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Silver and S.M.S.

Big Al
September 3, 2015

Silver prices have been crushed for over 4 years, especially in the paper futures markets.  The predictable result has been reduced interest in real money – silver and gold.  The media is more focused on Donald Trump, Caitlyn Jenner, and Hillary’s emails – not the reality of exponentially increasing debt, out-of-control spending, failed economic policies, and expensive wars.

Does anyone care that silver and gold have been real money and a store of value for 3,000 years, or that all unbacked paper money has eventually been inflated into worthlessness?  While the central bankers and politicians distract the populace with Donald Trump stories, they prolong the game   …   and the wealth transfers.

IN THE BIG PICTURE:

The US gross domestic product and US government revenues rise as the dollar is “over-printed” and devalued.  Does silver rise accordingly?

Examine the 20 year graphs of the Silver to GDP ratio and Silver to US Govt. revenues.  Data source is the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and silver has been multiplied by a trillion for the ratios.

E-SI to GDP

 

E-SI to US REVENUE

These graphs show 20 years of data and indicate that silver prices are at the low end of the ratios.  Expect higher silver prices in the next several years, probably soon.

Population adjusted national debt shows a similar story.  Silver prices are at the low end of the 20 year range, about where they were in 2001.  Silver prices hit $4.01 in November of 2001 and rallied by over a factor of 10 in the next decade.  Some version of that will probably happen again.

Y-SI-PAND

S.M.S.:  Silver Means Safety.  Debt increases exponentially.  Until we see action from credible politicians (not likely) demanding balanced budgets and debt reductions (not likely), debt, consumer prices, and silver prices will increase.  Silver will help protect our assets from the inevitable central bank devaluations and wealth transfers.

S.M.S.:  Stacking Measures Sanity:  (self-evident to stackers, not so much to paper pushers …)

S.M.S. could also represent Silver Manipulation Strategy.  All markets are manipulated to some degree, especially silver.  Suppose the financial elite wanted to purchase a massive quantity of silver bullion at low prices, knowing its true (immensely higher) value would manifest by the end of this decade.  A winning strategy might be:

  • Run the price up too far and too fast – say to $49 in August 2011 while sucking in as many silver investors as possible. Close longs and sell short aggressively in the paper markets.
  • Sell it down to about $30 in 2013, let it stabilize, and then crush it again to below $15 in 2015. Politicians, Wall Street, the media, and the CME assist.  Most investors will exit at a loss.
  • After 4+ years of crashing prices most people have given up (capitulation) on silver and are more concerned with the latest Kardashian story.
  • Maintain silver prices at a very low level – nearly equivalent to the drastic lows of 2001 – for as long as possible – say into the summer and fall of 2015.
  • Move silver profits and other profits out of the stock market (before it crashes again) and buy silver bullion at these near historic low prices.
  • Keep the populace distracted and disoriented while the wealth transfers occur.
  • When “they” can’t run the scam any longer, find a foreign nation to blame and move on.
  • It has happened before and it will happen again.

Why not, if “they” can make it work and not be indicted?

 

Silver Means Safety:  We don’t know precisely when, we don’t know exactly how, but we can be assured that, come deflation or inflation, Trump or Hillary, war or peace, Iran or Syria, Caitlyn or Kim, Democan or Republicrat, then:

  • Politicians will make promises and spend,
  • Debt will increase,
  • Currencies will devalue and occasionally crash,
  • The “fix” is in,
  • There will always be a “Kardashian” distraction,
  • Silver and gold are real assets, will increase in price as measured by fiat currencies, and will retain value.
  • It has happened before and it will happen again – S.M.S.

Read:  Charles Hugh Smith “What if the Crash is Rigged?

Keep stacking while you can!

 

Gary Christenson

The Deviant Investor

Discussion
25 Comments
    CFS
    Sep 03, 2015 03:49 PM

    I’m not sure anything will totally protect wealth, but I’m buying physical, alternating between gold and silver,and will continue to do so until either none is available or I run out of Federal Reserve Notes.

    Sep 03, 2015 03:59 PM

    OMG with all that’s happened in this world since silvewr topped at $49 you’d think 1, just 1, just one! reasons these guys keep making up for to DA MOON SILVER would actually happen, that straight up arrow you drew Gary, who’s to say the arrow should be facing straight down.

    OMG

    Sep 03, 2015 03:03 PM

    America the beautiful.

    Inflation adjusted price of the 1980 high in silver

    Listening to the Bill Holter interview over at http://www.jsmineset.com and they give the inflation adjusted price of the 1980 high price in silver.
    2015-$601.17 per oz.

    It has doubled in the last four years with the money supply printing by the Fed since 2013.

    With Russia and the Fed dumping dollars the US spin machine is going to go into overdrive.

    Sep 03, 2015 03:04 PM

    With Russia and the Chinese dumping dollars,that is.
    The Fed always dumps dollars on the unwashed and unworthy.

    Sep 03, 2015 03:18 PM

    The Vatican,D.C. and City of London cramming their crap down our throats yet again.

    CFS
    Sep 03, 2015 03:24 PM
    CFS
    Sep 03, 2015 03:32 PM

    https://smaulgld.com/canadian-mint-second-quarter-2015-sales/

    silver/gold ratio 41
    gold/silver price 77

    CFS
    Sep 03, 2015 03:34 PM

    Miles Franklin says…….

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cTdlsuimx80

    Attention BM…

    CFS
    Sep 03, 2015 03:06 PM

    Is anyone on this forum concerned about increasing failure to delivers on Treasuries?

    Seems to indicate naked shorting in Treasuries to me.
    Is this hedge funds worried about an imminent collapse?

    The amount appears to be around $100 million a day according to zerohedge.

    CFS
    Sep 03, 2015 03:09 PM

    The remaining Christians in IS controlled Syria have been given a day to convert to Islam or die.
    Why is the media so silent?

    CFS
    Sep 03, 2015 03:14 PM

    The catch 22 is that Christians must also pay a tax to be allowed to convert, which many do not have anyway.

      Sep 03, 2015 03:36 PM

      America must be proud of their creation of destruction:

      http://www.globalresearch.ca/america-created-al-qaeda-and-the-isis-terror-group/5402881

        Sep 04, 2015 04:45 PM

        I don’t completely agree that terrorists would not exist if it weren’t for America (terrorists would exist fighting against whatever big power they can rally against), but yes, I completely agree that Obama helped provide the funds for the ISIS group. Why? Because we didn’t like the current Syrian leader. Obama has destabilized many North African and Middle Eastern countries and instead of warlords taking over, as in Iraq and Afghanistan, the Muslim extremists are now in control.

        We had Syrians coming to talk to us while their civil war was going on that said Assad is a dictator, but these rebels will kill all Christians. Obama wasn’t unaware. Obama either didn’t care about all the killed Christians or he was fighting for the Islam state’s side the whole time.

    CFS
    Sep 03, 2015 03:24 PM

    Especially for Bob Moriarty:
    http://www.foxnews.com/world/2015/09/03/iran-thumbs-nose-at-us-even-as-obama-rallies-support-for-nuke-deal/?intcmp=hpbt1
    Do you still mistakenlybelieve Iran is a peaceful state?

      GH
      Sep 04, 2015 04:54 AM

      LOL. Do you ever entertain alternative hypotheses on this theme CFS?

      Does the fact that US aggression is behind all the chaos from Libya to Pakistan, including the threat to Christians in Syria, give you any pause?

      I’ve never heard you explain why Bob’s arguments about zionist expansionism are wrong. All I’ve heard you do is beat this same drum over and over, passing on warmongers’ propaganda.

      And frankly there have been a few huge red herrings in your comments.
      1) Iran could destroy the US anonymously by launching a missile from the Indian Ocean. *IF* that’s the case (I highly doubt it), more important than keeping Iran on its knees, the US better get on the ball to learn to defend against an attack like this, because ANY hostile nation, or enterprising non-state terrorists, could do it, not just Iran.
      2) Iran is the leading terrorist nation. That distinction belongs to the US, no question about it. If you can’t admit this, you really have no credibility on the topic. Has Iran killed even 1% the number of innocents that the US has in the past century? And then, behind the US are a bunch of its allies that participate in things like the destruction of Iraq and Libya. Has it occurred to you that one of the US’s best defenses might be to stop creating enemies? But of course, that’s not good for the war business, which is fundamental to the warped US economy.

        CFS
        Sep 04, 2015 04:13 AM

        GH,
        I agree with you about the US’s propensity towards belligerence. It is wrong.
        I disagreed with attacking Libya. I disagreed with destabilizing Ukraine. I disagree with their current actions in Ukraine, which are insane. On the other hand, I would not claim to be attacking ISIL and then attack Kurds, either. I would be attacking ISIL, so I can’t claim to be against all violence. Much of the western world still looks upon the US as the defender of the weak; a world peacekeeper, as funny as that may seem to you.
        As regards launching a missile from the Indian Ocean, that would take a North Korean missile, which I cannot verify that Iran has, but let me assure you that is a vulnerability to EMP, which is real; as is the report of the consequence of an EMP attack. I hope it never happens and do not understand why nothing is being done to close that vulnerability. Such as having spare transformers to rebuild the grid. Or creating redundancy in the grid so that it cannot be totally taken down, so easily. I do recognize the US has created enemies, and continues to do so. Not a good idea.

    CFS
    Sep 04, 2015 04:44 AM

    Californian Education……

    https://youtu.be/IyQ2JnCdSk4

      Sep 04, 2015 04:00 AM

      NO wonder we are in trouble………………..

        Sep 04, 2015 04:02 AM

        I wonder how many on this blog think the same way……………..just saying…..

    Sep 04, 2015 04:34 AM

    That chart looks very much like it has to go down further or at least level out for some time before it turns up. I detest these charts with these silly upward pointing arrows that cannot possibly be fulfilled. We have seen this kind of nonsense for over 4 years now. When will it stop?

    Sep 04, 2015 04:37 AM

    That silver to GDP chart looks like it wants to decline a bit more and level out into 2018-2019 and then start an uptrend.

    OK suppose it’s true. What if GDP collapses? Silver:GDP ratio turning upwards is no guarantee of an increasing US dollar price for silver, so this is totally meaningless in my humble opinion, except as a possible long term 10+ years play sometime in the next 5 years or so.

    Sep 04, 2015 04:39 AM

    Al, I personally think this is more the kind of articles that should go on silver doctors.com or KWN.