With the US dollar breaking down why is Gold not breaking out?
Today with Chris Temple we address a question that has been brought up on the blog a number of times. Since gold and the US dollar are inversely correlated, with the US dollar dropping why are we not seeing gold breakout?
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He’s several months late.
He gets to say he told subscribers.
kind of true!
We happen to agree
Metals are going to tank big time if the H & S formation in SLV and AG prove to be valid.
Should know in two or three weeks….metal stocks are also showing weakness…
Time for heavy metal tank tops….
Didn’t he go broke by not selling into the last bull market? He sure was silent the past few years, now the Phoenix rather than boy wonder.
Peter that is
Yep. He used to be on the KER back in the day, but he got a bit argumentative with with almost everyone around him, and burnt a number of bridges. I used to enjoy some of his commentary, but he was definitely one of the bag holders in the last cycle.
I seem to remember him losing some ridiculous bet publicly and then doubling down and losing again, and some media outlets even picked up the story.
Peter Grandich’s $1 million bet that gold will hit $2,000
December 14, 2011,
Grandich Raises Gold Challenge to $2 Million [includes a Dr. Evil photo – ha!]
By MARK GONGLOFF
Dec 30, 2011
http://blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2011/12/30/grandich-raises-gold-challenge-to-2-million/
Million Dollar Bet That Gold Price Hits $2,000
Posted Dec 18 2011 by Will Bancroft
http://therealasset.co.uk/million-dollar-bet-that-gold-price-will-hit-2000/
Good follow up
Yes, he did.
I don’t think so.
How Much Gold Is Really Left to Be Mined?
Frank Holmes Follow | Thursday, 11 August 2016
https://www.equities.com/news/how-much-gold-is-really-left-to-be-mined
Repost….is Frank still working with the Clintons
That was Frank Giustra, not Frank Holmes silly…. 🙂
Here is Frank Holmes (often seen interviewed on Kitco):
Here was Frank Holmes most recent Kitco interview for a reminder:
Ignore Sub-$40 Oil, ‘Healthy’ Inflation Returns – Frank Holmes
Guest(s): Frank Holmes – Aug 01, 2016
Here is Frank Giustra – mining magnate in bed with the Clinton Foundation:
Frank Giustra is the one that sold Uranium One to the Russian company ARMZ.
He is currently behind Lithium X and why it got so frothy (even when there are far better Lithium companies that just went into production or are much further along). Frank has the midas touch with companies because he has the politicians in his pocket, and he makes sure to put some money back in their pockets.
Cronyism:
Don’t forget Ian Telfer of Gold Corp was right along with them.
Thanks Markedtofuture. Wow, I saw that link to Ian Telfer of Gold Corp and how he donated to the Clinton Foundation. Very lucrative for certain mining magnates to influence the political equation……. crazy.
The entire article is great, but I just have to post this section of it because it is so in line with the rest of this thread.
A Seat at the Table
The path to a Russian acquisition of American uranium deposits began in 2005 in Kazakhstan, where the Canadian mining financier Frank Giustra orchestrated his first big uranium deal, with Mr. Clinton at his side.
The two men had flown aboard Mr. Giustra’s private jet to Almaty, Kazakhstan, where they dined with the authoritarian president, Nursultan A. Nazarbayev. Mr. Clinton handed the Kazakh president a propaganda coup when he expressed support for Mr. Nazarbayev’s bid to head an international elections monitoring group, undercutting American foreign policy and criticism of Kazakhstan’s poor human rights record by, among others, his wife, then a senator.
Within days of the visit, Mr. Giustra’s fledgling company, UrAsia Energy Ltd., signed a preliminary deal giving it stakes in three uranium mines controlled by the state-run uranium agency Kazatomprom.
If the Kazakh deal was a major victory, UrAsia did not wait long before resuming the hunt. In 2007, it merged with Uranium One, a South African company with assets in Africa and Australia, in what was described as a $3.5 billion transaction. The new company, which kept the Uranium One name, was controlled by UrAsia investors including Ian Telfer, a Canadian who became chairman. Through a spokeswoman, Mr. Giustra, whose personal stake in the deal was estimated at about $45 million, said he sold his stake in 2007.
Soon, Uranium One began to snap up companies with assets in the United States. In April 2007, it announced the purchase of a uranium mill in Utah and more than 38,000 acres of uranium exploration properties in four Western states, followed quickly by the acquisition of the Energy Metals Corporation and its uranium holdings in Wyoming, Texas and Utah. That deal made clear that Uranium One was intent on becoming “a powerhouse in the United States uranium sector with the potential to become the domestic supplier of choice for U.S. utilities,” the company declared.
Ian Telfer was chairman of Uranium One and made large donations to the Clinton Foundation. Credit Galit Rodan/Bloomberg, via Getty Images
Still, the company’s story was hardly front-page news in the United States — until early 2008, in the midst of Mrs. Clinton’s failed presidential campaign, when The Times published an article revealing the 2005 trip’s link to Mr. Giustra’s Kazakhstan mining deal. It also reported that several months later, Mr. Giustra had donated $31.3 million to Mr. Clinton’s foundation.
(In a statement issued after this article appeared online, Mr. Giustra said he was “extremely proud” of his charitable work with Mr. Clinton, and he urged the media to focus on poverty, health care and “the real challenges of the world.”)
Though the 2008 article quoted the former head of Kazatomprom, Moukhtar Dzhakishev, as saying that the deal required government approval and was discussed at a dinner with the president, Mr. Giustra insisted that it was a private transaction, with no need for Mr. Clinton’s influence with Kazakh officials. He described his relationship with Mr. Clinton as motivated solely by a shared interest in philanthropy.
As if to underscore the point, five months later Mr. Giustra held a fund-raiser for the Clinton Giustra Sustainable Growth Initiative, a project aimed at fostering progressive environmental and labor practices in the natural resources industry, to which he had pledged $100 million. The star-studded gala, at a conference center in Toronto, featured performances by Elton John and Shakira and celebrities like Tom Cruise, John Travolta and Robin Williams encouraging contributions from the many so-called F.O.F.s — Friends of Frank — in attendance, among them Mr. Telfer. In all, the evening generated $16 million in pledges, according to an article in The Globe and Mail.
“None of this would have been possible if Frank Giustra didn’t have a remarkable combination of caring and modesty, of vision and energy and iron determination,” Mr. Clinton told those gathered, adding: “I love this guy, and you should, too.”
But what had been a string of successes was about to hit a speed bump….”
EX..you better check some more ,old Frank Holmes is or was working or running with Bill.
Clinton Foundation mega donor Frank Holmes was grilled on CNBC…..says he donated $145million to Clinton Foundation
OOTB – I see where the “MISINFORMATION” started in the media (if that is what you want to call it).
They ran this story bashing Frank Holmes for his connection with the Clinton Foundation [which is wrong as Frank Holmes is staunch conservative], but they did crappy research, as it was Frank Giustra that owned Uranium One and he is the one the runs with the Clintons. I am amazed that they didn’t have to retract this article:
Here is the bogus news story:
Here is the reality of who owned Uranium One and contributed so much money to the Clinton Foundation:
“In 2007 Uranium One acquired a controlling interest in UrAsia Energy, a Canadian firm with headquarters in Vancouver, from Frank Giustra.[4] UrAsia Energy has interests in rich uranium operations in Kazakhstan.[5] UrAsia Energy’s acquisition of its Kazakhstan uranium interests from Kazatomprom followed a trip to Almaty in 2005 by Giustra and former U.S. President Bill Clinton where they met with Nursultan Nazarbayev, the leader of Kazakhstan. Substantial contributions to the Clinton Foundation by Giustra followed.[4][6][7]”
Looks like, quite frankly, they got their Franks mixed up…..
Most of the $145million was corporate ,but says donated $250-500k to the foundation.
“In 2008, a New York Times article reported that a Canadian financier, Frank Giustra, flew Clinton on a luxurious jet to Kazakhstan in 2005 as part of a three-country philanthropic tour. The article implied that a statement Clinton made praising that nation’s president, Nursultan Nazarbayev, was linked to Giustra’s uranium company signing preliminary agreements for the right to buy into three uranium projects controlled by the state-owned uranium agency, Kazatomprom. It also reported that in 2006, Giustra donated $31 million to the Clinton Foundation.[13]”
Clinton Giustra Sustainable Growth Initiative
“Frank Giustra is a Canadian business executive sitting on the board of the Clinton Foundation. Launched in 2007, CGSGI describes itself as working with local communities, the private sector, governments and other non-governmental organizations to develop models for businesses to spur social and economic development as part of their operations in the developing world. CGSGI says it is focusing on market-driven development that creates jobs and increases incomes, and on enabling factors such as health and education.”
“Frank Giustra’s involvement with the Clinton Foundation has been criticized by the International Business Times.[62]”
OOTB – It looks like you are correct about Frank Holmes. I just did more digging and stand corrected, as a later article came out where Frank Holmes did confirm he donated to the Clinton foundation as well, and did own Uranium One shares from 2008 to 2011. {I find that shocking as Frank Holmes is always bashing Socialism and is such a free-market conservative minded guy. I guess nothing should be shocking at this point though}
It is confusing because Uranium One was owned by Frank Giustra at one point, he donates heavily to the Clinton Foundation, and has been at the scene of many scandals.
___________________________________________________________________________
Here is the follow up article where Frank Holmes admitted he went the way of Frank Giustra….. What a bummer…..
Clinton Foundation Donor Changes Story, Admits His Company Owned Uranium One Stock in 2011
Wasn’t Frank Holmes,on the KER blog promoting the Clinton Foundation.?
Wow – was he? The Clinton Foundation invaded the KER. My world is crumbling….. 🙁
I believe the group includes Frank. At least that is what he told me.
By the way, we would not allow this foundation to be touted here. Maybe discussed but not touted. I have real questions about this family.
It would not surprise me as the are definately heavy weight contacts!
Gold Miners’ Q2’16 Fundamentals
Adam Hamilton – Aug 19, 2016
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/hamilton/hamilton081916.html
Adam is well versed both fundamentally & technically.
Yes, I like checking in on his perspectives regularly.
Re: WITH THE US DOLLAR BREAKING DOWN WHY IS GOLD NOT BREAKING OUT?
When measured by other currencies, the dollar’s movements are not necessarily inversely correlated with gold. The two can go up or down together. If, for example, USDX is dropping, not because it is weak but because currencies like the yen and/or the euro are rising, then the gold price might do nothing — or even fall (since the real value of the dollar can fall even while the USDX is rising). Conversely, if the USDX is rising only because other currencies are weaker, then gold can rise.
Two or three years ago, very few would have expected gold to behave the way it has this year with the USDX still hanging out in the mid to high 90s because most fail to grasp that the USDX only measures relative value, not real value or purchasing power.
The single best way to know how the dollar is really doing in terms of purchasing power is to watch the gold price, not the dollar index.
correlation between gold and dollar :
i.e. predominantly a negative correlation, but not consistently enough to hang your hat on it.
Yes, it tends to move that way often enough to give most investors a dangerous dose of confidence.
The USDX serves to obfuscate the parasitic structure of the Marxist monetary system.
http://schrts.co/GucQnJ
(Sorry, most of you won’t be able to see the annotations.)
Nice Chart Mathew.
“The USDX serves to obfuscate the parasitic structure of the Marxist monetary system.
”
Say, would you be willing to make a bumper sticker outta that?
Gold Bound To The Yen
August 18, 2016 – McClellan Market Report
http://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/gold_bound_to_the_yen/
I’ve posted this chart a few times this year but it seems relevant here:
Yen and Gold – doing the safety dance as alternatives to central banking madness:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24XJY&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p18739154842
Is Frank still working with the Clintons
Gone fishing,
Largest continuous block in mali.
Possible 2+gpt Surface mine
Wow. Thanks Pete. I’ve been doing a lot of homework into African miners, and this one was not even on my radar. I brought it up in the ~Africa room on Tommy’s site and asked our go to expert on Africa “Miningbookguy” and he was aware and routed me to the stockhouse chat room.
You may already be aware of this, but just in case:
http://www.stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard/v.mxi/merrex-gold-inc
speaking of African miners….. Cardinal Resources has really taken off since Brent Cook started plugging it:
Wow,missed that one!
Yes,i have been aware of MXI.V for awhile,dont own it at present,but i´m watching it.
BTW mining is good to some people..
http://www.superyachtfan.com/yacht_seahorse.html
Yes Robert has done quite well. Here’s his house….
CEO.ca Cribs: Inside Mining Tycoon Robert Friedland’s Bay Area Mega Palace
POSTED ON DECEMBER 04, 2014 BY TOMMY HUMPHREYS
Nice,
Added, USA.TO, I´m scared now…
This looks like a good place to add some USA.TO to me (providing support holds):
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=USA.TO&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p57304063093
Thanks,Excelsior let´s see how it works out.
Pete
I hope this helps. This is my mind-set now: I believe there are 2-5 years left in the PM miner run-up (with MAJOR 15-25% corrections).
The most difficult thing to do is add (or start a new position) after a stock has made a run. It is soul-crushing to buy a stock then have it dive 5, 10, 15, even 20 %.(I have one that is down almost 30%)
The only thing that get me through these times, is simple: Do I want to OWN this stock for the FUNDAMENTAL reasons (not trading) for a LONG period of time.
I like safe jurisdictions with high grades.
Impact Silver is an example: I missed the initial run-up, but looked at the TECHNICALS and bought in a congestion area (small blocks on dips). It worked out pretty good.
The best of luck to you,
Brian
Thanks,Brian.
Here is a good chart on the Uranium ETF – (URA) :
http://cdn.ceo.ca/1brc39v-Screen%20shot%202016-08-18%20at%205.25.56%20PM.png
Western Uranium Corporation Announces a US$1.4 Million Closing of a Non-Brokered Private Placement
TORONTO, ONTARIO and NUCLA, COLORADO–(Marketwired – Aug. 19, 2016) – Western Uranium Corporation (CSE:WUC)(OTCQX:WSTRF)
Very timely. Allan Barry just interviewed Gwen Preston on his show, and he asked earlier if there were any questions he should check with her about. I mentioned to Allan to ask about Eurasian Minerals (EMX) (EMXX) and their sale of the gold property in Turkey. Apparently they did discuss it because people are now chatting away about the show in real time. I haven’t listened to it yet.
* So on this Allan Barry Interview with Gwen Preston above:
(@ 45:25 mins – 52:00 mins) He did ask my question about Eurasian Minerals (EMX) (EMXX) and the sale of their Turkish Gold property. Gwen did a great job discussing that and pointed out some other projects they have in the pipeline, as well as unpacking their project generation into Royalty stream business strategy that we’ve discussed on here before.
Gwen also had a great section from (32:30 mins – 39:39 mins) on Northern Shield (NRN) (NSHRF) that I would really recommend fans of PGMs and Nickel check out.
Very interesting – Thanks Pete. That Red Lake area has been quite the buzz lately.
On May 11, 2016 at 1:30 pm,
Pete says:
I had forgotten about this Company,stumbled on an old article today.
They have a JV with IAMGOLD.
EM: TomaGold Corp. (LOT:TSX.V), for sure. TomaGold is a name I’ve been following for the last couple of years now and, together with IAMGOLD Corp. (IMG:TSX; IAG:NYSE), it continues to develop the Monster Lake project in Quebec. The high-grade results TomaGold has been able to issue have gotten many investors excited over the potential and economic viability of the deposit. If we were in a bull market for gold, there is no doubt in my mind the results that TomaGold has been able to release to the market would send the stock skyrocketing.
Because we are not in a bull market, it will take time but, unlike most junior explorers in the market today, TomaGold has IAMGOLD on its side; IAMGOLD continues to fund the project, so at least TomaGold is not pressed for time and funds. Make sure TomaGold is on your radar screen. TomaGold just issued some spectacular results and if it is able to continue its success with the drill bit, there is no doubt in my mind it will pique the interest of someone with a lot deeper pockets to take over the property. 3/4/15
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpolSJwMDMY
Thanks for posting this Pete.
Toma Gold also has a project in Quebec’s next emerging gold camp,Urban.
I’ve been doing work on the explorers here,and I also own some of the players.
I hadn’t done the DD on Toma yet.(I saw they started drilling 7/5 and had them on the board.Keep an eye on the Urban Barry Gold Camp.Osisko Mining is there.Things could start happening.Osk.to,mto.v,Btr.v,Bfd.v,lot.v,Urb.to
Thank you,JohnK.
Eric Sprott Announces Acquisition of Shares of Jaguar Mining Inc. (JAG) (JAGGF)
TORONTO, ONTARIO–(Marketwired – Aug. 19, 2016) –
Eric Sprott announces that on August 19, 2016, he acquired 46,978,350 common shares of Jaguar Mining Inc. (representing approximately 27.3% of the outstanding shares).
Matthew – I thought this may bring a smile to your face 🙂
I’m glad I bought a lot when I did. 😮
Me too. Throughout 2015.
In 2016 I’ve traded in an out of a partial position and sometime sold out the entire position and then bought it back on a dip throughout this year a few times as well.
I’m just letting my core position take the free ride at present….
I wondered why the sudden show of extra strength this afternoon. Now I know. Thanks.
I have a lot of shares, btw.
Ever Upward!
Jaguar Mining Inc. (JAG.V)
$0.80 up +$0.06 (+8.11% gain)
Another Matthew/Excel pick that I did NOT buy (no cash at the time).
Doh!
I’m sure every single one of us has had that experience!
There are just too many interesting stories out there from the companies that made it through the bear market and have come out the other side streamlined and ready to shine.
“If you can’t own all of them, at least own some of them” – Brian
Thanks,Excelsior.Eric Sprott must be reading yours and Matthews comments on KER.
Yeah, that’s it. 😉
Ya never know….. 😮
Eric is getting 47mn shares at < CAD 15cts a piece vs .current share price at 74cts…
Sure he has a smile on his face too.
lol
My 2cts.
LPG
That’s not a controversial assumption, LPG. 😉
Ha! Agreed.
To keep a nice valuation upside, you DON’T want other convertible holders to convert their debt as well….
My 2cts
LPG
Complete conversion is inevitable so I factored it in before I bought a single share and am just fine with it. I commented on it here months ago when I pointed out that JAG would still be cheap even when fully diluted. It was probably no more than forty cents at the time which would have put its fully diluted market cap at roughly $120M. Even at today’s price, the fully diluted market cap would be about $235m — not bad at all when compared to its peers and considering where gold is going.
All in all, it’s all good.
Matthew,
From “current” situation – assuming no further dilution – to full dilution, the share count goes up by 80%.
That’s what I meant by “To keep a nice valuation upside, you DON’T want other convertible holders to convert their debt as well….”.
Cheers,
LPG
Like I said, LPG, the conversion of the rest of the debentures is inevitable and does not make the bet a bad one for those who see the big picture and understand value.
Thanks for your concern, though.
Cheers!
US Mint Halts Production of Silver Eagle Coins
Posted on August 19, 2016 by The Doc — No Comments ↓
image: http://www.silverdoctors.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/silver-eagle-back.jpg
The US Mint has reportedly HALTED PRODUCTION of 2016 American Silver Eagle Coins.
Over the past several weeks we have documented the plunge in ASE sales at the US Mint from approximately 1 million coins a week throughout the first 6 months of 2016 to around 150,000 coins a week since mid July.
The lack of Silver Eagle coin demand has reached a point where the US Mint has reportedly just Halted Production entirely on Silver Eagle coins.
Click Here For More on the US Mint Halting Production:
The CRB looks good but probably needs to go sideways for a little while:
The bears were able to stuff the loonie back below important resistance to close the week:
so funny, this is Turd Fergeson @ silver doc.
Just down the page from “mint halts production”
I wonder if it ever occurs the price goes down from lack of demand?
Same page John Embry says silver could go to $1000….not today John.
Price Manipulation is like Pornography – Its Hard to Define, But You Know it When You See It, and Today Was BLATANT
“These Bastard Banks Are Backed into a Corner!” – Are We Witnessing the Cartel’s LAST DITCH Attempt to Stop An EPIC Gold and Silver BULL MARKET?
Big picture, gold couldn’t look better:
Really, I just sold all mine to get into Time Shares….. Was that a bad idea?
I dunno, what’s time going for these days? 🙂
Wonka – Time is a precious thing… Never waste it
I should clarify that I put 80% of the gold profits into Time Shares, and the other 20% was invested in a new VHS Rental location in my home town. All the other ones closed down, so I figured there is a good market to capture if I’m the only one renting out VHS movies. = (I’ll have a monopoly on the video rental business) = a fortune.
Sounds like a no-brainer. If you can’t find gators for your moat, at least consider a few puggles.
Sold. I’m going to borrow at 21% interest on a credit card to start a puggle breeding program for guards around the timeshares. I’ve never bred stone-cold killers like puggles before, but how hard can it be right?
Hey, you’d be a fool not to give it a try. The venture is sure to produce a few nuggets.
Agreed. If those puggles produce any nuggets though, they are going right into the pooper scooper. Can’t leave those around the property or the steady stream of Time Share owners I anticipate may get miffed.
The one exception would be if I found a puggle that lays golden nuggets. If so I’d sell those the gold nuggets and buy over-priced baseball cards. I’d call it my “Gold to Cardboard” campaign.
Here I thought the hot ticket was ice fishing decoys and A&W Mugs.
Geesh, Am I ever going to make it out of the shallow end of the pool?
JohnK – There is a book called “Who Moved My Cheese?” and it taught me to move where the cheese was moving to, and not get stuck in a rut.
Personally, I sold out of Ice Fishing Decoys and A&W Mugs last year. (now I’m kicking myself because yesterday a discussion on Ice fishing broke out and I may have sold out too early).
Earlier in the year I went in heavy on PEZ dispensers and Treadmills and I sold them as a package deal to customers. I may have been too far ahead of the curve on this trend though, because right now everyone is going to gyms to workout, but I know that down the road everyone will want in their garage (I mean family room).
So now Time Shares and VHS rental stores are the rage, so if that is where the cheese is moving…..I’m going all in.
A friend of mine just gave me a tip on breeding puggles (just a word to the wise)…
Lego was the big winner.
Lego Sets Have Been a Better Investment than Gold Since 2000 – Time
time.com/money/4162059/lego-investment-compare-gold-return/
Here’s the top five most expensive (LEGO) sets currently: (from the article)
1. Ultimate Collector’s Millennium Falcon: $510 in 2007, now $4,041
2 Cafe Corner: $134 in 2007, now $3,123
3 Taj Mahal: $298 in 2008, now $2,753
4 Death Star II: $372 in 2005, now $2,270
5 Imperial Star Destroyer: $249.99 in 2002, now $2,185
My largest position in January was Impact Silver but it now looks like it needs another rest:
With an 85% reduction in ASE sales ya might think that interest in silver just tanked big time.
We could see silver shares dropping too. do shares follow phyzz demand?
Move Cautiously As Fed Flip-flops Ahead of Jackson Hole: Gary Wagner
Dollar Rises On SF Fed Chatter Pulling Gold Down
Gary Wagner – August 19, 2016 – 5:09pm
http://thegoldforecast.com/video/dollar-rises-sf-fed-chatter-pulling-gold-down
Gold & Silver Bullion – Super Force Precious Metals Video Analysis
Morris Hubbartt posted Aug 19, 2016
https://superforcesignals.com/video/2016aug18gold/2016aug18gold.html
Precious Metal ETFs – Super Force Precious Metals Video Analysis
Morris Hubbartt posted Aug 19, 2016
https://superforcesignals.com/video/2016aug18pm/2016aug18pm.html
SF Juniors – Super Force Precious Metals Video Analysis
Morris Hubbartt posted Aug 19, 2016
https://superforce60.com/video/2016aug18sjf/2016aug18sjf.html
aaYou really think so, Gator!
peter grandich: “gold mother of all gold bull markets has just begun” http://www.petergrandich.com/gold-the-mother-of-all-bull-markets-has-only-just-begun/