Richard Postma - The Doctor Is In – Tue 22 Nov, 2016

Has a Fed rate hike in Dec been priced in?

With Doc today we discuss the upcoming potential Fed rate hike. Instead of predicting whether the increase will happen we look at a number of different markets to determine if it has been priced in.

Please let us know if you think there is a market that is telling us something different.

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  1. On November 22, 2016 at 12:30 pm,
    confused says:

    All the more reason for a nice stock crash that no-one seems to be expecting. Just seems like we are due, especially right after this insano “Trump bump” ends . Has there ever been a crash in December? Doubtful, yes, but it seems that far too many folks are drinking the Kool-Aid again. I wonder how long that will last?

  2. On November 22, 2016 at 1:06 pm,
    Bob UK says:

    This Trump rally is ridiculous now — is it just going to carry on upwards till inauguration day? Then what? Another 3 months? Crazy.

  3. On November 22, 2016 at 1:21 pm,
    Jason says:

    We have blood all over ASM Street. I backed the truck up today and started loading.

    • On November 23, 2016 at 12:04 am,
      Excelsior says:

      Yep. It was due to the capital raise. Bummer for the short term, wise strategy for the long game.

  4. On November 22, 2016 at 1:55 pm,
    Markedtofuture says:

    Understanding Elections, Gold & The US Dollar Via Market Manipulation

    Written by: Avery B. Goodman

    Recently, almost all prognosticators were predicting that Donald Trump would lose the 2016 election and that Hillary Clinton would be our new President. If by some miracle Trump happened to win, they said the price of gold would soar.

    When Mr. Trump defied all their expectations and did win, it did soar, but only for a few hours. After that, it was downhill all the way. Many people are perplexed. Even though most now realize that the price of gold is rigged, they still don’t fully grasp what that means.

    • On November 22, 2016 at 2:19 pm,
      Bob UK says:

      It is a good read but there is nothing in it which, as far as I can see, is backed up by any hard facts or evidence. It is all just a theory.

      I think it needed some Bond glamour girls and mention of the alien landing at Roswell to be have really grabbed me.

      • On November 22, 2016 at 3:20 pm,
        Markedtofuture says:

        As a lawyer, he stated it was circumstantial evidence and why. Here serves in a few places that give him insight. Here is his bio.

        Avery B. Goodman is a licensed attorney and the author of the action-packed Wall Street thriller “The Synod”.

        He holds a B.A. from Emory University, where he concentrated on history and economics. He also holds a Juris Doctorate degree from the University of California at Los Angeles Law School and is a member of the Bar, licensed to practice law in several jurisdictions.

        Mr. Goodman serves on the roster of neutral arbitrators of the National Futures Association (NFA) and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). His career has consisted not only of prosecuting cases on behalf of clients, but also in sitting in judgment on the cases involving others, and making important decisions on intra-industry and customer disputes involving securities issues.

        As an independent investor, Mr. Goodman has observed that markets are subject to frighteningly high levels of disinformation. Investors desperately need a voice of logic, reason and common sense. For that reason, he is now sharing thoughts with the community.

      • On November 23, 2016 at 12:09 am,
        Excelsior says:

        Bob UK – I agree more Bond glamour girls and alien landings are quite grabbing.

        Here we see Bond with the Midas touch…

  5. On November 22, 2016 at 2:26 pm,
    Ozibatla says:

    Damn confused, how much of that kool-aid is available? I dont think a rate hike has been priced in. The current price is humming along around the take down price low immediately post Trump win. If it were priced in, i believe we wouldve given up the 1200 handle by now. Just my thoughts. Could well be wrong. What if the smart money is all of a sudden long gold short term and we get a perplexing rise on the back of a rate hike, just to further blindside and rort everyone else… possible??? Nothin would surpruse me at the moment