John Rubino over at Dollar Collapse – Tue 4 Dec, 2018

3 Factors That Are Lining up To Move PMs higher

john Rubino, Founder of the Dollar Collapse website outlines some short term factors that he thinks could drive gold. We look at seasonality and the potential of a change in Fed policy as a couple of the main drivers.

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John RubinoCory Fleck

  1. On December 4, 2018 at 8:38 am,
    irishtony says:

    Just a little snipped….Re. GOLD

    • On December 4, 2018 at 9:20 am,
      OOTB Jerry says:

      Good story….Irish…….,
      Hoping you are enjoying your day…..
      Tomorrow, you can throw up, on all the news concerning Bushy Man.
      Hard to believe that moron, dropped 88,000 bombs on Iraqi , and everyone will be calling him a hero……..

      • On December 4, 2018 at 10:00 am,
        GH says:

        Was watching an old John Perkins (of ‘Economic Hitman’ fame) video yesterday in which he figured the reason Bush 1 didn’t occupy Iraq was that the globalists still thought Saddam might be useful, and hoped he had been sufficiently chastised…seems plausible, given he had been a useful asset for decades.

        Perkins, btw, is either painfully naive in spite of his history, or a disinfo agent aimed at the Left.

    • On December 4, 2018 at 3:06 pm,
      Dick Tracy says:

      Irish, I would like to hear your take on what is happening with Brexit! DT

  2. On December 4, 2018 at 9:24 am,
    Matthew says:

    Gold was stopped by the rising 600 week MA this morning but is still above the 200 and 233 week MAs (chart will include today this evening):

  3. On December 4, 2018 at 9:25 am,
    Matthew says:

    GDM capped by fork resistance so far:

    • On December 4, 2018 at 9:28 am,
      Matthew says:

      And another fork resistance:

    • On December 4, 2018 at 9:52 am,
      Matthew says:

      It will be a big deal if GDM can close the month above 586: (monthly chart)

  4. On December 4, 2018 at 9:27 am,
    Matthew says:

    Almost there, Bonzo:

    • On December 4, 2018 at 10:44 am,
      Bonzo Barzini says:

      thanks, matthew. great chart!

  5. On December 4, 2018 at 9:31 am,
    spanky says:

    GDX 50 and 100 dma’s will positively cross around the 10th or 11th of December. I think GDX back tests the 100 dma immediately after that cross and then heads higher from there into an intermediate peak sometime in early January, probably around $21, which corresponds to the the 50 WMA. I think it heads back down to retest the $18.90 level in early February. That will be the mark the beginning of a large 6 year move, the first half of which I expect to be a slow grind back to the 2016 high, and the back half being a parabolic rise that takes GDX up 10X or more.

  6. On December 4, 2018 at 9:34 am,
    Matthew says:

    TLT is a buy and that’s good news for gold:

    • On December 4, 2018 at 9:51 am,
      spanky says:

      TLT went on a huge rally from 2010 to mid-2016 yet gold and gold stocks mostly tanked during that run. While the pivots may line up, I don’t think you can say one way or another if there is any particular directional correlation between the two.

      What’s more, bigger picture, TLT looks like it is potentially putting in a massive H&S top. so let’s hope gold isn’t directionally correlated with TLT over the long run if that plays out.

      • On December 4, 2018 at 10:21 am,
        Matthew says:

        The two move together, especially since the 2015 low, and TLT clearly is a buy here. As for the big move up that you mentioned, TLT went up just over 100% from the 2009 low to the 2016 high while gold went up over 180% in less than 3 years following the 2009 low. So, being the superior safe haven, gold understandably accomplished its major high many years ahead of TLT. Still, the two are highly correlated with respect to direction — at least for now.

      • On December 4, 2018 at 10:22 am,
        Matthew says:

        Given the debt and debt servicing problem the U.S. faces, a decoupling will greatly favor gold.

    • On December 4, 2018 at 10:00 am,
      spanky says:

      TLT could just be backtesting the diagonal neckline of a large H&S top right now.

  7. On December 4, 2018 at 9:49 am,
    Matthew says:

    Gold is above its 30 week MA for the first time since May:

  8. On December 4, 2018 at 10:57 am,
    spanky says:

    I think IPT.V is confirming the low has finally been struck.

    I would think silver miners outperform GDX going forward, but I can’t rule out the silver miners continuing to be relatively weak compared to GDX going into the spring of 2019, just before GDX makes its big move back to $23.

  9. On December 4, 2018 at 12:11 pm,
    snowbird says:

    Is Palladium about to expose the shenanigans at the LBMA?

  10. On December 4, 2018 at 12:29 pm,
    spanky says:

    The GDXJ:GDX ratio 5 week RSI is the most oversold it has been in their history.

    When this ratio turns (I’m guessing next week or the week of the FOMC), there is a very good chance it will mark the low for years to come.

  11. On December 4, 2018 at 1:24 pm,
    spanky says:

    Barring a 500 pt rally in the Dow on Thursday, the daily Ichimoku cloud is downright bearish going into the new year. Thursday is a huge day. If the Dow fails to rally 500 pts or more, I think it will head down into the FOMC and will probably rally post Fed along with PMs if I had to guess. I don’t think the Dow will recover the 25000 level for months if Thursday isn’t a stellar day. Conversely, gold’s technicals are playing out the exact opposite

  12. On December 4, 2018 at 1:39 pm,
    kingston wa Bill says:

    At the close $BPGDM on the p and f chart went bullish. It has not changed from bearish in many months.

    • On December 5, 2018 at 10:29 am,
      Excelsior says:

      Thanks for the heads up on $BPGDM . It’s a good tool as breadth indicator and often a good read on sentiment in the miners.

  13. On December 5, 2018 at 2:58 am,
    Ozibatla says:

    Well played palladium! Gold is now third in line if one considers rhodium in the PMs basket