Responsibility
Sorry I have not been active on our forum for the past few days. New York has been very busy for me.
The highlight of the trip has, obviously, been my conversation with Dr. Ron Paul. (More on that later.)
Sydney Williams wrote an interesting missive which I have posted below. Now I need to get back to the Conference.
Best to you all!
From Sydney Williams:
“Rising Student Debt – Declining Personal Responsibility”
“According to Ronald Ehrenberg, economist and professor of labor and industrial relations at Cornell, tuition at selective private colleges and universities has grown at two to three percentage points over the rate of inflation for over a century. However, “it wasn’t until the 1980s,” he wrote, “that tuition growth began to regularly outstrip growth in median family income.” In the past two decades, growth in tuition at public universities has exceeded that at private institutions. Writing in the September/October issue of “The Washington Monthly,” Benjamin Ginsberg noted that between 1975 and 2005 total spending by colleges and universities between those years rose by more than three times the rate of inflation.
In last Friday’s Investor’s Business Daily, Michael Barone penned a slightly more optimistic view. He cited a Wall Street Journal report indicating that average tuition discounts offered incoming freshmen have reached an all-time high of 45% and that “sticker price” tuitions have increased at the smallest amount in a dozen years. Given unemployment among the millennial generation, potential students may be deciding that a college diploma is not worth a six-figure loan. For years, Mr. Barone noted, college and university administrators have been immune from the discipline of market forces. Those carefree times may be coming to an end if, as Mr. Barone suggested, “market forces have kicked in.”
Let us hope so, but two pieces of proposed legislation could serve to prolong this nightmare. Last week, the White House issued a proposal that would forgive billions of dollars in student debt over the next decade. Debt repayments would be based on income, with monthly payments equal to 10% of income, after taxes and living expenses. After 20 years of on-time payments – 10 years for those working in public or non-profit jobs – the balance of the loan would be forgiven. Also last week, Massachusetts junior Senator Elizabeth Warren proposed to reduce the rate students pay on federally-subsidized student loans for one year, from 3.4% to 0.75%. (They are scheduled to rise to 6.8% in July.) While it is easy to feel sorry for graduates with enormous debt obligations, they knowingly incurred the debt. Alleviating the debt may be the right decision, but it does undermine the concept of personal responsibility. Keep in mind, taxpayers would have to pick up the losses, both in terms of below market interest rates and debt forgiveness, and those taxpayers include millions of American workers engaged in trades that don’t require a college education.
This is not to suggest that the problem of over-indebted college graduates is not serious. It is. Student loan debt tops $1 trillion. It expanded from $250 billion in 2005 and now exceeds both credit card and auto loan debt. Anne Lowrey in Friday’s New York Times reported of the drag on the economy caused by the “millstone of student loan debt.” She quoted the Pew Research Center, which noted that the debt-to-income levels for households under the age of 35 have risen to 1.5-to-1 in 2010 from 1-to-1 in 2001. The effect has been to constrain young adults and to hold back the recovery. Unemployment among millennials is 50% higher than it is for the nation as a whole. Today’s students are graduating with more debt and the worst job prospects than at any time in recent history.
But it begs the more important question – the third rail of politics – how do we get Washington to stop promising programs we cannot afford? The spread between government expenses and revenues has been narrowing, but is still high and total debt continues to mount. It now exceeds GDP. And those numbers do not include the unfunded liabilities of programs like Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security. And those numbers say nothing about the costs of an inevitable rise in interest rates. Congress is required by law to fund the policies of government, but they have abrogated their role as fiscally responsible stewards.
Additionally, Washington’s proposals will serve to propagate a system of growing dependency. Being personally responsible for one’s actions is integral to a free-functioning democracy. If anything, that need has never been more critical or timely than it is now; yet the opposite is the message from Washington. Government’s tentacles reach ever further into our lives, increasing dependency. The forgiveness of student debt will only aggravate the situation, making another promise with no regard to the costs.
We need to find ways to decrease spending and implement true tax reform. Spending more only enlarges the hole that threatens to entomb us. It is self reliance and individual responsibility that is wanted, not more dependency. For example, retirement is increasingly the responsibility of the individual. Among private companies, 401(k) plans have largely replaced defined benefit plans. Yet very few of those approaching retirement age are adequately prepared. Government should be promoting investment and savings, not penalizing them, as is done today. It is only a matter of time before public employees will face the same reality. Government retirement promises, without realistic actuarial tables, will fail. Politicians love to give things, whether it is forgiveness of student and mortgage debt, or promises of retirement for public employees and of healthcare for all. Politicians shy from addressing the costs, not only in dollars, but in the sense that dependency emasculates self reliance.
To best address this conundrum we face, we must first understand why tuitions have risen to the level they have, and we must determine whether the realization of an education has lived up to its promise.
Responsibility for the outlandish growth in college tuitions has many fathers. There are several explanations. To attract students, colleges have spent millions on plant and equipment – fancy dorms, elaborate student centers and sports facilities with every amenity – in what Professor Ehrenberg calls “an arms race.” Second, a shared system of governance between trustees, administrators and faculty has guaranteed a slow response to higher costs. Third, rising administrative costs have placed an extraordinary burden on college budgets. Forty years ago, Mr. Ginsberg writes, 268,952 administrators supported 446,830 American college professors. In 2005 three times as many administrators were looking after only 50% more professors. In the last eight years, the situation has almost certainly become even more lopsided.
But, like the housing bubble of half a dozen years ago, a good part of the blame lies with government. They have insisted that higher education is a right; they have made available the easy access to loans and government supported grants, all of which have served to allow colleges to keep raising tuitions. In his recent column, Michael Barone wrote that government’s actions produced a growing demand, “higher education administrators saw no need to compete on price. Higher tuitions just gave your school more prestige.” New rules providing below-market interest rates and accelerating the forgiveness of those loans may alleviate the pain of borrowers, but will do little to cure the problem.
As to whether a college education has lived up to its promise, any answer is nuanced. Certainly, studies of the past suggest the cost of college is more than made up for, over a lifetime, in higher wages. But things change fast. Costs are higher than ever and jobs scantier. Any individual taking on loans assumes the responsibility of repaying that debt. Taking on debt with the expectation that taxpayers will bail one out, in terms of a painless repayment schedule and below-market interest charges, and with the knowledge that ten or twenty years down the road whatever debt still exists will be forgiven, provides perverse incentives. Nevertheless, education is important. We live in a connected and increasingly globally competitive world. To do well, our schools must do better at training students for the world that will be, not that is or was. Politically correct faculties and administrations more interested in indoctrinating students, deprive them of the skills necessary to do well in myriad vocations. College students, while professing nonconformity, too often conform in nonconformity. Students need to be taught to think independently. They need the rudiments and skills of a basic education, as well as the rhetorical skills necessary to challenge generally accepted preconceptions.
A big part of learning involves understanding the precepts and importance of individual responsibility. Depriving students of such lessons will have long term, negative ramifications, and risks creating a nation of what H.G. Wells called the Eloi”
Once again DENNIS , another great piece written by you , to which I must agree.
Tony your busy buddy Jerry was looking for you the other day, he’s probably busy promoting his new plastic office cubicles that he calls “Jerry On The Job”. Ha, Ha. DT
YES DICK…..I have been extremely busy, cornering the office cubical market,,,,,it seems there is a shortage of corners to hide in at this moment. I have been noticing that ,when I arrive to inspect my purchases of cubical,,there seems to be an abundance of feathers gathered in the right corner of each left sided cubical….Someone, advised me that there were some chickens gathered last week ,but, have departed looking for new fields to flock …to……Like a mother hen, come back to her nest,,,,,IRISH has come HOME………welcome ,,,,back you MOTHER TO ALL US LITTLE CHICHENS……..
Hey Irish! Welcome back our friend…we missed you.
irish……………….glad to see you have been able to exit the castle….and share some wisdom with the family…………, hope, everything is well on the ISLE,….OOTB
Hi Tony, I was …almost… considering a silver coin bounty for your return — glad I didn’t;-)
Tuition has grown because we let it grow: 1) Easy loans, 2) Not enough space to keep up with the demand, therefore demand exceeds supply and there will be always someone to pay the high price.
Do what Germany did in the 1890’s build hundreds of colleges that teach skilled trades and the industry will follow and these are high paying jobs not like the tattoo parlor and the fast food flippers. People must have decent jobs to pay the tax base needed to support a middle class society. DT
You do not want to live in an economy in which your most successful grandchildren are a tattoo artist and a hair stylist.
Yep….so true!
A service economy only can take so far.
I had dinner tonight with a second generation owner of a successful fire safety company.
He said his business is holding its own but a significant amount of his revenue is generated from servicing empty retail space which by law is on the landlord’s tab.
I told him….”We can cut hair, tattoo. make pizza and sell insurance to each for only so long! Eventually this country needs to make consumer products which we export.”
The bottom line is when there is nothing….nothing reveals itself soon enough!
DR. DENNIS……WELL SAID……………………….OOTB
It is not a coincidence that the businesses government subsidizes most realize price inflation multiples higher than the overall economy.
Housing
Healthcare
Education
Defense
Three of the above are exclusively vended to the general public.
It is the targeted subsidy that causes disproportioned price inflation in these areas.
If we were allowed to individually buy tanks the same would be true for retail show room floor tank prices.
When you fill out line 1 of your 1040 Schedule A think if the mortgage deduction did not exist what would be the FMV of your residence then be?
Why is it that the average cost of a US Knee replacement is $40,000.
Today my clients who have a slightly sore knee go through agony to arrive at a slightly less sore artificial knee. A ridiculous round trip of only perceived self improvement that would never have been considered if the cost was paid from their wallet.
The mal-investment thrown into hastily thrown up McMansions, discretionary knees, hips erectile dysfunction drugs and elitist professors indoctrinating unworkable collectivism into our indentured servitude students will eventually be see for what a mistake it is.
Following on from that Dennis and where here in the UK tattoo p… ‘artists’ and beauticians are on a roll, but with a further 2.5m out of work, 70% of our horticultural business cannot fill suitable vacancies. The Royal Horticultural Society has just petitioned the House of Commons pleading for horticulture to be embedded into the national curriculum of our education agenda. It seems that at present most of our young people consider anything to do with nature as a ‘sad’ pastime only fit for nerds and losers.
The irony is of course staggering. For in our celebrity/face-lifting/game-show brain dead “culture” with just about every species of our wildlife either under threat or close to extinction, the fools both old and young don’t get it!
Probably the first way to remedy this is to get some pretty bimbo to risk a torn fingernail by inserting it into a sanitised grow-bag, while convincing everyone it’s the most sensual thing she’s ever done!.
I think Julia Roberts already did just that.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UeKsV6tohiE
“Pretty Women” is the first thing someone of this culture thinks of when they hear the word horticulture. They had to hear it because they could not read it and certainly would not write it! Too many syllables!
!!!!!
It is easy to understand why higher education is so expensive today with the average salary of College Presidents at 400K annually and similar outrageous salaries for most of academia. NO one, at least those who work in the public sector, is worth that kind of money for such an unchallenging job requiring few difficult decisions and who are largely unaccountable to taxpayers.
As a youngster, I advised a significant number of public college Presidents and Boards of Trustee for a decade.
Or….to loosely quote Henry Kissinger: The reason that there are so many bitter disputes in public higher education academia is because the stakes are so low……
DAI……you might notice that at some of the large universities,,,,,PROFESSORS are being replaced by students TA(teaching assistance) EXAMPLE ,,,there are 3000 ta at the UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA…..Many universitises are no longer hiring PHD. nor can PHD, get a job…..
this is the DUMBING DOWN OF AMERICA..,,,,which the govt. participates in…..
This conclusion would assume the “Professors” were more intelligent than the “teaching assistant”.
I offer a related theme to a book I am writing, to wit:
“Sometimes questions should not be answered. Let the inquisitive think it through. It may be better to learn how to search for an answer than to be delivered one. There is no rush. Sit on a porch and figure it out.”
from
Time Between Porches 3 © 2012 D.M. Law Publishing
I need some help publishing some books…..can you help…..
Any opinions on Newmont. It is at a 4.3% yield and tempting to buy. Background info: (maybe it still too early to buy)
02:55 PM EDT, 04/30/2013 (MidnightTrader) — Newmont Mining Corp. (NEM) has fallen 6.2% to $31.85, and hit a new 52-week low of $31.33 earlier today, after the company reported Q1 earnings late Monday that missed expectations and reduced its outlook for capital expenditure.
NEM reported Q1 EPS of $0.71 per share, below analyst estimates of $0.79 per share, and lower compared to Q1 2012 EPS of $1.17 per share. Revenues of $2.1 billion were shy of analyst estimates of $2.2 billion, and lower than Q1 2012 revenues $2.6 billion.
Newmont also said its average consolidated costs applicable to sales in the quarter were $758 an ounce of gold, compared with $620 a year earlier. The average of three analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg was for $740 an ounce
NEM is lowering its 2013 attributable and consolidated capital expenditure outlook by $100 million to $2.0 to $2.2 billion, and to $2.3 to $2.5 billion, respectively.
Price: 31.85, Change: -2.12, Percent Change: -6.2
Technically, NEM is getting interesting. At about a price of 28, it hits a long term uptrend line which should be good support. If it breaks through that, the next good support is at about 25. I’ve been watching the stock closely and waiting for an opportunity to purchase it at either level. I plan on taking a position at about 28 and if it compromises that level,will sell and purchase at 25 again.
In the August 2011 general market crash NEM was the only Green square on the CNBC S&P 500 market wall. It was a turnstile of S&P money flowing into AU.
It being the only S7P 500 gold stock…..I would own some of it.
An entry at these levels assuming current dividend policy remains would mean a 15% yield at 2500 AU.
It is all relative. What would a 15% yield mean in that environment.
I just added 500+500 NEM around $31 average. Just could not wait with the yield nearing 4.5% it is looking too attractive. This had a 52 week high around 57.
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On the 9/15/12 Weekend Show I weaved three of the shows comments to arrive at a commentary on student loans and control. A telling sign of someone trying to control you is they will often tell you they are only trying to help. Often when things are not what they seem to be there is a control freak to blame. The above student loan editorial made me think of my below missive which you may find on point and instructive, to wit:
On September 15, 2012 at 10:04 am,
Dennis M. O’Neil says:
For whatever reason I was inspired to tie three thoughts from the show together…here goes.
The show thoughts were:
1) From Segment #1 Dr. Rossi’s mention of the Joe Biden’s Freudian gaffe about “They want to put you back in chains!”
2) From segment #2 the overall segment about the counter-productive reality that is Guaranteed Student Loans for higher education.
3) From segment #6 the idea of Clete Bulach statement “Everything in life is about control”.
If everything in life is about control then it is true that public education in general is about control. Student loans although perceived as giving opportunity have become the equivalent of fulfilling Joe Biden’s placing students in debt chains. In colonial times someone who could not afford to book passage to “The New World” would sell themselves into indentured servitude.
The process was a market and followed this path:
1) A subject was in an environment in which he was condemned to limited opportunity. Born into a caste system he would never amount to more than his father if lucky enough.
2) A vehicle presented itself to transport him to a magical place of unlimited opportunity.
3) Because of the practice of indentured servitude prices for passage to “The New World” were bid up beyond reach of average would be adventurer. A dilemma was at hand. Do you remain in serfdom at 40 schillings a year or ironically sell yourself into servitude for a ticket to be eventually free?
4) The hopeful booked passage selling themselves for periods of years into indenture. Literally declaring themselves as collateral for a boat ride.
Today the public schools take fiefdom over their district. The student serf who is lucky enough to learn the dumbed down curriculum is presented a diploma with limited prospects. “Higher education” presents itself as a ship to potential nirvana. However, free flowing student loan money has bid up the price of College and University. In order to take the higher education journey the student takes on an indenture not at all distinguishable from the one frowned upon in history. We just do not call the uniquely non-dischargeable debt in bankruptcy what it is…enslavement. We call it opportunity. A must have. At $600 per credit hour students sit in auditoriums filled with fellow student debt slave passengers being taught by student teachers while the professor writes his next contrived masterpiece of academia.
Indentured servitude whether found in history or by looking at the results of Ted Kennedy’s favored guaranteed student loans both bid up the cost of a needed service to the detriment of those seeking the service.
In the seventies the squares and bell bottoms borrowed their way through Frisbee college many soon thereafter discharging the debt in bankruptcy…others paid it back much more easily with inflation debased currency. The prevalence of student loan bankruptcy threatened the program but to continue the farce Ted Kennedy excluded the debt from discharge. So we now live in a country in which things not found written in the constitution become the law as if they were written. We also live in a country, in which things written in the constitution for historic cause like bankruptcy for control purposes are ignored as archaic boilerplate.
Mr. Bulach was right about control being pervasive in life. Certainly the industry that is education is more about control than it is about enlightening the student. The failed public schools system exerts control over failure. The flawed fiascos deliver an occasional literate student to a higher education boat dock. The illusion of going to any school you want is joined by a controlling price of irrevocable debt. Guaranteed Student Loans are irrevocable indentures the equivalent of selling oneself into servitude. Maybe Joe Biden was right in a figurative sense. Maybe “they” do want to put us back in chains? Just maybe we have not ever fully escaped the chains in the first place.