It’s All Gold – Technical and Fundamental Outlooks Plus A Key Company Update
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First and foremost I hope all of our Canadian listeners are sporting a poppy and taking time to remember our soldiers this Remembrance Day. My Grandpa was in the Royal Canadian Air Force as a tail-gunner in WWII. He told me some amazing stories which will stick with me for my whole life. These people are true heroes!
As for this week’s show we spend the first hour focused on the precious metals. We look at who is buying gold and supporting the metal at this price and why we are not seeing more money flow into stocks. We also get an update from one of Chris Temple’s favorite gold companies, Seabridge Gold.
Please feel free to email me at anytime if there are any companies, guests, or topics you would like to see discussed on the program. If you emailed me but I did not respond please do so again. Sometimes emails slip by but if I see it then I will respond. Fleck@kereport.com.
- Segment 1: We kick off the show with George Gero, Managing Partner at RBC Wealth Management. We discuss the open interest in gold and what factors George thinks will drive the metal in 2018.
- Segment 2: This is the extended interview with Rudi Fronk at Seabridge Gold. Chris Temple joins me as Seabridge is one of his favorite gold stocks.
- Segment 3: Managing Partner at the CPM Group Jeffrey Christian shares the most recent data on gold demand from coins, ETFs, and foreign countries.
- Segment 4: We wrap up the first hour with Jordan Roy-Byrne and some technical analysis on gold and gold stocks.
- Segment 5: Harlan Ullman a distinguished government and private sector consultant discusses his views all based on personal knowledge of the players on the executive branch.
- Segment 6: Dr. John Huber and comments on the Southlands Texas tragedy.
- Segment 7: Well known author Lisa Prior discusses job mobility in our society.
- Segment 8: We wrap up KER Politics with Epoch Times reporter Joshua Philipp discuss recent events surrounding President Trump.
Exclusive Company Updates and Interviews
Segment 1
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Segment 3
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Segment 4
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Segment 5
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Segment 6
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Segment 7
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Segment 8
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Hi skeet’s always great to place a second place behind your Saturday post :). Hello to all the boys and girls.. also thank you for the segments al and cory.
Looks to me like a basing for metals. Maybe some movement end of year into first quarter. On another note, had you purchased iamgold at its long time low august 2015 1.50 Cad, today you would be close to a six bagger. Same could be said with many other companies. Buying at all time lows and being super patient still wins for me over the long run.
Looking to add a few companies here at very low levels imo with a long time mind frame.
Matthew,shad, and everyone else keep up the good work. Very much valued.
Glen
P.s for the guys that always like to share there thoughts on realstate in toronto specificallly, let me know we’re you think we are and if a coming 40/50 percent correction is on the horizon before 2020?
Bob moriarty would definitely like to hear yours and tracey and others including matt.
Have a nice weekend
Glenfidish, how are you doing? Guess what today is remembrance day!
I would stay away from buying a detached home in Toronto at this time, living in a condominium as I believe you are now makes sense to me.
Toronto is literally exploding at the seams from all the construction, and construction related jobs that are still happening. The only thing that is keeping our economy afloat are low interest rates. You know and I know that at some point The Central Bankers will lose control and all this easy money will dry up quickly. There goes Toronto’s boom which is construction based. That is when you will see a real decline in prices. Initially it might drop twenty per cent but then it will take another seven or eight years for the bottom to be reached.
Toronto has a lot of appeal for immigrants so it gets a boost from their numbers but the only thing I can see that might forestall the real estate decline here is if Amazon decides to open it’s second headquarters in our city. I don’t want to see that happen and the politicians here haven’t been pushing for subsidies. It would just be a huge drain on an already overburdened infrastructure and would cause real estate to increase in the short term. I am hoping that Amazon locates in Boston or Denver which I believe are frontrunners, they will be announcing their decision in February 2018. DT
Tracy great memory on the condo living. My gut and intuition also confirm what you have said and my worse fear, which is a longer then expected wait before I make a move. Your thinking/analysis of the realstate sector tend to line up with Marty Armstrong’s view on the grand scheme of realstate in general. His views if I’m not mistaken have already put a top of some sort on the sector in real terms and continue a path down as you have said in segments with small spikes but eventually bottoming out in 2030. Long time from now.
As you have said and I may add, this continuous rise in immigration and continuous movement in construction seems to have given more life and juice to an over priced/bubble like sector. How they continue to approve semi detached 1 million dollar shack homes is beyond my belief. Who is granting these loans? That is a very key question. The defaults will start eventually and it will be a wave like never seen before. Easy money keeps coming but someone will have to pay the piper.
Thanks for the heads up voting in February.
Glen, I see a bit of a repeat of the early part of this century. When the real estate market got too high in my part of the world (Portland, Oregon) some of the banks that friends of mine were financially involved with were shut down and they lost as lot of money. (Albeit, on a smaller scaly that what I believe we will see in the future.) Our major shareholder and Chairman correctly predicted what would happen and we sold our bank just at the right time.) History does repeat itself.
GF:
Real Estate in Canada in general and Toronto in particular is a bubble in search of a pin. Remember that we always have a bubble going on, either starting, about to blow or just getting over. It’s the nature of man and herd behavior. If you haven’t read “Extraordinary Popular Delusions” go buy it and read it. It’s 170 years old and still the best book on human behavior and investing ever written.
SA looks like the Black Swan that could pop the “Everything Bubble” The world is awash in debt and a lot of paper investments are about to go pop. Don’t look for reasons why prices go up, just observe the behavior of the people. It’s always the same, never different.
Some company in England added “Block Chain” to their name and their shares went up 396% the next day. That is on par with inmates in a jail holding stock picking contests in March of 2000. Every last fool is fully invested. and when you run out of fools, you stop going up. You have no more buyers, only sellers and we know what happens then.
Thanks al and rob for your thoughts. Rob I will make sure to purchase that book greatly appreciated. Always nice to get wisdom from the guys who have been around for sometime, they say nothing beats experience.
Glen
“You know and I know that at some point The Central Bankers will lose control and all this easy money will dry up quickly. ” — Dick Tracy
DT – say it ain’t so….. 🙂
It is definitely so, excelsior! Important quote from Big Al.
Speaking of bubbles
https://wolfstreet.com/2017/11/12/bitcoin-cash-triples-in-2-days-bitcoin-crashes-loses-29bn/
DT: I cannot express how disappointed in your comments. Nothing can go wrong, nothing can go wrong, nothing can go wrong, nothing can go wronnnnn
Until rates move up significantly I don’t see it melting down…. at least 6% mortgage rates….still lots of money being made. I should know. I work for a general contractor who works mainly in the forest hill area.
Wolfster,
Where is the Forest Hill area?
Al, Forest Hill is divided into two parts, Upper Forest Hill and Lower Forest Hill bisected by St. Clair Avenue, where the people who have snow removal, landscaping and dog walking live. They are so rich they don’t live in their homes they only own them as an investment. I hope you get my drift. LOL! DT
I certainly do Mr. T!
Thanks Wolfster,
So are you saying that 6% in the breaking point?
Wolfster,
I know one thing for sure having spoken to specifically one of the biggest Jewish brokers in that same forest hill area and Lawrence and avenue area. He was a client of mine and opened up to me on his thoughts of the general consensus. He mentioned that he closed his brokerage firm for the time being and that he would not commit to any large deals involving land or property itself. Completely on the sidelines and even sold his massive home that was customed built and is now renting a penthouse. He finishes by telling me, Glen don’t focus on 18 plus interest rates, this time around anything north of 5/6 percent will bring forth the biggest defaults in history but it will be over an extended period of time. Food for thought and wolf you seem to be close to the target. Cash is king and being debt free is peaceful sleep. I also believe the miners will have its day.
I should add that I play on an all Jewish hockey team(they needed a goalie)…I’m sure I will hear in advance when the s@&! hits the fan as many of them are involved in the real estate market in some form or another. Also have close ties to privately run mortgage lender. Have in the past been called in for a favour to finish units that have been foreclosed on when builder went belly up. If that starts happening where it’s not an isolated incident I will know as well that things are about to get ugly. Scary to think I’m not the only one worried about the 6% level.
Forest Hill and Bridle Path are probably the 2 highest priced areas to live in Toronto …..and yes I even had to finish a place in the Bridle Path when the builder went belly up on his own place. Lol…..as for the 6% level I have figured that is the level where capitulation may occur. First few rate hikes will cause prices to surge for last time as late comers jump in fearing be left out of market then after that each rate hike will slow things til we finally see prices trend lower slowly. Eventually it will reach point where we start to see foreclosures. I look at as roughly 3 stages and each stage is between 3/4-1% in size
Very astute comments on the real estate market in your city Mr. Tracy, I could be wrong about Amazon but I believe that it has committed to a huge amount of space again in Seattle. Amazon effect on Seattle real estate prices in absolutely amazing.
Cheers Glenfidish. Always nice to read your thoughts and insights sir.
Yes, basing in Tax Loss selling fun for the Q1 Run. Looking forward to 2018.
You sure don’t want my opinion on real estate Glen, because I simply don’t understand it. Let me rephrase that, “I do see the rationale behind the huge appreciation in prices, but I cannot understand why the future will not be bad!
I didn’t feel too appreciated yesterday after I read the comments that accompanied the “preview” I put up of Dr. Ullman!
Owl. ,. .just remember every day is new again.
Boy, ain’t that the case Jerry! And that is why my hope grows daily!
Al, I didn’t mean to make you feel unappreciated!
Never doubt that I have the greatest appreciation for your providing this forum.
Ditto……
Nice one boys & girls 🙂
Thanks for the show.
Do you know what is wrong with men? Take all of these sexual allegations that are coming now mostly from the political and entertainment world, we all know their names but they have not learned this: ” When the little head is talking the big head must listen because the big head should never be controlled by the little head.” DT
+1
DT – Thanks for the heads up !
The Clear & Present Danger of a Global Cooling not Warming
This year will be much colder for Europe than the last three. It will also be cold in the USA. We are in a global cooling period and all the data we have in our computer system warns that the earth is turning cold not warm. This will manifest in a commodity boom in agriculture as shortages send food prices higher. We will see the first peak in prices come 2024 after the lows are established on this cycle.
As Mark Alan used to say on this site a few years back:
“Stay Frosty”
Martin may very well have a point, Markedtofuture.
Hi Al,
You may want to consider Charles Hughes Smith as a guest.
He has some insightful takes on big-picture economics and politics…just my $.02
Jay, I definitely will get hold of Charles Hughes Smith. Thanks for the tip.
Al:
Thanks for the Harlan Ullman interview. Listened as an afterthought but certainly glad I did. The man seems brilliant in his analysis of presidents and I agree with most of his thoughts on these men from Kennedy to trump. Question: Where do we find the qualified people with the experience and judgment he speaks about? Apparently our system on choosing the top leader is a failure.
I would also like to know what life experience the gentleman believes to be most important. Would appreciate hearing from him again. Thanks.
I will contact him today. I personally have a lot of time for people like him.
Thanks Silverdollar,
I personally respect Harlan from what he told me. I will definitely invite him back on the Show this coming week.
Al
I could agree with plenty of Ullman’s critiques, but I’m not clear what he stands FOR. I’m curious what Mr. Ullman thinks we should be doing with our military.
From Wikipedia: “Ullman was the principal author of the doctrine of “shock and awe” and was a product of the National Defense University of the United States.”
Oh boy.
Al, some day I hope you’ll come to understand that the war mongering of the US is in no way compatible with Christianity. Why give a platform to the architect of ‘Shock and Awe’? These are people that need to be sidelined, not encouraged.
I also question his emphasis on Presidents not being ready for prime time–this treats the puppet show as if it’s where the real action is at.
His assessment of the Bushes destroys Ullman’s credibility, for me. Grandpa was a Nazi supporter and linked to all kinds of unsavory people. Daddy head of the CIA. Junior, an embarrassment who embroiled us deeply in Middle East fiascoes, and stonewalled any 9/11 investigation for a full year.
Big Al: The CIA does not operate by your cherished principles. Not even remotely.
You can’t have it both ways.
If you think the principles you value will save the US, you can’t support a rogue agency like the CIA that is the antithesis of all those principles.
Your current position is incoherent.
Excellent assessment.
I will reply later today in an editorial with my position, GH.
I am rapidly running out of time today GH, but I will definitely do an editorial on this on Tuesday.
Al,
This might be worth your time.
Thanks Chartster,
I have read quite a bit about this terrible event and I do appreciate seeing that video.
Anyone know about the Gann Global Financial As Promised: Precious Metals Webinar Presentation? Bob posted an article at 321 Gold. http://www.321gold.com/editorials/moriarty/moriarty110717b.html
They sent a link to the webinar, but it says Video Not Found.
I received Gann Global Financial in my mailbox…….You get an introduction , and then get a bate and switch to join the club, and a subscription fee of $299, ………If, I am wrong someone correct me.
Jerry, that sounds right. Called the company about it and never got a return call from their 24 hr response line.
You save $200 , ….normally… $499……….
For $500 buck OOTH, it better be pretty good!
BTW……Gann said , he was changing the name of the web sight……….
out of” sight”…….site make the change
I got the “seminar”, at the time advertised, it was free, at the end they talk about subscribing.
I am not saying anything other than “be very careful” There are a number of sites out there that charge high fees and produce only commentary that agrees already with their audiences. Remember the power of vindication!
Al:
I wrote this
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/moriarty/moriarty110717b.html
JF called the bottom in silver six months in advance in 2001, the top in 2008 (and I did an interview with you at exactly the same time in March of 2008 saying we were topping)He nailed the top in April of 2011 in silver and he called the turn perfectly at the bottom in 2016 just as Matthew, Excelsior and I did and the top in August of 2016. He makes the really valid point in his webinar that using his system is only really valuable at major turns and those are every couple of years. He and I were the only guys calling a bottom in silver in November of 2001.
Of fifty sites, he would be in the top five. If Matthew and Excelsior felt like doing a subscription service, they would be slightly better as they are more sensitive to day to day action. But JF is not a flimflam unlike some of the guys interviewed on Kere calling for naked shorts and Comex defaults and we all know those can’t happen.
Common Bobby, my memory is not that short. I remember that discussion with you very well!
Al:
You and I were commenting on the same guy. He is not someone agreeing with his audience. He has some really valuable advice but only every couple of years. If we have a nice crash into late Dec/Jan, I think we will have the turn he is looking for but lucky for us, we have Matthew and Excelsior to help us for free.
Bob M. – Thanks for the kind words.
As we’ve discussed in the past, the best tool in spotting turns or trend reversals is watching the Sentiment indicators (that often shows up in a mix of fundamental and technical data points).
Bob M. – You are actually one of the best I’ve seen in sensing an overbought/oversold condition showing up in investor sentiment. I remember your comments at the top of silver in 2011, during the Gold and miners bottoming process in late 2015/early 2016 , and a number of other lessor turns in the resource sector.
Looking forward to the next one!
Today I am up on a ladder cleaning roof gutters,
My Wife/Her friend & the kids from both families are all in the pool.
Its only just beginning to warm up down here, so pool water temp is only at 28 Deg. C presently. But that will soon take off.
Free pool, free decking, free pool house.
All by buying at a low & selling at a temporary high in gold.
I am by no means a smart cookie, but taking on some views & acting on them from Matt, Ex & Bob M etc have made my family rather happy with the material gains, at least with the pool.
Looks like we may have some challenges ahead with the PM’s ?
…..but if so…..crises always creates opportunity.
Enjoy your weekend gents.
Cheers.
Skeeta good to read about the pool/pool house/deck update! What a great example of what can be tangibly done with the gains on good investments, when one buys a sector or stock that is unloved, and then sells when the price rises substantially and is dear to the market.
Most Bulls and Bears are now getting very frustrated with the mining stocks, because overall, they have been channeling sideways to down since August of 2016. However, Gold is nowhere close to it’s Dec 2015 low of $1045.40, and it just made a run this September that made it very close to the 2016 high of $1377.50 (although it didn’t make it through that resistance zone on the first attempt).
There are some constructive things happening on the longer term charts though.
Below is a 5 year Gold chart with the price action as it happened and the peaks and troughs price labels. Look at how it bottomed in 2015, and forms a large inverse H&S pattern, as many technicians have pointed out for some time. I’m in the camp that we are close to the leading edge of the next impulse leg up to a higher high.
– Also note the general trend in the volume since the major low in Gold back in Dec 2015. Volume is increasing into higher pricing, so that is worth noting.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24GOLD&p=D&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&id=p83512388819
I thought all we had to do was wait for Gartman to call it the bear of all times in metals to know it’s time to go long
As it relates to the miners a good tool and breadth indicator (which is also typically in harmony with sentiment indicators) is BPGDM (Gold Miners Bullish Percentage Index).
I didn’t annotate this BPGDM chart, but you can easily see with the naked eye the compression triangle that we are now in the apex of. Things are getting ready to break out or break down, and since we are still in the new Bull market that started in 2016, then it is most probable the break will be to the upside, once tax loss selling season is through.
__________________________________________________________________________
Concerning the BPGDM chart a few things are noticeable:
1) there was a nice double bottom in late 2014 that was succeeded by the Q1 Run in early 2015. Many of us got animated back then, as that was the first time where it seemed possible for the bear market to be stopped, but that rally failed to make it above key resistance in the metals and the miners that had gotten ahead of themselves, came tumbling back down. No conviction on that move.
2) Note the double-bottom in the the summer doldrums of 2015 and this signified the real turn in the mining breadth, and things actually started improving across the mining sector as far as participation in more names. Yes, the prices of the miners were still pulling downwards, but that is where things started shifting under the surface. This double bottom in the summer of 2015 is the base of the larger compression triangle on this chart that has now formed.
3) Gold price had double-bottomed on its respective chart in Dec of 2015. This is important because the bottom in the breadth of the miners seen on this chart in January 2016, was also in synch with the Major low we saw in the miners pricing back on Jan 19th 2016. That was the cue that things had already been improving in breadth since the summer doldrums of 2015, but now pricing in Gold bottomed in Dec 2015, and the miners charts bottomed in Jan 2016 along with the bottom in the breadth on this chart at the same time in Jan 2016. That was the bell ringing that it was time to hold one’s nose and buy the beat up miners at that time and jump back in more agressively to the miners.
4) Look at the massive peak in July 2016 on the BPGDM at 100! It marks a really frothy overbought situation where investors were just throwing money after all the names in the Gold mining sector, and all boats had risen with the tide (a bit too fast). People were commenting that it made no sense why so many names were throttling so high, and retail investors were chasing every name with Gold/Silver higher and higher. That was the precise reason to start selling/trimming back in July, and most miners topped out in price in August shortly thereafter.
5) Note the double-bottom in Nov/Dec of of 2016 where investors were abandoning ship once again and scaling back on the number of stocks they had exposure to in tax loss selling. The Bears came out of the woodwork calling for new lows below the Jan 2016 lows, (which was NOT going to happen as the low was in). This was an easy area to buy the stocks that most investors were selling the end of last year, and set up for the Q1 Run.
6) You’ll see the 2017 Q1 Run got rather peppy into February, as investors positioned in new names to kick of 2017. While it was a nice pop, this didn’t last long and participation in the miners waned and consolidated for the balance of 2017. The slow grind down, has started to really mess with investor confidence over the last 6 months, and now most are doubting whether we are even in a new bull market. Perfect set up.
7) You’ll see the reduction of miners breadth dipped into July of 2017, which coincided with the sell-offs and rotation seen as the GDXJ rebalance was completed. Not a surprise. However, it should be noted that it wasn’t that deep and quickly reversed up in late Aug through September.
Now miners have drifted back down since that blip up and we are entering into the apex of that compression triangle. Over the next few months we will be near the tipping point.
One can see the 50 day EMA (Blue line) coming back up towards the 200 day MA (Red line). If the 50 day does a golden cross up through the 200 day, that will be the clue we’ve hit a new bullish run. Look at what happened in early 2016 when we saw the last meaningful golden cross.
As with all tools, this is not the only thing to consider by any stretch, however, it has served me well to review it periodically. The BPGDM is an indicator of the markets breadth of participation in the Gold miners. As mentioned, it usually rhymes with other sentiment indicators, and technical indicators if one looks at the miners pricing charts.
We are getting to the point in the next few months where a larger move in the mining stocks should be anticipated, and IF we are still in the Bull market, then it favors a breakout will follow the conclusion of that pattern.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24BPGDM&p=D&yr=4&mn=0&dy=0&id=p72238340933
Wolfster. Haha! Good one.
Dennis Gartman is the best contrarian indicator. Yes – Do the opposite!
Here are some good comments from Gwen Preston on positioning in beaten down stocks at this time of of year and positioning for the seasonal Q1 Run.
________________________________________________
Stocks You Should Buy Today | Gwen Preston
Beneath The Surface – Nov 8, 2017 – #VIDEO
B…what did it say about silver.
Sounded to me like the same thing I read all over.
His point was that he could call turns,tops and bottoms.
He said we were at some point where PMs could go either way.
I got a bit of a chuckle saying to myself “we’ll know more in a week or two”.
Bob M is correct, all a person really has to do is watch what people are doing to figure which way the wind blows.
People that might have a life may not have time to watch of course, those people would find a “Gann” advantageous.
I think Bob M has explained exactly what to watch, cot? and something else? I forget.
I stick with watching people. women especially.
b…..I guess I watched the same tape…….I thought he was going to give some more valuable info. I was waiting for his take on the ” Silver cycle” to say something of interest or to match up with something from the past……which he was promoting prior to the free seminar . Thanks for the reply…………………..OOTB
B:
Well I did mention tops and bottoms, didn’t I?
Jerry it was suppose to be an hour long. I saw the preview he sent out when Bob’s article was written. This is what it says: As Promised: Precious Metals Webinar Presentation
GGF Webinar: The Stock Market And Gold Stocks Are In The Throes Of Generational Price Moves…This Begs The Question…What Series Of Events Were Triggered The Last Time Such Moves Took Place?
Video not found.
It seems its all pretty much the same wherever you go.
Probly because the info is pretty much finite.
Eventually you get most of it.
I always hate to miss info. , if , it can be beneficial………..
Count me as a fan of James Flanagan at Gann Global.
I haven’t seen anyone else who delves into the history of the commodities markets like he does. I find it useful for getting a sense of the price- and time-parameters for major moves.
As Bob mentions, Flanagan’s work is geared to the big picture, not finely timing reversals. But it’s a valuable tool, imo.
This one was about 54 minutes.
http://www.gannglobal.com/webinar/2017/11/17-11-09-Webinar-Replay.php
+1 GH. Thanks!
GH…thanks. That is what I was looking for.
Thanks, GH, very good stuff. I agree that the miners are at a critical juncture and that the setup appears to favor more downside, but Flanagan’s unprecedented scenario seems a little more likely than he thinks when we take other analyses into account. We will know very soon which way the sector will go….
On that note, XAU:GOLD just logged its lowest weekly close in 19 months:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24XAU%3A%24GOLD&p=W&yr=3&mn=9&dy=0&id=p81972265327&a=539592885
Btw, Robert Moriarty is exactly right: “All bubbles do exactly the same thing. that is not a chart of bitcoin, it is a chart of human behavior and it will always do the same thing.”
Which is why technical analysis can be such a powerful tool.
Tax Loss Season (Why I’m NOT Scared)
by FI FIGHTER on NOVEMBER 11, 2017
http://fifighter.com/mining-stocks/2017/11/tax-loss-season-why-im-not-scared/
Aurcana Corporation (AUN) (AUNFF)
Kevin Drover, President & CEO
Corporate Presentation – Zurich, Switzerland Precious Metals Summit – Nov 7th, 2017
Kootenay Silver Inc. (KTN) (KOOYF)
Jim McDonald, President & CEO
Corporate Presentation – Zurich, Switzerland Precious Metals Summit – Nov 7th, 2017
(DEF) (DNCVF) Defiance Silver Corp. (Roy Bonnell)
Metals Investor Forum Sept. 2017: #VIDEO
Crème De La Crème” Jordan Roy-Byrne & Roy Bonnell, CEO (DEF) (DNCVF)
“Jordan Roy-Byrne, Editor of The Daily Gold, interviews Defiance Silver Corp. CEO Roy Bonnell at the September 15, 2017 Metals Investor Forum.”
#VIDEO
Defiance Commences 5000 Metre Drill Program Targeting New Silver Shoots
@newsfile on October 31, 2017
https://ceo.ca/@newsfile/defiance-commences-5000-metre-drill-program-targeting-5d58c
Turning the Tables on Tax Loss Selling | Gwen Preston
Beneath The Surface – Nov 7, 2017 – #VIDEO
“Gwen Preston writes a weekly newsletter chronicling what she is buying, selling, and thinking in the metals and mining space. With a science background and almost a decade in the industry as a journalist and investor, Gwen knows how to analyze metals and identify investment opportunities ranging from early stage drill plays to takeover targets and sizeable producers.”
Good thoughts from the Metals Investor Forum from another pal:
@MadeOfRubber – “One thing I missed. Probably mentioned today by someone else. Everyone loves Zinc on the #mif panel. At current rates, if they base/hold here, more eyes, finance and projects come $fwz $vtt $tk. You want to be in these stories…”
(VTT) (VDTAF) Vendetta Mining Corp. (Mike Williams)
Metals Investor Forum – Sept. 2017: #VIDEO #CorporatePresentation
Heron’s Woodlawn Project – New Mineral Resource on Shallow G2 Lens and Total Underground Resource Upgrade
by @nasdaq on November 12, 2017
https://ceo.ca/@nasdaq/herons-woodlawn-project-new-mineral-resource-on
$R $RDEMF Red Eagle Mining Corp. (Ian Slater)
Metals Investor Forum – Sept. 2017: #VIDEO #CorporatePresenation
“Grassroot Discoveries” Gwen Preston and Ian Slater, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer $R $RDEMF
Metals Investor Forum – Sep 26, 2017 #VIDEO
“Gwen Preston, Editor of Resource Maven, interviews Red Eagle Mining Corporation, Ian Slater – Chairman and Chief Executive Officer at the September 15, 2017 Metals Investor Forum.”
“Soon To Be In Production” Sean Brodrick & Ian Slater, CEO $R $RDEMF
Beneath The Surface – Published on Sep 26, 2017 #VIDEO
“Sean Brodrick, contributor to The Edelson Institute, interviews Red Eagle Mining Corp. CEO Ian Slater at the September 15, 2017 Metals Investor Forum.”
Red Eagle Mining Corporation Ian Slater, CEO $R $RDEMF
Precious Metals Summit Beaver Creek – Sept. 18-20, 2017 #VIDEO
http://www.gowebcasting.com/conferences/2017/09/18/precious-metals-summit
(NIM) (HUSIF) Nicola Mining Announces New Craigmont Follow Up Induced Polarization Survey Results
by @nasdaq on November 10, 2017
https://ceo.ca/@nasdaq/nicola-mining-announces-new-craigmont-follow-up-induced
Pilbara gold rush: WA man who found gold strikes deal of a lifetime
MEET Johnathon Campbell — the accidental rock-kicker who inadvertently kick-started a gold rush.
Thanks Markedtofuture. Interesting backstory on the Pilbara area play.
We’ve been discussing some of the peripheral projects around Novo Resources and call them the #PilbaraSisters. Obviously there are quite a few springing up, but a few good thoughts from @zentrarian in this room:
The Market Really Wants a Substantial Discovery
November 7, 2017 | Howe Street
$ARV.AX $ARTTF $NVO $NSRPF $VRR $CEI $ATV $MMV
John Kaiser discusses Artemis pick Novo & others prior to MIF
http://www.howestreet.com/2017/11/07/the-market-really-wants-a-substantial-discovery/
For those following the Novo Resources, Artemis, and De Grey mining action in the Pilbara area play, here is another company that just found visible Gold in their conglomerate beds that is on the move this last week Kairos Minerals (KAI.AX) (MPJFF). One of the “Pilbara Sisters.”
http://cdn.ceo.ca.s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/1d074kn-43p2xv3bbnkj57.pdf
Ex…just in case…
For those that do not know me I discovered Purdys and Comet Well and signed an agreement with Novo resources to purchase my interest.
My leases have started a gold rush, is the only way to explain it.
I’ve watched as companys in the area doubled in price and I cannot believe that Pioneer has not tripled.
I’m no geologist but Pioneer holds very solid leases in between Novo and De Grey with the geology and history that tells me there is a lot more to come from this company.
https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/kangan-gold.3763539/?post_id=27991785
MTF:
If you are who I think you are, can you get in touch with me and send me a different email address. My emails to you are being bounced back. I need some information for the book, What happened to the Crow?
EX…Pioneer Resources PIO.AX PIONF
Yes, that is next on my list of Pilbara Sisters speculations.
Novo doesn’t want the PilbaraSisters getting too expensive.
Pilbara gold rush: Mining company Novo blasts junior gold companies
QH is taking a very measured and balanced approach and I agree with many of his comments about many investors and new companies chasing the Pilbara frenzy without fully understanding the science behind it. It is right to put Novo on the solid footing with the best understanding of the potential and correct strategy for exploration. However, what is good for the goose is good for the gander, and their valuation has benefited from this madness of crowds speculative rush into the Karratha region. This is how area plays are born.
@ayeyou That $NVO statement criticizing the fact that some Aussie juniors with tenements in exact area of $NVO’s randomly staked ground should not be going up in value is hilarious. These statements made by the CEO of a Canadian Junior whose share price has risen 1000% since they started working on an Aussie juniors $ARV.AX land package at Purdy’s Reward. That has to be fake news ! Is this the same company that did the highly promotional livestream feed of a couple guys with a metal detector?? Is there anything or anyone “real” in the junior resource sector anymore? Shame Quinton Shame!!
Novo Resources: Another Teaser
The Hedgeless Horseman – November 12, 2017
http://www.thehedgelesshorseman.com/gold-silver-stocks/novo-resources-another-teaser/
MTF/Ex/et al:
Nobody has talked about the different styles of gold in the Pilbara. The watermelon seed gold is probably linked and actually I have seen gold from Comet Well all the way 125 km to the east. According to KLG, they have traced watermelon seed gold and workings from CW to De Grey and that is 85 km.
But there are at least three different styles of gold in the Pilbara, maybe four. Much of the gold the Aussie juniors are showing is actually vein style nuggets with quartz attached. They probably are coming from the basement rocks and are not related to the Watermelon style gold. And the Beaton’s Creek gold well to the east is larger that Vits but much smaller than Karratha style gold. Similar precipitation event but different conglomerate event or location. And to the east of Beatons Creek you have the Blue Spec, Millennium sulfide gold that is probably not precipitation style.
There is gold all over the Pilbara but the west part of the basin is far richer than the east side and the vein style gold is not going to be continuous. to the extent that Quinton is trying to damp down investors jumping in on the basis of Aussie juniors just having gold, I agree with him. There is gold and there is gold. The mere presence of gold does not necessarily mean Comet Well/Purdy’s/De Grey potential. I dumped my Artemis after a five hundred percent advance because I know the problems with management and I put it all into De Grey which I think is still cheap. There will be home runs but there is so little information that it’s not a gold mine as much as a mine field. It would be easy to overpay.
Hi Bob that is not me. I emailed you 4-5 years ago and never heard back.It was nothing to do with these plays. I forget what it was about now. Dr. K is thinking along my thoughts. Stock House trolls are driving folks away.
@DrKamakazi I don’t post much anymore on SH mainly because of the trolls and the clunky interface but here is a post I just made there: “RE:RE:Another Article That I hope no one has posted yet
TXRogers wrote: QH is being a responsible geologist. His comments regarding stock valuations are tied to resource prove out. And that is a prudent and expected approach. However, as investors we are mostly addressing stock valuations in accordance with QH Precipitation Theory and the associated implications. We are subscribing to the New Paradigm stated on NVOs web page, and all the Aussie Pilbara juniors are naturally following suit. ES is also an investor and not a geologist. And logically, our behaviour should be more in line with his: KL, NVO, ARV, DEG, KAI, ….and who knows what’s next. Tx
Everyone has a self-serving agenda including ES/QH/DL etc. You may be right Tx that QH’s agenda may just be as a “responsible geologist” tempering expectations. I think there is more to it and lies in the fact that he needs those titles granted before he can be fully promotional. If this thing gets ahead of itself much more then there will be many more local interests to contest some of those claims.
I also would be surprised if the assays are released before more or most or all of the titles are granted. The rumblings I’ve heard is that the grades will be on the high end of the estimates that have been thrown out there by various newsletter writers and investors.
DrK”
Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=v.nvo&postid=26947647#DWFJxAzf393vyphd.99
Great comments Bob M. Thanks for putting some clarity around some of the different gold deposits in the Pilbara and the vein style nuggets w/ quartz versus the watermelon seed nuggets that are due to a precipitation style process. It is interesting to note the types of deposits ranging from Eastern sulfide deposits, to precipitation style conglomerates that are different than Vits or Karratha, and then the Karratha precipitation style gold.
Not all deposits are created equal, and not all will be economical, but the current investing frenzy has been in a buy anything “nearology” investment thesis. The madness of crowds is alive and well,….. 🙂
A number of investors have raised some concerns with Artemis management, and have voiced more concerns with Chalice Gold, but have been more constructive on De Grey, Kairos, and Pioneer. I just put a little speculative money to work in Kairos when I saw their recent press release on visible gold in their conglomerate, but only because of the area play momentum, and not as a longer term position. If I was betting on the longer term, it would still be with Novo and QH.
Bob M. Your last line said it well:
“There will be home runs but there is so little information that it’s not a gold mine as much as a mine field. It would be easy to overpay.”
Billionaire Eric Sprott funds (KAI.AX) (MPJFF) Kairos Minerals quest for Pilbara gold Resources
October 25, 2017 | Colin Jacoby
https://stockhead.com.au/resources/billionaire-investor-funds-kairos-minerals-quest-pilbara-gold/
Some interesting thoughts on Battery Metals & Base Metals used in EVs from investors attending the Metals Investors Forum today in Vancouver:
@EvenPrime – “Cost of lithium battery is now just 1/7th of that 5 years ago #MIF”
4.8lbs of Cobalt in one Telsa Model S battery
24lbs of nickel in a Telsa Model S battery
Demand for Nickel will rise 50% by 2030
Copper in EV cars range from 240lbs to 465lbs
@Mathematics – Amount of Copper needed to run a car #mif”
This Aussie miner is about to break into South Korea Lithium sector
Cecilia Jamasmie | a day ago
http://www.mining.com/aussie-miner-break-south-korean-lithium-sector/
Shell to open electric vehicle charging points at UK petrol stations
Adam Vaughan
“Oil firm’s first step into UK electric car sector allows drivers to rapid charge battery at handful of forecourts from this week”
HAYWOOD RESEARCH: Uranium Sector in Focus as the World’s Largest Uranium Mine Plans to Suspend Operations
The Weekly Dig – Nov 11, 2017
by Mick Carew, PhD, Emma Boggio, MSC, CPA and CA, and The Haywood Mining Team
An interesting post from CanAlaska Uranium. They are of course talking their book, but the chart they post is worth a quick review.
_______________________________________________________________________
CanAlaska Uranium @CanAlaska
“The last time production was suspended at the McArthur River mine it wasn’t long until #uranium surged. Will history repeat?”
There was an interesting section on Uranium, on this same theme, in most recent editorial from “The Next Bull Market Move”; where he interviewed Collin from Palisade Radio.
_______________________________________________________________
The Next Bull Market Move Interview – Collin Kettell, CEO & Partner, Palisade Global Investments Ltd.
by @bullmarketmove on November 11, 2017
@bullmarketmove —> “We have talked about Uranium many times in the past, but I don’t remember the sentiment being as bad as it is now. This asset class is simply hated-even more so since all the gains from the recent run up at the beginning of the year have now evaporated. What are your current thoughts on Uranium?”
_____________
>> Collin Kettell: – “On November 8, Cameco announced a significant cut to production. This represents further supply destruction – the result of a multi-year bear market. Surprisingly, all the uranium stocks, including Cameco, are way up! I don’t expect these gains to hold short term, but the long term picture keeps improving.”
“You are right in that the uranium bulls have seemingly gone bearish. It’s an internal fight when one’s thesis is wrong for so long, to reconsider. Ultimately, I still stand in the bull camp. Uranium makes up a considerable slice of global base load power. The fuel must come from somewhere. The opaqueness of the nuclear market makes it tough to know when an inflection point will be met that will drive the prices up.”
“But remember, uranium users are incredibly price insensitive. When this thing gets going in earnest, investors who have positioned properly will reap serious rewards. When that will be, I cannot predict. Instead, I am using this time to accumulate long-term positions both through buying physical assets that contain uranium, with low holding costs, and with 5 year warrant exposure. I would not touch these stocks without a long term warrant.”
“The great thing is that there are other commodities with similarly compelling drivers that are moving right now in a big way. Commodity speculators would do well to seek exposure to not just uranium, but a suite of metals that have similarly compelling supply/demand dynamics.”
BUTT (Back up the Truck)
2017-11-09 – Kevin Muir – The MacroTourist
“I haven’t written about it much, but I have long been a closet uranium bull. Yeah, maybe I wrote one piece – Somewhere Cheap to Hide, but it’s not like I have been pounding the table on the idea.
Although it has been obvious for everyone to see that the industry could not continue operating with the price of the commodity trading below the cost of production, the problem has been that no one wanted to cut. So even though it was illogical, everyone kept producing at negative cash flows, desperately hoping the other guy would tap out first. In the meantime, the price of the commodity, and by extension, uranium producers’ stock prices, kept sagging.
And why buy the stock of some negative cash flowing uranium company when the FANG stocks were ripping higher a couple of percent every day? So investors have continued to ignore these dirt cheap uranium names.
But their negligence will be our gain. Take the time to read my piece linked above. All the arguments still apply, the only thing we have been missing is a catalyst.
Well, guess what happened last night? Cameco finally cried Uncle. Although it is sad for the workers, Cameco took a giant step towards bringing the uranium market back into balance with the shutting down of two of their northern Saskatchewan mines….”
Why prospect generators: an interview with Brent Cook
Proven and Probable | a day ago
“Brent Cook of Exploration Insights, sits down with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable at the 2017 New Orleans Investment Conference to discuss the merits of owning Prospect/Project Generators. Listeners will gain the fundamental building blocks of what is defined as a Prospect/Project Generator, which in many regards are overlooked by speculators in the natural resource space. Brent clearly conveys several virtues of Prospect/Project Generators business model for listeners to easily comprehend. As a bonus Mr. Cook will discuss EMX Royalty Corp., Millrock Resources, and Riverside Resources which were present at the Conference and share some thoughts on their value propositions. Simple and to the point.”
http://www.mining.com/web/prospect-generators-interview-brent-cook/
EMX Royalty Corp. (EMX) – VIDEO
David Cole, CEO & Founder – Royalties and Prospect Generator
Corporate Presentation – Zurich, Switzerland Precious Metals Summit – Nov 7th, 2017
Osisko Mining Inc. – TSX: OSK
Jose Vizquerra, Executive VP Strategic Development
Corporate Presentation – Zurich, Switzerland Precious Metals Summit – Nov 7th, 2017
Metanor Resources Inc. (MTO) (MEAOF) – #VIDEO
Pascal Hamelin, President & COO – #Gold #Producer #Explorer (Windfall Lake area)
Corporate Presentation – Zurich, Switzerland Precious Metals Summit – Nov 7th, 2017
EMX was a top 3 pick of Rick Rule this past Thursday as well
I’ve been aggressively adding to my EMX position over the last 2 weeks while it was at a silly price level.
It is insanely low if people take the time to understand their royalties that are starting to throw off funds in Nevada with Newmont or Turkey with Dedeman, and the huge royalties they have in place with Nevsun on the former Reservoir properties in Serbia, or their strategic investment in the huge copper project in Russian with IG Copper, or all their other projects…..
Interesting.
I love to talk about Bitcoin, it is the classic story of fear and greed. Fear however will not be denied. As the price structure crumbles there will be a sudden stampede to get out from under. Bob M just pointed out how The House of Bitcoin is swaying. It is now breaking under it’s own weight caused by a huge edifice of speculative credit. This time the bargain hunters won’t be back, the fear trade will have done it’s job. The Central Bankers will be enjoying the carnage, they have enough on their plate with the dollar. Down, down, down, she will go and the roar of panic will next be found in the markets. The poor hapless investors in Bitcoin will be left wondering where on earth is the torrent of selling coming from.
Does this sound like fun, no but it sure is interesting! DT
Here’s an interesting looking longer term monthly $Bitcoin chart.
https://tvc-invdn-com.akamaized.net/data/tvc_856e0902faf49eb6c8306b90662f3795.png
Nobel Prize Winner Uses Bitcoin As Example of Irrational Exuberance
https://cointelegraph.com/news/nobel-prize-winner-uses-bitcoin-as-example-of-irrational-exuberance
Bitcoin Bear David Merkel Strikes Again, Says Beanie Babies Are Better Investment
Here’s a link to a collection of resources on #TheGreatBeanieBabyBubble on ceo:
Ex:
That chat is a perfect example of a bubble about to burst. I said the same thing in April of 2011 about silver when it went curvilinear. All bubbles do exactly the same thing. that is not a chart of bitcoin, it is a chart of human behavior and it will always do the same thing. One day it will do it for gold, silver, platinum, palladium and shares. And when it does, I will say so and people will throw rocks at me for being so stupid. But their throwing rocks is what makes a good top and I can take it.
Yes, it does look like a parabolic chart, about to complete the other half of it’s journey.
What goes up…..
Ex:
1. Silver is going parabolic.
According to Jim Rogers all parabolic moves end badly. I have seen similar charts in all kinds of commodities and they always correct. Parabolic charts mark tops. So when silver bugs start suggesting, “This time it’s different” I know better.
Study the chart below. Ignore the commodity. When charts go parabolic, it ends badly. I was an investor in the 1970s in both gold and silver. I started buying gold at $35 and silver around $5 an ounce. I sold out all my silver in January of 1980 a week too early at $35 as it rocketed to $50.25 an ounce at the open on January 21, 1980. It went parabolic and basically that’s all you need to know.
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/moriarty/moriarty042511.html
Hi Bob M. Absolutely. I completely agree about parabolic charts usually ending badly pulling back down. That was what I was hinting at with it’s about to “complete the other half of it’s journey.”
Yes – great post there! I actually remember reading that article in April 2011. It contributed to my process of selling most of my Silver bullion back to dealers around that time. I threw a big party with part of the profits, and told people that Silver Maples were keeping the drinks flowing… (nobody understood the reference, but on further unpacking the bullion sale, the consensus was that I was nerdy for buying coins but they liked the party). 🙂
Unfortunately I also sold a bunch of Silver at $33 & $38, on the way up far too early,and finally the last bit around $41-$42 . Once it got above $40 I couldn’t hang on much longer. (sometimes I trim a bit too early)
I had started trading mining stocks in 2010, and when I sold all that Silver I just plowed most of it into the Gold & Silver ETFs and mining stocks. It seemed so easy, at that time. Then when the correction came I got caught thinking it would just be a mild pullback, and took a big loss and sold most of it on the succeeding leg lower. The rest I sold in 2012, and decided to learn more about technical analysis to trade counter-trend moves in the bear market.
In a way if it wasn’t for selling the Silver into the strength, then I wouldn’t have gotten as exposed to the mining sector. I liked the miners in 2010, but by 2011 I was hooked. Of course, I got smashed shortly thereafter, but it was good learning experience and eventually what led me here to the KER in the first place. Cheers!
Here is a different vantage point from Marin Katusa where he advised buying both Bitcoin and Gold (right before the recent peak came in for Bitcoin). Interesting thoughts to consider, but terrible timing:
____________________________________________________________________
$Bitcoin Vs. #Gold? Why You’re Probably Wrong About This Battle
October 27, 2017 – Katusa Research #Cryptocurrencies #PreciousMetals
“It’s been said that if you want to have an enjoyable dinner party, don’t talk about politics or religion.”
“Conversations about these topics are almost sure to get heated and irrational. They often turn calm, well-mannered people into raving lunatics.
I believe we should add another item the banned topic list…”
$Bitcoin vs. #Gold
“In all my years in the market, I’ve seen few subjects get people riled up like Bitcoin vs. gold does. Some people hate Bitcoin and love gold. Some people love Bitcoin and hate gold. If you want to stir up a storm at an investment conference or on social media, just pick one, say it’s great, and then say the other is stupid. Then sit back and watch the insults and attacks pile up.
> “But what if zealots on both sides are being stupid?”
“What if everybody is looking at Bitcoin vs. Gold the wrong way?” – Marin Katusa
https://katusaresearch.com/bitcoin-vs-gold-youre-probably-wrong-battle/
Bitcoin cash dethroned Ethereum as 2nd largest cryptocurrency during wild night of trading
Frank Chaparro 1h
http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-cash-price-skyrockets-to-2500
Someone deleted some code in a popular cryptocurrency wallet — and as much as $280 million in Ether is locked up
Becky Peterson – 23h
http://uk.businessinsider.com/ethereum-parity-wallet-hack-freeze-missing-code-2017-11?r=US&IR=T
Katusa is big on the v.hive and is why he talks about bitcoin
This is the best discussion around HIVE that there is. Lovers & haters pile on the comments, and lots of side articles on crypto mining. Its a wild journey….
Assets Will Be Tokens (And It Will Change Finance)
Nov 12, 2017 – by Pavel Kravchenko
https://www.coindesk.com/tokenization-will-make-assets-more-valuable/
Was There a Rhyme or Reason? #VIDEO
Gary Wagner – November 10, 2017 – #TechnicalAnalysis #Charts #Gold
https://thegoldforecast.com/video/was-there-rhyme-or-reason-0
If The Saudi Arabia Situation Doesn’t Worry You, You’re Not Paying Attention
A key geopolitical axis is swiftly shifting
by Chris Martenson -Friday, November 10, 2017
35 Chinese Cities With Economies as Big as Countries
JEFF DESJARDINS on November 3, 2017 – The Visual Capitalist
Good thoughts from Eric Coffin looking back on the Metals Investor Forum this weekend in Vancouver:
________________________________________________________________________
@HRA-Coffin – “Just wanted to thank all of you who came out to #MIF on Friday and Saturday. We’ll get the videos of the presentations up as soon as possible though we need to send them to the companies for approval before we can post them. I need to watch a few of them myself!”
“We keep trying to add “value add” things for presenters and audience like the interviews and the “walk arounds” (yeah, those newsletter writer signs were a bit over the top) but by the time I’d dealt with that stuff and all the other little last minute problems I hardly had time to see other presentations myself.”
“One comment I want to pass along to all of you is that the most common thing I heard from the companies was how impressed they were with you, the audience. Many told me it was the best conference they had ever been at because of the high level of audience interaction and the quality (and difficulty!) of the questions they got from you at their tables. I warned the ones who had never presented at #MIF in advance – “you’d better bring your A Game – you’re not going to get soft pitches or requests for squeeze balls and pens from this crowd!”
— from #index, about 2 hours ago
Operation Freedom Dave Janda
I believe you will find this of interset. We blow open the MISSING $21 Trillion of government expenditures with Skidmore, Fitts, Kirby, Wood and Steer.
Dave
The miners can’t give up much this week:
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GOEX&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=13&id=p51540815715&a=555571295
Nothing to See Here as Gold Held in Tightest Range in Four Years
By Eddie Van Der Walt and Ranjeetha Pakiam
November 13, 2017, 6:00 AM CST
> “Metal has been stuck in 3.3 percent price range for past month”
> “Volatility over the 28 days is near its lowest in seven years”
Miners look terrible and this is suppose to be rally time.
GO WEED stocks. Their going to be huge….Think early days Philip Morris
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=HMMJ.TO&p=D&yr=0&mn=7&dy=0&id=p50861194328&listNum=1&a=556625446
Thanks as always for the show guys,
Much appreciated as always.
Cheers.