simple read X falls = Y and if X holds = Z

    Sep 01, 2015 01:40 AM

    Gary I meant %61.8 retracement

    sorry

    Sep 01, 2015 01:44 AM

    forgot the ‘s

    Sep 01, 2015 01:39 AM

    I completely agree regarding debt and manipulation.

    Just my opinion, but I really think that the majority will eventually stop the “new world order”. I still believe in the strength of the individual.

    Sep 01, 2015 01:41 AM

    Currently the markets are going “deeper in the cellar” Any predictions as to where the close will be?

    Sep 01, 2015 01:44 AM

    Big Al. My SPXS shares are up 8% today. I am holding for at least 20%.

    Sep 01, 2015 01:46 AM

    First Mining Announces Business Combination With Gold Canyon Resources Inc. and PC Gold Inc.

    VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA–(Marketwired – Sep 1, 2015) – First Mining Finance Corp. (TSX VENTURE:FF) (“First Mining”), Gold Canyon Resources Inc. (TSX VENTURE:GCU)(OTC PINK:GDCRF) (“Gold Canyon”) and PC Gold Inc. (TSX VENTURE:PKL) (“PC Gold”) are pleased to announce that the companies have entered into definitive agreements (the “Agreements”) pursuant to which First Mining has agreed to acquire all of the issued and outstanding common shares of both Gold Canyon and PC Gold. Under the Agreements, shareholders of Gold Canyon will receive one common share of First Mining for each Gold Canyon share held in addition to shares in a newly formed Spin-out company (“New Gold Canyon”) which will hold certain non-gold exploration assets currently held by Gold Canyon; and PC Gold shareholders will receive 0.2571 common shares of First Mining for each PC Gold share. Upon completion of the proposed transactions, the former shareholders of Gold Canyon will hold approximately 55.4% of the shares of the resulting company, former shareholders of PC Gold will hold approximately 9.6% of the shares of the resulting company and the current shareholders of First Mining will hold approximately 35.0% of the shares of the resulting company. The transactions imply a value of C$0.35 per Gold Canyon share and C$0.09 per PC Gold share based on the closing prices of each company’s common shares on the TSX Venture Exchange (“TSXV”) on August 31, 2015.

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/first-mining-announces-business-combination-161826617.html

    Sep 01, 2015 01:51 AM

    Wow! Sound the bear raid warning! Dow down 400!

      Sep 01, 2015 01:18 AM

      PPT getting ready – any second now.

    Sep 01, 2015 01:57 AM

    Here’s an article that reinforces most of the audio on this show: From our old friend Craig Hemke: http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1441118984.php

    PF
    Sep 01, 2015 01:04 AM

    If China is the problem, then consider GOOG or FB. Neither does any business in China.

      Sep 01, 2015 01:25 AM

      yes, they are blocked there.

        Sep 01, 2015 01:35 AM

        I doubt that GOOG will ever be allowed in ………..jmo

          Sep 01, 2015 01:39 AM

          Possible since they tried to force US Law on Chinese government and Chinese government in turn accuse them spying.

            Sep 01, 2015 01:45 AM

            Pretty arrogant on the part of our country. Do you agree?

            Sep 01, 2015 01:08 AM

            Only some US companies do it. Everyone else tries to accustom to local law and habit. Some successful US companies there too. KFC and McDonald even have a large Chinese food.

        Sep 01, 2015 01:47 AM

        I am sorry Lawrence, what is blocked there?

          Sep 01, 2015 01:19 AM

          Google

            Sep 01, 2015 01:03 PM

            Hundreds of sites are blocked there Al. The list includes Facebook, Gmail, Google, Google Maps, Youtube, Twitter, Blogspot, Instagram and Dropbox among many many more.

            Even your site may be blocked although I have never checked. You would have to go to Baidu (China’s Google) and punch it in to see if anything came up. I did this in the past and was amazed how much was censored.

            Here is a partial list. It was a pretty big story at one time but not talked about much anymore. Call it the war on information.

            Websites Blocked in China — Wiki
            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Websites_blocked_in_mainland_China

    Sep 01, 2015 01:20 AM

    Hi guys,

    I heard Corey mention the market close report and yesterday you mentioned you were going to have a market close report, but I never saw it on the site under the audio recordings. Did I miss it?

      Sep 01, 2015 01:21 AM

      Oops, I misspelled Cory’s name. Sorry Cory.

      Sep 01, 2015 01:49 AM

      Yes, we did do a market close yesterday.

      Sep 01, 2015 01:34 PM

      Wiesguy-It’s under the “Industry News” section, and there were over 140 comments on it.

    Sep 01, 2015 01:30 AM

    It looks like the Shanghai exchange and the CRB are going to find a bottom in the near future. Maybe 3 to 8 trading days or so. But the US market is a ..long…way from a bottom.
    A long way regarding price and time..

      Sep 01, 2015 01:47 AM

      We shall certainly see. I do, by the way, happen to agree with you.

    Sep 01, 2015 01:34 AM

    I think the conventional market is a long drawn out crash.
    Not a correction!

      Sep 01, 2015 01:46 AM

      Semantics Chartster!

    Sep 01, 2015 01:49 AM

    Al,
    You always referred to the conventional markets and the USD being ” the prettiest pig on the farm “. …well..the pig is about to get the lipstick slapped off.
    The emerging markets have bottomed!

    Sep 01, 2015 01:57 AM

    David Morgan, yes please get him on the show so I can do the opposite!

    Anyone can call a bull market, DM has called more bottoms in silver than most, $30 was his call in 2014 and $1600 gold as THE bottom was in….OMG

      Sep 01, 2015 01:58 AM

      but a real nice guy!, lol

        Sep 01, 2015 01:10 AM

        OJJ:

        You are what contrarians look for. When you say “buy” as you will one day, I will unload ever ounce I own. You have been playing a one string banjo for years.

      Sep 01, 2015 01:22 AM

      He also screaming for people to buy silver when the price was 4 and ask people to say when silver went over 40. You would be broke if you do the opposite. It is better to buy gold at 1600 then 1900. No one is perfect, don’t try to cherry pick.

        Sep 01, 2015 01:28 AM

        Then why doesn’t DM have the balls to put up on his web-site his yearly returns? Gary Savage does

          Sep 01, 2015 01:58 AM

          Does he ever publish stats? He seems not selecting stocks like Gary, he only provides information to investors. Also he is not a technical analyst either. I think you might be confused about what he does.

            Sep 01, 2015 01:04 PM

            for someone who has a strong opinion about Morgan you certainly don’t know much about his service, he suggests silver miners jr-sr and has a fee for those that want to see what he trades daily

            Sep 01, 2015 01:10 PM

            The two services are a bad comparison: investing/speculating vs trading.
            When I speculate, I operate on a case by case basis. When I trade, I keep to the same rules for each position (like jj sells half on a double).

    Sep 01, 2015 01:09 AM

    What are you talking about, man..? Gold is gonna be 2000 tomorrow! Lol

      Sep 01, 2015 01:04 PM

      Get real , CHARTSTER……Its going to be 4000 the day after……..EH EH.

        Sep 01, 2015 01:06 PM

        That’s good news!

    Sep 01, 2015 01:39 PM

    I reckon if the Yen has a major rally then gold will. they have been very well correlated for 4 years and especially in the last 3 years since September 2012.