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Can investors hang their hat on any investing trends?

April 7, 2016

Chris Temple chats with Cory about the movements we are seeing in the US dollar, gold, oil and the US markets. It is a bit curious that the Yen is getting a buy but considering gold is also moving up investors have a risk off mentality today. We also look at gold’s move up today in a technical sense by how it broke up from the recent few week downtrend.

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Discussion
29 Comments
    CFS
    Apr 07, 2016 07:38 AM

    Hel is about to break out in Europe, as in HELicopter money.

    Smoke screen attempt to obfuscate Deuschebank’s derivative problems.

    CFS
    Apr 07, 2016 07:47 AM

    I bought some more shares in one oil stock today and in a LNG transporter, plus a silver stock and a lithium stock. Doing my patriotic best to prop up the stock market!!

      Apr 07, 2016 07:52 AM

      I hope Janet Yellen reads your comments, CFS – will help her sleep better tonight.

        Apr 07, 2016 07:02 AM

        She needs all the beauty sleep she can get…………..

        CFS
        Apr 07, 2016 07:06 AM

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p0PwUIVOrRo

        I hope she does not notice my short on the general market.

          CFS
          Apr 07, 2016 07:39 PM

          It was LACDF I bought today. I think I might have affected the price and volume!

            Apr 07, 2016 07:47 PM

            Welcome aboard! If SQM is doing this 50/50 JV with them, then I have to believe they are eyeballing Lithium Americas for a potential takeover down the road. Also, I really like their side credit from the Organoclay processing for drilling additives.

            These stocks will be supplying the ever burgeoning battery markets and energy storage markets, so there is much more upside for Lithium demand than analysts even have accurate models for. They tend to get fixated on electric cars & electric trucks, but they neglect to cover the huge impact backup batteries have on storing Solar & Wind power, or the smartphone/laptop/tablet marketplace, or airlines, or tow-motors and forklifts in warehousing, and on and on….

            Apr 07, 2016 07:00 PM

            The Canadian ticker was up even more, and on 8 times the normal volume!

            Volume: 8,459,517
            Avg Vol (3m): 919,271

            Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC.TO)
            0.68 Up 0.10(17.24%) 3:59PM EDT

      Apr 07, 2016 07:05 PM

      CFS just out of curiosity which Lithium stock did you decide on?

      I tried to get the word on the last 2 weeks on Western Lithium changing its name over to Lithium Americas, and the magnitude of the JV deal with SQM. I mentioned it was now going to get re-rated.

      I have already more than doubled my gains in Lithium Americas based on my average cost basis of $.257.

      Lithium Americas Corp. (LACDF)
      0.5292 Up 0.0763(16.85%) 3:58PM EDT

      I have also continually discussed Galaxy Resources for several years now and continue to see its great potential. I have a free ride that continues to blow my mind every day as over a 7 bagger so far! In my opinion, it is still just getting started.
      Granted, I had to wait a looooong time for the payoff (acquired from 2013-2015).

      Now that the tree is fruiting, it was worth it, but many times in the past I felt crazy for believing in their projects when the marketplace was not even interested. Finally, the marketplace is re-rating the quality names in the Lithium space.

      Galaxy Resources Limited (GALXF)
      0.2180 Up 0.0108(5.22%) 3:56

        Apr 07, 2016 07:35 PM

        As a reminder to those following the Lithium space – Galaxy Resources just made it to commercial production which is a huge milestone:
        _________________________________________________________________________

        LITHIUM CONCENTRATE PRODUCTION COMMENCES AT MT CATTLIN
        Australia – April 1, 2016

        Highlights

        ▪ Galaxy receives Production Commencement Notice from General Mining dated 31 March 2016
        ▪ Mining and processing has now commenced at Mt Cattlin
        ▪ Formal transfer of 14% equity stake in Mt Cattlin to General Mining to occur in April
        ▪ Mt Cattlin now the only new hard rock lithium mine to come into production globally
        ▪ Spodumene continues to play a critical role in feeding the growing lithium sector in China

        http://www.galaxylithium.com/media/announcements/4366rv115j4ycm.pdf

    Apr 07, 2016 07:59 AM

    Thanks for the info re the Chinese starting to export copper Chris. I had not yet heard of that.

    This surely will have an enormous impact on the big copper miners for whom China is their main market.

      Apr 07, 2016 07:35 AM

      On BNN yesterday they put out targets that show a Copper supply overhang through 2020.

        Apr 07, 2016 07:36 AM

        Having said that, I still believe there are some interesting opportunities in some of the small to mid-size Copper/Gold and Copper/Base Metals companies that were posted on the Weekend Show.

        Cheers!

          Tad
          Apr 07, 2016 07:11 AM

          Nice one Ex. I hadn’t seen your later comments on the copper miners from the WE show; will dig into that later. Quite a few ive never heard of. Thanks.

            Apr 07, 2016 07:45 PM

            Thanks Tad. I actually have a big base metals watch-list (that keeps growing), but its all over the board on industrial metals. On the weekend show I posted a bunch of individual smaller-mid size copper companies that I think will outperform the larger commodity conglomerates, and don’t have the debt burdens of the big guys. Some have nice precious metals exposures as well. For most of them I posted a Corporate Presentation so you can quickly see their projects, share structure, financials, management teams, and key investors.

            Please let me know if there are any Copper or Base Metals companies that look interesting to you, or if any of the ones I posted have any pros or cons you know of.

            Hope it helps generate some investing ideas.

            CFS
            Apr 07, 2016 07:46 PM

            AS a Copper/Gold company ARCTF is interesting, somewhat.

            Apr 07, 2016 07:10 PM

            Yes CFS, I agree about AuRico Metals. Wasn’t this the spinoff company from the merger with AuRico and Alamos? Alamos still owns 11%, but what is interesting is that Sandstorm Gold owns 15%. (do they want those Royalties?)

            I’m not really sure how to categorize them because they have all those royalty streams (which I see as a huge positive – and their resources are growing at those properties); but they are also in development of their Kemess Gold/Copper project. It will have a projected AISC of $718 for life of mine, and they plan on producing about 200,000+ ounces of gold equivalent per year. That’s a pretty big value driver.

            Here’s their blurb for anyone interested:

            AuRico Metals is a precious metals royalty and development company whose royalty assets include a 1.5% NSR on the Young-Davidson Gold Mine, a 0.25% NSR on the Williams mine at Hemlo, and a 0.5% NSR on the Eagle River mine – all located in Ontario, Canada. AuRico Metals also has a 2% NSR on the Fosterville Mine, located in Victoria, Australia, and 100% ownership of the advanced stage Kemess Project in British Columbia, Canada.
            _________________________________________________________________________

            Corporate Presentation AuRico Metals Inc:

            http://www.auricometals.ca/investor-information/events-and-presentations/default.aspx

            Apr 07, 2016 07:13 PM

            I guess AuRico Metals is most like Eurasian Minerals or Altius Minerals or Abitibi Royalties. They all have a number of royalties coming that that is funding their exploration and development projects, but the other 3 all to JVs, and scoop up more royalties, where AuRico is moving a project into production with their Royaty stream. I guess that is what Rye Patch is doing as well.

            I like companies with royalty streams, as it de-risks the project and keeps them from constantly diluting shareholders or doing capital raisings each year.

            Apr 07, 2016 07:29 PM

            I’ll say this, the companies that have survived the 5 year bear market, are survivors for a reason, and many of them have very interesting business models and quality assets.

            To quote Arthur: “I wish I had a dime for every dime I have”

        Apr 07, 2016 07:01 AM

        I get the impression that we just had a manipulated sort covering rally from the Jan lows – the sector was beaten down and heading lower so the big boys decided to do a pump and dump on it.

    Apr 07, 2016 07:50 AM

    BIG RIG TRUCK SALES plunge…….37%. zerohedge

    CFS
    Apr 07, 2016 07:28 AM

    Meanwhile, Nuclear News from Japan:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Vc2OHNoLew

    Further examples of Bureaucratic incompetence.

      Apr 07, 2016 07:58 AM

      THAT IS ” BIG”………….Bureaucatic Incompetent Govt………..

      Apr 07, 2016 07:49 PM

      Thanks CFS. An interesting video. They should have reached out to the global community for help way sooner, and their remediation has been a cluster.

    Apr 07, 2016 07:38 PM

    So Chris, you’re cheating with Cory……….you failed to tell us how.

      CFS
      Apr 07, 2016 07:59 PM

      Silverdollar,
      Hedge funds often like to go long on one thing and go short simultaneously on another…….that’s how they got the name “hedge”.

      A typical trade might be long Yen, but short some Japanese stock.
      Or short US dollar, long Yen. (Although , to me, this seems more of a double bet than a hedge.)

    CFS
    Apr 07, 2016 07:04 PM

    A better example, silverdollar, might long Serapta and Short a pharma ETF.
    This eliminates the general trend in pharma versus the specific gain in Serapta.

    I actually think Chris should examine the potentialities cover by the patents of Sorrento. Possible great potential in a few years time period.

      Apr 07, 2016 07:57 PM

      CFS:
      Thank you for your time in responding to my jest to Chris. I was playing on the mis-spelling of “chat” on the top of the page. Cory has since corrected it from cheat to chat. Sorry.