Marc Chandler – Market Meltdown and Currency Chaos
It’s a sea of red across global markets. Equities are plunging, volatility is surging, and only a few safe havens are in the green: the US dollar, bonds, and volatility indices.
Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global Forex and Editor of the Marc to Market website. Marc joins us to unpack the major market moves, including how currencies are reacting amid surging volatility, global trade tensions, and a growing fear of a longer-term downturn.
Key Theme: Global markets are rattled as trade war fears and volatility spark widespread selling, prompting concerns over central bank responses and capital flight.
Highlights from the discussion:
- Major equity indices plunge: S&P 500 down 8%, Nasdaq down 9%, and IWM (small caps) down 10% – just four days into April.
- Currency market reactions: Despite expectations of dollar strength post-tariffs, the USD sold off sharply, with the yen strengthening as US rates dropped. But then the dollar bounced back today.
- Volatility spikes: The VIX surges 34% to hit 40, marking a significant shift in sentiment and a surge in hedging activity.
- Gap theory in focus: Marc discusses technical “gap” patterns in equity markets and how they could hint at potential snapback or further downside.
- Commodity selloff: Gold drops $200 in days (though still over $3,000), silver plunges from $35 to $29, copper dropped huge from record highs, and oil falls below $62.
- Central bank watch: Powell signaled patience after a strong jobs report, but growing calls for emergency rate cuts suggest market stress could force action.
Of course the quarterly gap is gone too. Get above that channel resistance and we’ll see an acceleration.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24HUI%3A%24SPX&p=Q&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=t0247474513c&a=1946101043&r=1743797108253&cmd=print
GDX:QQQ would have to rise about 12x just to reach its 2008-2011 highs.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDX%3AQQQ&p=M&yr=15&mn=0&dy=0&id=t9572685529c&a=1555608318&r=1743797732649&cmd=print
Btw, monthly GDX:QQQ broke out to its highest RSI reading since 2008.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/dPKizUuZ/
QQQ : First Target (ABCD) Nearly Hit
Post-Market 419.69
https://www.tradingview.com/x/6LyqXmdc/
SPY : Beyond Target (ABCD) Somewhat
Copper fell right to the Schiff pitchfork that it broke out of on Feb. 7 and went from daily overbought to daily oversold in an impressive 7 days.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24COPPER&p=D&yr=1&mn=2&dy=0&id=p79105430349&a=1471726408
The Dow dropped 2200 points today. Those are staggering numbers. It had become difficult to figure out what the actual worth was of the Magnificent Seven. Few investors care about worth all they want is to buy into a stock and see it go up never thinking when you’ve had a Bull Market that has lasted this long that the opposite could be true.
With this crash they will see how interconnected and honeycombed these markets are. When Hedge Fund A goes down and it holds an interest in B and C and C holds an interest in A and D, it can soon become like a set of tenpins as the ball strikes and they all fall over. LOL! DT 😉😉😉
WELL …. another FREAKY FRIDAY……… lol…………
https://www.tradingview.com/x/AOrYaTOa/
DOLLAR : Possible Bullish Gartley
https://www.tradingview.com/x/D9w6rcKf/
DIA : Target Acquired (ABCD) : Turn?
It’s good that HUI:SPX has filled its monthly gap.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24HUI%3A%24SPX&p=M&yr=17&mn=2&dy=0&id=t9087037044c&a=1749714346&r=1743796547681&cmd=print