Jordan Roy-Byrne - Techncial Commentary – Wed 12 Dec, 2018

A True Metals Bull Market Will Depend On When The Fed Cuts Rate Not Just Pauses

Jordan Roy-Byrne, Founder of The Daily Gold addresses what Fed policy would actually drive metals higher. As much talk as there is of a pause coming from the Fed after next week’s rate hike, a simple pause might not be enough to drive a full on bull market for the metals. We also look at how GDX, GDXJ, and SIL have been moving off the recent lows.

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Click here to visit Jordan’s site – The Daily Gold.


Featuring:
Jordan Roy-ByrneCory Fleck
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Comments:
  1. On December 12, 2018 at 3:58 pm,
    CFS says:

    Off Topic:

    FBI sentencing Memo of Mike Flynn.

    We learn that the FBI had listened to a recording of Mike Flynn’s conversations with Russians.
    (Including just before agents interviewed him. Mr Flynn had no such aid and had to rely on memory from months earlier.)

    https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/5526092/DEFENDANT-s-MEMORANDUM.pdf

    You will note from this 178 page document, the FBI agents induced Flynn not to bother with having a lawyer present, and deliberately did not warn him of his rights, because that might put him on guard.

    Trump should pardon Flynn and fire the FBI agents involved for dirty use of tactics, which virtually amounted to entrapment.

    • On December 12, 2018 at 4:02 pm,
      OOTB Jerry says:

      Flynn was not to smart……..evidently knows nothing about not speaking to authorities without an attorney…….

      • On December 12, 2018 at 4:05 pm,
        OOTB Jerry says:

        case should be thrown out,,,,,miranda rights were violated………jmo

        • On December 12, 2018 at 5:16 pm,
          CFS says:

          The FBI does not usually arrest or even charge someone with a crime.
          That is the Department of Justice or police.

          Miranda rights therefore do not apply.

          • On December 12, 2018 at 5:56 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            the word is usually………

          • On December 12, 2018 at 6:21 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2016/06/10/cops-hated-miranda-warnings-but-the-fbi-helped-create-them/?utm_term=.19a21ca4280a
            You have the right to remain silent. And the FBI’s J. Edgar Hoover to thank for it.

            Fifty years ago this coming Monday — June 13, 1966 — the Supreme Court held in Miranda v. Arizona that the Constitution’s Fifth Amendment, which establishes the right against self-incrimination, also requires police to advise custodial interrogation subjects that they need not answer questions or make statements. A brief filed by the American Civil Liberties Union is rightly credited with supplying the 5-to-4 majority with much of its intellectual ammunition. But Chief Justice Earl Warren’s majority opinion leaned just as heavily on a submission from the FBI, then as now not the most likely of ACLU allies. Virtually alone among law enforcement authorities, Hoover and the FBI argued that warning suspects of their rights was constitutionally sound and advisable and, in fact, had long been bureau practice. The court was impressed; Warren reprinted the FBI’s entire four-page note in his 35-page opinion.

          • On December 12, 2018 at 6:27 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Hoover…he had required FBI agents to advise suspects of their privilege to remain silent and to have an attorney present during any questioning.

          • On December 12, 2018 at 7:12 pm,
            CFS says:

            not usually = virtually never

            The noose is tightening on the Clintons….
            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P6EhwI63uLQ

          • On December 12, 2018 at 7:19 pm,
            CFS says:

            A miranda warning depends on the subject under investigation.

            At the time Flynn probably was not the subject, but Trump.
            After Trump came up squeaky clean, the FBI scrambled to find a reason for all their investigations.
            That explains why the 302 on the Flynn interrogation was not written up until 5 months after the actual questioning……very abnormal.

          • On December 13, 2018 at 4:37 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Just print the facts…….not the opinion……… 🙂

          • On December 13, 2018 at 4:49 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Miranda’s practical meaning has continued to be spelled out in dozens of cases over the decades since.

          • On December 13, 2018 at 4:51 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            What defines custodial interrogation, when a warning must be given and what specific language constitutes a waiver of the Miranda right are just some of the questions that lower courts and the Supreme Court have worked out.

          • On December 13, 2018 at 4:53 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Bottom line………….Flynn was stupid, ….cooperating with the swamp , without council …jmo

          • On December 13, 2018 at 4:57 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Based on your comment………..concerning Flynn….5 months later…..entrapment

          • On December 13, 2018 at 5:03 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            “If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be.” – Thomas Jefferson

          • On December 13, 2018 at 5:06 am,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            What makes the outlook so much bleaker is the utter ignorance of the American people – and those who represent them – about their freedoms, history, and how the government is supposed to operate.

  2. On December 12, 2018 at 4:00 pm,
    OOTB Jerry says:

    The little people are about to get hosed……….
    Public owns more treasuries…….
    https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-12-12/us-households-now-own-more-treasuries-fed

  3. On December 12, 2018 at 4:03 pm,
    CFS says:

    Clearly when questioned from here on out, everybody should simply always tell the FBI “I don’t remember” “I don’t recall” “I’m not sure” etc.
    After all isn’t that what Comey or Hillary always say, WHEN ANSWERING ANY NON-TRIVIAL QUESTION.

  4. On December 12, 2018 at 8:45 pm,
    CFS says:
  5. On December 12, 2018 at 9:38 pm,
    CFS says:

    Amazing vote just held in British House of Commons.

    If I understand correctly (I have not seen written confirmation)
    117 Conservatives voted against PM May, but all other voting (all of Labour, etc) voted to support the PM in the no confidence vote.
    The means that the other (non-conservative) M.P.s want her as a lame duck Prime minister going into Brexit, so that the Conservatives will lose the next election.

    It also means, probably, there will be a hard Brexit…..No agreement with the EU will exist prior to March 29th.
    What a complete mess. Germany must be celebrating.

    • On December 13, 2018 at 12:13 am,
      CFS says:

      OVERSIGHT OF NONPROFIT ORGANIZATIONS: A CASE STUDY ON THE CLINTON FOUNDATION
      Subcommittee on Government Operations
      SUBCOMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT OPERATIONS
      HEARING DATE: DECEMBER 13, 2018 2:00 PM 2154 RAYBURN HOB

      PURPOSE:
      To discuss the management of 501(c)(3) nonprofit organizations and how the designation impacts the programs and activities a nonprofit is allowed to conduct.
      BACKGROUND:
      501(c)(3) organizations are not permitted to be organized or operated for the benefit of any private individual and are only permitted to engage in minimal political activity. When a nonprofit organization violates these terms, defrauds contributors, or engages in impermissible political activity, the IRS may revoke its tax exempt status.
      WITNESSES AND TESTIMONIES
      Name Title Organization Panel Document
      Tom Fitton President Judicial Watch Panel One
      Mr. Phillip Hackney Associate Professor of Law University of Pittsburgh Panel One
      Mr. Lawrence W. Doyle Managing Partner DM Income Advisors Panel Two
      Mr. John F. Moynihan Principal JFM and Associates

  6. On December 12, 2018 at 9:44 pm,
    CFS says:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/12/12/theresa-may-no-confidence-vote-result-conservative-leadership/

    May should have resigned, but I guess she wants to spend Christmas at Downing St.

  7. On December 12, 2018 at 10:53 pm,
    Excelsior says:

    Cory – I just listened to yesterdays interview with Brixton (BBB) and put up a large response, but thought it may not get noticed so I’m reposting a number of questions here that could be posed to Gary in any future interviews:
    ________________________________________________________________________

    Good interview with Gary from Brixton, but I have to admit as a shareholder since 2016, I’m starting to get more and more concerned with their flavor of the year drifting focus on so many properties. It’s good to hear they are streamlining their focus, but I honestly didn’t expect it to be Atlin.

    1) Back in 2016 the flagship was their Thorn gold project in BC in the Golden Triangle. It peaked investors interest, but some investors felt it wasn’t a large enough deposit to be economic based on what they drilled out. Fair enough, exploration isn’t easy, and sometimes it is best to move on.

    2) Brixton’s secondary property was the Langis Silver/Cobalt camp. This was the project that really got my attention personally.

    The high grade Silver results, when silver miners were surging in 2016, was a big piece of why their stock appreciated so much that year, but they were hitting at both properties. the Cobalt narrative didn’t really heat up more until 2017, so that component wasn’t why most were investing in BBB back then.

    3) Then they went out and bought the past producing Silver mine property from Tahoe in Ontario, and never said another word about it to the marketplace. I was under the impression they were going to hone in on Silver at this point, but that radio silence afterwards was confusing to the marketplace.

    BRIXTON METALS TO ACQUIRE GOWGANDA MINE FROM TAHOE RESOURCES
    December 19, 2016

    http://brixtonmetals.com/brixton-metals-to-acquire-gowganda-mine-from-tahoe-resources/
    ______________________________________________

    4) Then they go out raised money in 2017 to advance Thorn and Langis, don’t ever mention Gowganda again, but start discussing acquiring land in Atlin. (???)

    5) Then in 2017 Brixton sells it’s “non-core” Cobalt assets to First Cobalt right as Cobalt is getting hot, and they go out and buy Hog Heaven a past producing Silver/Gold mine in Montana from Pan American Silver, but the issue is that it is VERY difficult to get mines permitted now in Montana.

    – What happened to Thorn?
    – If Langis is what people were animated by, then why not put laser focus there?
    – If the Cobalt was in vogue, why not keep the Cobalt project they sold off?
    – Why buy a property in Montana that may never see the light of day as an economic mine when they had good properties already?

    Does anyone else see how confusing this strategy was to the marketplace?

    Well later in 2017 they had more good drill hits from Langis/Hudson Bay, did some work on Thorn, did some work on Hog Heaven, and did some sampling on Atlin, but they were running into an identity crisis, and it was difficult to know which project was actually the flagship.

    6) In 2018 they focused more on the Cobalt than the Silver at Langis/Hudson Bay trying to generate Battery Metals interest in the Cobalt, but then some of the Silverbugs complained they’d lost focus.

    7) In June of 2018 they mentioned spinning out their Cobalt/Silver assets at Langis/ Hudson Bay into a new company, which was the main reason many were invested in Brixton.

    — If that was true, then why did they sell their other Cobalt assets to First Cobalt, instead of keeping those for the spin-out company? I’m also still trying to figure out where they are with spinning the company out as it appears to still be under their roof 6 months later. (??)

    8) Then in August 2018 they hit a Kimberlite body at Langis (the Silver asset, that became more of a Cobalt asset in how they were marketing it), and now they were finding Diamonds?

    It is like mineral ADD where they keep rebranding those properties, which can happen with exploration work, but seriously, it is no wonder the market starting losing interest as it got too confusing.

    9) They were still doing work at Thorn but then mentioned their gold property could be more of a Copper/Gold porphyry almost as if they were trying to latch on to the Copper narrative.

    10) Atlin Gold had more land consolidation and early stage exploration work in 2018, but honestly it always seemed like a secondary or tertiary property, but now in 2019 it’s the primary project (??).

    — Also, while some work has continued at Hog Heaven in Montana, but not enough to get anyone interested. I’m still curious why the heck did they buy a project in a tough state like Montana, with many mothballed projects and a big NIMBY attitude, with all their other projects getting more traction in the marketplace?

    BBB has been trying to JV out some of these projects for a while, but are they now going to be more like a prospect generator model moving forward and just work on Atlin?

    It’s a bit exhausting to have followed the strategy here the last 3 years 2016, 2017, and 2018, and I’m hoping they’ll hit it big in Atlin, but as far as how the capital has been allocated, after multiple raises the last few years, I believe they’ve only diluted their image, abandoned Thorn, killed the momentum in Langis / Hudson Bay by going from Silver to Cobalt to Diamonds, picked up Gowganda in Ontario never to speak of it again, picked up Hog Heaven in Montana when they already had a full plate, and now they are exploring Atlin with another new approach.

    Anyone else dizzy from all that??

  8. On December 13, 2018 at 5:32 am,
    OOTB Jerry says:

    MUST READ ARTICLE………..OWL>>>>>>>>You might want to Post this………….
    https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-12-12/were-approaching-critical-mass-know-your-rights-or-you-will-lose-them

    • On December 13, 2018 at 5:36 am,
      OOTB Jerry says:

      America …….
      “We’re Approaching A Critical Mass…” – Know Your Rights Or You Will Lose Them
      Profile picture for user Tyler Durden
      by Tyler Durden
      Wed, 12/12/2018 – 23:45
      125
      SHARES
      TwitterFacebookRedditEmailPrint
      Authored by John Whitehead via The Rutherford Institute,

      “If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be.” – Thomas Jefferson

      We are approaching critical mass, the point at which all hell breaks loose.

      The government is pushing us ever closer to a constitutional crisis.

      What makes the outlook so much bleaker is the utter ignorance of the American people – and those who represent them – about their freedoms, history, and how the government is supposed to operate.

      As Morris Berman points out in his book Dark Ages America, “70 percent of American adults cannot name their senators or congressmen; more than half don’t know the actual number of senators, and nearly a quarter cannot name a single right guaranteed by the First Amendment. Sixty-three percent cannot name the three branches of government. Other studies reveal that uninformed or undecided voters often vote for the candidate whose name and packaging (e.g., logo) are the most powerful; color is apparently a major factor in their decision.”

      More than government corruption and ineptitude, police brutality, terrorism, gun violence, drugs, illegal immigration or any other so-called “danger” that threatens our nation, civic illiteracy may be what finally pushes us over the edge.

      As Thomas Jefferson warned, no nation can be both ignorant and free.

      Unfortunately, the American people have existed in a technology-laden, entertainment-fueled, perpetual state of cluelessness for so long that civic illiteracy has become the new normal for the citizenry.

      It’s telling that Americans were more able to identify Michael Jackson as the composer of a number of songs than to know that the Bill of Rights was the first 10 amendments to the U.S. Constitution.

      In fact, most immigrants who aspire to become citizens know more about national civics than native-born Americans. Surveys indicate that half of native-born Americans couldn’t correctly answer 70% of the civics questions on the U.S. Citizenship test.

      Not even the government bureaucrats who are supposed to represent us know much about civics, American history and geography, or the Constitution although they take an oath to uphold, support and defend the Constitution against “enemies foreign and domestic.”

      For instance, a couple attempting to get a marriage license was recently forced to prove to a government official that New Mexico is, in fact, one of the 50 states and not a foreign country.

      You can’t make this stuff up.

      Here’s a classic example of how surreal the landscape has become.

      Just in time for Bill of Rights Day on December 15, President Trump issued a proclamation affirming the importance of the Bill of Rights in guarding against government abuses of power.

      “The Founding Fathers understood the real threat government can pose to the rights of the people… That is why those first 10 Amendments to the Constitution, among others, protected the right to speak freely, the right to freely worship, the right to keep and bear arms, the right to be free from unreasonable searches and seizures, and the right to due process of law. As a part of the Constitution, the supreme law of the land, the Bill of Rights has protected our rights effectively against the abuse of government power for 227 years… Since there will always be a temptation for government to abuse its power, we reaffirm our commitment to defend the Bill of Rights and uphold the Constitution.”

      Don’t believe it for a second.

      The government doesn’t want its abuses checked and it certainly doesn’t want its powers restricted.

      For that matter, this is not a president who holds the Constitution in high esteem.

      After all, Trump routinely rails against the rights enshrined in the first ten amendments to the Constitution, decrying the free speech rights of protesters, denouncing the media (which enjoys freedom of the press) as the enemy of the people, supporting government efforts to seize private property through asset forfeiture and eminent domain, refusing to denounce the use of internment camps to detain American citizens, sneering at due process, and encouraging police officers to use excessive force against suspects.

      As law professor Garrett Epps notes:

      “Donald Trump ran on a platform of relentless, thoroughgoing rejection of the Constitution itself, and its underlying principle of democratic self-government and individual rights. True, he never endorsed quartering of troops in private homes in time of peace, but aside from that there is hardly a provision of the Bill of Rights or later amendments he did not explicitly promise to override, from First Amendment freedom of the press and of religion to Fourth Amendment freedom from ‘unreasonable searches and seizures’ to Sixth Amendment right to counsel to Fourteenth Amendment birthright citizenship and Equal Protection and Fifteenth Amendment voting rights.”

      To be fair, it’s not all Trump’s fault.

      Indeed, we wouldn’t be in this sorry state if it weren’t for Presidents Barack Obama and George W. Bush and the damage their administrations inflicted on the freedoms enshrined in the Bill of Rights, which historically served as the bulwark from government abuse.

      In the so-called named of national security, since 9/11, the Constitution has been steadily chipped away at, undermined, eroded, whittled down, and generally discarded to such an extent that what we are left with is but a shadow of the robust document adopted more than two centuries ago.

      The Bill of Rights—462 words that represent the most potent and powerful rights ever guaranteed to a group of people officially—became part of the U.S. Constitution on December 15, 1791, because early Americans such as James Madison and Thomas Jefferson understood the need to guard against the government’s inclination to abuse its power.

      Yet the reality we must come to terms with is that in the America we live in today, the government does whatever it wants.

      Make no mistake: if our individual freedoms have been restricted, it is only so that the government’s powers could be expanded at our expense.

      The USA Patriot Act, passed in the wake of the 9/11 attacks, drove a stake through the heart of the Bill of Rights, violating at least six of the ten original amendments—the First, Fourth, Fifth, Sixth, Seventh and Eighth Amendments—and possibly the Thirteenth and Fourteenth Amendments, as well. The Patriot Act also redefined terrorism so broadly that many non-terrorist political activities such as protest marches, demonstrations and civil disobedience were considered potential terrorist acts, thereby rendering anyone desiring to engage in protected First Amendment expressive activities as suspects of the surveillance state.

      Since 9/11, we’ve been spied on by surveillance cameras, eavesdropped on by government agents, had our belongings searched, our phones tapped, our mail opened, our email monitored, our opinions questioned, our purchases scrutinized (under the USA Patriot Act, banks are required to analyze your transactions for any patterns that raise suspicion and to see if you are connected to any objectionable people), and our activities watched.

      We’ve also been subjected to invasive patdowns and whole-body scans of our persons and seizures of our electronic devices in the nation’s airports and at border crossings. We can’t even purchase certain cold medicine at the pharmacy anymore without it being reported to the government and our names being placed on a watch list.

      Government surveillance, militarized police, SWAT team raids, asset forfeiture, eminent domain, overcriminalization, armed surveillance drones, whole body scanners, stop and frisk searches (all sanctioned by Congress, the White House, the courts and the like), etc.: these are merely the weapons of the police state.

      The power of the police state is dependent on a populace that meekly obeys without question.

      Remember: when it comes to the staggering loss of civil liberties, the Constitution hasn’t changed. Rather, it is the American people who have changed.

      Those who gave us the Constitution and the Bill of Rights believed that the government exists at the behest of its citizens. The government’s purpose is to protect, defend and even enhance our freedoms, not violate them.

      It was no idle happenstance that the Constitution opens with these three powerful words: “We the people.” Those who founded this country knew quite well that every citizen must remain vigilant or freedom would be lost. As Thomas Paine recognized, “It is the responsibility of the patriot to protect his country from its government.”

      You have no rights unless you exercise them.

      Still, you can’t exercise your rights unless you know what those rights are.

      “If Americans do not understand the Constitution and the institutions and processes through which we are governed, we cannot rationally evaluate important legislation and the efforts of our elected officials, nor can we preserve the national unity necessary to meaningfully confront the multiple problems we face today,” warns the Brennan Center in its Civic Literacy Report Card. “Rather, every act of government will be measured only by its individual value or cost, without concern for its larger impact. More and more we will ‘want what we want, and [will be] convinced that the system that is stopping us is wrong, flawed, broken or outmoded.’”

      Education precedes action.

      As the Brennan Center concludes “America, unlike most of the world’s nations, is not a country defined by blood or belief. America is an idea, or a set of ideas, about freedom and opportunity. It is these ideas that bind us together as Americans and have kept us free, strong, and prosperous. But these ideas do not perpetuate themselves. They must be taught and learned anew with each generation.”

      There is a movement underway to require that all public-school students pass the civics portion of the U.S. naturalization test—100 basic facts about U.S. history and civics—before receiving their high-school diploma, and that’s a start.

      Mind you, it’s only the first of many steps.

      If there is to be any hope for restoring our freedoms and reclaiming our runaway government, we will have to start by breathing life into those three powerful words that set the tone for everything that follows in the Constitution: “we the people.”

      People get the government they deserve.

      As David Fouse writes for National Review, “A government by the people, for the people, and of the people is only as wise, as just, and as free as the people themselves.”

      It’s up to us.

      We have the power to make and break the government.

      We the American people—the citizenry—are the arbiters and ultimate guardians of America’s welfare, defense, liberty, laws and prosperity.

      It’s time to stop waiting patiently for change to happen. Do more than grouse and complain.

      We must act—and act responsibly.

      Get outraged, get off your duff and get out of your house, get in the streets, get in people’s faces, get down to your local city council, get over to your local school board, get your thoughts down on paper, get your objections plastered on protest signs, get your neighbors, friends and family to join their voices to yours, get your representatives to pay attention to your grievances, get your kids to know their rights, get your local police to march in lockstep with the Constitution, get your media to act as watchdogs for the people and not lapdogs for the corporate state, get your act together, and get your house in order.

      In other words, get moving.

      A healthy, representative government is hard work. It takes a citizenry that is informed about the issues, educated about how the government operates, and willing to make the sacrifices necessary to stay involved, whether that means forgoing Monday night football in order to attend a city council meeting or risking arrest by picketing in front of a politician’s office.

      Don’t wait for things to get as bad as they are in France, where civil unrest over a government proposal to raise taxes on gas has turned into violent clashes between protesters and the police.

      Whatever you do, please don’t hinge your freedoms on politics.

      No election will ever truly alleviate the suffering of the American people.

      No matter which party controls Congress or the White House, the government as we have come to know it—corrupt, bloated and controlled by big-money corporations, lobbyists and special interest groups—remains largely unchanged. And “we the people”—overtaxed, overpoliced, overburdened by big government, underrepresented by those who should speak for us and blissfully ignorant of the prison walls closing in on us—continue to trudge along a path of misery.

      Remember what Noam Chomsky had to say about politics? “It is important to bear in mind that political campaigns are designed by the same people who sell toothpaste and cars.”

      In other words, as I make clear in my book Battlefield America: The War on the American People, we’re being sold a carefully crafted product by a monied elite who are masters in the art of making the public believe that they need exactly what is being sold to them, whether it’s the latest high-tech gadget, the hottest toy, or the most charismatic politician.

      It’s just another Blue Pill, a manufactured reality conjured up by the matrix in order to keep the populace compliant and convinced that their vote counts and that they still have some influence over the political process.

      Don’t buy any of it.

      The Constitution is neutral when it comes to politics. What the Constitution is not neutral about, however, is the government’s duty to safeguard the rights of the citizenry.

      “We the people” also have a duty that goes far beyond the act of voting: it’s our job to keep freedom alive using every nonviolent means available to us.

      As Martin Luther King Jr. recognized in a speech delivered on December 5, 1955, just four days after Rosa Parks was arrested for refusing to relinquish her seat on a Montgomery city bus: “Democracy transformed from thin paper to thick action is the greatest form of government on earth.”

      Know your rights. Exercise your rights. Defend your rights. If not, you will lose them.

  9. On December 13, 2018 at 6:11 am,
    CFS says:

    Wow! So true.

    But what an indictment of the American education system, which the general public should NEVER have handed over to goverment. Government has precisely what it wants; a dumbed-down citizrenry, for the most part totally ignorant of its rights.