Remaining in the Bullish Camp for T-Bonds and the USD
Rick is with us today to discuss how he is feeling about his long term bullish stance on the USD and T-Bonds. For a long time Rick has been saying the USD will reach 120. Now that we are above 101 there are more commentators shifting to his side. Rick provides his reasons why the USD will one day reach 120 which also relate to why he remains in the bullish camp for T-Bonds.
Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show
German Government Votes to Ban Internal Combustion Engines by 2030
BY BOB SOROKANICH – OCT 8, 2016
Members of the German government have just passed a resolution to ban the sale of internal combustion engines in the European Union by 2030. Only zero-emissions vehicles would be allowed on the market after that time, according to the resolution.
Canada to fully phase out Coal Power by 2030
Cecilia Jamasmie | a day ago
http://www.mining.com/canada-to-fully-phase-out-coal-power-by-2030/
Trump says he will withdraw U.S. from Pacific trade deal
The Boston Globe The Boston Globe – Jaclyn Reiss -13 hrs ago
“On energy, I will cancel job-killing restrictions on the production of American energy – including shale energy and clean coal – creating many millions of high-paying jobs. That’s what we want, that’s what we’ve been waiting for.” – Trump
Oil prices little changed after early gains on OPEC deal hopes
Reuters 1 hour 27 minutes ago
https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/oil-prices-rise-anticipation-planned-011622876.html
Is it just me who sees Impact Silver IPT as a gift today at 0.60 cad????
Or Im I missing something??
Impact put out their quarterly release yesterday and this is likely responsible for the move down today. In addition, Silver miners have still been under pressure this morning.
___________________________________________________________________________
IMPACT Silver Announces Third Quarter 2016 Financial and Production Results
November 21, 2016 – (IPT)
http://www.impactsilver.com/i/pdf/2016-11-21-nr-ipt-24yvfa.pdf
I still think its a buying opportunity as much as Avinos who is well oversold today!!
Agreed that both are on sale, and longer term both Impact Silver and Avino Silver and Gold are solid and heading much higher in 2017, 2018, 2019……
Ex, what are you byuing these days? Or just watching? Im buying Redstar gold RGC, pending news drillholes anyday now. warrants at 0,12 cad expire at 27 nov. So next week i want to be into this stock for real😀
http://www.theaureport.com/pub/na/redstar-waits-for-drill-results
http://smallcappower.com/expert-articles/gold-juniors-results-171116/
We dont know if 1200 gold will hold, if 16 silver breaks it could drop to 10.
That will make ipt @ 60 look expensive.
But, its always a good time to buy and its to the moon any day now.
b, you never now, but if you have a positiv longterm view on the metals you could buy a small portion on the dip,😉
Sure Blue, why not?
Metals will move up eventually.
Hi Blue – I’ve been mostly watching this week, but have done a few trades on partial positions in the Silver, Gold, PGM, Zinc, Copper, Uranium, and Lithium space throughout October and November (mostly small producers, development stage companies, and Explorers, although there are some prospect generators & royalty companies in the mix as well).
In addition, I’ve been debating trading the Oil ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, as well as following some stocks in the Agricultural markets, but have held off on those at present trying to size up what will happen in Dec/Jan.
Yes, I’ve been watching the Exploration news and articles out about Redstar Gold with great interest. There are a few good drill plays lately like IDM mining today, or Aton Resources and Nighthhawk Gold recently. but most of the drill results the last few months have been slightly underwhelming on companies many follow like Colorado Resources, Otis Gold, Sirios Resources, Battle Mountain Gold, Moneta Porcupine, etc… I’m still waiting to see how the drill results go for Northern Shield over at their Sequoi target, and the remaining assays back from Teuton Resources on some of their drilling.
I’m not as up to speed on all the exploration drill plays but use CEO and the news outlets to keep tabs on those.
My main focus is the small producers and development stage companies that are very undervalued still or have pulled back by 30-50% and are offering good value here. and that is where most of my investing focus is in the resources (too many to list off).
For the most part with Gold & Silver I’m watching to see if $1180 holds, of if we go back down to test the Dec 2015 lows for a double bottom as many have postulated may play out. If we do go down and get near that $1045 level (maybe $20-$30 above it, I’ll likely deploy dry powder in the names I like).
Blue – may you do well in your investing as always. Cheers!
All the best whith
MTF had a good post on CEO about a half hour ago on the American Creek, Tudor Gold, Teuton Resources JV worth re-posting here:
@Markedtofuture – “$AMK $TUD $TUO “The Electrum property is one of the 7 wonders of the world” That was one of the quotes in a CEO Round Table Discussion made by Tudor Golds VP of Exploration Ray Marks. It was accompanied by other quotes such as:
“The mineralization on that property…….I’ve been on a lot of properties in Central and South America, Mexico, Canada and I have never, ever seen anything to top this”
In the interview Mr. Marks discusses the progress made on the Treaty Creek and Electrum properties and gives us an idea of what to expect in 2017. You can listen to the interview by clicking here and skip ahead to the 9:12 mark.
Thanks, Ex? for a very nice replay as always, very informativ😄
Hope you have a lot of success in your investing🍻
Always glad to share ideas Blue. If there are any specific stocks you think it would be good to review, beyond Redstar gold, then please post on them. Nobody can follow all the hundreds and hundreds of mining companies, but if a unique opportunity is setting up then let’s hash it out.
For example, I posted on the Market Wrap yesterday about the development stage company Montan Mining, and about them moving into production in early 2017. They’re in the middle of transition from being a mess to being a success. They just switched out members of the management team, did a capital raise and made a key acquisition. They just came off trading halt today, and according to their investor relations department they’ll have some clarification news out later this week and a brand new website in mid December.
It is one of the more interesting turnaround development/production stories that it seems hardly anyone is following. They still have to prove themselves over the next 3-6 months, but it looks really undervalued at present.
$MNY $SAIDF Montan Mining Trade Resumption press release incorrectly stated that they’ll start cash flowing from operations in Q1 2016 (They meant Q1 2017). Ooops!!!
Here’s the quote again: “In progressing toward this binding agreement, Montan is advancing due diligence and technical report preparation. The company is satisfied it is on track to complete the acquisition and commence cash flowing operations in Q1 2016,” stated Ian Graham, chief executive officer.
Regardless – It’s a big milestone for Montan Mining (which hardly anyone is following from what I can tell), and they are a development stage company going into production next year due to that acquisition they just made.
This may be a sleeper stock until the market wakes up and realizes what they have going on, but I’ve got a position lower than where things are today, and will likely add a little more before they get things ramping up into production in early 2017.
I like turnaround stories because the market doesnt always react immediately. There are a lot of mining companys out there and you cannot be in them all. I will take a look about Montan Mining. The problem today is that even if you find a good turnaround people cannot be patient and wait for the turnaround to occur. Its hard to sit tight😄
Today there are few good investors but a lot of bad speculators🤓
Yes some of the other turnaround stories I like and have posted on before are Nicola Mining, Aurcana, Alexco, Mexus, Jaguar, Scorpio Gold, Argonaut gold, Wellgreen Platinum, Avnel Gold, and Hummingbird Resources.
I’ll give a little update on Hummingbird while I’m on this train of thought:
Hummingbird got some good exposure at the Sprott conference earlier this year, but the challenges that Orezone had in their resource estimate and some of the strife in other countries like Burkina Faso and the Congo have investors taking pause again on all African companies (so these companies get a jurisdiction discount).
This too shall pass, and if you look at the 2 projects that Hummingbird Resources (HUM.L) (HUMRF) have, they definitely have merit and the Yanfolila development is on track and they’re getting ready to go into production by late 2017/early 2018.
The market got over bearish when they decided to focus on their smaller 2 million ounce Gold project in Mali over the larger 4 million ounce gold resource in Liberia. The marketplace misinterpreted the signal, and threw the baby out with the bathwater.
There is a strategic reason to go after the lower capex and easier to mine Mali project first, and then the plan is for Hummingbird to take that production revenue to finish developing the Liberia project.
This audio interview does a great job of giving investors an overview on where they are, and how management is aware of the perception and value gap between reality and where investors education is on their project.
Yanfolila ‘going as well as I could’ve hoped’, says Hummingbird’s Dan Betts
Hummingbird Resources – 4th Quarter Corporate Presentation:
http://hummingbirdresources.co.uk/_downloads/Hummingbird_Q4_2016_Presentation.pdf
Yes Hummingbird is a turnaround object for sure. I dont like their sharestructure, to many shares issued. But their project is big and profitable in the long run. I have realized that many african goldminers doesnt take off so easy even if their projects looking good on the paper, Like Avnel, Hum, Abb and others. Hum has a disadvantage to be registered in the London market I think, no tradition for miners.
I meant Agg African gold group, not ABB.
You’re spot on Blue on both points. The African miners go from really slow to explosive.
Think about the perception towards Endeavour Mining, B2Gold, Resolute, or Perseus…..nothing to something in short window of time. Now they are rocking.
Look at how companies like True Gold, Asanko, and Rox Gold sat there for a while and then suddenly when they near production, they spiked dramatically. True Gold was taken out by Endeavour during that frenzy. Teranga Gold is one of my favorites and they just acquired Gryphon Minerals, who I held as well.
I see companies like Orezone, Avnel, and Hummingbird, West African Resources, Merrex, Azumah, and Aureus as the next batch of Africa development stories that will start popping in 2017/2018.
You’re second point about the main barrier to Hummingbird being the London issue has been brought up by others as well. It’s a valid point, and is the same reason Mariana Resources got off to a slow start due to their primary London listing.
I think quality, value, and execution will reign supreme with Hummingbird, and maybe they’ll get a Canadian listing to access the more mining friendly investor base down the road. For now, I just trade the (HUMRF) ticker.
The only problem trading it is that all the volume only shows up on certain days, and you need act while the bid/ask is more narrow. I’m near parity on Hummingbird at present due to the swing trading, but if it sells off a bit more in these bearish metals conditions, then I’m about to add much more aggressively and hold that lower cost basis for the medium to longer term as it inevitably will rise as they near production.
I only trade in Canada, its difficult to trade miners in the American markets to big spread. I traded Hum in London better spread and good volume but bigger transaction cost.
Yes, if you can trade on the London exchange, that’s definitely the way to do it. I forgot where you based out of. Are you in the UK?
From Sweden😀
Nice. It is always helpful to hear perspectives from investors in Europe.
Montan intends to acquire and restart the Rey Salomon gold
mine and mill (together the ‘Cerro Dorado Project’) in Peru.
Cerro Dorado S.A.C. holds the Rey Salomon mine, a fully
permitted and producing gold mine with a 60 TPD CIP mill
located 700km south of Lima in the prolific Nazca-Ocoña
mineral belt of southern Peru.
The mine has recent recorded sales of:
1,675 t @ 11.8 g/t Au (since 2102)
670 t @ 15.23 g/t Au (OFIR shaft development, 2007)
Shareholders:
3% Teck Resources
8% Management
11% Peru Investors
*Montan Mining – Corporate Presentation November 2016
http://montanmining.ca/pdf/MNY%20Presentation%20-%20November%203,%202016.pdf
You might be missing something that hasn’t happened yet. The markets reflect the future….and not a single metals pumper/shill or charlatan can see it coming….because gold/silver ALWAYS needs to be higher then what the market reality has been…lower.
“Potential gold-import ban by India could be biggest bombshell since Nixon”
And to think that some folks haven’t yet realized how influenced/effected by such counter-intuitive (aka reality) fake analysis that’s been blathered at them for years that more-or-less has been wayyy off the mark.
Not…even…close.
http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/170246#comment-170246
Where is the accountability for countless blown predictions over the years?
It’s right here…
http://www.pmaccountability.com/
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.”
~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Carl Sagan
DarkPurpleHaze, I saw you post that site http://www.pmaccountability.com a few days back and just wanted to thank you for bringing to our attention. Very interesting….
You’re welcome.
As if “pm accountability” is any different than the accountability we can expect of the experts in any other sector. There are mountains of blown predictions littering every sector and emitted by the most credible establishment types. Doesn’t anyone have a problem with those guys? If not, it might be because they promote the fantasies that make the greatest number of people feel good.
A solid point Matthew. When the general market commentators blow it repeatedly, nobody seems to put them on the drain the swamp lists or guru gut-check lists.
Look at the freakshow that is Dennis Gartman for goodness sakes. Does that guy ever get any call right? 🙂
Purple Haze has had it out for Turd for a few years with a couple of pooched calls.
Notice Craig Hemke aka Turd Furgeson isn’t named on that repeat offenders list.
Craig doesn’t make many calls, but he gives you the Cartel play by play on a daily basis. $12.00 a month or $119.00 a year to subscribe for daily podcasts with charts at tfmetalsreport.com is well worth the price, to make an informed decision.
A “couple” of pooched calls…are you serious? Whatever.
Look under SilverDoctors at the pmaccountibility.com site
You’ll find it and from what I’m told they’re working on a Turd Ferguson section. Feel better?
See my reply over in the Avi Gilbert thread.
DPH, glad to see you on this board! Always enjoyed your posts over at TF.
DC, thank you.
Anyone who still believes that a hike in rates isn’t going to happen or that the USD is going down in flames or that an actual physical shortage in gold and silver (anyday now!) is going to take down the entire western banking system and their govt.’s is either mildly (or wildly) delusional or they’re just peddling nonsense to suck you into their world of FAKE ANALYSIS and wildly speculative doomer scenarios to profit off of.
Critical thinking requires those that are 100% adament in their viewpoint to consider the uncomfortable exact opposite or somewhere in-between.
Consider the middle ground and view the pumpers and permabulls with some skepticism. They’ve earned it.
Accuracy and results of numerous wrong predictions by some can’t help but make you consider why they simplisticly stick to their half-blind cyclops outlook.
They’re paid (or getting paid) to do so.
Reality is bad for business.
Okay, so we’re clear on what you’re negative on.
What’s your bullish thesis?
Oops, I just saw your answer on another thread.
I thought that possible gold import ban was funny.
They could make gold illegal. so much for gold to the moon.
The risks are huge today, people rarely if ever even consider the banks could close, they forget mf global.
The chance of a mine caving in is not the biggest risk to investors anymore.
neither is nationalising the mines, where are governments going to get their gold for any future gold standard?
The greatest risk is the system itself, the closing of banks and brokers.
It wouldnt be the first time.
Hey b.yes I’m a casual poker player but there’s more than 1 wolf playing these days….my point on cow pastures was not meant literally as a comparison.it was similar to the dot.com bubble to which is maybe a better comparison.when everyone is doing it it’s time to get out and it looks like I got lucky and got out at the right time.pot stocks correcting big time last 2 days.
Wolfster – your point made total sense when you posted about it on the weekend show.
Bubbles form and everything in a sector goes up at once (you mentioned the Dot coms, the REEs, and Lithium stocks as examples). Then bubbles pop, then regroup, then the quality names emerge for the longer term.
That was the same point the pundits on the BNN show were making, and that Chris Parry was making in his Weed Bubble article. There are good Canadian names that will keep going even “higher” as the initiatives for Recreational legal granting get closer to fruition. However, there are many companies value at insane levels right now that are not worthy of those valuations and some that have a questionable existance 2-3 years out. There are other more stable companies in the space, and many of them were covered in those BNN segments posted on the weekend show.
Wolfster – Thanks for being a positive voice of reason here on the KER.
Thanks Ex.I appreciate your input immensely and am very appreciative of everyone’s info here and am extremely fortunate to have stumbled upon this great site.
Yes sir. A great forum of ideas from everyone. Lots of things to mull over for consideration on the KER.
Glad ya made some coin Wolf.
They are volatile.
Great trading if ya stay on top of them.
A sector can go up together, like PMs with the price of PMs, but these potshares are going up together because they are profitable and expanding. Future profit will be huge.
I think potshares peaked about 3 weeks ago, for the time being.
But I do think you may be right, longer term. Gerald Celente seems to agree in his latest youtube with Greg Hunter. He also rips Hillary voters in a most satisfying way–voting for a known war monger is inexcusable.
(ELD)(EGO) Eldorado Gold officially out of China
Cecilia Jamasmie | about 7 hours ago
Company has finished selling all of its assets in Asia’s richest nation.
http://www.mining.com/eldorado-gold-officially-out-of-china/
Landslide kills 13 as diggers invade Freeport mine in Congo: governor
Reuters – WORLD NEWS | Mon Nov 21, 2016
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-congo-mining-idUSKBN13G1WA
Polemic around Canadian firm’s gold project in Ireland heats up
Cecilia Jamasmie | about 7 hours ago
“Dalradian Resources $DNA $DALR.L is having a rough time with locals involved in consultations these days, with dozens walking out of a meeting Monday.”
http://www.mining.com/polemic-around-canadian-firms-gold-project-in-ireland-heats-up/
EX….Those Leprechauns don’t like competition……..hehe
Leprechaun in Mobile
Alabama News Report – Mar 23, 2013
“People in Mobile, Alabama gather around a tree, to see, what they say is a Leprechaun. Where da gold at! I want the GOLD!”
There is another Irish company “Playfair Mining” (PLY) (PLYFF) that many investors are excited about as well. There’s been a lot of chatter on this one recently:
http://www.playfairmining.com/s/Home.asp
IrishT – we may need to send you on a mine visit to scope it out!
Wow – now that’s my kind of Home Warming Welcome Basket!
There will not be much left when the french get their calculator out.
45% + 3 years back taxes should wipe it out. Armstrong said the hunt for money was on.
But the real winner could be the taxman, La Depeche said.
Apart from being liable for a 45-percent inheritance tax, the finder will also have to pay three years in back taxes on it if the deceased failed to declare his treasures.
Yep, I would have been like this guy if I found a trove like that !!
Ha! funny Skeeta.
lol — E X A C T L Y !!!
He never should have reported his find.
Sad but true. If the inheritance tax wasn’t flat out robbery, then it wouldn’t be that way.
If it’s not inheritance tax, then it’s just plain flat out robbery, at least in my neck of the woods in South America.
I forgot you were in South America GH. What country are you in?
We have such an interesting global cross-section here on the KER. Refreshing!
Lost in the middle of the continent, between the mountains and the jungle, in a place called Macondo ;).
If I were to tell you, the local authorities would come looking for my hidden treasure, ;-).
I knew an American old timer here, a gem cutter and prospector. He claimed his best find ever was claim-jumped by a government official. Which would be the obvious thing to expect here. It was a pegmatite with huge crystals, I think aquamarine or tourmaline.
Ah Macondo – 100 years of solitude.
I believe that was based on Colombia. Right? 🙂
I’m guessing Brazil or Bolivia.
Yes, I am guessing Brazil as well, but the book – “100 years of Solitude” imaginary city (Macondo) was based off the author’s life experience growing up in Aracataca, Colombia.
Regarding “experts” continually getting it wrong. Always note how they use the words and terms: probably, likely, may or may not, possibly, usually, nearly always, etc etc. Its the classics hedge ya bet each way so you are covered for any outcome, ya reputation remains intack and therefore you arnt accountable for anything previously stated. Instead of this fence sitting, just once, put ya money where ya mouth is. Its better to be wrong and admit it, rather than be deceitful and claim unequivocal transparency and honesty. Some of these experts are becoming storytellers.
Gee an article from me about zinc . shocking
http://news.metal.com/newscontent/100711367/where-will-zinc-prices-head-in-medium-term-smm-reports
Modern alchemy: Russian scientists discover how to extract gold from coal
https://www.rt.com/news/367821-coal-gold-technology-russia/
I guess its about 1 gpt.
gold below 1190, 1140 comes into play I would imagine, we break that and 900 becomes possible.
Heck, great time to buy.
PMs getting hit, potshares up and excellent trading, for now anyway. lol
Maybe gold is hit because the russians figured out they can produce an unlimited quantity now? (As if there wasnt enough above ground already.)
I wonder what that is going to do to the price long term.
The pot shares are dead cat bouncing as the bagholders cling to hope. Smart pot speculators are plowing their recent wins into the miners and welcoming the chance to do so at such favorable prices. The rest, of course, are just happy to point out which one is having a better day, lol…
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MJNA&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=13&id=p87070411465
Still havin a hard time catching on eh Mathew?
Not in the least, genius. 😉
Your funny, trading potshares have paid me about 30% today. (already)(and Im a lousy trader) Deadcat or not.
All the while my goldshare list has plummeted. (cheaper shares)
Are we not just prior to tax loss selling season?
Potshares have been a good place to be while waiting for goldshares to move.
Just an opinion, but being hypnotized buy shiny might not actually be the most profitable thinking.
That sounds reasonable for a guy who doesn’t know much. Good job!
A Cash Ban is Coming to the US
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-22/cash-ban-coming-us
I think this article is true but heck, they don’t even need to ban cash. Just gradually take the hundred out of circulation and let inflation do the rest.
Oil to stay more valuable than Renewables even if prices never recover, says HSBC
November 22, 2016
http://www.thenational.ae/business/energy/oil-to-stay-more-valuable-than-renewables-even-if-prices-never-recover-says-hsbc