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Frank Holmes commentary: What’s the Game Changer for Gold?

ker
February 13, 2014

In this week’s commentary, Frank Holmes asks what the game changer for gold will be. As we watch Janet Yellen take over as chairman of the Federal Reserve, we note how much higher the Fed’s balance sheet is today compared with when Ben Bernanke became chairman in 2006. Even with the tapering of the bond purchases that began in late 2013, the Fed’s balance sheet remains on an upward trajectory and much higher than the price of gold. This suggests we should see much higher prices in the yellow metal.

Here’s a link to the post.

 

Discussion
31 Comments
    Feb 13, 2014 13:22 AM

    A good analogy to the price of gold verses The Fed’s balance sheet, Toronto is now the second largest city north of The Mexican border but we haven’t abandoned the automobile in our inner city core although grid lock is killing people who still persist in driving. Take New York where they have realized for a long time that owning a car for the inner city resident just doesn’t make financial sense so 90% of the core people in New York city don’t own a car and make do with public transit. Perception here has not caught up with reality but it will and soon. DT

      DT…….HOW is the MASS TRANSIT SYSTEM in Toronto?

        Feb 13, 2014 13:47 AM

        Jerry, We have a good subway system that is now under a major expansion, our light rail system is integrated with it and as well as we have dedicated streetcar lines on major streets downtown. In the burbs buses connect to the system so you can get anywhere without a car. DT

          DT……..Thanks for the reply……….

          Feb 13, 2014 13:18 AM

          More cities should follow that example.

          Try getting around in Seattle and Vancouver, BC sometime. It is an experience in frustration.

      Feb 13, 2014 13:17 AM

      Interesting comment Machine Gun.

      By the way, I will be giving a presentation at PDAC on Sunday morning, March 2nd. Hope to be able to meet you.

        Feb 13, 2014 13:39 AM

        Al, I have already made plans for being at PDAC on Sunday March 2nd so it would be nice to say hello. DT

          Feb 13, 2014 13:22 PM

          Count on it, Machine Gun!

      Feb 13, 2014 13:25 AM

      Sorry but the actual city of Toronto is not the second largest city north of the Mexican border. From Wikipedia:

      “According to the 2011 Census, the city has 2.6 million residents, making it the fifth-most populous city in North America. In 2012, the municipal government published a population estimate of 2,791,140, which led to media reports claiming Toronto as the fourth most populous city in North America and the most populous Great Lakes city, surpassing Chicago”

        Feb 13, 2014 13:56 PM

        I just had to double check about Toronto’s size. According to Wikipedia Toronto is the third largest city north of the Mexican border.

    Feb 13, 2014 13:12 AM

    Snips from
    http://business.financialpost.com/2014/02/13/what-you-need-to-know-before-markets-open-694/

    Barrick Gold Corp reported a big fourth-quarter loss on Thursday as it took another impairment charge, cut its gold reserve estimate by 26 % and said a key cost measure might rise this year.

    Kinross Gold Corp : The miner said on Wednesday that a “rigorous” review of its mine plans led to slashing its gold reserves by a third, even as it reported a narrower fourth-quarter net loss compared to the same period last year.

    Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd : The miner slashed its quarterly dividend to 8 cents per share from 22 cents, saying the reduction reflects current market conditions as gold is trading about $100 per ounce lower than its realized price in 2013.

    bj
    Feb 13, 2014 13:55 AM

    “Instead of long soup lines as during the Great Depression, we have food stamps”, says Erick King during an interview of David Stockman who comments on the manipulations of the market by the Fed.

    Interesting analogy by Erick King. …And why not go hi tech with the food lines?!

    http://www.kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/Broadcast/Entries/2014/2/13_David_A._Stockman.html

      Feb 13, 2014 13:04 AM

      Nowadays you won’t see bread or bank lines, ATM’s and food stamps have destroyed a good part of the visual the public needs to see. DT

        bj
        Feb 13, 2014 13:48 AM

        I know, we sometimes overlook the obvious, and the corporate media is about to connect the dots or draw the inference.

        The soup lines are there, just dispersed to the grocery stores as are the runs on the banks where the crowds run to their ATMs to face withdrawal limits. Interesting times indeed.

          bj
          Feb 13, 2014 13:50 AM

          Change ‘….media is about to….’ to read “….isn’t about to….”

          Feb 13, 2014 13:21 AM

          It would be fascinating to be able to see just how this period in history is eventually taught in schools!

            Feb 13, 2014 13:24 AM

            I really think teachers are not tested enough on their capabilities and if there not careful robots which can be programmed might be the next tool used by the state to control the populace. This might sound off the wall to some but from what I’ve seen in the educational system with the increasing use of electronic aids it could easily be a reality. DT

            Feb 13, 2014 13:31 AM

            The teacher’s unions won’t be able to undercut any initiative the government wants to take because these days they just cut backroom deals. Instead of an educational union you will get a government run union. DT

      Dave Stockman’s BIO……interesting he attended HARVARD DIVINITY ,,,never completed, but, went on to politics………..

        bj
        Feb 13, 2014 13:58 AM

        Yes, and he was the Director of the Office of Management and Budget under Reagan, thus a Republican. Arguably the father of ‘trickle down economics’ which in retrospect amounted to the middle class getting pissed on by the top 2%. Anyway, I thought his latest comments about the Fed were good. In an imperfect world even the wrong get it right sometimes, and vise versa.

      Feb 13, 2014 13:19 AM

      That is a very good point that he made Bj. I find it fascinating that every person does not realize just what is going on!

    CFS
    Feb 13, 2014 13:36 AM

    I feel Mark Levin’s show of yesterday is worth listening to:
    http://podbay.fm/show/209377688/e/1392257772?autostart=1

      Feb 13, 2014 13:22 AM

      Thanks Professor, I will listen to it this morning.

    CFS
    Feb 13, 2014 13:46 AM

    Levin’s commentary above is about how to re-establish constitutional principles and remove power from a dictatorial president, using the 5th amendment powers.
    Listening to founding father’s Mason’s speech, at 23 minutes in, is enlightening.

    CFS
    Feb 13, 2014 13:51 AM

    I meant Article 5 of the Constitution, not 5th amendment.

      CFS
      Feb 13, 2014 13:24 AM

      That state is home to Mammoth cave, with over 20 miles of passages and chambers.

    CFS
    Feb 13, 2014 13:21 AM

    http://www.politico.com/story/2014/02/debt-ceiling-vote-mitch-mcconnell-john-cornyn-103469.html?ml=po_r
    The Obamacare law has now been unilaterally amended by the Dictator 36 times!
    So much for rule of law!

    CFS
    Feb 13, 2014 13:04 AM

    It is incredible that three major gold producers cut their reserves on the same day!
    (hmmm. It’s the 13th today…..coincidence…..or not?)
    http://www.kitco.com/news/2014-02-13/Barrick-Sees-Loss-Cuts-Reserves.html

    http://www.kitco.com/news/2014-02-13/Kinross-Gold-Reports-4Q-Loss-Record-2013-Output-Decline-In-Reserves.html

    http://www.kitco.com/news/2014-02-13/Goldcorp-Posts-4QLoss-Cuts-Gold-Reserves.html

    It is possible this could effect GDX and similar ETFs.