Jordan Roy-Byrne - Techncial Commentary – Wed 28 Feb, 2018

A Great Commentary On The Discrepancy In Gold and Gold Stocks

Jordan Roy-Byrne joins me today to look at the gold chart and the GDX, GDXJ, and HUI charts. When looking at the 200 and 400 day moving averages there is a big discrepancy between the stocks and underlying metal. There are a couple scenarios that we outline.

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Jordan Roy-ByrneCory Fleck
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  1. On February 28, 2018 at 11:22 am,
    CFS says:

    The raid on gold was due to options expiry.

    Nothing to do with TA.

  2. On February 28, 2018 at 11:34 am,
    OOTB Jerry says:

    Crooks are going to hold it down for as long as they can…….
    Silver price is a joke……how many times have I said that, ……….

    • On February 28, 2018 at 11:48 am,
      irishtony says:

      The charts this, the charts that, how many times have i said on this site that the charts dont matter when it comes to what the markets do….
      The powers that be, decide were the markets are going to go ….
      As for G&S forget your charts, just ask the bankers what the gold price is going to be, next week / next month / next year…
      The world has not had a free market for a very long time.

      • On February 28, 2018 at 12:00 pm,
        Matthew says:

        Charts don’t matter when it comes to what the markets do but they matter enormously when it comes to what I do. Monitoring strength and overbought/oversold readings by themselves make charting extremely valuable.
        Here’s one example. When IPT doubled very quickly after it bottomed two years ago, many were selling and/or expecting a significant pullback. The charts told me the opposite and most of my selling took place at four to five times that early double.

        • On February 28, 2018 at 12:10 pm,
          irishtony says:

          Matthew…You are very good at what you do, what makes you special is you move very quickley when you see a tiny move in the charts you follow, you eighter step in , or step out quickley & snatch a profit…most dont because they think the charts are gospel, am i right, or am i wrong ?

          • On February 28, 2018 at 12:36 pm,
            Matthew says:

            Tony, that’s mostly wrong. Take my example above in which IPT doubled in a day and I knew that I should not sell a single share. It is usually foolish to not sell at least a little on a quick double but the charts showed clearly that the move was just beginning (yes, there were many chartists who saw the opposite and blew it but that’s their problem, not the charts’). Most do not take appropriate actions because they DON’T take the charts as gospel and/or don’t read/use them correctly or don’t use the right ones.

            Conversely, I accumulated SILJ last fall and exited it completely when it went above $12.00. That was a far cry from a double but the charts told me that the risk was in being in, not out. I treat the less liquid and non marginable juniors differently and that has worked well too.

            If one wants to be a busy scalper, one should use the very short term charts (minutes, not daily) and should stick with liquid items like the larger ETFs (GDX/GDXJ, GLD/SLV, DIA/SPY, etc.). I’m just as bullish as can be about the big picture for SILJ but the clear short term signals (and decent liquidity) allowed me to act on the need to be out without much hesitation. I had no desire or ability to attempt the same with a million+ shares of my favorite tiny cap.

  3. On February 28, 2018 at 11:38 am,
    OOTB Jerry says:
    • On February 28, 2018 at 11:40 am,
      OOTB Jerry says:

      If, US keeps up the pace, we will be NO.1…..We need some more DEBT….lol

      • On February 28, 2018 at 11:53 am,
        irishtony says:

        Jerry. The US is no #1………………..
        Something to do with circa 43 wars since ww2…have i got the number right ?

        • On February 28, 2018 at 2:31 pm,
          OOTB Jerry says:

          Hello Irish,……….We are a SICK NAtiON…..

          • On February 28, 2018 at 2:35 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Telling the sheeple anything is a waste of time……the man on the street is asleep, I doubt if there are 10% awake.

  4. On February 28, 2018 at 12:07 pm,
    anon says:

    Major gold miners production is dropping –

    • On February 28, 2018 at 1:21 pm,
      RICHARD/DOC says:

      Good article–not much I can disagree with.

  5. On February 28, 2018 at 12:24 pm,
    b says:

    Anyone hear Bobs interview on Portfolio Wealth Global? 321gold

    An ongoing coup, seems odd nobody says anything.
    Bobs not the first person to bring it up, I dunno, I think its kinda newsworthy.
    Maybe cnn will have something about it.

    Dec 16 low for hui was about 1120 gold price I think.

  6. On February 28, 2018 at 1:02 pm,
    irishtony says:

    Hi Matthew. Thanks for your reply up above.

  7. On February 28, 2018 at 1:39 pm,
    Markedtofuture says:

    DEG.AX De Grey confirm spodumene & extend strike length at King Col Spodumene-quartz mineralisation identified within De Grey’s high-grade drill intercept of 17m @ 2.55% Li2O.

  8. On February 28, 2018 at 5:14 pm,
    Buzz says:

    Jr miners sucking wind again

  9. On March 1, 2018 at 2:47 am,
    Bill says:

    Yes I warned that there was issues with these stocks over and over. ZJG is where is was 2016….Bob how is that a BULL MARKET fool? And your 17 year depression call and another as of late….broken clock.
    AND the us dollar was used toilet paper lol
    I said most of the world is in worse shape then the US and money had only one place to go…..US STOCK market..remember I was arguing with everyone here a few years ago???
    Also said early Jan a harsh correction was needed.
    The US dollar should be the go to place when the SHTF in the coming few years…
    Someone asked me about Mary Jane stocks I sold a day before the top…they still look NO GOOD…full washout needed..
    Respect to Mathew I don’t have the patients for gold stock trading….
    I was a believer they wouldn’t do well and they haven’t.
    I bought some oil stocks early Jan after a huge sell off.. I think Josef Schachter is the best but they failed, I quickly sold and they got smashed!! Josef went down…I’m still in Cash (2% T bill better than losses)
    I said PLAY SAFE…had the lucky horse shoe.
    Bobs shooting from the hip and been DEAD wrong for so long its HILARIOUS!!
    Scaring everyone from the general market for years…sham sham sham.

  10. On March 1, 2018 at 7:22 am,
    b says:

    1 Barrick Gold 5.32 -3.6 4.8 -10.7 $750 2.7
    2 Newmont 5.27 7.6 5.2 -2.3 $924 1.3
    3 AngloGold Ashanti 3.76 3.4 3.4 -9.8 $1,005 6.9
    4 Kinross Gold 2.67 -4.2 2.5 -6.5 $954 -3.1
    5 Goldcorp 2.57 -10.5 2.5 -2.7 $825 -3.6
    6 Newcrest Mining 2.38 -3.3 2.6 7.1 $787 3.2
    7 Polyus 2.16 9.6 2.4 11.3 $621 -36.6
    8 Gold Fields 2.16 0.5 2.1 -3.2 $1,009 8.2
    9 Agnico Eagle 1.71 3.2 1.5 -10.7 $804 -2.4

    • On March 1, 2018 at 8:23 am,
      Matthew says:

      Top nine.

  11. On March 1, 2018 at 7:23 am,
    b says:

    According to the World Gold Council primary gold production hit another record in 2017 after nine years of growth in output, albeit at a much slower pace.

    Global gold production totalled roughly 105m troy ounces in 2017. Output is up 525 tonnes or nearly 17m ounces since the start of the decade.

  12. On March 1, 2018 at 8:12 am,
    Bill says:

    Bob moriarty and Stockman drinking the same coolaide.
    7 years straight of stupid calls!
    No clue what so ever. Just a self promoter and a very dangerous gold bug.
    Hey bobbo what did your do with your expired preper food?
    Dont believe my go check out what he said eons ago…