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Trader Tracks coverage on Santacruz Silver

January 16, 2015

A few weeks ago Roger put out a report on Santacruz Silver. He went in depth and has some interesting comments regarding how the company is positioned in the silver space.

Click here to read the full report.

Discussion
74 Comments
    LPG
    Jan 16, 2015 16:54 AM

    IMHO, the big boys are trying to keep things somewhat under a lid.
    One day they let gold run.
    The next day it’s silver’s turn.
    Pretty obvious over the past few days IMHO.
    GL to all investing/trading.
    LPG

      Jan 16, 2015 16:46 PM

      all-in sustaining cash costs of $23.68 per silver equivalent ounce
      Dec.02,2014
      Kitco NR

    Jan 16, 2015 16:00 AM

    Congrats Guys!

    As promised Glen mentioned precisely today we would attack 200+on Hui πŸ™‚

      Jan 16, 2015 16:07 AM

      Price appears having been capped everyday. Movement has been muted. The pattern repeats every day. However as long as it moves in same direction, the trend is good

        Jan 16, 2015 16:33 AM

        Agree about your comment regarding “same direction”

    Jan 16, 2015 16:01 AM

    Dollar will break 93 shortly and attack that Gap someone spoke about.

    Jan 16, 2015 16:02 AM

    It seems that the cash cost is down a bit. Does 17$/oz cash cost or all in? Low oil price will help too

      Jan 16, 2015 16:17 AM

      I guess people are excited by the price move and don’t have time for SantaCruz

        Jan 16, 2015 16:33 AM

        Maybe, but I think that is short-sighted!

    Jan 16, 2015 16:04 AM

    I’d like to see silver close above 17.36 —today!

    Jan 16, 2015 16:04 AM

    Yesterday took a good look at gold when doc said we might correct 10-15 points today but here we are and first point of attack is 1275 and I believe we stretch to about 1285-1288 before resting. Let’s see.

    Glen

    Jan 16, 2015 16:06 AM

    The miners are just getting started from a weekly chart perspective.
    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPTGD&p=W&yr=5&mn=3&dy=0&id=p83343429129&a=374056948&listNum=1

    Jan 16, 2015 16:13 AM

    Gold now $1532.83 Canadian, on the heels of targets announcement Sony is immediately closing 14 stores, the snowball is alive and well in the great white north.

      Jan 16, 2015 16:16 AM

      Thanks for update Tracy πŸ™‚

      Jan 16, 2015 16:20 AM

      Gold 1533 and silver 21.08 in cnd$. Gold price is very close to the price before the crush of April 2013. Silver still have 5$ to go.

      Jan 16, 2015 16:24 AM

      No surprise. Canadians sit at the border for HOURS to go shopping in the US, here in BC/WA. It has not really abated much with the Loonie dropping from 1.05 to 0.85 exchange rate.

        Jan 16, 2015 16:34 AM

        Everywhere you look all you see is endless retail, and expensive condominiums by the tens of thousands but nowhere do you see industry, we haven’t seen our real estate collapse here yet but the snowball is building in Alberta. The Rocky Mountains will be a great building base for the coming real estate snowball.

          Jan 16, 2015 16:45 AM

          DT, Alberta is building a refinery. It is the first one in 33 years in North America. Alberta is most pro-business province in Canada and it suports two conservative parties, while a lot of other provinces favor socialism. Alberta economy will revive in the long run even oil does not come back. I remember Alberta was called miracle when oil was in the teens in 1990s. But I agree housing price is too high. However, where is the 18% money supply growth going in Canada. Think about it. Even we don’t have a 40% growth like US, but 18% growth is enough to erode purchasing power in a midium term. Where do we put our money when everything is not doing well, including stocks, oil, commodities, bonds. At least house is something real.

            Jan 16, 2015 16:56 AM

            Alberta is a dynamo that has many eggs in its basket. My apologies for a corny mixed metaphor.

            Jan 16, 2015 16:06 AM

            No problem DT. I do feel that Alberta is mis-understood in the central and east canada. People think it is a red neck province. I am not native Albertan so I am not offended at all when people make fun of Alberta. I actually have laughs. Due to my special background of being lived under communism, I like capitalism in its pure form (not the current wall street type). So I choose to live here despite its harsh weather.

    Jan 16, 2015 16:17 AM

    Matt,

    How do you like 206-207 target for hui on todays run?

    Jan 16, 2015 16:31 AM

    Matthew
    Alexco (AXU) has been VERY disappointing as an investment in a silver miner so far in 2015 (I restrict myself to pure Canadian companies for investing, by the way). I think there are fundamental problems with AXU that keep buyers away, rather than a chart/technical pattern. I really think AXU is a high probability candidate for M&A in 2015 for $1/shqre, unless they announce the beginning of production this summer. Do you have any insights?
    Brian

      Jan 16, 2015 16:47 AM

      I think it is being held back by mostly by the silver price. Once we get the bottom confirmed, I think it will go back to providing its usual leverage.
      Remember that things always look the worst at the major lows and best at the major highs AND that markets are forward looking. So, despite investor jitters about all sorts of things (share offerings, SLW deal, etc.) I think we should focus on AXU’s current valuation based on what you expect from silver itself. If you don’t expect silver to do much anytime soon, then you might sell strength until you’re out. I DO expect a good enough showing from silver this year to continue to buy weakness or at least hold. As far as speculations in this space go, I do not consider it to be all that risky.

      Jan 16, 2015 16:56 AM

      Notice that silver is up more than 3 times as much as gold today, at the moment, and that silver will confirm gold if it closes anywhere near the current price. Nothing can rescue AXU from investor fears like silver putting in some convincing moves in which it outperforms gold.
      Next week could be very good for AXU and its peers.

      Jan 16, 2015 16:11 AM
    Jan 16, 2015 16:48 AM

    a quote on line..
    Gold is now 1% up on the 12 month chart
    Silver is 16.5% down.
    If the table tilts to deflation, that gap will not narrow. unquote

      Jan 16, 2015 16:10 AM

      Yeah. My SBT.UN has also jumped today. My first profit taking target is only 30 cents away. Canadian $ off course.

    Jan 16, 2015 16:15 AM

    What an impressive run by silver today!

      Jan 16, 2015 16:20 AM

      Silver has a long way to recover. If anyone who has everaged down, he can see a lot of profit even before it returns to its old high. I am sure silver is going into 3 digits (excluding decimal). It has a lof of usages not impacted by its price rise.

    Jan 16, 2015 16:17 AM

    Matt

    Gdx broke the 21.80 i believe you said. What is target now?

    Jan 16, 2015 16:38 AM

    Matt,

    1285/1288 πŸ™‚ next?

    Jan 16, 2015 16:41 AM

    This made me laugh out loud this morning.
    One of my stocks, Victoria Gold, has only traded 14 shares today. With a share price of 0.1146, the total value of traded shares today is $1.60. This is one of those investments that can go nowhere but up from here !

      LPG
      Jan 16, 2015 16:38 AM

      Hello Brian,
      One thing to keep in mind:
      assuming the company is solvent and can fulfil listings requirements… maybe the company does (has to do ?) a reverse split… and then the stock may go lower again…
      Best to you, and GL investing/trading.
      LPG

    Jan 16, 2015 16:46 AM

    Today should put this ratio firmly below its’ 50MA. (;-)

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$GOLD:$SILVER

      Jan 16, 2015 16:56 AM

      I have been doing some reading on the history of the gold:silver ratio. Apparently, the first ratio was 13:1. With gold representing the SUN (or one year phase) and silver representing the MOON (or 13 moon phases per year). Modern monetary history was a 14 or 15:1 ratio (e.g., Adam Smith)

        Jan 16, 2015 16:07 AM

        I never heard of that before. I know that the ratio of silver to gold in the ground is approximately 16 – 1. It is the monetary aspect of these PMs that skews the simplistic ratio.

        The mention of ratios………one might look at the available stock pile of silver , which is reported to be LESS than gold. Silver is USED UP or consumed……which makes these ratios questionable………..

        Jan 16, 2015 16:50 AM

        The ratio of ~15:1 is the monetary ratio. Since money demand is infinity, the only factor is the cost of producing the money, which is also the content of the metal in the ground using the old mining technology. However, the silver tends to concentrate on the surface and gold is more uniformly distributed, the ratio is 9:1 as I heard of, partially due to the fact the easy mines are depleted and modern technology allows deeper exploration. Since silver has lost most of its monetary nature and gold still has most of it, the ratio has been large in last 100 years. This is due to many factors such as central banks dumping all the silver to the market, silver market is easier to manipulated, etc. When the monetary nature returns, the ratio will get a lot lower. But it may be in the long term. In the near term, I am counting on the depletion of the silver inventory and wide use of silver to boost silver price. Once we suddenly find that all the available silver is actually paper, the market will panic.

    GOLD LOOKING GOOD………………………………….

    Jan 16, 2015 16:08 AM

    Glen, with silver getting as high as 17.83 today, it made it into my guesstimate zone for 1275 gold…

    On January 12, 2015 at 11:25 am,
    Matthew says:

    Glen, at 1350, I think silver will be about 19.50 or so. At 1275 I think probably more like 18 (no less than 17.75 and no more than 18.25).

      Jan 16, 2015 16:21 AM

      +1

      So you think the cap is here for gold at 1277/1280 for rest of day?

      I think we got a shot at 1285/1288

        Jan 16, 2015 16:00 AM

        I think there’s a 56% chance that we’ll see your target reached by the bell. πŸ˜‰

          Jan 16, 2015 16:02 AM

          That’s why I love you buddy πŸ™‚

          Not in that way :)lol

            Jan 16, 2015 16:09 AM

            😐 lol

    Jan 16, 2015 16:09 AM

    Matt:
    I agree with the setups and target. $24.18 might even be a bit low. This move is solid.

      Jan 16, 2015 16:14 AM

      I agree, but I bet we’ll at least get a short-lived reaction at that target.

    Jan 16, 2015 16:18 AM

    Love reading the ecitement guys..I can FEEL the emotion is your emails…very very refreshing!

      Jan 16, 2015 16:25 AM

      Marc,

      Thanks..

      For myself there is nothing more gratifying then reaping the rewards of hard work and around the clock. Im literally at times running on 4 hours sleep and bet the rest of the boys are not to far behind. That is what you do to succeed and for us all to gather information as to the truth of what the economical situation is and where it’s headed. Not the phony numbers the fed gives us.

      For myself everything I share in here is from the heart because that is who I’am. I get satisfaction in helping others if i can.

      cheers

      πŸ™‚

        Jan 16, 2015 16:55 AM

        glenfish,
        What a heartfelt – awesome comment!!! Keep up the great work!

          Jan 16, 2015 16:04 AM

          Thanks Buddy πŸ™‚

          I appreciate all you do as well!

    Jan 16, 2015 16:24 AM

    Lunch time in Toronto; trading falls off a cliff. Payday yesterday may help extend an afternoon rally.

      Jan 16, 2015 16:34 AM

      Don’t most get payed on friday’s?

      Looking for that 2pm push higher and definately would love to see a strong push and white candles at the close.

      But im going to keep my mouth hush πŸ™‚

    Jay
    Jan 16, 2015 16:00 AM

    Thanks for the Santacruz report, Roger