Marc Chandler – Looking Past The Debt Ceiling At Yields, Markets and Gold

May 19, 2023

Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global ForEx and Editor of the Marc To Market website joins us to discuss the news today driving markets, including debt ceiling and Powell’s comments on a possible Fed pause. After recapping the market moves we quickly look past the debt ceiling to where money will flow once a settlement is reached. This also ties into market trends that could be established down the road.




Click here to visit Marc’s website to keep up to date on the data and news that are moving markets – Marc To Market.

    May 19, 2023 19:07 AM

    U.S. Stocks Reverse Early Gains, Falling Amid Halt In Debt Ceiling Talks

    Liz Moyer – – May 19, 2023

    “Expectations were rising that a deal to raise the debt ceiling to avoid default would be reached over the weekend, but that changed mid-morning on reports lawmakers in the room had put the talks on hold.”

    “Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is participating on a panel with former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke at a conference in Washington. His appearance caps a week of appearances by Fed officials, whose comments reveal the policymakers are still deciding whether to pause rate hikes in June or continue to tighten as they fight inflation.”

    May 19, 2023 19:11 AM

    Mr. Market Is Still In Denial Over TINA’s Passing

    Jesse Felder – The Felder Report – May 17, 2023

    “Despite the stock market rally so far in 2023, the S&P 500 Index has not come close to regaining its all-time high put in early last year. What has soared to new highs, however, is the stock/bond ratio. In fact, its ascent has been so strong that, over the past two decades, the SPY-to-TLT ratio has only been as overbought (as measured by quarterly RSI) as it is today at the 2007 top heading into the GFC. It came close back in late 2018, just before the steep fourth quarter selloff that year, but didn’t quite manage to reach the level we see currently.”

    “So it would appear that stocks need bonds to rally hard and soon in order to justify current levels. However, if bonds rally because the economy weakens significantly, that would likely not be bullish for equities subject to significant earnings downgrades. And if bonds can’t rally, whether the economy falters in a meaningful way or not, that too could prove problematic for a stock market that appears far out of equilibrium with competing financial assets. In short, it looks like Mr. Market is still in denial over TINA’s passing.”

    May 19, 2023 19:22 PM

    What Ken fisher thinks of Gold

    May 19, 2023 19:01 PM

    Silver has moved up out of the “strong buy” zone that I posted here over a week ago. Now we find out if it sticks…

    May 19, 2023 19:10 PM

    Gold caught a bid at 3 steep trendline supports: 1.) A speed line, 2.) A trendline based on weekly low closes since October 2022, and 3.) A trendline based on absolute lows since October 2022

    May 19, 2023 19:24 PM
    May 19, 2023 19:12 PM

    Wow, what a nice bounce in the PMs today.
    An nice bounce you could have used to SELL!!!!!
    This dead cat bounce was lamer than lame, gold and silver are going into the dread “summer doldrums” and by the time that’s over they’ll be at their 52 week lows.
    And the mining companies?
    Don’t wait, don’t hesitate, SELL!!!!!

      May 19, 2023 19:47 PM

      Wow is right. Gold went 30% after your bearish rants last fall yet you’re delusional enough to think you understand what’s going on. You go on and on about interest rate hikes being the death of gold but are oblivious to the fact that gold is higher today than when the hikes began 14 months ago. There’s been ten hikes averaging .5% each yet gold has spent the last 10 weeks under 3% away from its 2020 all-time high weekly close and has even managed to obtain 2 monthly and 2 quarterly closes above the 2020 monthly and quarterly high closes.
      Yes, gold could continue lower in a perfectly normal correction; after all, it did just rise almost $500 in 6 months. Whatever happens, you need remedial help in both technical and fundamental analysis.
      For now, the bulls still have the slight advantage but that could change early next week to provide you with some relief. You’re welcome.