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Fed’s Beige Book Says Economy Expanded Across Most Regions

September 2, 2015

I find the discussion in the video above to be of interest. These guys are clearly bullish but the Beige Book report has to be paid attention to.

Here is the rest of the article from Bloomberg…

The U.S. economy expanded across most regions and industries in July and August, a Federal Reserve report showed, as tighter labor markets boosted wages for some workers.

Six of 12 Fed districts reported “moderate” growth, and five others said expansion was “modest,” according to the Beige Book, released Wednesday in Washington. The survey is based on reports gathered on or before Aug. 24 by regional Fed banks.

The report gives central bank officials, who next meet Sept. 16-17, an anecdotal picture of growth as they consider lifting interest rates in an environment colored by market volatility and slowing growth in China.

Boston, San Francisco and Dallas districts specifically referenced the China slowdown as a source of weaker demand for some products, including chemicals, wood products and high-tech goods. The word “China” or “Chinese” was mentioned 11 times. It was not mentioned in July’s report.

“Most districts reported modest to moderate growth in labor demand,” the Beige Book said, with this tightening in labor markets pushing up wages slightly in some industries, especially in the New York, Cleveland, St. Louis and San Francisco districts.

The Beige Book also showed that manufacturing activity was mostly positive, with only the New York and Kansas City Fed districts seeing declines.

No Change

Looking at the Beige Book overall, “from the Fed’s perspective, this shouldn’t change things one iota,” said David Ader, head of government bond strategy at CRT Capital Group LLC in Stamford, Connecticut. “The labor markets continue to do a little bit better, inflation continues to look a little bit weaker.”

The U.S. economy expanded at a 3.7 percent annualized rate in the second quarter, an Aug. 27 report showed, and employment has been rising at a steady clip. Officials will gain an additional month of labor data when August figures are released Friday in Washington.

While domestic economic data have been strong, global equity markets have been volatile in recent weeks, and weaker Chinese growth is clouding the international outlook. China surprised investors on Aug. 11 by devaluing the yuan and aligning its exchange-rate policy more with market forces, stoking speculation that the world’s second-largest economy may be slowing more than expected.

Factory Orders

Manufacturing in the U.S. expanded in August at the slowest pace since May 2013 as a lack of demand from emerging markets, such as China, translated into weaker factory orders. The Institute for Supply Management’s index fell to 51.1 from 52.7 in July, a Sept. 1 report showed.

The unemployment rate has dipped to 5.3 percent, down from a 10 percent peak in 2009, as companies continue to hire workers. As the Fed weighs when to lift interest rates, policy makers are still looking for signs that inflation will move up toward their 2 percent goal. Their preferred gauge of prices rose just 0.3 percent in July from a year earlier.

Forty-eight percent of 54 economists surveyed Aug. 27-31 by Bloomberg News expect a September increase in the benchmark lending rate, down from 77 percent in an Aug. 7-12 survey. About one-fourth say the Fed will lift off in December, while 17 percent said October.

Discussion
17 Comments
    Sep 02, 2015 02:57 PM

    QUESTION……..Has anyone heard that the FED RESERVE is moving to CHICAGO?
    PENDING DANGER, just heard that on usawatchdog…….per J Berwick, comment comes at about 10.45 mark….(.I know tinfoil hat comments)…

    In addition… Dick Chaney on AOL , saying something about expecting an attack…Another 911 or 912 , are these NEONAZI’S going to use this again for
    an expansion of more MILITARY INDUSTIAL COMPLEX ramp up……..Just asking

      Sep 02, 2015 02:01 PM

      Correction that is at the 10:10 mark…………..sorry

      CFS
      Sep 02, 2015 02:19 PM

      A military ramp-up is inevitable. Obama has gutted the military.
      Whether the ramp up occurs before or after we are at war is the real question to ask.

      What is Obama doing in Ukraine? Why is he placing extreme feminists in leadership positions in the armed forces and sacking experienced generals and admirals?

      CFS
      Sep 02, 2015 02:30 PM

      The Federal Reserve is so involved with the Treasury, that does not make sense. On the other hand there is a branch of the Fed in Chicago, so no big deal.
      The Federal reserve is distributed among 9 branches.

        Sep 02, 2015 02:56 PM

        CFS…I understand the 12 branches and one being in Chicago, but, Jeff indicated the main branch(maybe just the main people) was moving, and as we understand the Main branch was NY, and most of the players are or have been in NY.

          Sep 02, 2015 02:59 PM

          Look at your currency….the letters are A-L and your money is distributed from these branches.

          CFS
          Sep 02, 2015 02:57 PM

          I bow to better knowledge…..I just had not noticed anything above 9 on dollar bills.

            Sep 03, 2015 03:56 AM

            You are a scholar and a gentleman ,and I humbly receive your acknowledgement.

    CFS
    Sep 02, 2015 02:22 PM

    Mount McKinley was renamed to Milkulsky’s vote as the 34th vote on Iran

    CFS
    Sep 02, 2015 02:24 PM

    “for” instead of “to”

    Sep 03, 2015 03:46 AM

    Peter Grandich at goldseek,,,,talks on PPT……..