In this Daily Editorial, we are joined by Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global Forex and Editor of the Marc to Market website.
Marc breaks down the massive moves in the precious metals market to end the month, with Silver surging over 7% to break $57/oz and significantly outperforming Gold. We discuss the macro drivers behind this rally, primarily the shift in market sentiment which is now pricing in an ~80% chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. Marc provides his analysis on the weakening US Dollar, the tightening spreads between US and German debt, and the potential for a Bank of Japan rate hike next month.
Key Discussion Points:
- Silver’s Historic Breakout: Analyzing the $5+ move in Silver futures to over $57/oz. Is this the legendary “short squeeze” driven by dislocations in China, or a fundamental repricing?
- The Fed Pivot: US 10-Year yields are falling as the market aggressively prices in rate cuts for December and into 2026.
- Currency Markets: The US Dollar softens while the Yen strengthens on expectations of a BOJ hike. Marc also highlights the Australian Dollar as a standout.
- Equity Resilience: Despite valuation concerns, the S&P 500 continues to grind higher, fueled by liquidity and rate cut hopes.
- Sector Watch: A look at the Rare Earths sector, which remains in a downtrend despite the broader commodity boom.
Click here to visit Marc’s site – Marc To Market – https://www.marctomarket.com/
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