Chris Temple from The National Investor – Fri 3 Jan, 2020

Market moves on the back on the US airstrike killing the top Iranian Commander

Kicking off today with Chris Temple and his thoughts on the war headlines driving markets today. The US ordered airstrikes in Iraq killing Iran’s top commander General Qassim Soleimani. Now the world is all waiting to see what the response will be. The market reaction is risk on selling off and risk off moving strongly higher. Just how sustainable are these moves going to be?

We also touch on the ISM and GDP numbers that were released this morning and overall disappointed.

Click here to read over the breakdown of the ISM and GDP numbers.

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Comments:
  1. On January 3, 2020 at 9:42 am,
    cfs says:

    US air strikeS……..One raptor strike was it not?

    I understand US marines (with blessings from Iraq government) are in the process of arresting MULTIPLE Iranian military leaders in Iraq.
    Of course Iran will attempt to strike back…..what else is new ?

  2. On January 3, 2020 at 9:48 am,
    cfs says:
  3. On January 3, 2020 at 9:51 am,
    Matthew says:

    During the second minute of trading today, GDXJ plunged 5% to fill what remained of the 12/26 gap.
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDXJ&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p59125286217

    There’s been other signs of top-calling but I think the pullback might already be essentially done.

    • On January 3, 2020 at 12:58 pm,
      CaliJoe says:

      Bearing engulfing on GDXJ. Next week is not going to be pretty.

      • On January 3, 2020 at 1:19 pm,
        Matthew says:

        Based on the weekly chart and the fact that a lot of buyers have been waiting for a pullback, I bet any follow-through will be over before Wednesday.
        Since next week will be the real first week of the year for a lot professionals as well as retail investors, I expect a lot more buying than selling.

  4. On January 3, 2020 at 9:56 am,
    Matthew says:

    After 8-straight sessions higher, gold is very likely to fall on Monday but that does not cause me to assume that the miners must fall.
    A gold close below 1516 on Monday would not be good for the short term outlook.
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24GOLD&p=D&yr=1&mn=5&dy=0&id=p26210327826&a=678507175

  5. On January 3, 2020 at 10:10 am,
    Matthew says:

    Today’s high happened at an interesting spot since the dashed black line on the following chart was drawn in April…
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDXJ&p=W&yr=3&mn=9&dy=9&id=p34279862773&a=661502619

  6. On January 3, 2020 at 10:23 am,
    Matthew says:

    While looking at GDXJ charts, I stumbled on a good call from 2016 that I’d forgotten about…
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDXJ&p=D&st=2016-01-09&en=2017-07-11&id=p43640622153&a=470468032

  7. On January 3, 2020 at 10:30 am,
    Matthew says:
    • On January 3, 2020 at 11:59 am,
      Charles says:

      Matthew – Wondering if you are buying more Brixton today. I was hoping to add some more on a pullback, but my order on another stock did not hit.

      • On January 3, 2020 at 12:43 pm,
        Matthew says:

        Yes I did buy more today. Average price: .20625

      • On January 3, 2020 at 1:00 pm,
        Matthew says:

        It weakened going into the close so I hope you got a good price.

        • On January 6, 2020 at 6:56 am,
          Charles says:

          I didn’t get in Friday, but I got in this morning which was even better.

  8. On January 3, 2020 at 10:47 am,
    b says:

    After thinking about it, I wonder if gold didnt move up more because the Chinese put money into their economy than american military action.
    Its been a long time since military action moved gold.

  9. On January 3, 2020 at 11:09 am,
    cfs says:

    I tend to agree partly with b…….
    Looking at specific timing, it appears that about 2/3 of the last $20 move in gold was Shanghai buying, with a little help from both the US and Europe momentum players.
    Silverbuying was a mix of China and US…..very little from Europe. Don’t know why….perhaps taxation differences on silver.