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The long-term yield outlook could be the story for 2017

Cory
December 20, 2016

In today’s markets wrap I wanted to focus mostly on the 10 year treasury yield. The trend change that was experienced half way through this year has now moved the 10 year yield up and past the long-term downtrend line. While yields should take a break in the next month of two if in 2017 we continue to see yields slowly rise this will be the most significant story for the financial sector.

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Here is the Long-term chart showing the down-trend line now broken.

10-year-yield-monthly-long-term-trend-line

Discussion
55 Comments
    Dec 20, 2016 20:25 PM

    Rudy G. spilling the beans on PG & 9/11 ?

    http://archive.is/IDBh5

      Dec 20, 2016 20:32 PM

      I assume his twitter account got hacked.

      GH
      Dec 20, 2016 20:32 PM

      He would know. Could he really be spilling his guts?

      The great David McGowan wrote a 60-page expose on pedophilia in the US called ‘The Pedophocracy’. Giuliani is mentioned in this document.

      http://www.whale.to/b/pedophocracy.html#The_Pedophocracy,_Part_I:__From_Brussels_…__

        GH
        Dec 20, 2016 20:25 PM

        I seriously doubt this is true, much as I would like it to be.

        Dec 20, 2016 20:56 PM

        *The late great…

      Dec 20, 2016 20:19 PM

      Markedtofuture:
      Please enlighten us as to what this has to do with treasury yields.

      Dec 20, 2016 20:06 PM

      Markedtofuture,
      Thanks for that! Wow, it looks like the truth is really starting to come out!

        Dec 20, 2016 20:53 PM

        John K… nothing about the market monoply numbers…it’s the market wrap.

        Chartster… it was an account that was suspended. Looks like the former Georgia house member Cynthia Ann McKinney picked it up and ran with it. She is quite the activist.

        McKinney was re-elected to the House in November 2004, following her successor’s run for Senate. In Congress, she advocated unsealing records pertaining to the CIA’s role in the assassination of Martin Luther King Jr. and the murder of Tupac Shakur. She continued to criticize the Bush Administration over the 9/11 attacks. She supported anti-war legislation and introduced articles of impeachment against President Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney, and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.

        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cynthia_McKinney

          Dec 20, 2016 20:09 PM

          Years ago I thought Cynthia was a quack. As it turns out, she was right.

          The Rudy Twitter link looks like he saved it on a server, even though his account was suspended ( which is also, telling )

          Dec 20, 2016 20:14 PM

          Markedtofuture:
          I posted before the election that Rudy could be a problem for President elect Trump. Time to buckle up,the ride is about to get rough.

            Dec 20, 2016 20:35 PM

            Trump needs to get a hold on the crap going on in Chicago. The criminals are running folks out of there to other states.

            US Population Grows At Slowest Pace Since The Great Depression; Residents Flee Illinois Again

            According to data released by the US Census, in 2016 the U.S. population grew at the lowest rate since the Great Depression, while the state of New York shrank for the first time in a decade. The biggest loser, again, was Illinois which shrank for a third consecutive year, losing 38,000 people, mostly from the Chicago area.

            http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-12-20/us-population-grows-slowest-pace-great-depression-residents-flee-illinois-again

    Dec 20, 2016 20:43 PM

    It’s going around…https://twitter.com/cynthiamckinney

      Dec 21, 2016 21:37 AM

      interesting………thanks for the post…

        Dec 21, 2016 21:39 AM

        SGT REPORT will most likely pick this story up…….since they have been detwittered……

          Dec 21, 2016 21:41 AM

          Time is short for many ………..

      GH
      Dec 21, 2016 21:27 AM

      Great news, if it’s true. I’m still betting it’s a hoax, though…

    Dec 20, 2016 20:02 PM

    Picked up some more $AXU this morning that swung to in the money by the afternoon.

    The Angry Geo was picking on Alexco today and some of his critique seemed to paint a picture that was completely off-base.

    There is absolutely no doubt that the Bellekeno, Lucky Queen, Flame & Moth, and now Bermingham deposits that (AXR) (AXU) Alexco have at Keno Hill are all extremely high grade, and all of those deposits are close to the mill. They have even more deposits and future targets to work there, so it is really is turning into a District Scale resource, and will be economical if they can figure out a solution to the $SLW streaming arrangement. #Silver #Zinc #Lead #Development

    Here is a map of the different deposits on Alexco’s property:

    http://www.alexcoresource.com/s/keno_hill.asp?ReportID=515321

    Dec 20, 2016 20:15 PM

    A Breakout Trade in TSLA and an Encouraging Day For The Gold Miners

    by @Goldfinger on December 20, 2016

    https://www.ceo.ca/@goldfinger/a-breakout-trade-in-tsla-and-an-encouraging-day-for-the-gold-miners

      Dec 20, 2016 20:18 PM

      Silverdollar posted this on here yesterday but it seemed interesting enough to repost.

      Not a Gold Bull in Sight

      By Bob Loukas – Tuesday, 20 December 2016

      http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1482259370.php

        Dec 20, 2016 20:23 PM

        Retest of $1120s coming today – Posted by DaveintheUK – Goldtent TA
        December 20, 2016

        https://goldtadise.com/?p=390355

          CFS
          Dec 21, 2016 21:28 AM

          Well, he got that wrong!

            Dec 21, 2016 21:55 PM

            It was pretty close to that Fork support on the chart where Gold did hit $1125 and was very close to it where it bounce. We also aren’t out of the wood completely yet hovering around $1130, so overall pretty forkin’ good…..

    GH
    Dec 20, 2016 20:26 PM

    I bought JNUG today at 4.24. I think it’s at least good for a tradeable bounce.

    Dec 20, 2016 20:31 PM

    David Cates: The Uranium Market is Getting Tight, and There Isn’t Enough Production

    Palisade Radio – Dec 20, 2016

    “David Cates president and CEO of two companies- Uranium Participation Corporation and Denison Mines, joins us to discuss the Uranium market. He says the Uranium spot price has moved upwards in the last week and that uranium stocks have yet to price this move in. In recent months a lack of liquidity and a thinly traded market has limited price discovery, however this has improved recently as more utilities have been buying.

    Over the next few years he expects more utilities to enter the market and good returns in the 2-4 year range as demand increases and supply declines. The current price is not reflective of actual production costs in his opinion. David thinks the spot price should move towards the $40 level and possibly $60 or higher. Very few projects are in the global pipeline to fulfill the looming supply demand gap.

    David says it’s difficult to judge the market supply dynamics and in the grand scheme the market is currently oversupplied, although secondary supplies are being unloaded. This is the cause of the general softness in the market. Some are concerned that China has significant inventory, however he anticipates that this stockpile will look reasonable once more of their reactor builds come online.

    David also discusses a Canadian-focused company, and why he believes the Athabasca basin is the best jurisdiction in the world to be a uranium developer. He says they are set to be the next major uranium producer in this region.”

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xONxLkCaLH0

    Dec 20, 2016 20:56 PM

    July 2016 Japan’s Abe announced a 28 trillion yen stimulus plan.This coincided with turn in Treasury yields,Gold and the USD/JPY pair.I have a sneaking suspicion someone reprogrammed the algo.

    Dec 20, 2016 20:22 PM

    VIXY is looking pretty good… Not far from a buy.

      Dec 20, 2016 20:31 PM

      Nice call Chartster. Technically would would have to see to pull the trigger?

        Dec 20, 2016 20:47 PM

        Technically a cross on MACD, PMO, Slow STO and TSI.

    Dec 20, 2016 20:25 PM

    This week or next should be time to bite, IMO.

      Dec 21, 2016 21:51 AM

      Thanks Chartster, keep us posted.

        GH
        Dec 21, 2016 21:26 AM

        Ditto

    Dec 21, 2016 21:35 AM

    Here’s a chart I posted a month ago and gold has followed my arrows almost perfectly…

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24GOLD&p=D&yr=1&mn=2&dy=0&id=p52348702361&a=484925243

      Dec 21, 2016 21:57 PM

      Yep, I had posted the drill results up above and was very impressed with their 10% raise in production guidance for 2017. Things are moving the right direction and Jaguar isn’t anywhere close to being valued like peers, so there is a nice value/perception arbitrage opportunity.