Minimize

Welcome!

Remaining in the Bullish Camp for T-Bonds and the USD

Cory
November 22, 2016

Rick is with us today to discuss how he is feeling about his long term bullish stance on the USD and T-Bonds. For a long time Rick has been saying the USD will reach 120. Now that we are above 101 there are more commentators shifting to his side. Rick provides his reasons why the USD will one day reach 120 which also relate to why he remains in the bullish camp for T-Bonds.

Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show

Click here to visit Rick’s site.

Discussion
82 Comments
    Nov 22, 2016 22:29 AM

    Oil to stay more valuable than Renewables even if prices never recover, says HSBC
    November 22, 2016

    http://www.thenational.ae/business/energy/oil-to-stay-more-valuable-than-renewables-even-if-prices-never-recover-says-hsbc

    Nov 22, 2016 22:46 AM

    Is it just me who sees Impact Silver IPT as a gift today at 0.60 cad????
    Or Im I missing something??

      Nov 22, 2016 22:50 AM

      Impact put out their quarterly release yesterday and this is likely responsible for the move down today. In addition, Silver miners have still been under pressure this morning.
      ___________________________________________________________________________

      IMPACT Silver Announces Third Quarter 2016 Financial and Production Results
      November 21, 2016 – (IPT)

      http://www.impactsilver.com/i/pdf/2016-11-21-nr-ipt-24yvfa.pdf

        Nov 22, 2016 22:52 AM

        I still think its a buying opportunity as much as Avinos who is well oversold today!!

          Nov 22, 2016 22:00 AM

          Agreed that both are on sale, and longer term both Impact Silver and Avino Silver and Gold are solid and heading much higher in 2017, 2018, 2019……

            Nov 22, 2016 22:11 AM

            Ex, what are you byuing these days? Or just watching? Im buying Redstar gold RGC, pending news drillholes anyday now. warrants at 0,12 cad expire at 27 nov. So next week i want to be into this stock for real😀

            http://www.theaureport.com/pub/na/redstar-waits-for-drill-results

            http://smallcappower.com/expert-articles/gold-juniors-results-171116/

            b
            Nov 22, 2016 22:59 AM

            We dont know if 1200 gold will hold, if 16 silver breaks it could drop to 10.
            That will make ipt @ 60 look expensive.

            But, its always a good time to buy and its to the moon any day now.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:04 AM

            b, you never now, but if you have a positiv longterm view on the metals you could buy a small portion on the dip,😉

            b
            Nov 22, 2016 22:17 AM

            Sure Blue, why not?

            Metals will move up eventually.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:25 AM

            Hi Blue – I’ve been mostly watching this week, but have done a few trades on partial positions in the Silver, Gold, PGM, Zinc, Copper, Uranium, and Lithium space throughout October and November (mostly small producers, development stage companies, and Explorers, although there are some prospect generators & royalty companies in the mix as well).

            In addition, I’ve been debating trading the Oil ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, as well as following some stocks in the Agricultural markets, but have held off on those at present trying to size up what will happen in Dec/Jan.

            Yes, I’ve been watching the Exploration news and articles out about Redstar Gold with great interest. There are a few good drill plays lately like IDM mining today, or Aton Resources and Nighthhawk Gold recently. but most of the drill results the last few months have been slightly underwhelming on companies many follow like Colorado Resources, Otis Gold, Sirios Resources, Battle Mountain Gold, Moneta Porcupine, etc… I’m still waiting to see how the drill results go for Northern Shield over at their Sequoi target, and the remaining assays back from Teuton Resources on some of their drilling.

            I’m not as up to speed on all the exploration drill plays but use CEO and the news outlets to keep tabs on those.

            My main focus is the small producers and development stage companies that are very undervalued still or have pulled back by 30-50% and are offering good value here. and that is where most of my investing focus is in the resources (too many to list off).

            For the most part with Gold & Silver I’m watching to see if $1180 holds, of if we go back down to test the Dec 2015 lows for a double bottom as many have postulated may play out. If we do go down and get near that $1045 level (maybe $20-$30 above it, I’ll likely deploy dry powder in the names I like).

            Blue – may you do well in your investing as always. Cheers!

            All the best whith

            Nov 22, 2016 22:32 AM

            MTF had a good post on CEO about a half hour ago on the American Creek, Tudor Gold, Teuton Resources JV worth re-posting here:

            @Markedtofuture – “$AMK $TUD $TUO “The Electrum property is one of the 7 wonders of the world” That was one of the quotes in a CEO Round Table Discussion made by Tudor Golds VP of Exploration Ray Marks. It was accompanied by other quotes such as:

            “The mineralization on that property…….I’ve been on a lot of properties in Central and South America, Mexico, Canada and I have never, ever seen anything to top this”

            In the interview Mr. Marks discusses the progress made on the Treaty Creek and Electrum properties and gives us an idea of what to expect in 2017. You can listen to the interview by clicking here and skip ahead to the 9:12 mark.

            http://allanbarryreports.com/2016/11/04/ceo-roundtable-discussion-with-ray-marks-from-tudor-gold-tud-v/

            Nov 22, 2016 22:34 AM

            Thanks, Ex? for a very nice replay as always, very informativ😄
            Hope you have a lot of success in your investing🍻

            Nov 22, 2016 22:45 AM

            Always glad to share ideas Blue. If there are any specific stocks you think it would be good to review, beyond Redstar gold, then please post on them. Nobody can follow all the hundreds and hundreds of mining companies, but if a unique opportunity is setting up then let’s hash it out.

            For example, I posted on the Market Wrap yesterday about the development stage company Montan Mining, and about them moving into production in early 2017. They’re in the middle of transition from being a mess to being a success. They just switched out members of the management team, did a capital raise and made a key acquisition. They just came off trading halt today, and according to their investor relations department they’ll have some clarification news out later this week and a brand new website in mid December.

            It is one of the more interesting turnaround development/production stories that it seems hardly anyone is following. They still have to prove themselves over the next 3-6 months, but it looks really undervalued at present.

            $MNY $SAIDF Montan Mining Trade Resumption press release incorrectly stated that they’ll start cash flowing from operations in Q1 2016 (They meant Q1 2017). Ooops!!!
            Here’s the quote again: “In progressing toward this binding agreement, Montan is advancing due diligence and technical report preparation. The company is satisfied it is on track to complete the acquisition and commence cash flowing operations in Q1 2016,” stated Ian Graham, chief executive officer.

            Regardless – It’s a big milestone for Montan Mining (which hardly anyone is following from what I can tell), and they are a development stage company going into production next year due to that acquisition they just made.

            This may be a sleeper stock until the market wakes up and realizes what they have going on, but I’ve got a position lower than where things are today, and will likely add a little more before they get things ramping up into production in early 2017.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:11 PM

            I like turnaround stories because the market doesnt always react immediately. There are a lot of mining companys out there and you cannot be in them all. I will take a look about Montan Mining. The problem today is that even if you find a good turnaround people cannot be patient and wait for the turnaround to occur. Its hard to sit tight😄
            Today there are few good investors but a lot of bad speculators🤓

            Nov 22, 2016 22:23 PM

            Yes some of the other turnaround stories I like and have posted on before are Nicola Mining, Aurcana, Alexco, Mexus, Jaguar, Scorpio Gold, Argonaut gold, Wellgreen Platinum, Avnel Gold, and Hummingbird Resources.

            I’ll give a little update on Hummingbird while I’m on this train of thought:

            Hummingbird got some good exposure at the Sprott conference earlier this year, but the challenges that Orezone had in their resource estimate and some of the strife in other countries like Burkina Faso and the Congo have investors taking pause again on all African companies (so these companies get a jurisdiction discount).

            This too shall pass, and if you look at the 2 projects that Hummingbird Resources (HUM.L) (HUMRF) have, they definitely have merit and the Yanfolila development is on track and they’re getting ready to go into production by late 2017/early 2018.

            The market got over bearish when they decided to focus on their smaller 2 million ounce Gold project in Mali over the larger 4 million ounce gold resource in Liberia. The marketplace misinterpreted the signal, and threw the baby out with the bathwater.

            There is a strategic reason to go after the lower capex and easier to mine Mali project first, and then the plan is for Hummingbird to take that production revenue to finish developing the Liberia project.

            This audio interview does a great job of giving investors an overview on where they are, and how management is aware of the perception and value gap between reality and where investors education is on their project.

            Yanfolila ‘going as well as I could’ve hoped’, says Hummingbird’s Dan Betts

            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49ytlsgN9EE

            Nov 22, 2016 22:27 PM

            Hummingbird Resources – 4th Quarter Corporate Presentation:

            http://hummingbirdresources.co.uk/_downloads/Hummingbird_Q4_2016_Presentation.pdf

            Nov 22, 2016 22:40 PM

            Yes Hummingbird is a turnaround object for sure. I dont like their sharestructure, to many shares issued. But their project is big and profitable in the long run. I have realized that many african goldminers doesnt take off so easy even if their projects looking good on the paper, Like Avnel, Hum, Abb and others. Hum has a disadvantage to be registered in the London market I think, no tradition for miners.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:46 PM

            I meant Agg African gold group, not ABB.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:51 PM

            You’re spot on Blue on both points. The African miners go from really slow to explosive.

            Think about the perception towards Endeavour Mining, B2Gold, Resolute, or Perseus…..nothing to something in short window of time. Now they are rocking.

            Look at how companies like True Gold, Asanko, and Rox Gold sat there for a while and then suddenly when they near production, they spiked dramatically. True Gold was taken out by Endeavour during that frenzy. Teranga Gold is one of my favorites and they just acquired Gryphon Minerals, who I held as well.

            I see companies like Orezone, Avnel, and Hummingbird, West African Resources, Merrex, Azumah, and Aureus as the next batch of Africa development stories that will start popping in 2017/2018.

            You’re second point about the main barrier to Hummingbird being the London issue has been brought up by others as well. It’s a valid point, and is the same reason Mariana Resources got off to a slow start due to their primary London listing.

            I think quality, value, and execution will reign supreme with Hummingbird, and maybe they’ll get a Canadian listing to access the more mining friendly investor base down the road. For now, I just trade the (HUMRF) ticker.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:56 PM

            The only problem trading it is that all the volume only shows up on certain days, and you need act while the bid/ask is more narrow. I’m near parity on Hummingbird at present due to the swing trading, but if it sells off a bit more in these bearish metals conditions, then I’m about to add much more aggressively and hold that lower cost basis for the medium to longer term as it inevitably will rise as they near production.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:23 PM

            I only trade in Canada, its difficult to trade miners in the American markets to big spread. I traded Hum in London better spread and good volume but bigger transaction cost.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:02 PM

            Yes, if you can trade on the London exchange, that’s definitely the way to do it. I forgot where you based out of. Are you in the UK?

            Nov 22, 2016 22:18 PM

            From Sweden😀

            Nov 22, 2016 22:55 PM

            Nice. It is always helpful to hear perspectives from investors in Europe.

            Nov 25, 2016 25:58 AM

            Montan intends to acquire and restart the Rey Salomon gold
            mine and mill (together the ‘Cerro Dorado Project’) in Peru.

            Cerro Dorado S.A.C. holds the Rey Salomon mine, a fully
            permitted and producing gold mine with a 60 TPD CIP mill
            located 700km south of Lima in the prolific Nazca-Ocoña
            mineral belt of southern Peru.

            The mine has recent recorded sales of:
            1,675 t @ 11.8 g/t Au (since 2102)
            670 t @ 15.23 g/t Au (OFIR shaft development, 2007)

            Shareholders:

            3% Teck Resources
            8% Management
            11% Peru Investors

            *Montan Mining – Corporate Presentation November 2016

            http://montanmining.ca/pdf/MNY%20Presentation%20-%20November%203,%202016.pdf

      Nov 22, 2016 22:16 AM

      You might be missing something that hasn’t happened yet. The markets reflect the future….and not a single metals pumper/shill or charlatan can see it coming….because gold/silver ALWAYS needs to be higher then what the market reality has been…lower.

      “Potential gold-import ban by India could be biggest bombshell since Nixon”

      http://www.marketwatch.com/story/potential-gold-import-ban-by-india-could-be-biggest-bombshell-since-nixon-2016-11-22

        Nov 22, 2016 22:25 AM

        And to think that some folks haven’t yet realized how influenced/effected by such counter-intuitive (aka reality) fake analysis that’s been blathered at them for years that more-or-less has been wayyy off the mark.
        Not…even…close.

        http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/170246#comment-170246

        Where is the accountability for countless blown predictions over the years?
        It’s right here…

        http://www.pmaccountability.com/

        ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
        “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.”
        ~~~~~~~~~~~~~
        Carl Sagan

          Nov 22, 2016 22:36 AM

          DarkPurpleHaze, I saw you post that site http://www.pmaccountability.com a few days back and just wanted to thank you for bringing to our attention. Very interesting….

          Nov 22, 2016 22:45 PM

          As if “pm accountability” is any different than the accountability we can expect of the experts in any other sector. There are mountains of blown predictions littering every sector and emitted by the most credible establishment types. Doesn’t anyone have a problem with those guys? If not, it might be because they promote the fantasies that make the greatest number of people feel good.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:58 PM

            A solid point Matthew. When the general market commentators blow it repeatedly, nobody seems to put them on the drain the swamp lists or guru gut-check lists.

            Look at the freakshow that is Dennis Gartman for goodness sakes. Does that guy ever get any call right? 🙂

            Nov 22, 2016 22:24 PM

            Purple Haze has had it out for Turd for a few years with a couple of pooched calls.

            Notice Craig Hemke aka Turd Furgeson isn’t named on that repeat offenders list.

            Craig doesn’t make many calls, but he gives you the Cartel play by play on a daily basis. $12.00 a month or $119.00 a year to subscribe for daily podcasts with charts at tfmetalsreport.com is well worth the price, to make an informed decision.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:38 PM

            A “couple” of pooched calls…are you serious? Whatever.
            Look under SilverDoctors at the pmaccountibility.com site
            You’ll find it and from what I’m told they’re working on a Turd Ferguson section. Feel better?

            See my reply over in the Avi Gilbert thread.

          DC
          Nov 22, 2016 22:21 PM

          DPH, glad to see you on this board! Always enjoyed your posts over at TF.

          Nov 22, 2016 22:09 PM

          Anyone who still believes that a hike in rates isn’t going to happen or that the USD is going down in flames or that an actual physical shortage in gold and silver (anyday now!) is going to take down the entire western banking system and their govt.’s is either mildly (or wildly) delusional or they’re just peddling nonsense to suck you into their world of FAKE ANALYSIS and wildly speculative doomer scenarios to profit off of.

          Critical thinking requires those that are 100% adament in their viewpoint to consider the uncomfortable exact opposite or somewhere in-between.

          Consider the middle ground and view the pumpers and permabulls with some skepticism. They’ve earned it.
          Accuracy and results of numerous wrong predictions by some can’t help but make you consider why they simplisticly stick to their half-blind cyclops outlook.

          They’re paid (or getting paid) to do so.
          Reality is bad for business.

            GH
            Nov 22, 2016 22:12 PM

            Okay, so we’re clear on what you’re negative on.

            What’s your bullish thesis?

            GH
            Nov 22, 2016 22:29 PM

            Oops, I just saw your answer on another thread.

        b
        Nov 22, 2016 22:06 AM

        I thought that possible gold import ban was funny.
        They could make gold illegal. so much for gold to the moon.

        The risks are huge today, people rarely if ever even consider the banks could close, they forget mf global.

        The chance of a mine caving in is not the biggest risk to investors anymore.
        neither is nationalising the mines, where are governments going to get their gold for any future gold standard?
        The greatest risk is the system itself, the closing of banks and brokers.

        It wouldnt be the first time.

          Nov 22, 2016 22:04 PM

          Hey b.yes I’m a casual poker player but there’s more than 1 wolf playing these days….my point on cow pastures was not meant literally as a comparison.it was similar to the dot.com bubble to which is maybe a better comparison.when everyone is doing it it’s time to get out and it looks like I got lucky and got out at the right time.pot stocks correcting big time last 2 days.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:11 PM

            Wolfster – your point made total sense when you posted about it on the weekend show.

            Bubbles form and everything in a sector goes up at once (you mentioned the Dot coms, the REEs, and Lithium stocks as examples). Then bubbles pop, then regroup, then the quality names emerge for the longer term.

            That was the same point the pundits on the BNN show were making, and that Chris Parry was making in his Weed Bubble article. There are good Canadian names that will keep going even “higher” as the initiatives for Recreational legal granting get closer to fruition. However, there are many companies value at insane levels right now that are not worthy of those valuations and some that have a questionable existance 2-3 years out. There are other more stable companies in the space, and many of them were covered in those BNN segments posted on the weekend show.

            Wolfster – Thanks for being a positive voice of reason here on the KER.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:26 PM

            Thanks Ex.I appreciate your input immensely and am very appreciative of everyone’s info here and am extremely fortunate to have stumbled upon this great site.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:58 PM

            Yes sir. A great forum of ideas from everyone. Lots of things to mull over for consideration on the KER.

            b
            Nov 22, 2016 22:15 PM

            Glad ya made some coin Wolf.

            They are volatile.
            Great trading if ya stay on top of them.

            A sector can go up together, like PMs with the price of PMs, but these potshares are going up together because they are profitable and expanding. Future profit will be huge.

            GH
            Nov 22, 2016 22:32 PM

            I think potshares peaked about 3 weeks ago, for the time being.

            GH
            Nov 22, 2016 22:34 PM

            But I do think you may be right, longer term. Gerald Celente seems to agree in his latest youtube with Greg Hunter. He also rips Hillary voters in a most satisfying way–voting for a known war monger is inexcusable.

    Nov 22, 2016 22:47 AM

    (ELD)(EGO) Eldorado Gold officially out of China
    Cecilia Jamasmie | about 7 hours ago

    Company has finished selling all of its assets in Asia’s richest nation.

    http://www.mining.com/eldorado-gold-officially-out-of-china/

      Nov 22, 2016 22:39 PM

      Wow – now that’s my kind of Home Warming Welcome Basket!

        Nov 22, 2016 22:49 PM

        There will not be much left when the french get their calculator out.

        45% + 3 years back taxes should wipe it out. Armstrong said the hunt for money was on.

        But the real winner could be the taxman, La Depeche said.

        Apart from being liable for a 45-percent inheritance tax, the finder will also have to pay three years in back taxes on it if the deceased failed to declare his treasures.

          Nov 22, 2016 22:53 PM

          Yep, I would have been like this guy if I found a trove like that !!

          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UmzsWxPLIOo

            Nov 22, 2016 22:00 PM

            Ha! funny Skeeta.

            DC
            Nov 22, 2016 22:40 PM

            lol — E X A C T L Y !!!

          GH
          Nov 22, 2016 22:41 PM

          He never should have reported his find.

            Nov 22, 2016 22:59 PM

            Sad but true. If the inheritance tax wasn’t flat out robbery, then it wouldn’t be that way.

            GH
            Nov 22, 2016 22:15 PM

            If it’s not inheritance tax, then it’s just plain flat out robbery, at least in my neck of the woods in South America.

            Nov 23, 2016 23:02 AM

            I forgot you were in South America GH. What country are you in?

            We have such an interesting global cross-section here on the KER. Refreshing!

            GH
            Nov 23, 2016 23:16 AM

            Lost in the middle of the continent, between the mountains and the jungle, in a place called Macondo ;).

            GH
            Nov 23, 2016 23:46 AM

            If I were to tell you, the local authorities would come looking for my hidden treasure, ;-).

            I knew an American old timer here, a gem cutter and prospector. He claimed his best find ever was claim-jumped by a government official. Which would be the obvious thing to expect here. It was a pegmatite with huge crystals, I think aquamarine or tourmaline.

            Nov 23, 2016 23:12 AM

            Ah Macondo – 100 years of solitude.

            I believe that was based on Colombia. Right? 🙂

            Nov 23, 2016 23:33 AM

            I’m guessing Brazil or Bolivia.

            Nov 23, 2016 23:04 AM

            Yes, I am guessing Brazil as well, but the book – “100 years of Solitude” imaginary city (Macondo) was based off the author’s life experience growing up in Aracataca, Colombia.

    Nov 22, 2016 22:51 PM

    Regarding “experts” continually getting it wrong. Always note how they use the words and terms: probably, likely, may or may not, possibly, usually, nearly always, etc etc. Its the classics hedge ya bet each way so you are covered for any outcome, ya reputation remains intack and therefore you arnt accountable for anything previously stated. Instead of this fence sitting, just once, put ya money where ya mouth is. Its better to be wrong and admit it, rather than be deceitful and claim unequivocal transparency and honesty. Some of these experts are becoming storytellers.

    b
    Nov 23, 2016 23:01 AM

    Modern alchemy: Russian scientists discover how to extract gold from coal

    https://www.rt.com/news/367821-coal-gold-technology-russia/

    I guess its about 1 gpt.

    b
    Nov 23, 2016 23:12 AM

    gold below 1190, 1140 comes into play I would imagine, we break that and 900 becomes possible.
    Heck, great time to buy.
    PMs getting hit, potshares up and excellent trading, for now anyway. lol

    Maybe gold is hit because the russians figured out they can produce an unlimited quantity now? (As if there wasnt enough above ground already.)
    I wonder what that is going to do to the price long term.

      Nov 23, 2016 23:18 AM

      The pot shares are dead cat bouncing as the bagholders cling to hope. Smart pot speculators are plowing their recent wins into the miners and welcoming the chance to do so at such favorable prices. The rest, of course, are just happy to point out which one is having a better day, lol…

      http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MJNA&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=13&id=p87070411465

        b
        Nov 23, 2016 23:53 AM

        Still havin a hard time catching on eh Mathew?

          Nov 23, 2016 23:24 AM

          Not in the least, genius. 😉

            b
            Nov 23, 2016 23:35 AM

            Your funny, trading potshares have paid me about 30% today. (already)(and Im a lousy trader) Deadcat or not.
            All the while my goldshare list has plummeted. (cheaper shares)
            Are we not just prior to tax loss selling season?

            Potshares have been a good place to be while waiting for goldshares to move.

            b
            Nov 23, 2016 23:38 AM

            Just an opinion, but being hypnotized buy shiny might not actually be the most profitable thinking.

            Nov 23, 2016 23:51 AM

            That sounds reasonable for a guy who doesn’t know much. Good job!

    Nov 23, 2016 23:40 AM

    A Cash Ban is Coming to the US
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-22/cash-ban-coming-us

    I think this article is true but heck, they don’t even need to ban cash. Just gradually take the hundred out of circulation and let inflation do the rest.