Weekend Show – Sat 29 Dec, 2018

Hour 1 – A Look Into 2019

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On this weekend’s show we take a look into 2019. We start with the resource sector by moving from precious metals to base metals. In the final two segments we move all over the place covering US markets, the USD, oil, and treasuries.

I hope you all have a happy New Year! Please keep in touch by emailing me at Fleck@kereport.com.

  • Segment 1 and 2: Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management share his predictions for 2019 in precious metals and base metals. He Also starts off by giving his thoughts on the recent Evrim drill results.
  • Segment 3: Rick Bensignor, Founder of Bensignor Investment Strategies looks into 2019 for the main market drivers, oil, and the treasury market.
  • Segment 4: Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global ForEx shares his thoughts on US markets and the major sectors to watch in

Exclusive Company Interviews This Week

Segment 1 & 2:

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Segment 3:

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Segment 4:

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Adrian DayRick BensignorMarc ChandlerCory Fleck

  1. On December 29, 2018 at 9:18 am,
    Matthew says:

    Gold is a weekly chart “sell” versus silver and I agree with Rick Rule that $1,500 gold in 2019 would not be surprising. Therefore, $22+ silver looks like a fairly conservative guess.

  2. On December 29, 2018 at 11:13 am,
    Matthew says:

    For those who thought Wednesday’s 5% Dow move was a bullish sign, think again:

  3. On December 29, 2018 at 11:50 am,
    James says:

    Boy’s It’s Coming you are ELECTRONIC SLAVES ! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LFWbA4BGJZs

  4. On December 29, 2018 at 12:03 pm,
    Matthew says:

    Next week will probably bring a big breakout for silver:

  5. On December 29, 2018 at 4:18 pm,
    RICHARD/DOC says:

    Gold and silver looks like they have a little more juice but then should disappoint and fall back again. GDX is looking like it’s struggling also. The next pullback should be a great opportunity again to add to positions.

    • On December 30, 2018 at 8:14 am,
      Pivot says:


      What kind of pullback do you see for GDX ?

      Did PG.TO bottom in Nov-Dec, or do you see it going lower ?

  6. On December 29, 2018 at 5:30 pm,
    Matthew says:

    A little more short term weakness does look likely for GDX:

  7. On December 29, 2018 at 5:57 pm,
    Matthew says:

    Gold has reclaimed the 89 week moving averages after spending about six months below them:

    • On December 29, 2018 at 6:33 pm,
      Matthew says:

      More importantly, gold is now firmly above the 200 and 600 week moving averages. When it lost the 600 week EMA at the bear market low in late 2015, it was the first time it had done so since climbing above it in 2002. Then, when it finally lost the 600 week simple MA in 2018, it was the first time it had done so since climbing above that MA also in 2002. Both breakdowns caused most investors to wrongly look for much lower prices.

      • On December 29, 2018 at 6:40 pm,
        Matthew says:

        Note that the 200 and 233 week MAs are below the 600 week MA for the first time in 14-15 years. This could add to volatility until that situation ends.

  8. On December 29, 2018 at 7:10 pm,
    Matthew says:

    I posted the following Fibonacci arc chart on the 17th to show two possible paths for gold following the Fed’s decision. Luckily, it is taking the preferred route:

    • On December 30, 2018 at 4:30 am,
      CFS says:

      Symbol : AG
      First Majestic Silver Corp. Announces At-The-Market Offering Equity Program

      2018-12-27 19:25 ET – News Release
      VANCOUVER, British Columbia , Dec. 27, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — First Majestic Silver Corp. (NYSE:AG) (TSX:FR) (the “Company” or “First Majestic”) is pleased to announce it has entered into an equity distribution agreement dated December 27, 2018 (the “Sales Agreement”) with BMO Capital Markets Corp. (the “Agent”) pursuant to which the Company may, at its discretion and from time-to-time during the term of the Sales Agreement, sell, through the Agent, such number of common shares of the Company (“Common Shares”) as would result in aggregate gross proceeds to the Company of up to US$50.0 million (the “Offering”). Sales of Common Shares will be made through “at-the-market distributions” as defined in the Canadian Securities Administrators’ National Instrument 44-102-Shelf Distributions, including sales made directly on the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”), or any other recognized marketplace upon which the Common Shares are listed or quoted or where the Common Shares are traded in the United States. The sales, if any, of Common Shares made under the Sales Agreement will be made by means of ordinary brokers’ transactions on the NYSE at market prices, or as otherwise agreed upon by the Company and the Agent. No offers or sales of Common Shares will be made in Canada on the Toronto Stock Exchange (the “TSX”) or other trading markets in Canada.

      The Offering will be made by way of a prospectus supplement dated December 27, 2018 to the base prospectus included in the Company’s existing US registration statement on Form F-10 (the “Registration Statement”) and Canadian short form base shelf prospectus (the “Base Shelf Prospectus”) dated November 5, 2018.

  9. On December 30, 2018 at 2:24 am,
    Max says:


    What levels are you watching for the next pullback for GDX and GLD?

    Did PG.TO bottom in Nov-Dec?

    Happy New Year!

  10. On December 30, 2018 at 10:21 am,
    Matthew says:

    Silver closed Friday at the 200 day MA for the first time since June. The daily chart is getting slightly stretched but the weekly chart looks better than it has in years and could cause the short term move to extend significantly. Either way, the weekly charts suggests that there’s little downside from a big-picture perspective.

    • On December 30, 2018 at 10:23 am,
      Matthew says:

      When the weekly chart turns so positive, that’s where the focus should be:

      • On December 30, 2018 at 2:11 pm,
        Bonzo Barzini says:

        Matthew, that is a beautiful silver chart. I fired my Ruger SP101 .327 magnum at a metal gong up at my sister’s farm yesterday and am very happy I bought it. It has plenty of punch for social work. I need to take some losses tomorrow. If you had a big loss in AGN and DVN, which would you sell? Thanks.

        • On December 30, 2018 at 5:33 pm,
          Matthew says:

          “Plenty of punch for social work.” 😳 Lol 👌

          That’s good to hear about your Ruger, Bonzo.

          I would definitely sell AGN. DVN looks much better longer term and is almost ready for at least a significant bounce.

          • On December 30, 2018 at 7:44 pm,
            Bonzo Barzini says:

            Thanks, Matthew. PFE wanted to buy AGN for over $300 a share but Obama stopped the deal. Now it is down to 130 with a PE of 8, but the CEO is a disaster, so there is no telling how low it could go. I hate to sell DVN down at 22 but I do have a big loss in it. I think I will sell the AGN and hope DVN is bought by CVX or Shell.

  11. On December 30, 2018 at 3:41 pm,
    Dan, calgary says:

    Is anyone else watching the oversea gold price? $190 down at the moment. Silver is up and down. WOW!

  12. On December 30, 2018 at 3:48 pm,
    Chartster says:

    Final washout? Looks like it…

    • On December 30, 2018 at 3:55 pm,
      Dan, calgary says:

      That was my first thought also. An entity dumping before year end for some reason IMHO.

      • On December 30, 2018 at 4:00 pm,
        Skeeta says:

        Its not accurate.

        • On December 30, 2018 at 4:03 pm,
          Bonzo Barzini says:

          Kitco says gold is 1089, but others say different. Let’s file a class action suit vs Kitco for emotional trauma and cruelty.

          • On December 30, 2018 at 4:05 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Kitco Wack Out……

          • On December 30, 2018 at 4:07 pm,
            OOTB Jerry says:

            Very interesting………

        • On December 30, 2018 at 4:09 pm,
          Dan, calgary says:

          I think and really hope your right.

          • On December 30, 2018 at 4:25 pm,
            Skeeta says:

            No need for hope, its spot price is inaccurate like I said above.
            Anyhoo, I’m gonna crack a beer. Its hot & its nearly noon.

          • On December 30, 2018 at 4:28 pm,
            Dan, calgary says:

            If anyone wants, they have adjusted there pricing on gold coins and bars for sale. Hahaha.

          • On December 30, 2018 at 4:30 pm,
            Dan, calgary says:

            … and now their pricing is back to normal but their world price is still out.

  13. On December 30, 2018 at 5:34 pm,
    Mike says:

    Kitco’s bots must have had issues starting up this afternoon –

    Somebody needs to look at their code –

  14. On December 31, 2018 at 11:40 am,
    Matthew says:

    The weekly GDX chart shows why today’s action has been important. The bulls are winning but can they finish the week on top? I think they can and that will further frustrate those who’ve been too focused on the daily chart.

  15. On December 31, 2018 at 12:02 pm,
    Matthew says:

    GDM (Gold Miners Index):

  16. On December 31, 2018 at 1:04 pm,
    Matthew says:

    GDX breakout and highest close since July:

  17. On January 1, 2019 at 8:33 am,
    Charles says:

    Happy New Year Matthew. I am looking forward to a better year at least as far as the precious metals are concerned. Definitely a good finish to the year. Thanks again for all of your charts. Always interesting to hear your views.

    • On January 1, 2019 at 9:52 am,
      Matthew says:

      Thank you, Charles. Happy New Year. Losing 2018 wasn’t fun but I think 2019 will more than make up for it.
      After yesterday’s action, it now looks like there is still more short term upside – possibly significantly more. It’s great that sentiment remains terrible despite the very positive picture that has developed…

    • On January 1, 2019 at 10:53 am,
      Whit says:

      Thank you Matthew, Thank you Excelsior, Out of the box, Cory, Everyone! Happy New year! I read an acrtical today bout bullion sales down in U.S. Mint. Maybe just maybe 2019 will start ever so slightly up ward. Thanks again for the Kereport

      • On January 1, 2019 at 11:31 am,
        Matthew says:

        Happy New Year, Whit. Bullion should have a good year but the miners of bullion are likely to have a fantastic year.

        • On January 1, 2019 at 12:08 pm,
          Whit says:

          Good to hear Matthew…..i look forward to green on the screen!

      • On January 1, 2019 at 11:27 pm,
        Excelsior says:

        Whit – Happy New Year cheers! May 2019 be a prosperous year.

        • On January 2, 2019 at 11:07 am,
          Whit says:

          Good to hear….cheers!

  18. On January 1, 2019 at 9:53 am,
    Matthew says:

    GDX at speed line (blue) and Fibonacci fan resistance:

  19. On January 1, 2019 at 12:16 pm,
    Matthew says:

    I have said for years that when the stock market finally breaks, gold and the gold miners would not take part in the plunge like they did in 2008. I got that right but the disconnect has been even better than I thought it would be. GDX has gained as much as 45% versus the Dow since September and that action has bullish implications for the future.
    GDX:DIA daily:

  20. On January 1, 2019 at 12:22 pm,
    Matthew says:

    The gold miners priced in real money is in the process of confirming the gold miners priced in dollars.
    GDX:GLD weekly:

  21. On January 1, 2019 at 12:52 pm,
    Matthew says:

    I was too bullish when I posted the following chart one day after the gold miners bottomed in early September but they never did go lower and are now up about 20% — and twice that versus stocks.
    To end up with a big beautiful double bottom instead of a runaway fall rally is ultimately a good thing for the health of the move we’ve been waiting for. Sentiment could hardly be worse while the technical setup could hardly be better.

  22. On January 1, 2019 at 1:13 pm,
    Matthew says:

    Imminent breakout for sector kingpin ABX? I think so…

  23. On January 1, 2019 at 6:12 pm,
    Chartster says:

    The $USD sure looks like it’s about to drop, what looks like could be a big drop too. I’m unsure about gold at the moment, but copper stocks are looking like the place to be real soon.