History says February is the worst month for stocks after an election
Rick Ackerman kicks off today with comments on the fall in the US markets. Rick bring sup a stat that says February is historically the worst month after an election. This brings up the question, where would the money flow if the Dow and S&P move down heavily? Listen in to what Rick has to say.
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Yep.Yep.Yep.
I’m watching it closely. Seems to have backed off a bit…
Perhaps Trumpton will open his mouth and insert his foot after lunch and make us some $.
It was just getting to calm out there, and I knew it was only a matter of time until the worry about the new administration’s policies got other countries and markets in a flutter. The seas are about to get choppier.
to = tooooooo
🌊🚣
My fear of Rick’s forecast with bonds going up/interest down brings up the question of negative rates eventually showing up in this country. That’s far more spookier to me than Trump’s terrorists that he is protecting us from. JMO
At about 11:50 as I type, it looks like investors are stumbling over themselves trying to buy the dip again. Personally I think they’re picking up nickels in front of a steam roller but, who am I?
+1
Market peaks happen when confidence peaks.
Fundamentally the market is looking forward to the FOMC meeting.
Probably in anticipation of an interest rate raise.
An interest rate rise should not occur unless Yellen decides to sabotage the Trump Presidency for party political reasons.
Good point. It will be interesting to see what happens mid week.
Matt and bob,
I really enjoyed your back and for the conversation regarding the gold/silver ratio. It was very informative and educational. You both brought out valid points. Those types of conversations are what keeps me coming back into the den. They maybe simple things but yet it’s refreshing to see that those charts you use matt and those cycles you like bob truly help everyone when making sound decisions.
Bob or anyone else can you explain to me how you play your ratio, meaning how or what vechicle do you use when buying and selling gold. I’m under the assumption you were talking physical metal when discussing with matt.
Hi Glenfidish, I don’t know about Bob, but I mostly apply the GSR (or SGR) to long term trading of physical metal but using the ETFs like GLD and SLV makes sense too for shorter term trades since it is both easier and cheaper.
Silver is the better bargain right now.
Thanks Matt for clarifying!
Like the picking up nickels in front of the steam-roller… I was momentarily tempted with half a dozen copper and biotech stocks… but, nah… This could be a 200 point rally by the close or a 600 point drop tomrrow…
Or am I crazy?
Not that crazy 🙂
VOLATILITY S&P 500 (^VIX)
12.53 up +1.95 (+18.43% gain)