Jesse Felder has some comments about Bitcoin and it’s almost historic rise just this year.
I personally see why Bitcoin is getting more attention and is being viewed as another investment sector but the massive move up has some people questioning whether it can be sustained. We also have to consider what (or if) governments will step in and try to limit the use and value of cryptocurrencies in a broad sense. We need to remember that Bitcoin is still a relatively small market when compared to other currencies but it is quickly catching up…
Here are Jesse’s comments on Bitcoin. Click here to visit his site. Jesse has some great content on a wide range of markets.
Yes, Bitcoin Is A Bubble And It’s About To Burst
The popularity of trading Bitcoin has now reached the point where none other than the New York Times sees fit to declare cryptocurrencies, or more specifically initial coin offerings, “The Easiest Path To Riches On The Web.” Not to be left out, CNBC this week published a brief tutorial on trading crypto with your smartphone and MarketWatch featured a teenage bitcoin millionaire who now forecasts a $1 million price target.
These are exactly the sort of headlines and stories that characterize a speculative mania otherwise known as a “bubble.” For anyone who was around during the dotcom mania this should quickly bring back memories of all the folks who flocked to day-trading tech stocks. But to really understand the mania you need to look no further than the primary argument in buying crypto in the first place. Investors here claim the value comes from the limited supply. The trouble is there is an unlimited number of types of coins that can be created!
The coin universe keeps expanding https://t.co/1xcCACxaX8 by @VisualCap pic.twitter.com/69ONfdMeyc
— Jesse Felder (@jessefelder) May 28, 2017
What makes the “initial coin offering” craze that much crazier than the day-trading mania is that these are essentially nothing more than very thinly-veiled ponzi schemes. In fact, someone saw fit to to actually create a PonziCoin (at least they’re up front about it).
‘Unlike the IPO bubble, ICO token holders do not own any direct claim or share in the profits of these mechanisms’ https://t.co/ZhvKgn5ICn
— Jesse Felder (@jessefelder) June 19, 2017
Now some will make the argument that it can’t be a bubble when so many are calling it a bubble. These folks should have learned this lesson during the housing bubble. The fact is it’s only a bubble once everyone acknowledges it’s a bubble. And by the time they do the game is up.
We’re seeing the very same thing in Bitcoin today. Crypto traders know it’s a bubble. Like every bubble (or ponzi scheme) they’re counting on a greater fool paying an even more insane price so they can realize a profit. But it looks like we may have already reached the point of maximum foolishness. Time will tell.
Header image via Bitcoin.org