In this daily editorial, we are joined by Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global Forex and Editor of the Marc to Market website. Marc provides a comprehensive analysis of a whirlwind week in the financial markets, headlined by a landmark legal shift in U.S. trade policy and a surprising cooling of the American economy.
Key Discussion Points:
- Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs: Analysis of the 6-3 vote overturning President Trump’s use of emergency powers for reciprocal and fentanyl-related tariffs.
- Fiscal and Inflationary Impact: How the potential $170 billion in tariff refunds creates credit-negative pressure on U.S. interest rates and downward pressure on consumer prices.
- Q4 GDP Miss: Examining the 1.4% growth rate, well below the 3% forecast, and how the government shutdown distorted final sales and inventory data.
- Federal Reserve Outlook: Navigating the “fragmented” FOMC minutes and the market’s pricing of 55 basis points in cuts by late 2026.
- Currency and Dollar Strength: Why the U.S. Dollar remains resilient in a “prolonged correction” despite weak economic data and geopolitical noise.
Click here to visit Marc’s site – Marc To Market – https://www.marctomarket.com/
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