Key Features in the Long Term Gold Chart
The long term (monthly) chart has some very encouraging signs for the future of the gold market. Doc and I discuss the technical indicators that have our interest and how these play into the longer-term moves for gold.
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Here is the downtrend line that we think will be broken this year. This will be huge positive for the market!
Well this week ends tomorrow as the markets on closed on Friday, but Gold is currently at $1286.60 so it’s pretty dang close to the $1290’s already.
Here is a technician on ceo.ca that believes this 5 year old trend-line (mentioned in the Editorial up above with Doc & Cory) will get broken. We shall see…..
@ylr – “Gold is about to break a 5 years old trend line on the monthly chart. I highly believe it will happen given the current situation in Syria along with the imminent market correction. RSI is over 50, STO BUY. Upcoming 10/50 sma golden cross”
Portfolio: Why I bought more shares of Dolly Varden Silver (DV)
The Hedgeless Horseman – April 11, 2017
http://www.thehedgelesshorseman.com/gold-silver-stocks/portfolio-bought-shares-dolly-varden-silver/
Hi Shad:
Nice article and thanks for the post.
Also not mentioned in the article D.V will be flying their Big Bulk project with VTEM in May,5 km east of the Dolly Varden project.
Also note page #4 under market comparables where Kootenay is valued at .46 per ounce.
Hey JohnK,
Yes good points on the May VTEM and the Kootenay Silver comparables.
I’m enjoying the posts from The Hedgeless Horesman and he’s been putting up some good content over at ceo.ca.
Here’s a snapshot of his portfolio and he has Kootenay Silver in the mix like a wise speculator π
*Horsemanβs portfolio – Below is the current precious metal miners portfolio (Descending weighting):
Novo Resources
Orca Gold
Golden Arrow Resources
Dolly Varden Silver
Kootenay Silver
Cordoba Minerals
Goldquest Mining
Southern Silver Exploration
Sandspring Resources
Timberline Resources
Americas Silver
Fiore Exploration
Kaizen Resources
Sarama Resources
Impact Silver
Sage Gold
Kirkland Lake
Just started to get up to speed on impact silver after it was suggested I look at it
Impact Silver is one of my favorite Silver mining stocks, and I had followed it for a while, but we all need to thank Matthew for his work pointing out not just the technical strengths, but also the huge Exploration upside that they have with thousands of old artisinal mine workings peppered all over their district scale land package. As always, THANKS Matthew for all that you share with us here at the KER.
In addition, they are one of the smaller Jr Producers that have nice upside leverage to rising Silver prices because of the effect this has on their margins and revenues on a percentage basis.
(IPT) Impact Silver also has some of the highest Silver grades in that sector, like Alexco, Excellon, and Brixton. These high grade smaller Jr Silver stocks are going to make a fortune as Silver prices get up in the $20s…..
I only got positioned in Impact mid way through the 2016 bull run in the Silver stocks, because initially my orders didn’t get filled and this stock just ran away from me, but on one of the pullbacks I decided to the plunge and got in on some of the action. In the second half of 2016 I started swing trading it to lower my cost basis, and went in heavier during tax loss selling season near year’s end. I did trim back some in February, but started adding back in mid March. I still anticipate Impact being one of the better performers in this PM bull market over the next few years.
Wolfster – make sure to check out Matthews IPT chart down below as well. If the metals stay strong it looks poised for a break out.
Thanks Ex…same guy told me to look at gzz at .13 and aug when it was $1
I am a fan of DV as well Ex. Thanks for the link!
It would be great to get Gary Cope on the show sometime for an update, as I believe he is a friend of the KER community.
Doc thought you were looking for gold to test 1160 area by summer, is this still your view??
paul, still possible–what really bothers me is the lousy reaction of most of the stocks to this move by the bullion. The other issue is the large short position by the commercials. However, I continue to purchase certain stocks.
Big spike after hours……..first time in months……. gold looking good….
Gold – $1284.50 (a close far above Rick Ackerman’s $1279.80 target from earlier in the week, it sounds like he’ll be constructive moving forward).
Silver – $18.44 (not too shabby for the miners extracting their Silver equivalent ounces at $10-$12)
All in all another positive day in the Precious Metals.
next target for Gold @ $1297.40….. (as per Rick A.).
looks like it still wants to move higher………up another $2plus
I am not a technical Analyst, so I will be happy with $1292-3, followed by a consolidation period.
just for marketing ……we need $1300…….
I’m just happy that Gold didn’t sink to $1145 like some thought it would during the low sentiment about a month ago, and that it actually broke through the $1255, $1260, $1265 resistance that so many different technical analysts and pundits had bench-marked. Again, there were very few “experts” calling for higher gold prices, and thus the yellow metal continues to climb a wall of worry and catch most resources investors while they were piling into cash (without resources). A glorious day in the PM space, and a valuable lesson from Mr. Market.
The fact that Gold is up around $1283.60 here in after hours is much stronger than most were anticipating, and it’s unlikely many investors in gold will want to go into this long weekend, with all that’s going on with extreme short positions in Gold or Silver. Hopefully this is working out nicely for those Silver Shorts π
I like Matthew’s chart below……….on GOLD
I had a possible $1145 downside target on gold from a well established pattern, which would reach the same line on my chart as the Dec 2016 $1124 low. That is the BASE line for the bullish move, the absolute bottom possible for it still to be bullish at all.
However I thought a move above another chart line at $1250 would potentially be bullish. We had two short moves to $1263/1264 but they did not hold. I then looked for a move above $1264 and now we have it.
See bottom two charts here:
http://1000gold.blogspot.co.uk/2017/03/1145-gold-target-still-in-play-despite.html
I think the $1145 line is starting to look a long way down now though still not impossible if summer doldrums kick in. I think there is a chance here for there to be a Jim Sinclair style power uptrend move in gold on breaking back into my black pitchfork, essentially a wave 3 up perhaps you might call it.
On the secular bear market question, I think probably this bull market will hold on balance and $1045 was likely the low (I hope!)
sliverbug dave – Thanks for updating us on those targets and I agree that $1045 was the cyclical low and that we are still in the secular Bull market for Gold.
Much appreciated.
Need that 1307…………..but, yellen is looking and that is going to be a strain……
usawatchdog……..with greg mannorino has some great info on the fedsters….
Cory…..write a letter to McCain……..
Do you think he will listen to a Canadian π
You have a better chance than an American. π
π
SLV/silver looks great:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SLV&p=W&yr=6&mn=7&dy=0&id=p06291606896&a=513702030
nice break above for SLV…..
Looks like it’s time for Silver and the Silver miners to get their groove on.
I agree. IPT was very well-bid today and ready to break out. That’s a good sign.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=IPT.V&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=13&id=p45787546728&a=517725786
+1
Perhaps while I’m being told to start looking at it and the time is soon but not yet my buddy is dipping his toes in..lol….thanks Matthew..appreciate the ta side of things..my skills are rudimentary at best when it comes down to it
Wolfster, when it comes to taking a large position in a junior miner, I look at a lot more than the technicals.
IPT is my favorite silver junior because of its fantastic exploration upside and its competent and conservative management. It is also very nice that the company is cash flow positive and is able to fund most of its activities without issuing new shares.
Thanks again. π
Gold is acting the way I wanted it to:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24GOLD&p=D&yr=1&mn=5&dy=22&id=p60096964081&a=496083091
Break on through to the other side…….
That chart does look nice……..jmo
That’s because it IS nice. π
I will have to admit……….the best chart I have seen in months……no joke… π
that was to Matthew…….I will look at your chart later…EX…… π
OK……nice sign……….. π
I gotcha OOTB and agree Gold has responded well lately.
$1286.60 at present. Since I only posted a sign before, here’s a live spot price chart:
π
The yen looks superb.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24XJY&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p33103892570&a=517987082
Street talk……..there are some suppliers going out of business…..gold coin suppliers..they do not have the supply to ship to buyers……..
heard that from two dealers this week………
The loonie also had a good day and the intraday bull-bear battle was a bit like a cage fight.
The leader of the bulls is in the red trunks:
16 months in to the bull market in gold. Well OK but in the 1980s and 1990s there were major rallies in gold, 1982-1983 and 1986-1987 approximately. They were cyclical bull markets within a secular bear market. This is still possible for the current move.
However, tna $154 low in gold and the 15.6 low in silver late last year look like good correction lows within a still existing uptrend.
The bullish bias to gold may come from the fact that gold has performed reasnably well with the USDX dollar index over 100 (strong dollar). In fact the whole gold and silver upmove has been against a strong dollar.
The dollar bull market is long in the tooth – it is 9 years old (the low was in March 2008). Though in a deflation scenario one could get an exceptionally long or large upmove in the US dollar, otherwise the dollar would be expected to top soon as it has over the past 45 years with around 8 year up cycles and downcycles.
I meant the $1124 low in gold and the 15.68 level on silver being the lows for the correction late in 2016.
Very unusual ………gold still moving higher after hours……
The euro is heading for one mean mean reversion.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24XEU&p=W&yr=2&mn=8&dy=0&id=p20239142429
The party will really get going after GDXJ takes out the top of the following Schiff fork (currently above $43)…
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDXJ&p=W&yr=7&mn=7&dy=0&id=p29739931361&a=510628527
I’d like an invite to that party …..
Trump: “Buy Gold!”
anybody that was for Trump(like me), might want some extra insurance……as I said before the Trojan horse is on the move……..
$BPGDM on the point and figure chart has just given A buy signal as of 4/12/17. I feel this should be given some consideration.
Yes, “Bull Confirmed” today. The standard chart looks great, too…
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24BPGDM&p=D&yr=1&mn=5&dy=13&id=p17855595778
Thanks kingstonbill. I’ve been checking in on BPGDM periodically and it is a great breadth indicator (and to some degree sentiment) tool in the mining space.
Doc, I asked yesterday but maybe you didnt see my post – In light of gold and silvers recent moves on the back of geopolitical tensions, do you still forecast a pullback to your previously mentioned levels (1160 mark for gold and 16 range for silver) for the pms later in the year or are these current moves likely negating such a correction?
This is another good bump up in the pms. Next 24 hours could show whats in store longer term before the long weekend hits. Still cant discard a possible blindside raid though.
Tweety Bird is flat on his back with his stiff legs straight up in the air, the grim reaper paid him a visit after gold broke $1279.80. His heart couldn’t take it any longer. DT
lol
This move with gold is a good one, but it’s going to fizzle and head south pretty soon. And probably further south than most think. The BBands never confirmed a bonafide direction on all the charts I’ve looked at.
All I’m saying is, it’s not a lagitimate breakout.
any breakout is lagit………. π
Those last two posts between Dick and Chartster couldnt be more contrasting… Mmm, interesting!
You have N. Korea bluffing, You have Trump raising the Bluff, and now China re-raising the Trump Bluff. All will be calm when Korea folds Monday and China rakes in the chips.
I’m looking for $1290s gold this week.