Comments on the metals to wrap up the week
Doc joins me today to wrap up the week and look ahead to next year for gold. We look at what is driving gold and how low this current correction could go. We also look back and assess the strength of the last move up.
Click download link to listen on this device: Download Show
The weekly lower BB is 1204 while the daily one is 1290.
I agree that we won’t be seeing 1220. In fact, if the 50% Fib retracement (1283) in broken, I doubt we’ll see a move below 1270 that lasts for more than a day.
I was projecting $1273-4,
although I’m still buying above that.
Thanks, Doc
I meant Matthew
Gold always falls at least a $100+ from each peak. I think it will head to the 200 day in the 1240’s and could dip lower to scare everyone and bounce back quickly. I would like to get into gdx much lower but it may not come down enough.
I agree that GDX might not fall as much as it usually does since the miners have badly lagged gold all year.
Gold sits at speed line support right now and just below that there’s a 382 Fibonacci fan support…
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24GOLD&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p55612513086&a=546159656
Nothing surprises me with golds moves anymore. Mind you a move at or below $1200 would be abit of a bolt from the blue.
US Rig Count Drops By 1 This Week To 935
WASHINGTON (AP) — A U.S. trade panel has ruled that low-cost solar panels imported from China and other countries have caused serious injury to American manufacturers, raising the possibility of the Trump administration imposing tariffs that could double the price of solar panels from aboard.
Is not that a step too far?
I understand increasing tarrif, but……. doubling price?
That’s a step WAY too far. People have every right to decide for themselves what kind of risks they’d like to take.
Matthew: Any comments on PPP today? Up 872%. What happened, a 10 for 1 reverse split???
It looks like a simple error to me but a reverse split could cause that 872% print.
(apologies for typing errors ) tariff
Doc and Cory: Any comments of Mr. Price’s piece of yesterday? http://kingworldnews.com/multi-billionaire-hugo-salinas-price-just-issued-a-dire-warning-and-said-we-may-see-the-price-of-gold-spike-to-13000/
oil for gold might just be what the goldbugs have been dreaming about.
Comey……..getting what he deserves……..jmo
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-09-22/get-out-james-comey-you%E2%80%99re-not-our-homey-comey-mercilessly-heckled-howard-university
The problem is that Comey is not getting what he deserves.
He destroyed evidence that would have put Hillary in Jail…..Hard drives.
He lied to Congress.
He obstructed justice,
and Trump has done nothing to get DOJ on the case.
Trump picked Sessions…..who weaseled out…….which Trump did not know in advance he was going to do.
Trump should fire Mueller, and tell congress to go to hell……
No Jerry.
President Trump should have fired Comey Day 1.
But of course that isn’t how the game is played.
I think if, Session would not have recuse himself, Session would have prosecuted Comey
Still doesn’t excuse President Trump for not firing Comey.
Jerry:
We both know the lesions of life are contained within the pages of the Bible.
Only a true God fearing person will be a leader of men.
I agree……Trump should have fired Comey at the beginning…..and I think he should fire Mueller now…..
Of course if he fired Comey at the beginning , he might not have gotten the appointment for the Supreme Count.
BIG DIttO……..We both know the lesions of life are contained within the pages of the Bible.
Only a true God fearing person will be a leader of men.
Repeal and replace……..real simple…….
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-09-22/john-mccain-kills-gops-last-ditch-efffort-repeal-obamacare
Ira’s Metals
Thanks for Ira TA videos. I enjoy getting his perspectives.
Doc, don’t take the Boilermakers lightly.
John McCain makes me sick, here is a guy who was shot down in a US warplane in 1967 and must have killed many, many, Vietnamese people. Because his father was an Admiral his life was spared by his captors. Did he learn anything by this experience about how to treat his fellow man, not a chance. He is too stupid to think about anyone other than himself. DT
McCain may have killed more Americans than Viet Cong. He killed 134 men on his carrier and severely burned over 170 more. Then he collaborated with the enemy and cost the lives of more Americans. He is a treasonous turd.
His actions regarding his fellow POWs left behind are highly suspect as well:
http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/mccain-and-the-pow-cover-up/
Yes, McCain is despicable.
John Rubino
Cohn……….was a silver trader….
https://theintercept.com/2017/09/17/goldman-sachs-gary-cohn-donald-trump-administration/
Under the old system, any losses or fines came out of the partners’ pockets. In the early 1990s, for example, the firm was involved in transactions with Robert Maxwell, a London-based media mogul who was accused of stealing hundreds of millions of pounds from his companies’ pension funds. The $253 million that Goldman Sachs paid to settle lawsuits brought by pension funds over its involvement was split among the firm’s 84 limited partners. Now any losses are paid by a publicly traded entity owned by shareholders, with no direct financial liability for the decision-makers themselves. In theory, Goldman could claw back bonuses in response to executives’ bad behavior. But in 2016, when Goldman paid over $5 billion to settle charges brought by the Justice Department that the firm misled customers in the sale of a subprime mortgage product during Cohn’s time overseeing that unit, the Goldman board declined to dock Cohn’s pay. Instead, the company awarded him a $5.5 million cash bonus and another $12.6 million in company stock.
Cohn would steer the firm deeper into the subprime frenzy by setting up Goldman as a patron of some of these same mortgage originators. During his tenure, Goldman snapped up loans from New Century, Countrywide, and other notorious mortgage originators and bundled them into deals with opaque names, such as ABACUS and GSAMP. Under Cohn’s watchful eye, Goldman’s brokers then funneled slices to customers they sold on the wisdom of holding mortgage-backed securities in their portfolios.
Contribute this to Cohn…..and Sakers……
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-09-22/mark-hanson-warns-housing-affordability-never-worse-long-shot
I think the Koch Brothers should pay for everyone’s medical care and end this bickering.
Daily GDXJ, looks like yesterday was the daily cycle low.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDXJ&p=D&yr=1&mn=11&dy=0&id=p01143389362&a=546153739
I think the cycle guys are looking for a failed daily cycle to take us into an intermediate cycle low now:
https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordpress.com/2017/09/21/miner-change-in-expectation/
I sold my At&t and Verizon too early and they took off higher. Bought a good amount of Apple today. Bought back heavily into XOP after I took some big profits earlier but the oil stocks are holding strongly with volatility down in this sector with oil acting very stable these days. I had a 51.70 target when it held 47.
Oil is looking better than gold.
WTIC:GOLD
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24WTIC%3A%24GOLD&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=13&id=p19547635027&a=511956429
Wow, I hope you benefited from that!
If The North Koreans successfully fire a rocket over the pacific ocean and set off a hydrogen bomb that will signal the end of our digital world and the financial system we have known. If a third world power can ignite an EMP bomb from an ICBM, the digital world as we know it is over. The only alternative for those that want to survive is precious metal.
Trump Tightens NoKo Sanctions as the War of Words Escalates
Gary Wagner – September 22, 2017 – #TechnicalAnalysis #VIDEO #Charts #Gold
https://thegoldforecast.com/video/trump-tightens-noko-sanctions-war-words-escalates
I would encourage investors that are in any way worried that Gold is under too much pressure, to take a step back and watch this video with Gary Wagner.
The 5 wave EW pattern that started in the Summer Doldrums has had Wave 1 up, Wave 2 down, Wave 3 up, and we just concluded Wave 4 down. This will be followed by a 5th Wave up that should test last years high at $1377.50 (he projects near $1380).
Bob Moriarty: It’s The Last Bear Market For The Dollar Before ZEROING OUT
Wealth Research Group – Sep 19, 2017
Gold Price Decline: Is It Over?
Morris Hubbartt – Sep 22, 2017
Super Force #PreciousMetals #TechnicalAnalysis
> SFS Key #Charts & #Video Update:
https://superforcesignals.com/video/2017sept21sfs/2017sept21sfs.html
>> SF60 Key Charts & Video Update – Morris Hubbartt
https://superforce60.com/video/2017sept21sf60/2017sept21sf60.html
Life is damn good IMO.
Lots of really good PM stocks out there are cheap ATM. Thank you very much.
Only early Spring down here but it hit 29 Deg. C today.
Water temp in the pool is 24 Deg.C (too cool for me but a few of the kids are in as of now).
Anyhoo, going to drink a few coldies now & watch the Preliminary Final in the Football.
Cheers to all & enjoy your weekend!
Skeeta! Cheers & Weekend Beers in da pool……
I was looking for $1300 or $1280.
Fed unwinding balance sheet and hiking rates one more time in 2017? So there is a bit of a change in the Fed speak to a more hawkish tone, rather a less dovish tone, also with lowish reported inflation for the second half od this year near target (according to BLS).
Gold has already dipped down to around $1290 as this is starting to happen, so it doesn’t look too bullish for the next little while. However there is plenty of chance for the general markets and economy to get tripped up.
It will be interesting to see if the news hasd just taken gold already down to support and the news is baked in but I am not sure. This seems a bit of a turn on a dime because people seemed to be looking at the Fed as being really dovish in the last couple of months until last week.
It is interesting that nearly all of the Fed tightening and potentially dumping some US Treasuries is coming now Trump iis in office!
Bob Hoye would probably say flattening yield curve then reversing to steepening is sign of credit crisis or recession/depression at hand, so there is probably a while to go yet as the curve is only justr flattening right now.
Mark my words: We will not see $1220 THIS YEAR.
That is a STEP TOO FAR
Doc, I’m not a chartist, but is not $1220 below the lower Bollinger Band?