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What is the path of least resistance for the conventional markets

September 21, 2015

Doc is with us and we are focusing on the conventional markets. With a choppy move today we are still higher on the Dow. Doc sees a slow move with lower volatility for the rest of this month.

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Discussion
35 Comments
    Sep 21, 2015 21:17 PM

    GNX bounced from an interesting confluence of support last month. I think any retest in the near term will hold.
    http://schrts.co/gXzJgT

    Sep 21, 2015 21:20 PM

    Even a 1000+ point move up won’t change the bearish big picture for stocks.
    http://schrts.co/cZlfFE

    Sep 21, 2015 21:29 PM

    So much damage has been done to the Dow chart that almost new highs need to be in place by year end to repair the damage, reminds me of gold falling hard off $1525 as its never regained its previous strength, its been sell rallies for 3 years and get short again!

      Sep 21, 2015 21:45 PM

      JJ; you’re correct about the damage—-if we don’t move up significantly in the next 11/2 months, it’ll appear that this is just not another correction for the bulls.

        Sep 21, 2015 21:51 PM

        exactly Doc a new mentality will kick in and gold was the perfect example, if Yellen had not mentioned global fears regarding growth and just paused a rate hike again based on US data the market would been higher but the feds have forced everyone into a global watch a watch of further deflation, the feds can’t cut rates from .50 but I guess they could go negative rates before needing more QE which has produced what…nothing!! of real growth! in the US, Europe or Japan, insane!

          Sep 21, 2015 21:02 PM

          Doc look up a chart of the S&P500 and $yen, if the BOJ in early Oct decides to go full on nuclear with their purchases then the S&P will rip higher, look at last Oct what happened with yen/s&p500 and gold as the boj added to its qe and pop went us equities down went gold

            Sep 21, 2015 21:33 PM

            Also, I don’t like the looks of the euro—-it looks like we get a short term move down and then it’s anyone’s guess whether we break lower or higher. I know personally what I think at this time is the most likely outcome but I would have to have it verified by the technicals.

            Sep 21, 2015 21:15 PM

            Sounds about right to me Doc. I am betting the Euro drops to at least 1.11 before heading higher again and then we will have to wait and see if its got what it takes to get up to 1.18 or so by year end.

            Thanks for the weekend comments by the way. I hardly had any time to post the last few days or answer anyone. Been going around the Mulberrry bush the past few days.

            Gold looks pretty lackluster here though. It really did not have the carry through after last weeks burst of enthusiasm. Mind you, it did not break down either. A lot of people seem genuinely confused about the whole rate hike process and seem pretty surprised when nothing happened.

            I have seen it in a lot of comments recently. Its kind of like….what now? So the markets look a little rudderless. It brings to mind that old expression that the market hates uncertainty. The Feds lack of conviction is clearly bothering quite a number of people especially as so many trade off the direction they establish.

            Actually, I would say this last non-hike was the first time I have heard a lot of hostility expressed about the length of this period of indecision. And what really fired some people up was that dot-plot of a negative rate.

            Or maybe it was all the references to China and the rest of the world. That was not on anybodies radar since it has long been assumed that the Fed’s only real mandate is the US economy.

            Personally, I thought it was a mistake to not hike after such a long period of warning a hike was coming. Not that a hike would be a good thing….it is going to upset a few apple carts no matter when they finally do it.

            But now the waters are just muddied if the Fed is gone global as an institution.

    Dan
    Sep 21, 2015 21:38 PM

    nyone know what is going on the Rye Patch today???

      Sep 21, 2015 21:49 PM

      150K shares last trade at $0.125

        Dan
        Sep 21, 2015 21:52 PM

        yes…wondering if there was news i was missing causing it to be down 15 % ??
        THANK YOU

        Dan
        Sep 21, 2015 21:52 PM

        or is this an event only related to the OTC US listing RPMGF

    Sep 21, 2015 21:40 PM

    Matthew- you looked at Hubbarts chart on the 18th…. re Dow

    Sep 21, 2015 21:41 PM

    Silver is making progress (chart will show today’s action this evening):
    http://schrts.co/9HXPEl

      Sep 22, 2015 22:08 AM

      Maybe check that chart of yours again. It is already off 1.9% this morning and threatening to fall lower by the open. Not that it will continue falling too much longer though. The Platinum chart suggests the carnage might be at an end (for now).

        Sep 22, 2015 22:16 AM

        Maybe you should learn how to read a chart!!! Silver’s action so far this morning does NOT hurt the progress that’s being made. A close below $14.70-14.75 today would be negative and a move below 14.40 is needed to break the uptrend that began in August.
        Prices do not move up in a straight line for crying out loud!

          Sep 22, 2015 22:30 AM

          You and I have different ideas about progress. Last week it was all bull, bull, bull and this week you tell me I can’t read a chart. Maybe the problem is your use of English.

            Sep 22, 2015 22:31 AM

            How about this Matthew ……silver got smashed today. Enjoy your “progress”.

            Sep 22, 2015 22:45 AM

            Smashed? Lol. Stewart Thomson knows what’s up. Learn from him if you can’t take the facts from me.
            “While the technical picture looks solid, a decline to the minor support zone at $1115 – $1125 ahead of options expiry day is likely.”
            http://www.graceland-updates.com/images/stories/15sep/2015sep22gold1.png

            Now go away. You cost me way too much unnecessary effort.

            Sep 22, 2015 22:24 AM

            And you accuse jj of hero worship. Do you have any idea how many times you have invoked the name Stewart Thompson on this site?……hundreds……

            Sep 22, 2015 22:27 AM

            I link to anyone who puts up useful info, including Armstrong. Hero worship my a$$.

            Sep 22, 2015 22:51 PM

            what did you think about his 32 page missive discussing gold/silver ratio, etc.

            Sep 22, 2015 22:59 AM

            I know. You always cherry pick according to your usual gold-centric agenda.

            Sep 22, 2015 22:03 PM

            FACT-centric agenda. Not something you could identify much less identify with.

            Sep 22, 2015 22:57 PM

            Here’s the key Bird. Thomson knows how to read a chart while you obviously like to bs everyone. There was no reason to turn as bearish as you did this morning on silver. Maybe there will be a reason tomorrow or the next day, but today, you jumped the gun.

            You seem to have it in your head that once a person is bullish, that any down move from there on is worthy of an attack. That is just plain dumb unless the person specifically says “such and such is only going up from here.”

            If you were legit and not just a nasty troll, you’d ask for clarification on the call right after it is made. Ex.: Are you bullish on the next session? Week? Month? Six months?

            If you’re looking for immediate term precision, you need to go to Rick Ackerman’s site.

            Sep 22, 2015 22:00 PM

            I would certainly not call him a “nasty troll”.

            Sep 22, 2015 22:11 PM

            Al, I think you’d call him worse if you had my history with him. He’s been the most combative and vulgar person this site has ever seen.

            Sep 22, 2015 22:04 PM

            Hopefully, you have noticed that vulgarity is pretty much absent from here now. I continue to work on that daily!

    Sep 21, 2015 21:43 PM

    09/18/2015 Dollar Shortsale & Silver Buy Signal Morris Hubbartt 321gold