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This is the first step toward one world currency

Big Al
August 16, 2016

Here is the latest article written by our friend Valentin Schmid over at the Epoch Times. We discussed the SDR and China’s inclusion as well as the desire for a one world currency but now he has it all down in writing. This article focuses on the issuance of SDR bonds in China and what it really means for the global financial system. I am curious to hear what you all think of what he has to say about the move toward the one world currency…

Click here to read more great articles written by Valentin.

What China’s SDR Bond Issue Really Means

They promised, they delivered. The World Bank will issue a $2.8 billion SDR bond, or Special Drawing Rights bond, in China in August. Separately, the China Development Bank will also issue between $300 million to $800 million of SDR notes.

China, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and interested think tanks have been pushing the idea of private SDR since the beginning of the year. It has now come to fruition. But what does it actually mean?

Initially, SDR-denominated bonds will be of particular interest to official investors, but gradually, they will also attract investors from private sectors.

— Zhu Jun, director general, PBOC

The so-called SDR is an IMF construct of real currencies, right now the euro, yen, dollar, and pound, without actually containing any of them. It is just a claim to demand payment in these currencies. It made news last year when the Chinese renminbi was also admitted, although it won’t formally be part of the basket until Oct. 1 of this year. The IMF and member countries trade the units currently worth $1.40 among each other.

“Initially, SDR-denominated bonds will be of particular interest to official investors, but gradually, they will also attract investors from private sectors. In such a way an SDR bond market will be developed,” Zhu Jun, the director general of the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) international department told Chinese business paper Caixin.

Worth Wray, the chief global macro strategist of STA Wealth Management agrees: “Right now there is no organic demand, but over a five-year horizon it could develop globally and maybe that creates another channel for capital to flow into China—if that’s the only market there is for it,” he said in an interview.

The SDR bonds issued by the two official institutions are different from the official SDR issued by the IMF. In fact, they are a derivative of it. When the World Bank unit called International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) issues the bonds, it receives payment in yuan from the Chinese market or at first from the issue’s underwriter, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China.

It can then proceed to spend the yuan either in China or exchange them for other currencies and spend them abroad. So far the IBRD has disbursed $46 billion worth of loans, grants, and credits in China. It is important to note that this process is effectively creating SDR, which have previously not existed.

Chinese investors receive the SDR bonds, but what do they actually own?

For the Chinese investors, there is the advantage that they can hold a sizeable non-yuan denominated asset in China and reduce their risk to the Chinese currency.

Official SDRs can be redeemed for dollars, euros, yen, pound, and soon yuan through the IMF. However, the new private SDR, or M-SDR as the IMF calls them, cannot. The new bonds represent a claim on the IBRD. Since the IBRD doesn’t have any SDR assets, the repayment will also be in yuan, dollar, euro, yen, or pounds. So what’s the point of having this new basket?

For the IBRD, there is no advantage because it is borrowing in strong currencies and getting paid in a relatively weak one. For the Chinese investors, there is the advantage that they can hold a sizeable non-yuan denominated asset in China and reduce their risk to the Chinese currency, which may further fall in value. Because of still existing capital controls, buying foreign assets in size is not yet possible on the Chinese domestic bond market.

However, this is only an advantage for the time being. At the point of maturity, foreign currency will have to flow from the IBRD to the Chinese bond holders, unless they choose repayment in yuan, in which case the whole exercise would be rather pointless.

So given this lackluster value proposition, why are China, the IMF, and the U.S. controlled World Bank going out of their way to push the SDR into private markets?

Prominent market observers like James Rickards and Willem Middelkoop have long argued that the SDR will be the next world reserve currency. In fact, the current governor of the PBOC Zhou Xiaochuan has advocated for the SDR to become the next global reserve currency for a long time now.

“Special consideration should be given to giving the SDR a greater role. The SDR has the features and potential to act as a super-sovereign reserve currency,” wrote Zhou in 2009. He also wanted the yuan to be included in the SDR, which is going to happen on Oct. 1. Take heed of his predictions.

It’s a geeky name but it’s a kind of world money printed by the IMF. They’ll flood the world with trillions of SDRs.

— James Rickards

“The Chinese … have made it very clear that the Special Drawing Rights of the IMF is the preferred future international world reserve currency,” writes Willem Middelkoop in a note to clients.

“What you are going to see is world money. You are going to see the IMF print Special Drawing Rights (SDR). It’s a geeky name but it’s a kind of world money printed by the IMF. They’ll flood the world with trillions of SDRs,” James Rickards told Epoch Times earlier this year.

Now that the first issuance is well underway, it is easy to lever up the balance sheets of international development organizations and keep issuing—or printing—SDR obligations even in the trillions until even private market actors support and accept them. Once the SDR is widely accepted as payment, the IMF could just redeem all outstanding local currencies for SDR and the world would not only have a new reserve currency, but just one global currency.

“You create new liquidity. That’s the kind of reform that could change the international system immediately,” says Worth Wray.

Willem Middelkoop says this could be done through an IMF substitution fund, an idea already discussed in the 1970s.  “This fund could facilitate a direct exchange of dollars for SDRs. The liquidity issue would be resolved with one stroke of the pen, as an SDR would be created for every dollar that was exchanged,” he writes in his note.

Sounds crazy? It is, but the official plan is right here, for everyone to see.

Twitter: @vxschmid

Discussion
9 Comments
    DFS
    Aug 16, 2016 16:53 PM

    One world currency will work as well as the Euro.
    I.e. IT WON’T.

    If any idiot from the one world thinks I’m going to pay taxes to the world government.Good luck, I will barter my way along, wearing a sombrero, so the drone has a problem with recognition.

    Aug 16, 2016 16:04 PM

    They ( the IMF ) are bringing more currencies into the SDR trade for fair trade. The countries in the region of the SDR will use that for trade. Example: Canada and Mexico will buy US donominated SDR for trading with international partners. The value of the USD SDR is .72 right now. It was 1.50 about six years ago. The reason for many other countries to use the SDR is because it will simplify trade between countries and it will keep it fair. So no country can unfairly lower their currency rate for unfair trade practices.

    It has zero to do with going to one global currency. But the dollar won’t be the worlds reserve currency any longer either. Which is fair for the rest of the world.

      DFS
      Aug 16, 2016 16:27 PM

      That would be the Devil Incarnate’s Coup de Grace…….destroy the US economy over 7 years, and then kill the dollar off as he leaves office.

      Aug 16, 2016 16:51 PM

      Good — and more realistic — comment, Chartster. These bozos selling this global currency stuff are expert in NOTHING, except for taking a grain of truth and spinning it into an avalanche of B.S.. Very frustrating that they are leading so many people astray!

      The one world currency everyone blathers on about has been here since the end of World War 2 (most recently, anyhow) — It’s called the U.S. DOLLAR.

      The currency story to come is going to be much more that this global currency and the system it anchors is going to splinter — not become more cohesive, or lead to ONE new world currency of any consequence. But don’t hold your breath waiting for the US$ to get its comeuppance; it will be a long process.

        Aug 16, 2016 16:10 PM

        Chris, Americans would like to think it will be a long process, but that wasn’t the case in the past when Britain lost it’s dominance to The US. There is nothing special about America anymore unless they can change and that means their foreign policy. The rest of the world is fed up and the same thing happened to Britain (The Boer War) and Rome. Foreign entanglements are finishing your dominance. You simply can’t afford them financially and the rest of the world doesn’t want to live like this anymore. DT

          Aug 16, 2016 16:25 PM

          America became strong through financial penetration of other countries economies, now America is flat busted broke and on intensive care, other countries know this and they are dumping their US dollar holdings. Without money you can’t hope to lead the world anymore, no one wants to listen to the ramblings of a third world country, no one. DT

          Aug 17, 2016 17:39 AM

          DT., I don’t like to think it could take a while…it would suit me if this evil empire collapsed tomorrow. But that is unlikely. In relative terms, the U.S. financial system remains “less bad” than Japan and Europe, for starters, where deficits/debt-to-GDP (Japan) and bank woes are far worse.

    Aug 16, 2016 16:20 PM

    So is it the SDR that causes the gold bubble to go parabolic then burst!
    Is this the developing financial system reset for the world. I wish I was smart enough to answer my own question, until then I’ll be a position trader and PMs are my favorite flavor.

    Aug 16, 2016 16:47 PM

    H.G. Wells: “I am for world-control of production and of trade and transport, for A WOLD COINAGE, and the confederation of mankind. I am for the super-State…” – H.G. Wells, A Year of Prophesying (Toronto, ON: Tyerson Press, 1924), p.86.

    One world currency ideas have been around for a very long time.

    Back in the early 1970s most Christians have been aware that we have been headed toward a one world currency. I was a teenager then. It was a hot topic among all of us.