Chris Temple from The National Investor – Thu 21 Mar, 2019

Thoughts On The Fed Statement And Where To Invest

Chris Temple kicks off today with his thoughts on the dovish Fed pause and statement. We also discuss the market reaction with bonds and gold rising and the USD falling. There’s no telling for certain exactly what has the Fed so scared but they it sure seems we can forget about a rate hike this year.

Click here to visit Chris’s site for more of his market commentary.

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Comments:
  1. On March 21, 2019 at 6:47 am,
    CFS says:

    I guess I’m a no one!

    “No one expected them to remove 2 interest rate hikes off the dot plot”

    How many months have I been posting in this forum that the Fed cannot raise rates. They are following the monetary policy of Japan.

    Further, the Fed will print money when borrowing capability runs out……until the world economic collapse. Pretend and extend….until doom.

    • On March 21, 2019 at 8:27 am,
      Ebolan says:

      I guess I’m a no one!

      Hah! No, you’re a bigwig!

  2. On March 21, 2019 at 7:05 am,
    OOTB Jerry says:

    They are following the monetary policy of Japan……………DITTO…..100%

  3. On March 21, 2019 at 7:07 am,
    OOTB Jerry says:

    All the central banks are on the same sheet of paper…..printing is all they have….kind of a big joke,…anyone going and looking how they were created would know that….

    • On March 21, 2019 at 7:21 am,
      Dick Tracy says:

      The Trouble with The Federal Reserve is that it is an FFB, or Fake Federal Bank run by flakes. DT

      • On March 21, 2019 at 7:23 am,
        OOTB Jerry says:

        DITTO……..anyone on here that doubts that has to be an idiot…..

        • On March 21, 2019 at 7:28 am,
          OOTB Jerry says:

          The Fake Fed……is running out of PHds from Harvard and Yale…..Now we know how they got their scholarship….SCAM…..It is all coming to light……

          • On March 21, 2019 at 12:34 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Fake regulators……….lol….some people have not figured it out yet……

      • On March 21, 2019 at 7:32 am,
        CFS says:

        The Fed is not run by flakes. It is run by corrupt, politically-controlled leeches, getting rich off society. Unnessary, but for the fact that many politicians are even more corrupt and self-serving.

        • On March 21, 2019 at 8:55 am,
          Matthew says:

          And the ignorant masses make it all possible. Most even think a (Marxist) central bank is necessary.

          • On March 21, 2019 at 9:35 am,
            bonzo b. says:

            +1 We need another Andrew Jackson to abolish the fed and fiat paper money.

          • On March 21, 2019 at 11:58 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Ditto on A Jackson…..I bet most people do not even know what he did and when he did it…jmo

        • On March 21, 2019 at 10:29 am,
          david says:

          Don’t hold back CFS. The criminal bankers don’t rise to the level of corrupt. The Regulators are enabling them and deserve equal condemnation.

    • On March 21, 2019 at 7:26 am,
      CFS says:

      Most central banks are in collusion with each other, because that is the best way to prevent currency exchange rates dramatically changing.
      They take it in turns to create money.

      • On March 21, 2019 at 7:29 am,
        OOTB Jerry says:

        Preaching to the choir on that one…Professor….

  4. On March 21, 2019 at 7:08 am,
    OOTB Jerry says:

    It is all just a bunch of BS…..so obvious it is funny that anyone thinks differently….

  5. On March 21, 2019 at 7:12 am,
    OOTB Jerry says:

    Bigger news…….
    https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-03-21/top-guaido-aide-detained-venezuelan-intelligence-pre-dawn-raid
    Bolton and Pence better find another job……….lol

    • On March 21, 2019 at 8:34 am,
      Ebolan says:

      Pence…wasn’t he governor of Indiana??? So you had to live under his rule??? That would make me very pensive.

      • On March 21, 2019 at 9:15 am,
        CFS says:

        Pence’s parents lived about 100 yards from me in Indiana, when I first lived there.
        Mike was fairly conservative in outlook, but became less so over the years, as with all politicians they bend as necessary to get re-elected. Few rise to Fovernor or President without owing a lot of favors, which become due later. (Trump being a substantial exception to that rule, thankfully.)

        • On March 21, 2019 at 9:21 am,
          Ebolan says:

          You, lived in Indiana, too? I’m confused…I thought Jerry lived in Indiana and you lived in Commiefornia…

          Yes, you are right. And of course that goes all the way down to the local level. Most people I know who run for office are beholden to special interests in some way before they even run.

          • On March 21, 2019 at 9:58 am,
            CFS says:

            I lived in Indiana from the early ’70s, plus living, as the mood took me, simultaneously in the UK, for the last 25 years with also California for the last decade plus.
            I love CA weather, hate the taxes, and was paying Indiana and UK taxes until recently.
            Knowing the weather likely to happen in Indiana, I finally shifted out just a couple of years ago. I was thinking of splitting my time between CA and New Zealand/Australia, But Australia (Gold Coast) is just too hot and New Zealand deteriorating too fast into multicultural socialism.

        • On March 21, 2019 at 9:40 am,
          bonzo barzini says:

          I lived in Bloomington, IN for 3 happy years while in grad school at IU. What a gorgeous campus, but I could not take the cold winters and moved back to the republic of Texas.

          • On March 21, 2019 at 10:13 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Ditto on the campus……Only way you can survive Indiana , have a condo somewhere else.

      • On March 21, 2019 at 10:17 am,
        OOTB Jerry says:

        EBO…….I still live in Indiana ….The Govn. Mansion is in Indianapolis…
        The last time Pence lived in town,…..they had signs all over his neigborhood…..
        saying ….PENCE MUST GO…….

        BTW….did you listen and read….the post about PENCE and Ryan…..putting a hit job out on Trump….

        • On March 21, 2019 at 1:27 pm,
          Ebolan says:

          I am sorry. I missed that one. Wonder what Pence will do after he’s done being VP. I’m sure he’s got lots of chips to cash in.

          • On March 21, 2019 at 1:38 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            On March 19, 2019 at 10:08 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:
            EBO this is for you………..
            Just interesting on the VP and Ryan….and the funeral
            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b3VloxdbJjs

            Reply to this comment

          • On March 21, 2019 at 2:47 pm,
            Ebolan says:

            OK, thanks.

  6. On March 21, 2019 at 7:45 am,
    Dick Tracy says:

    There was a hue and cry over Charles Ponzi of Boston’s bogus get rich quick schemes, but Alan Greenspan of New York refined corruption. He did what Ponzi could never do and that is destroy the World economy with money printing and zero interest rates. Ponzi got the slammer but Greenspan will get to live out his days catching goldfish with a fishing pole in his backyard pool at Boca Raton, Florida. LOL! DT

  7. On March 21, 2019 at 8:42 am,
    Ebolan says:

    MerCurse and Cristo4u discuss the latest on the Brexit screw job. Little people take it in the shorts again as usual by the GD tyrants.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fw3rolDt_k

    • On March 21, 2019 at 8:48 am,
      Ebolan says:

      Sorry for the spelling but I figured with all the typos and the dang iPad I’d just use the phonetic spelling

      • On March 21, 2019 at 12:24 pm,
        Ebolan says:

        Ebonics…by Ebloan. 🙂

    • On March 21, 2019 at 9:31 am,
      CFS says:

      The only thing not mentioned about that discussion of Brexit is that once Brexit happens, there is a good chance the EU collapses, Greece, portugal will follow the UK out and the EU crumbles into a much smaller union.
      For that reason the “British-hating” French may suddenly go back to agreeing with Germany that British should be try to kept in the EU.
      Sooner or later the Conservative Party will dump the May, as leader.

      Alas, there is no one obvious to take her place; not even Boris with his new spring hair cut.

  8. On March 21, 2019 at 9:09 am,
    GH says:

    While I believe the long-term low in interest rates is in, one interpretation of the medium term is that it looks like we’re heading into a multi-annual cycle low, suggesting the tendency into 2020 will be downward.

    Eyeballing the cycle I’m talking about, 4 years seems the most common, but it’s highly variable and sometimes seems to stretch 6 years or longer…

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24TNX&p=W&st=1960-03-13&id=p85524756534

    On the other hand, if you draw in the main long-term down trend channel, it has broken out of the upper rail of that channel, and could just be backtesting that breakout now. That’s a major development favoring higher rates that could start the snowball rolling, or at least counter balance the cyclical undertow. That might suggest a more sideways to sideways down tendency in rates.

    Bottom line, a reasonable technical/cyclical case can also be made for a lower tendency in rates for a while.

    • On March 21, 2019 at 11:39 am,
      OOTB Jerry says:

      I think you can forget the cycle on interest rates……..in the past is one thing , if everything had stayed normal……BUT, ….we never had QE or ZIRP. in the equation so,..the ball game has been scammed, and everything is different and using old cycle theory is out the window………JMO

  9. On March 21, 2019 at 9:49 am,
    Ebolan says:

    Stefan Molyneux’s speech in Vancouver Canada was shut down by leftist thugs on Friday 15 March 2019 – THIS is the speech that got him deplatformed

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHvowlbMo_4

    • On March 21, 2019 at 11:51 am,
      OOTB Jerry says:

      The cops……should know if the citizen does not pay his taxes….there is no pension…
      remember in Rome….in the final days….No taxes, no funds, no job, everyone go home..

      • On March 21, 2019 at 12:14 pm,
        Ebolan says:

        The pensions definitely come first. They let the roads and everything else fall apart in an attempt to fund the pensions. They are taking it out of the hides of the taxpayer.

      • On March 21, 2019 at 1:13 pm,
        Ebolan says:

        We got an army of cops and fire who are in their early 50s and want their annual 6 figure plus medical/dental/vision coverage NOW. It’s what their unions and the politicians told them they’d get. And their unions paid good money to buy off all those politicians all these years.

        • On March 21, 2019 at 1:22 pm,
          Ebolan says:

          And try to see how well it goes over when you tell a cop he’s got to take a haircut on his yearly 6 figure pension….they get quite angry I can tell you from experience.

  10. On March 21, 2019 at 11:42 am,
    larry says:

    FASCINATING..At EVERY technical juncture for a market short(pullback) the FED technicians see it and engineer a miracle…dufffff

  11. On March 21, 2019 at 11:46 am,
    OOTB Jerry says:

    THE PRESIDENT…….Just SIGNED EX.ORDER…..concerning FREE SPEECH on college campus,….NO FREE SPEECH>>>NO FUNDING…..stick it in your ear…libtards….. 🙂

    • On March 21, 2019 at 11:52 am,
      larry says:

      OOTB…why didn’t I think of that…Guess that is why I will never be a great president of this great nation…

      • On March 21, 2019 at 12:01 pm,
        OOTB Jerry says:

        I have been giving Donald some bad press lately……but, today….he is brilliant…..JMO

    • On March 21, 2019 at 12:23 pm,
      Ebolan says:

      Demorats pulling out all stops…they’ve got felons and illegal aliens all set to vote in 2020.

      Gillum’s ‘red flag’ plan to stop Trump: 1M more Florida voters
      https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2019/03/20/gillums-red-flag-plan-to-stop-trump-1m-new-florida-voters-927053

      • On March 21, 2019 at 12:25 pm,
        OOTB Jerry says:

        Gillum is not going to make it……the cubans do not like him…..lol

        • On March 21, 2019 at 12:26 pm,
          OOTB Jerry says:

          Retard from the swamp…..

          • On March 21, 2019 at 12:26 pm,
            Ebolan says:

            Maybe Mr. Big Al Korelin can break out his spam hammer…down there in FL…

      • On March 21, 2019 at 12:25 pm,
        Ebolan says:

        And you can bet there will be plenty of dead DemoRats voting in 2020.

        • On March 21, 2019 at 12:27 pm,
          OOTB Jerry says:

          Remember the electric might go off …..like Vinny Land.. and the voting will need a recount …LOL

          • On March 21, 2019 at 12:29 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Repubs win in all recounts……lol ….remember the hanging chad……with bush and al the core….

  12. On March 21, 2019 at 12:18 pm,
    Ebolan says:

    In this country the state is worshiped.

    I know Jay Taylor is persona non grata here but here is a discussion he had on state worship you might want to hear.

    https://jaytaylormedia.com/media/taylor20190319-3.mp3

    Hope the spam hammer does not come down on this. 🙁

    • On March 21, 2019 at 12:43 pm,
      OOTB Jerry says:

      Doomed to repeat the past, of pagan Rome….oh,,,……Jay is out in left field….Jay is a light weight compared to OWL….. 🙂

      • On March 21, 2019 at 12:46 pm,
        OOTB Jerry says:

        the jews seek a sign…..the greeks knowledge……this is the same thing that Paul talked about on Mars Hill in Athens……

      • On March 21, 2019 at 12:50 pm,
        OOTB Jerry says:

        all kidding aside……the post was good…….

        • On March 21, 2019 at 1:00 pm,
          OOTB Jerry says:

          The professor is only telling some truth…..his MO, is buy the books..

          • On March 21, 2019 at 1:10 pm,
            Ebolan says:

            But we must listen to ALL OWLS. 🙂

      • On March 21, 2019 at 1:07 pm,
        b says:

        The same cycle of empire crushed rome,I doubt their belief in multiple gods and goddesses changed that cycle at all.

        USA calls themselves christian but the cycle of empire is unaffected.

        The same cycle is everywhere around the world thruout history, religions dont seem to matter.

        • On March 21, 2019 at 1:10 pm,
          b says:

          TRUMP: IT’S TIME FOR U.S. TO RECOGNIZE ISRAEL’S SOVEREIGNTY OVER GOLAN HEIGHTS

          A little religion in that one maybe, or money.
          Alot of Syrian oil to be stolen as well.

        • On March 21, 2019 at 1:11 pm,
          Ebolan says:

          If the Spam Hammer deletes all this I will post it in your blog. 🙂

          • On March 21, 2019 at 1:13 pm,
            Matthew says:

            Hormel? Wait, that’s the ham spammer 🙄

          • On March 21, 2019 at 1:16 pm,
            b says:

            I guess it could be considered anti Israel, maybe not, no idea.

            I doubt there are any worries, nobody cares. lol

            Well, except for a few nobodys around this site. 😉

          • On March 21, 2019 at 1:39 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            EBO…..I left you a tape on Pence and Ryan ….look up above…

          • On March 21, 2019 at 1:41 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Repost for EBO
            On March 21, 2019 at 1:38 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:
            On March 19, 2019 at 10:08 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:
            EBO this is for you………..
            Just interesting on the VP and Ryan….and the funeral
            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b3VloxdbJjs

          • On March 21, 2019 at 4:07 pm,
            Ebolan says:

            A Pence/Ryan ticket in 2020…

          • On March 21, 2019 at 4:50 pm,
            Ebolan says:

            Great campaign slogan…for a DemoRat…

            https://www.lewrockwell.com/political-theatre/andrew-yang/

          • On March 21, 2019 at 5:06 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            LOL>……… informed choice on circumcision Yeng and Yang……

  13. On March 21, 2019 at 1:21 pm,
    OOTB Jerry says:

    Not sure what you are saying……
    I agree with the same problems, (not sure about the cycle having anything to do with where we are, except man continues to be corrupt, that is a fact, …the sin nature has never left this earth, so a repeat is understandable)….From the Beginning, the sin nature of man had existed…..lying, stealing, fornication all human traits of sin nature of man, regardless of religion. Calling one’s self a christian, ….God knows his sheep. Rome of the pagans, and Rome USA not much different…..You will know them by their fruits…….

  14. On March 21, 2019 at 1:44 pm,
    OOTB Jerry says:
  15. On March 21, 2019 at 2:39 pm,
    CFS says:

    OOTB,
    I will.
    Israel is not defensible against rocket attacks without the Golan Heights.

    They suffer regularly from random rocket attacks from Hezbollah; just lobbed without line of sight..
    If batteries were set up on the Golan Heights to target Israel, significant regions become unliveable.

    • On March 21, 2019 at 3:06 pm,
      OOTB Jerry says:

      I was looking for more of a biblical answer from the other professor….since, he was professing knowing everything on religion… But, I might be way off base, but, maybe not.
      But, thanks for the reply.

      • On March 21, 2019 at 3:08 pm,
        OOTB Jerry says:

        But, then again…..we do not want to get spam hammered……….lol

  16. On March 21, 2019 at 3:10 pm,
    CFS says:

    I believe the Taylor Professor misdefines “Liberalism”, in that he does not mention ethics, moral values, etc.
    Society cannot last long without a code of laws, moral values, ethics, or whatever you want to call it/them.
    The ten commandments or something similar have defined a basis for moral behavior as long as civil society has been around. Judaism took its set of values from Egypt, which based it valies on Sumer. Christianity essentially evolved out of a Romanized version of Judaism.
    To discuss political leanings without also including ethical standards or moral values makes little sense.
    Unfortunately modern politics seems to be corrupting moral values as “multiculturalism and “political correctness”replaces commonsense.

    • On March 21, 2019 at 4:19 pm,
      OOTB Jerry says:

      I think Taylor’s Professor is lost in his thoughts…….the scriptures in the schools have been tainted , ….the spirit can not be taught…..for it is foolishness to the so, called educated.
      1 Corinthians 1:27 King James Version (KJV)
      27 But God hath chosen the foolish things of the world to confound the wise; and God hath chosen the weak things of the world to confound the things which are mighty

  17. On March 21, 2019 at 3:13 pm,
    CFS says:

    oops….. “it valies” should be “its values”

  18. On March 21, 2019 at 3:19 pm,
    CFS says:

    Note: I did not say Israel has a “legal” right to occupy the Golan Heights……That most certainly is debatable.
    I am saying that they have a practical right, however, to do so. (out of defense considerations), as long as factions/countries deny their (Israel’s) right to existence.