A focus on gold and what the pullback on Friday means for gold stock investors
Doc and I recorded this interview at the market close on Friday. I wanted to hold off on posting because today will be a slower day for editorials.
We focus on the pullback in gold and silver from Friday while relating the move to the underlying stocks.
Irish this is for you.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwCV0nibbqk
Italy comes up with a cure…..virus(hoax)….it is a bacteria …
Make sure you take off your N95 mask, before reading….lol
You need to put one on. Your breathe smells.
Got to love a typo…..
coagulent……
Is pronounced Coog oo lent.
Not so much of a typo……..as to the cure……..and exposing the hoax…..
Totally false just like you.
Thanks Cory
We have some time yet before any sell off, according to volume data……just my opinion.
But what do I know.
Go ahead CFS tell us more about what your seeing in the volume.
I’m listening
Good start Brixton, Orex, Discovery, Vizsla. Contact, Bayhorse Halts. Unigold had drill results in Dominican Republic that makes one look to Precipitate for something soon.
Last week Brixton put in a 50.57% gain with a relative strength on Friday of 80.03.
for those who took profits on Friday, I would never sell the first day a stock has a relative strength of 80.
BBBXF .37 Bid, .3764 Ask. +22.39%
I took some profit in Brixton on Friday and today into the strength, but I was looking for a surge higher and liquidity event like this to reduce my position, and there was no guarantee Brixton was going to keep running today on Friday. Hindsight is 20/20 as they say…
I also reduced down my position in Orex, Discovery, Aurcana, Metalla, Silvercorp, and Treasury. If things keep surging during the day, I may reduce down even a few more positions.
80 RSI on Friday is a hold in my book.
Monday usually follows through with additional strength.
I like the sentiment indicators and like to take contrarian positions.
Of course following Mathew into Brixton seems to work as well.
There is no standard correlation that Monday’s continue on in strength after an RSI of 80 in a stock on a Friday. Also, Matthew mentioned on Friday that Brixton had risen to speed line resistance, so it also would have been a logical place for a pullback today if the metals had pulled back instead of continued surging.
I took a contrarian position in Brixton at FAR lower levels and was quite happy to book solid profits on Friday and today into the strength. I still have some of the position left, and may have left some money on the table, but a win is a win, and there are plenty of other PM stocks that look ripe for the picking right now with those profits.
Orex is another I bought after your post weeks back.
Last week ORMNF put in a gain of 52.13%. Friday it finished with a relative strength of 72.47.
Today it is up another 12.47%.
The hottest sector in the market is Silver right now and I say stick with what is working until it doesn’t.
The correlation is how I took Bitcoin from $449.00 to 18,000.00.
Natural Shrimp from .01 to .92 in two and a half weeks.
A win is a win agreed. A big win is a new airplane.
I know it’s time to sell when I get out the trade a plane. Never fails.
That’s fine and Silver is a hot sector, but the fact that 2 stocks had an RSI of 72 and 80 and were higher today is not a principal or trading thesis. I like Orex a lot and have discussed it for a while, and I trimmed some today after the move it has had lately.
To be clear, I don’t hesitate to add back to stocks when they correct back 15-20%, and I’ve never understood the global (and incorrect) statements that some people proclaim that “once you get out you won’t get back in…” That is such a heaping load of BS and I people buy into and sell out of positions all the time. There are some stocks like Silvercorp, Alexco, Americas Gold & Silver, Coeur, Gold Resource Corp, Arogonaut Gold, Discovery Metals, Impact Silver, etc… that I’ve litterally traded dozens of times the last few years and over a dozen times in each this year.
Truth being told Ex, I am a lousy trader. I’m pretty good at stock picking and sentiment though.
While I don’t expect pullbacks to be very long or deep at this point in the bull, still, I wonder if some of these hot stocks get pounded down by 20-30% how many people that have blown their whole wad at this point will be be able to buy the dip?
At one point in a bullish run, when people have hundreds of percent gains, taking some chips off the table to use during the next dip is worthwhile strategy, as long as they have the gumption to deploy it when the corrective move comes. Not everyone likes to buy low, and some only like buying when a stock has already run hard and is at new recent highs. That’s what makes a market.
I have been putting a lot of work into exactly what your talking about.
Over bought and over sold.
Watching a stock run away from you is tough.
I sold NAK at 3.25 and watch it run like a scalded Chimp to 21.00 waiting for a pull back.
I really like the set up we have going now. I know you are being rewarded for all your hard word. Kudos to you.
work
Fair enough JohnK. Not everyone should be actively trading, and a buy and hold strategy for the long haul is a fine strategy.
However, I hear stories all the time of people that sold at the wrong time or bought at the wrong time and then do nothing to balance that out. For example, there were people over at ceo.ca the other day saying their accounts were still nowhere where they were in 2011 because they’ve held all the way down for the last 9 years. That is when buy and hold “old turkey” investing fails miserably. People did the same thing back in 2016. Instead of buying the lows at the beginning of the year, the bought into the summer froth at the end of that surge, and have been “HODLing” ever since. They’ll eventually be bailed out with the bull market, but they would have been far better off taking some profits into the strength and buying back on the corrective move. In general, the miners are best traded and most smaller Jr explorers are not “buy and hold” candidates. You make hay while the sun is shinning and then get out while you have massive gains. The one exception is when a company makes a seriously significant discovery like a Great Bear, Silvercrest, or Wallbridge…. but those are definitely the exceptions and not the norm. Most Jr explorers are parabola generators each season, and they should be traded. In a bull market, even the turds will float though, so holding on to these stocks in this kind of a bull makes more sense than in prior years and even prior parts of the bull.
Thanks John. I also wish you and anyone well in their trading and longer term investing. We are all learning and growing every day, and after so many tough years in the market to turn a dime, it is nice to see resource investors finally getting rewarded and making some cheddar.
John….Ex………check this out…..
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwCV0nibbqk
Good catch Jerry:
Like I have always maintained that I could be wrong.
To error on the side of caution is always prudent. Chris Martenson was talking about the blood clotting last month. He brought up some interesting points in his last video.
1. How long will the virus persist for the long haulers?
2.Will immunity last?
3.Will the second infection be milder or more severe.
4. Wether the virus will mutate into a strain that will evade existing immunity like the flu.
5. Vaccine- Lasting protection?
I am not ready to write this off not being a virus as there is to much evidence to prove the contrary.
Well, I’m on a daily aspirin regiment… We’ll see how it goes.
John……nothing wrong with being cautious …….I just thought the info could help,
Since we know Fauci is a con man, along with Gates…..and the NWO….keeps pushing things on the sheeple for control….
“A big win is a new airplane.”
But the VA will just take it from you.
I will start aspirin as well.
Eddy posted a video from Lew Rockwell .com with Bill Sardi that explained how Zinc has been removed from the food chain by the use of Glyphosates. Also he explained the Thymus gland and T cells. Remember Tarzan beating his Thymus? Also there was some interesting discussion about Sudden Infant Death Syndrome dissapearing when vaccines were not introduced. Turns out there is 72 vaccines for children and another 240 on the way.
Mr Sardi also talked about A Greenspan in 2004 while retiring said that we would not be able to continue funding for Medicare and SSI.
Greenspan…….was part of the CON……of course if, you steal all the money, there will be non remain…..Clinton stole the SSI money……to balance the budget….
remaining …..typo…
I have been trying to stay on top of things, Here is the vitamins I’m taking now.
I will admit I have followed Bonzos lead on some of these.
Quecertion
Omega 3 Fish oil
Zinc
Non acidic vitamin C
B-12
D-3, K-2
Natural dry E
Selenium
Centrum multi Vitamin
I have also started a uric acid cleanse as I found out my water was acidic and had high levels of TDS(temporary dissolved solids)
I’ve greatly increased my Zinc, Selenium, and other immune boosting herbs as well.
Also, most of the immune system response is greatly affected by gut health, so I’ve been working on pre-biotics, pro-biotics, and herbs that support a health digestive tract to support immune response.
You can obtain a dramatic energy boost with injectable B-12. One shot every 4-6 weeks does the trick. Need a doctors prescription though.
Yes, I have a few friends that swear by the benefits of the B-12 injections. It is harder to process orally, but I’m taking a B-12 smooth dissolve lozenge that goes under the tongue for 5-10 minutes and the blood capillaries move it into use much easier than swallowing a pill and hoping the gut and liver break it down properly.
Here are morning partial sales and RSI that I was seeing:
Discovery (83.9)
Abraplata (89.4)
Blackrock Gold (73.8)
Metallic (73.8)
Haven’t dug into all of them yet, but those had a bigger % of profits.
Thanks for sharing that David. Traditionally a RSI over 80 is considered overbought but they can go to 90 or push 100 and stay there for longer than people expect in a raging bull market like we’re having.
This is true of the Slow Stochastics, ADX readings, MACD, TRIX, TSI, and many chart indicators. In a bull they can stay overbought longer, and become embedded, as can sentiment indicators. However, when they are elevated like that, it sure doesn’t mean the stock is dirt cheap anymore compared to where it was, but it depends on the time horizon for a trade. A short-term trader may pull profits, where a longer term trader may cite that the bull has much longer to run, and both can be correct from their own vantage point and trading objectives. People that are buy and hold investors shouldn’t concern themselves with where the RSI is on a various stock and can just close their eyes for a few years, or maybe just look for larger trends playing out on the monthly charts. A shorter term investor may be in and out of stock a dozen times over that same time period, so the chart indicators may be much more relevant to them.
Everyone needs to assess the risk/reward ratios to their portfolios and each individual holding in it every day the markets are open and act according to their risk tolerance and investing strategy.
Another topic I rarely see discussed is someone having a plan for when they want to enter a trade and an investing goal for what they want to get out of a trade and when they should exit. Many investors have no plan for either when to buy or when to sell, either technically or fundamentally. Most investors have no goal for what they want to make from a trade before exiting it, and some people’s plan seems to just buy and hold indefinitely regardless of the big spike ups like 2011 and 2016 or 2020 or the big spike downs like 2008, 2013, 2015, 2018, or March of this year.
Often people just buy into a stock wherever it is at when a newsletter pumps it, or when Sprott decides to buy a stock, or when a stock has already run really hard, which is a terrible strategy with few rules or analysis being done. Some buy a stock planning to hold it for a short term trade, and other buy a stock with no clear idea of whether they’ll every sell it in many years.
Conversely, there are some investors that only buy on a fundamental milestone having been achieved, so they are basing the decision on actual facts like a drill hole, a permit, a decision to go into construction on a mine/mill, a decision to open up a new processing circuit, a better than expected operations report, or a negative operations report that looks more promising for the following quarter, or a decision to acquire land or merge with another company, etc….
Other fundamental buyers spend their time analyzing balance sheets, quarterly reports, peer comparisons on metrics like Market Cap, Price to Earnings, Enterprise Value to price, Net Asset Value to price, price to book, etc…,quantitative analysis and how many standard deviations of an asset class are above below historical precedent or sector deviations. At least with this group there is something significant and facts that are being digested and analyzed that an investor is basing their decisions on with regards to buying/selling/holding.
Then there are others that use technical indicators for when a stock when it gets back above a key moving average like the KAMA or 21 day EMA, or when there is slow stochastics cross, or as a more lagging indicator when there is a MACD cross. Some watch for a stock hits the bottom Bollinger band to buy, and then when it hits the upper band of the BB to sell. Some look at taking out prior peaks & troughs (Lateral trendlines) to buy & sell. Some ignore the daily charts and watch for confirmation on the weekly or monthly charts, which is more safe, but much of the moves higher or lower have already been well underway at that point, because everything first starts on a daily chart, or hourly chart for that matter, yet others dismiss them as noise. Some use trendlines to decide if support or resistance is going to come into play, while others use Fibonacci extensions & retracements to project targets, or to do their wave counts. Rick A. has his hiddon pivot and mechanical buying system, and other traders only use Stan Weinstein’s 30 week MA and 4 stage approach.
There are tons of different buy/sell strategies for both investors looking at fundamentals ; just like there are tons of buy/sell strategies for investors looking at many different varieties and disciplines of technical analysis.
Wishing everyone well with whatever their investing process is.
Thanks Ex. I am experimenting as I prefer holding. However, I have little trust that we have a level playing field and want to try another approach rather than look at declines for no reason other than the Fed doesn’t want Gold to look better than the worthless fiat currency. Will see how these go as they are only partial sales…and mainly attempting to see if this week goes like last week…which was two good days and then 3 days of irrationality. Thanks again for your words of wisdom.
It also appears that the markets do not look at the quality of individual stocks but the direction they want the sector to go. They either run a few higher all the time like Tesla or Apple or they just pound the whole sector like the PMs. I have found that when they want to move the metals, they like to hit Great Bear or Silvercrest along with the Australian. That gets the hedge funds going. They used to routinely sell the news, now you may have a chance of a few up days with good drill results…but then history doesn’t matter as 10 good drill results can be ruined by one mediocre.
I am mostly trying to maintain my gains and know at some point will have to take a hit due to the general markets. Rolling out of that hit higher would be rewarding.
Thanks David and I value your thoughts and insights as well, and those stocks you mentioned trimming back some (Discovery, Abraplata, Blackrock, and Metallic) have all had fantastic runs, and there is nothing wrong with locking in profits while one has them. If they hold and the stocks pull back down again, then they were only paper profits and can evaporate as easily as they appeared.
Now, having said that, there is also nothing wrong with buying those same companies right back if there is a meaningful pullback, and also nothing wrong with wait to see how things play out and decide to buy back in at a slighly higher price again, one feels they may just keep ripping higher and higher.
In a bull market like this, almost all the stocks are going to be heading much higher longer term, but there will absolutely be corrections along the way, and those are only buying opportunities IF investors have the funds to deploy when those times come. Trimming profits to redeploy in the same or other stocks during corrective episodes can magnify profits much more than just sitting in a position, but only for those with the disposition to trade, that will swiftly pull the trigger when opportunities come up, and that are disciplined enough to buy when most are panic selling.
When stocks started selling off in late February it was quite jarring, and when the selling continued the first 2 weeks of March it was crazy, depressing, and yet many started selling into that extreme weakness to go to cash at the exact wrong time. When there is a selloff that extreme, it is the time to deploy all the cash one has and buy the dip. Conversely, when everyone is getting glib and complacent about higher and higher prices and when there is extreme strength, it is time to start trimming and lightening up on positions.
Now in a raging bull market, the selloffs will be quicker and less extreme, but they will come and they can be bought. I’ve personally sold a number of stocks over the last month or so at higher prices into frenzies(when everyone was parroting be right and sit tight), and then I turned around and bought those positions right back a few days or weeks later for much lower prices, and got a much lower cost basis as a result, or just scalped profits in a few stocks. The people that proclaim “the stocks will all run away from you” or “you won’t ever get back in” are painting with a very broad one-size fits all brush, and they don’t ever discuss those trades to sell higher to the mob (greater foolO, and then buy the same stock back when it pulls back down again. I’ve been consistently trading very heavy since the March lows and have done over 200 trades in the last 4 1/2 months, and made FAR more money trading than just buying and holding. Sure there were a few that I trimmed a bit early or had to average up in after more consideration, but there were dozens where I sold high and bough low, and then did again, and again, and again….
I’ve been more defensive lately trimming back or at least swing trading the volatility in many companies, and when pullbacks show up (as they always do) I’ll have the funds to pounce on the opportunities. I’ve actually done quite a bit of buying as well the last few weeks, as there is always a deal, and there is always another train leaving the station.
Ever Upward!
My bank for this morning sales became Amex as it has been lethargic since their last good drill results. I will experiment to see if they get some pep in them. I will dump them first if things go sour.
I added to positions today I’d trimmed back at higher prices in both Precipitate Gold and Newrange Gold. Looking at a few other contenders… over the next hour or so.
I was thinking of adding to Precipitate as Unigold in the Dominican Republic came out with some drill results that included 30 meters of 9.02 g/t. I thought that may help the Precipitate story.
That’s a good drill hit from Unigold. Good idea that it will help with visibility in the D.R.
Mexus had a nice move today up 30% on the day, but I’m letting that one run now that they are in production and I believe they are going to surprise the market with how fast they pay off their debt in the next 6 months and then they are going to turn into a cash generating machine for 2021 and 2022, with some of the lowest costs of any gold producer.
(BHS) Bayhorse had a nice pop today up over 26% that I trimmed some back into, and I decided to shave just a wee bit off (MMG) Metallic Minerals today.
As mentioned above I also reduced down my position in Orex, Discovery, Aurcana, Metalla, Silvercorp, and Treasury, and added to Precipitate and Newrange. Overall there wasn’t enough movement in most other stocks today to warrant doing much more in my portfolio. We’ll see what surprises tomorrow brings.
I saw Mexus and just going to let it go and hopefully their share value can get up into real pennies. The close was somewhat weak today although I was up today. So far so good on todays sales. Kind of a break even on the profit taking. But last week started much better. Will see.
(MXSG) Mexus Gold – Update on mining operations at Santa Elena mine
by @nasdaq on 3 Aug 2020
“Mexus Gold US announced that production at its Santa Elena mine in Caborca, MX continues with positive results. The company recently moved a 40 ton 6×6 articulated haul truck to the site which will allow for an increase in daily production. In addition, the company is updating a 330 CAT excavator to keep pace with the increased production in Pit #1 on the Julio vein and shear zone. Photos of Pit 1, overburden removal, and old workings. Assaying of the material now being worked has shown up to 16 gpt Au with an average of 2.1 gpt Au. Work on Phase 1 of 3 of the company’s build out of the heap leach pad continues. Phase 1 includes the clearing of land and readying an area that will double the size of the current pad. Ultimately, Mexus will increase the size of the heap leach pad to a 500,000 ton capacity. Mexus continues to mine, crush and stack new material on the heap pad with ongoing gold recovery. The company is benefiting from the recent uptick in the price of gold. ”
https://ceo.ca/@nasdaq/update-on-mining-operations-at-santa-elena-mine
(BHS) (KXPLF) Bayhorse Recomences Operation at Its Relocated Silver Flotation Circuit for Mineralization from Its Bayhorse Silver Mine
10 Aug 2020
“Bayhorse Silver Inc has relocated its milling and silver flotation circuit to Fruitland, Idaho, from the Bayhorse Mine site, in Oregon and increased the capacity of the circuit to allow for processing at an “as mined” tonnage of 200 tons per day from the Bayhorse Silver Mine. The Company has added trained flotation operators to its Mine staff in Idaho to recommence flotation operations and recommissioning.”
“The Company is planning to produce a silver concentrate averaging 10,000 g/dmt. The concentrate is expected to contain 11% copper. The concentrate will be placed in supersacks and shipped in 25 ton containers to prospective purchasers. The Company is preparing two sample 50 ton shipments of concentrate to prospective purchasers.”
“Initial processing will treat the 400 tons of Ore-Sorted mineralization currently stored at the Bayhorse Mine. This will be followed by a further 300-400 tons of already mined mineralization stored inside the Mine after it is processed through the Ore-Sorter.”
https://ceo.ca/@newsfile/bayhorse-recomences-operation-at-its-relocated-silver
^^ Looks like the world has it’s next Silver producer in Bayhorse…. finally.
Now it is time for Alexco and Mag Silver to move into production next.
someone over at ceo.ca broke down Bayhorse’s projected production metrics, metals recovery, costs, price of silver, and earnings per share as such:
_______________________________________
@kenio – “200 tpd, 21oz/t, 87% recovery, $29/oz silver, $9/oz AISC = $73k per day earnings – assume 320 days mining = $23MM annual earnings – at 133MM shares = EPS of $0.17”
Mexus and Bayhorse look like they will be fun to watch.
Yes, and lately they’ve been fun to own. 😉
Hi Doc, after buying NSRPF@2.59 on Fri I put a very sharp pencil to paper and think that the Horseman’s estimate of 100 million pre tax cash flow is way too low. Looks to me like the cash flow will be over 200 million with gold at today’s price, and over 300 million with gold at 3K. And that does not give them any credit for supercharging production with the use of sifters before going to the mill. So I just bought more NSRPF@ 2.62 and plan to hold it for 50 years when Moriarity says it will be the biggest gold company in the world, unless it gets bought out by NEM, KL, Sumitomo, or the Chinese.
BB; I will be purchasing some more of your favorite beloved stock as it pulls back here. I already have a low cost basis. I can’t wait until 50 years from now when we will really benefit from NOVO being the largest gold company in the world. I hear Bob is a buddy of AOC and helped her to understand that if we don’t do significant changes as regards climate change in the next 8 years we’re all going to be dead in 50 years. I guess if we want to see NOVO as the largest gold mine in 50 years we better lobby congress and the POTUS to spend gazillions of dollars to abate climate change.
Doc, let’s hope we live long enough to see NSRPF become the biggest gold company in the world, and that AOC will not put a wealth tax on us to steal our profits. She may send us to work as slaves in the lead mines too to punish us for our white privilege.
I wish somebody had the same motivation about regulating the markets.
Osisko Mining drills 28 m of 202 g/t Au at Windfall
2020-08-10 09:54 ET – News Release
Mr. John Burzynski reports
OSISKO INTERSECTS 202 G/T AU OVER 9.0 METRES AT WINDFALL
Osisko Mining Inc. has provided new analytical results from the continuing definition and expansion drill program at its 100-per-cent-owned Windfall gold project located in the Abitibi greenstone belt, Urban township, Eeyou Istchee James Bay, Quebec.
Corvus Gold Inc. has received approval to up list to the Nasdaq Capital Markets and will begin trading under the symbol KOR on Wednesday, Aug. 12, 2020. The Company’s common shares will continue to be traded on the OTCQX until the market close on August 11, 2020 after which these shares will begin trading under the symbol “KOR” on the Nasdaq Capital Markets. Corvus’ common shares will continue to trade on the TSX under the same symbol “KOR”.
above is a repeat…..on the Italian cure for keeping out of the body bag …. 🙂
Humm………Gold off to a good start on MONDAY……..
Physical silver also a good start…but let us see if they sit on miners until end of day. Normal morning smash back in play…but still early.
Ditto ……..
Ex, I don’t know whether you saw this news release in the morning about Leading Edge Materials, one director has bought in again, with his shares and if he executes the warrants he will own over 48% of the company. https://web.tmxmoney.com/article.php?newsid=4981775315118712&qm_symbol=LEM
D>T:
I was thinking about your comment about the dollar. If the dollar is headed down, at some point the rest of the currencies that are not part of the basket will follow as well.
What a crazy time we find ourselves in.
Thanks DT. No, I hadn’t seen that news and really appreciate the heads up.
I haven’t held LEM for a long time, but may need to give it another look see now.
Does this article bother anyone on this page? Doc seems to be disagreeing with Rick’s outlook.
https://goldseek.com/article/dollars-coming-revenge
Silver:
The article does not take into account the part that structural unfairness leading to civil unrest plays.
Nothing is ever Black and White.
To say there is no inflation, I would counter and say take a trip to your local lumber yard.
They are talking about $50.00 a sheet for 1/2 inch OSB.
Ditto…….
Just wait for food inflation.
Thanks for your thoughts. Yes, I used to build houses and quality plywood (7/16″) was cheaper than today’s OSB and not near the quality IMO.
I’m looking forward to sending in lots of mail in ballots:
DING DING DING….
Just saying……DING DING DING
A flaw in Trump’s plan:
https://www.startribune.com/states-on-hook-for-billions-under-trump-s-unemployment-plan/572059242/
Many states, especially the Dumocrat run ones, are too broke to pay even part of the unemployment pay.
CFS:
Now your in my neck of the woods with the Star Tribune.
Minnesota actually has a budget surplus. Imagine that.
Palladium ………up $125……more than gold again…..lol
Jerry, your Platinum had a nice rip this morning as well.
Platinum……has been a big disappointment ……although…..Bubba….says it is ready to take off……
What is funny, platinum , is hard to find, and hard to buy, in small coins….
check out Apmex…..You rarely see any coins for sale at the dealers….
POTUS: Schumer, Pelosi ‘Want To Meet To Make A Deal’ On Coronavirus Relief…
“Amazing How It All Works, Isn’t It”
With this stimulus check Jerry, I am going to get the educational note.Unfortunately not the uncirculated one. Also a 2 oz silver 308 shell for the son in laws Dad who has everything.
Which educational. note?……$1,2,5,10,
Either the $1 or the $2. 5 and 10 out of my price range.
Although I do see a used $5 at $1,295
What grade are you look for….?
I made a mistake…..they do not have a $10 educational….they planned for one, but, never made. it….instead….they went to the 1899 series…
what I can afford unfortunately.
I quoted that wrong, the 1295 was a $2
Are you looking for a GRADED NOTE>…
Have you checked out Apmex….on the currency…..sometimes they have some nice notes…graded and ungraded…..
Yes to the graded. I see a 1896 $1 Silver Cert ED Note XF-45 PPQ PCGS for $1779.00.
Thats about where I’m at.
Ampex is where I’m at . I really like the old notes.
A real good History lesson as well.
That would be a nice note to have……
Ditto on the History lesson…..
MEANWHILE IN THE UK…….about closing schools:
But don’t let facts confuse you.
You should obviously ignore any results on Covid-19 from down under…..
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F6A6RFDprIs&feature=youtu.be
In the light of increasing evidence that the severity of Covid-19 may well depend on the intial dose level of the virus, I am increasingly of the beief of mask wearing importance.
I still think social distancing more important, but….
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11606-020-06067-8
PDF version of previous citation on Masks
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s11606-020-06067-8.pdf
Brixton topped today at a long-standing target that I had no doubt would occur:
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BBB.V&p=W&yr=2&mn=5&dy=0&id=p21226095787
It closed the day just below a steeply rising fork resistance that would be nice to close above on Friday:
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BBB.V&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&id=p97820097148&a=681845445
I sold another quarter of my Brixton position on today’s gap up higher (so I only have a remaining 25% left in the position, because I sold another quarter on Friday). However if that gap gets filled I may repurchase some around $.42-$.43 down there. If it just blasts higher to the $.80 top speedline resistance you mentioned, then I’ll likely just finish selling out of the position.
This chart you posted last Friday on Thursday’s blog was good.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BBB.V&p=W&yr=5&mn=1&dy=0&id=p04515493699&a=777826699
Thanks Ex, I think you are right to consider repurchasing on a good pullback to fill the big gap or backtest that speed line.
Thanks Matthew. Yes, that seems like a good spot to add should it pull back to that gap or the middle speed-line level where it closed on Friday. If it just goes ahead and blasts even higher first that will be OK as well.
Before getting too worried about the stopping power of that R3 resistance, notice that IPT added another 87% after getting through it in June (and quadrupled after getting through it in 2016!):
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=IPT.V&p=W&yr=2&mn=5&dy=0&id=p64443270628
Mathew, congratulations on Brixton. You were right. I followed you in last year but exited in the fall when the CEO (can’t remember his name) did not drill anywhere remotely near that spectacular hole at Thorn.
Well done.
Thank you Blazesb, I appreciate that.
Ex, I was buying today! DT https://web.tmxmoney.com/article.php?newsid=7071398627535771&qm_symbol=SCZ
By the way they haven’t said what the halt for ten days was about but I don’t care! LOL! DT
It appears just to have been regarding the purchase of their 3rd mine – Zimapan. I thought maybe there was going to be a financing announced in conjunction with that news or something, but sometimes it just takes the exchanges a while to approve a significant news release, and the management likely would not comment on it while under a halt, and now it is water under the bridge…
DT – nicely done sir (4 times the average volume today). Yes, Santacruz put out the Q2 numbers, but like most other producers in Mexico, the Covid 19 shut downs last quarter interrupted things a bit, but they used that time to optimize their mines/mills and SCZ should have a stellar Q3 and Q4.
Carlos Silva, CEO of Santacruz, stated, “Heading into the second quarter our focus was on increasing production at the Rosario and Zimapan mines to offset the suspension of production at Veta Grande. However, with the onset of Covid-19 our focus shifted to the health and wellbeing of our employees and we suspended mine and milling operations during the second quarter in accordance with Mexican government guidance.” Mr. Silva continued; “During this operational downtime, we made adjustments in all areas, including milling and underground, which are helping improve our tonnage throughput at both mines as operations resumed. Consolidated production is now on track to return to Q1 2020 levels. With improved metals prices, most particularly silver, and production ramping up towards historic levels with improved efficiencies we are optimistic about our Q3 2020 results.” Finally Mr. Silva commented; “It is important to note that Rosario mine production stopes have reached Level 6 where improved head grades are anticipated. As we continue moving forward, our health protocols will remain vigilant as we strive to protect our employees, their families and the wider communities throughout these times of COVID uncertainty.”
Jesus Matt you nailed it.
Ya nice work Excel.
I cant micro mamage trades to fk busy will sit for higher targets.
If ya come to the BC coast awsome ocean front can accomadate..
Gods country no riots. Orcas raceing the ferry boat lol. No shit.
Thanks again Bill, that sounds like a fantastic place you’ve got there. We could feed all kinds of looters to the orcas!
Hey Bill, we love the BC coast north of Vancouver and north of Horseshoe Bay and stayed in Lion’s Bay last year across from Gambier Island and Anvil Island n the Howe Sound. We went up that way the prior trip going to Sea to Sky Gondola & Squamish (if one was heading up to Whistler).
We’ve also spent a few trips on various ferry boats over on Victoria Island as well, and getting out on the water in the Strait of Georgia, the Haro Strait, and then bouncing back over stateside across the Salish Sea to Port Angeles to adventure in the Olympic mountains. The Pacific Northwest is such an amazing spot and we love it there.
Vancouver Island (not Victoria Island), but we did visit Victoria, of course, while driving all over Vancouver Island.
Bill–
I’ll be happy 😀 to come visit soon as I calibrate the compass on my ship of fools—
(NEE) (NHVCF) Northern Vertex Reports Record Monthly Production of 4,713 Gold Equivalent Ounces
6 Aug 2020
https://ceo.ca/@newswire/northern-vertex-reports-record-monthly-production-of
I’m curious as to why NEE went on trading halt today?
If they get taken out here I’m going to be disappointed as they have so much more room to run, but maybe it is just substantial drill results.
______________________________________
IIROC Trading Halt – NEE Northern Vertex Mining Corp
by @newswire on 10 Aug 2020
NEE still didn’t unhalt today. That was OK by me with the selloff in the PMs, and maybe they should just stay halted until this corrective move is over. ha!
Still, I wonder what the news is going to be for Northern Vertex?
(GLD) (NCMBF) GoldON Receives Drill Permits for Newly Acquired Claims at West Madsen and Commences Fieldwork
6 Aug 2020
“The Project is comprised of the West Madsen (Block A and Block B) claims, where GoldON has the right to earn a 100% interest through an option agreement with Great Bear Resources, and the Flat Lake and Madsen-Medicine Stone claim groups, where GoldON can acquire a 100% interest. The Flat Lake and Madsen-Medicine Stone claims are contiguous with Block A and the Pure Gold Red Lake Mine property.”
https://ceo.ca/@accesswire/goldon-receives-drill-permits-for-newly-acquired-claims
Notes From Nevada: High-Grade Gold/Silver And Clowns
by @Goldfinger on 6 Aug 2020
“(NRG) (NRGOF) Newrange quickly delivered stunning high-grade gold drill results from Pamlico that captured the market’s attention in 2017.”
“Since 2017, Newrange hasn’t managed to replicate that early success. Last week, Newrange released the first batch of drill results from the 2020 drilling campaign. The market had expectations that were too high and NRG shares tumbled after the news was released. However, I believe the selling was overdone and I used the weakness to add to my NRG position.”
“Pamlico is impressive for a number of reasons, but primarily because there is an extensive array of high-grade gold intercepts throughout the project. There is gold all over the place with intercepts drilled by Newrange including 32 meters of 7 grams/tonne gold, 13.8 meters of 17.25 grams/tonne gold, and 76.2 meters of 3.72 grams/tonne gold.”
“We know there is a lot of gold at Pamlico, the challenge has been tying together these epithermal vein zones in something resembling a contiguous economic gold deposit. Pamlico is unique in that there are high grade low-sulphidation epithermal veins interspersed among what could be a near surface open pit bulk tonnage (lower grade) oxide gold deposit. ”
https://ceo.ca/@goldfinger/notes-from-nevada-high-grade-goldsilver-and-clowns
Gold Set To Go Higher… But Watch Out!
August 10, 2020 – Chris Vermeulen – The Technical Traders
“Chris is interviewed by Michelle Holiday of Portfolio Wealth Global and is asked about predictions for Gold prices in the future. The stage is set for gold to appreciate to $3,000 and beyond, but look out for this Red Flag before jumping into a trade! Chris also explores what investors can expect from stock market prices going forward.”
https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/gold-set-to-go-higher-but-watch-out/
Not today…………Gold stinks today. Tuesday ………..DOWN $60 plus……
Yep the former all-time high becons for gold. The nature of this sell-off would seem to indicate a market top in gold for the interim.
Yep, that is what the “Watch Out” part was about – a corrective move down first, followed by the next leg higher in Gold. A corrective move was way overdue, and the miners poor performance last week was a signal of the disconnect with them and the higher metals prices.
Looks like the sell-off has arrived in PMs. It was overdue in the short term and nothing to worry about at this stage. Will be good to shake out the short term greedy players.
I sure was wrong. We were getting higher volume on uptics than downtics.
But there always seems to be brokerage shorting after finanancing with warrants.
Saw the breakdown in gold and put in about 10 bids to adjust some things. Then they announced the Russian claim having a vaccine. Then gold tanks more.
Then early new comes out and Amex has good drill results, Pure Gold puts out some financials, Ely puts out they bought some more Royalties, Golden Minerals puts out decent drill results, Eloro puts put drill results and Wallbridge comes out with some good results, which of course will affect Ely. Too much drama so pulled all my sales. Sine up is down and right is left…I am just going to monitor my “banks” Ely and Amex for their movement and try to save at least their value since both have good news and that could be bad.
Producer Price Index up .06 expected .03. FWIW
I hope the Russian vaccine isn’t Lysol.
David – Nice moves to take evasive action during the corrective move.
I had already done my trimming in most of the stocks I wanted to, and while the sector sold off some today, in most stocks in my portfolio, it wasn’t enough of a move down to add back yet, but I did score a nice add in Discovery Metals at the open, that I had just trimmed yesterday at 17% higher than where I bought today.
There are some other deals forming, but I want to see sold double-digit selloffs in most companies before adding more back. At the open there were a few but they all got bought back up to mild single digit sell-offs at this point, so at this point, I’m sticking with what I got.
I ended up with 7 sales yesterday and was going to pick Discovery back up if it hit $1.65 US. I wasn’t quick enough and it moved to $1.75. I just watching to see if the hedge funds add ro the carnage or turn this thing. In the meantime I will be looking at some cheaper ones. I want my Metallic back with more shares than I sold if I can. My sales yesterday were mostly 20% of holdings in those I sold…so should be able to get some more shares of something.
Yeah, at this point the selloff has just been enough to be irritating, but not enough where it’s a screaming buy. I was luck to get in and nab Discovery right at the open, as you’re correct it has been bought back up quicky.
However, we’ve noted a few times on here that there is a lot of money on the sidelines waiting to buy the dips, and that is what happened so far today. If the market shakes the tree though a bit further and plunges these mining stocks down even harder, then some of those buyers may get scared away, and that’s when I’ll be looking to add.
I’ve got about a dozen or so companies I want to top off if they’ll drop an additional 10-20%, and about a half dozen quality names I’ve wanted to be in for a while but still want to see more of a pullback in them first before nibbling.
Overall, I’m sure glad I trimmed back most of the biggest runners over the last few weeks, up to and including the ones I just trimmed yesterday into the strength. What remains to be seen is if this is just going to be a 1-2 day reset, or more the 9-11 days of pain that Glenfidish was mentioning starting this week. So far the sell-off has been more of “meh….”
I am glad to see Silver is down in the low $27’s here, because the miners were not responding at all to $28-$30 Silver and as the price of the metal pulls back down into the mid $20, it will be interesting if the miners wake up to the fact they should be printing money like crazy at anything over $21-$22 and so even $23-$26 is a very bullish place to be for the Silver producers and aspiring Silver Developers. The miners need more time to digest the higher metals prices as they should have surged up so much higher just at $23, $24, $25, $26 and maybe they’ll find their equilibrium here soon.
Same thing with gold pulling back into the mid $1900’s.
Can gold producers make money at $1956 Gold. You bet your asteroids they can.
What should the economics be on the Gold Developers at that price — Waaay higher.
People just need time to see where the miners should be heading (much higher) through the lens of these higher prices, and going up north of $2000 was not being factored into the Gold miners, just like the Silver miners mostly stopped responding to higher Silver prices. We need a pause that refreshes, and my only concern is that the pullback won’t be long enough or deep enough to really reset things before the metals take back off again.
Do not encourage GLEN……..he will be back telling us ,…”he told ya”…..lol 🙂
Just joking GLEN…….. 🙂
OOTB. Ha! I actually was hoping Glen was going to be correct about the 9-11 days of a pullback as the sector needs a reset here. The reaction to Gold breaking the old 2011 high of $1923, and Silver breaking through the 2016 high of $21.23 was lackluster at best, and somewhat disappointing. When Gold broke above $2000 and Silver broke above $23-$26 the miners mostly yawned, and at their highest prices last week, the miners actually started selling off, so there has been a big disconnect and it needs time to get digested. This is why it is so much better for the metals to stair-step up over time, versus the parabolic moves higher we saw the last few weeks. It was too much too fast to actual register in most of the stocks, but at least it generated some media headlines and may have some new generalist investors and generalist funds looking at the sector finally.
We’ll see how it goes….
The roar of voices has not become a roar of panic, I think this correction will be over soon and back up we go. If the dollar was backed by gold, the bankers would be in supporting these prices. They are just to happy to have run the stops today, tomorrow they will see how powerful this bull market in precious metals is. DT
DT – Yeah, that is what concerns me, that it will just be a 1-2 blip down and then the metals will start ratcheting higher again, with the mining shares in limbo. I’d much prefer a nice couple weeks corrective moves in the metals before the next leg higher, because if thing turn around and just keep running even higher in the metals then it will be more of a blow off top (and more violent corresponding correction to the downside), instead of a more orderly stair-step move higher that will last longer and hold onto more of the gains.
Either way, it’s going to be interesting.
1-2 (day) blip down
My reply….to your thoughts on “responding”…. It is going to take some time for new investors, to get a handle on the mining sector….A lot of work is required as a new investor just to sift through all the companies which are the real ones..and which ones are duds.
Ex, I believe these prices will look ridiculously low in a year or two. Speculation is part of The American way of life and the trick is to be on the right side of that trade at the right time. DT
DT – Sure in a year or two the metals and miners will all be much higher, but my time frame being discussed is near term over the next few weeks to few months. I’d rather get a corrective move put in for a few weeks, reset the sentiment, give the miners time to digest the higher metals prices, rather than have a blow off top in the metals prices that takes months to correct.
I’m in the green today on my new SILJ and GDXJ positions and am ready to buy more. Also got filled on some IPT orders in the low .90s.
This is exactly the “scary” action I was talking about the other day (and was hoping for).
Matthew, I am also in the green on my buy of LOMLF@1.50 today. Do you own that one or TRXXF? Now I am glad Schwab failed to execute my order to buy LOMLF@1.57 last week when it had a low of 1.55.
I blew it. Put in an order at .91 premarket and saw the weakness getting bigger so I changed it to low .80’s
That’s frustrating. I use multiple order for that reason. I still have a stack starting at .90 then .89, .88, etc. The lower the bid, the larger the order.
That’s a good process to use a bid ladder or stacking of the bids with increasing position size as they go lower in price. Even if an investor just kept each level uniform it’s a fantastic way to average into a good cost basis on volatile trading days. Good stuff!
There’s all kinds of ways to arrange it. Sometimes my bids just get slightly larger for a nickel or dime of movement and then I will place a much larger one. For example, 5,000, 6,000, 7,000, 8,000, 15,000, 17,000, 19,000, 21,000, 23,000, 40,000. It all depends on the individual stock and the chart. There are often times when I skip many/most levels and begin my approach as a target nears. It helps to be able to assess your odds pretty well and luckily I’m usually pretty good at it.
Of course, when strictly trading and not speculating, my entries and exits happen at one level based on rules. GDXJ is perfect for trading because it is more liquid than SILJ yet has better holdings than GDX (my opinion). I’m still partial to SILJ, though.
Good insights and strategy Matthew, and yes, it depends on the stock in question and the macro backdrop. There are times where I have an aggressive all in one buy at a turn or key inflection point, but if I’m just trying to accumulate on a chaotic day I do a bid ladder.
Preferably I like to be watching in real time and wait to place multiple limit orders until I’ve seen the damage inflicted first. I generally like the first hour or last hour of trading, since the moves can be more extreme. However there are times where we all get tied up with daily life, so I find setting a few stick bids spaced out allows the limit orders to do the work. I was out eating with a friend last week and we hadn’t caught up in months, and I didn’t want to be checking the markets constantly, so I placed a number of buy and sell orders staggered and it was nice to come back and see a few of each had been triggered at levels I felt were good value.
One thing I’ve noticed the last week or so are the bid / ask spreads are getting wider and wider so clearly there are many other traders with the same idea. If I really want in a position bad I pick a bid in the lower 1/3 of the bid ask spread but above the very bottom bid and often it gets a partial fill or it fills during the day as the pricing skirts either side of it, and that is another good way to accumulate.
So in essence you’re blocking it from coming down to my level. Lol….picked up more brixton at .45 at least
Uh, sorry. The market is blocking me, too, if it makes you feel better! 😏
(SGI) (SUPGF) Superior Gold Inc. Announces Second Quarter 2020 Financial and Operating Results
by @newswire on 11 Aug 2020
“Tamara Brown, Interim CEO of Superior Gold stated: “The highlight of our second quarter results was the stope tonnage mined which increased by 51% over the first quarter of this year and was the highest quarterly mining rate since we acquired the Plutonic underground mine in 2016. We continue to be encouraged by the underground physicals of the operations and believe, with the execution of our five-year underground plan, the stope grade will progressively improve over time.”
“We are encouraged that despite continuing to invest in exploration and development and repaying our gold loan, our cash position remained largely unchanged from the first quarter, as we continue to benefit from the strong Australian dollar gold price, which is currently at all time highs. Over the next twelve months, we are focused on executing on a cost reduction program that targets higher grade stopes while improving productivity, which we expect will allow us to generate meaningful free cash flow for our shareholders as our operations continue to improve.”
https://ceo.ca/@newswire/superior-gold-inc-announces-second-quarter-2020-financial
(BTU) BTU Metals Corp Finds High Gold In Till Samples Associated With Artificial Intelligence Targets
Aug 10, 2020
Paul Wood, BTU CEO, said, “The most recent gold in till data confirms there are sampled areas on the property that show high concentrations of gold and in a number of cases high gold grain concentrations are located proximal or directly associated with some of our recently identified AI targets. From prior work by us and others we know that there is a lot of evidence of gold in the neighbourhood and we can see from the high counts of pristine gold grains in some of our samples that some of the gold has not travelled far from its bedrock source. We are continuing with our surface and mechanical till sampling program and we expect to have the drill back in action shortly to start testing some of the areas that we see as priority targets.”
For those not familiar with (BTU) BTU Metals, they have consolidated the exploration land package right below (GBR) Great Bear Resources in Red Lake.
This map shows how their 2 land packages line up.
https://www.btumetals.com/images/projects/3/default/BTU_Dixie_Location.jpg
Charles – if you see this message, based on our Red Lake discussion last week, I’ve placed my bets at this point.
1) I’m holding my (PGM) Pure Gold Mining position as primary, since they are Developer in construction and ready for first gold pour by Christmas
2) (GLD) GoldON Resources – They have exploration land leased from Great Bear and just acquired more land adjacent to Pure Gold Mining.
3) (BTU) BTU Metals – They have the large exploration land package below Great Bear resources.
There are other interesting companies in Red Lake for sure, but those are the horses I’ve bet on at this point in time.
Ever Upward!
Matthew, glad to hear you are buying today. I just bought LOMLF@1.50. Do you own LOMLF or TRXXF?
Bonzo, I do not own those.
It’s impressive that Brixton hasn’t even filled yesterday’s gap…
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BBB.V&p=D&yr=0&mn=5&dy=10&id=p33643253143
I know – I’ve been waiting down there with a stink bid and Brixton has been resilient.
Impressive strength on good volume, too.
I don’t know how the above comment ended up there.
Excelsior, buying more LOMLF today? Do you own TRXXF which is drilling next to the old Con mine in Yellowknife. Gerald P thinks he might find something there, and he did find the gold at Detour. Can he do it again?
Hi bonzo. No I’m not buying any more Lion One today as I’m already well stocked up at much lower levels and added more on the way up. I’m just letting Lion One & Quinton continue their deep drilling into the feeder system as it could end up being a monster alkaline system.
As for Gold Terra I don’t own it or know much about it. Working in Yellowknife eh? That is a good neighborhood to be looking. Thanks for the heads up.
Well ladies and gentlemen the vicious and hard correction has come. I have not sold anything! My longs remain in place and my short term I’ve added to..
Picked up more impact
Picked up more of my etf bull
The lows are not in imo.. I think we get a spike and back down hard. If impact hits my .74 bid I’m happy. If it hits .45-.48 I’m borrowing from everyone I know. Basically I’ve gone into buying..
Thanks for the update Glenfidish. I’m sure glad I was trimming recently, including into yesterday’s strength, as the miners are sure lower than they were and are looking better for a buy, but like you mentioned, I’m looking to see if they go lower first before deploying too much dry powder. I did have a nice pickup in both Discovery Metals at the open, and a nice starter position in BTU Metals today into the weakness.
Looking forward to seeing more fire sale prices before the next run higher.
Glen, I think the bottom is already in place.
I was referring to the miners (GDXJ, SILJ, etc.).
So much for that. SILJ and GDXJ just now made new lows well after SLV did.
I did buy more on the break, btw.
Silver is down 11% while SILJ is down 8.5%. That’s a good sign.
I decided to pick up a toehold position in SILJ today as well, just to get a position going, that I can add to over time as I trim back other positions.
Also note I called the top long ago..Does anyone remember second week of August? Close enough. Should have listened to my own advice just saying lol…
Just flip into buying mode.. Also very clear I bought 25% of my ammunition. Going harder with much lower targets.
Glenfidish – Aurcana is back on sale today if you still wanted to pick some up.
I’ve decided to go on the bid again today as I had trimmed at higher levels yesterday and last week.
Remain keen that August prints a red candle but September and October should go higher. But what do i know lol..
I think $1920-$1936 should hold if not Gary’s targets will hit.. either 10-14 days here and up or October bottom.
Glenfidish that makes sense to me on on the red August candle followed by a green September candle. There have been too many months in a row of Green candles and we are due for a red month. Let’s rip the band-aid off and get it over with, so we can see a peppier September. Cheers!
Gold over $90 down US at moment in what looks like a controlled 45 degree walk down. That is how supply and demand works …right. Very controlled without deviation from a path.
Glen……What was GARY’S NUMBER…….?
So far, just got my Metallic and Discovery back. Got them cheaper but not worth the effort.
I did not want to chase those two once the meatheads are through taking the vaccine and stop punishing metals for the virus.
It’s like every miner I have has been assigned a negative # and it is fixed. Only positives are Hannan, Irving and Anaconda on US exchange. I noticed that the News cut off. They Algos can’t read.
Silver down bigly today – Futures at $26.08
Yes it is…….down 10%(appox)…
Still ok, as far as I am concerned……over $22…..headed to $49………a lot of work to do…JMO
Agreed. Longer term things are just fine, but we really needed a corrective move like this to wash out the sentiment, reset the charts, and let things cool off for a while. I’d rather see things regroup, find a base, and then have a more measured climb higher rather than the parabolic moves we’ve been seeing the last few weeks.
Anyone new to the market , just wet their pants…. 🙂
Going back to the Depends… lol
What a pisser… (haha!)
Gold and silver are dropping like a rock…….Never seen Gold drop $100….crazy
Of course, never seen OIL go -30usd either….. 🙂
Yes… these are wild markets with lots of volatility…. Exciting!
This action should get rid of the bulls PDQ
lol…….. the newbee bulls……….. 🙂
Robinhood crowd………now looking for a new stimulus check….. 🙂
This action should get rid of about anything Including sanity.
Just buying big US listed silver stocks today, plan to sell on the pop…KIS…S
Yes…….KIS…S
Everything is FINE…………FINE SILVER AND GOLD>……… 🙂
The moves are just going to be more extreme………..if, it can go down $100 in a day,…it can go up $100 a day……I think Sinclair mentioned this 7 years ago….we would be seeing these moves….. just stay the course…. JMO
No way it will ever be allowed to go up $100 in a day. Sincalir said many things. Unfortunately very few ever materialized. The bullion banks (and major central banks) have been given the mandate by TPTB to control/manage the price of PMs. They have the capability to drive the price in whichever direction they want. As the matter of fact, they can, if they wanted to, drive the price of gold up to $5000 tomorrow. The price of PMs will always be what TPTB want it to be. Through their control of all major central banks, TPTB have unlimited funds that enables them to control everything. They control all major corporations, media, entertainment, etc. They also have 90-95% of all gold ever mined in their possession. With all the money in the world and all control they can have, dont you think that controling PMs is a big match for them?
Never say never…..$100 down ….is a fact today…..and when did that ever happen…
Fact no. two……Sinclair did call a higher price than $1623, on his winged angle .the last time……and that fact did happen…..just saying…
But, I will say, …you are correct, that he said a lot of thing…. 🙂
things…..
Norrareal1968……..BTW……..all good points….
Good point on they own 95 %………So, the remaining 5% is going higher than Hell….for all the 7 Billion people to fight over… 🙂
I have spoken to Sinclair. He told me that back in 1980, he was told the exact day gold would top. Well, it appears that his contacts back then were much more trustworthy than his contacts nowdays. Believe it or not, back in 2008/09 I actually did what Sinclair advised, i.e. sold my two properties and went all in into PMs. I invested 70% into physical gold, 15% into physical silver and 15% in shares for whom (as Sinclair advised) I hold certificates of ownership. After 11 years my shares are hardly into green. So much for sit tight and be right
Unfortunately, the 7 billions plebs/slaves are so poor and destitute that they, best case, can buy a couple of ounces of silver. I agree that PMs are going a lot higher but when and how much will be decided by TPTB
Norrareal1968……….
If, the plebs……..buy two oz. of phyz now, they will be twice as rich as their neighbor, in a couple of years….JMHO
N 1968……Sorry, to hear about your misfortune with Sinclair….I do know, there are a lot of ill informed gurus………and most do not know their back side from a hole in the ground.
OOTB Jerry, I wouldn’t be too sure about silver. Sinclair was not a believer in silver (well he did become when Holter joined in). Should the plebs buy gold they will definitely be richer than their next door neighbour. My silver stack has gone up 20% in value in the 11-12 years I have had it while my gold has gone up in value 175%. I believe that should be telling something. Ditto for the shares. I believe that everybody here is understimating the grip that TPTB have over the PMs. I know the enemy when I see one. TPTB and their bullion banks are our enemy. TPTB are an enemy of whole mankind
OOTB Jerry, it’s not a misfortune. He actually told me to buy 90% phisical gold and put the rest in gold shares. I regret not doing exactly as told
Timing matters and with silver, it is especially crucial. Get the timing half right and silver easily beats gold.
Matthew, I agree. But getting the timing right even half the time is not an easy task. Not even for the best investors. I spent a lot of time talking to Bob Moriarty about his beloved DSI. I asked him how were gold and silver ever going to advance to $6.600 and $120-150 respectively, when the DSI shoots up to extremes every time gold goes up $150-200 and silver $2-3?
Has it occurred to anybody that the DSI figures might be manipulated or just plain fabricated? He never replied
N 1968………
I do agree with you on the TPTB…….. they control a whole bunch.
N 1968………From KWN….today Oliver……says….But, what can I say… 🙂
Expect Violent Trading All The Way Up
Michael Oliver: “Yes. Even the initial rally that failed in 2016 peaked in the summer. It took that market 2 1/2 months of writhing around before it even rolled over. This is the kind of break you are going to get all the way up, whether gold is going to $5,000 or $10,000 in this macro multi-asset crisis. You’re going to get $100 selloffs. You’re probably going to get $200 days on the way up, and pullbacks en route, partly because the market will get more volatile and be at much higher price levels. So expect it.
N 1968………sounds like by your comments…..you have been around the block a couple of times….
Well, as Moriarty writes, nobody (Oliver included) knows anything. It would be great, as Gary Savage says that we will go down to 1750 and then off to 7000-10000 in 12-18 months. But will that happen? Well, I don’t think so. There’s one thing I know, metals will be where the TPTB want them to be. Less than a year ago, everybody was screaming that Tesla was bankrupt. Well since then TPTB have made Tesla the largest carmaker in the world with a market share of 8% in the EV segment (down from more than 16 YOY) in Germany and with a P/E ratio 60 TIMES SMALLER than that of Volkswagen, a company valued at 1/3 of Tesla. That, along with all other FAANG is an indication of the might/grip that TPTB exert over all markets
Trading based on sentiment leaves a LOT to be desired and during very strong moves, forget it.
I tried to mostly sit on my hands today, but eventually couldn’t stand it. I got a good opening snag of Discovery Metals, added new toe hold starter positions in BTU, SILJ, and EXK, and added back positions I trimmed at much higher levels in MTA, SVM, AUN, and USAS. Still looking for any last deals here in power hour.
+1
Just added a little bit more CDE and MUX as well.
Mux also , some Yamana ( in many etfs)
PAAS,AXU, ASM,FSM, HL, also
If more down tomorrow i will average down….
yeah, I considered more AXU as well, but I’m well positioned already. If things sell off more tomorrow, then I’ll add to it and maybe get my ASM position back.
What the hell, I added a bit more AXU after further consideration.
From… overbought to oversold….lets see how tomorow will be
A little more Abraplata and some more Metallica and sitting on my Amex to give it a chance to respond to todays drill report. If it moves, other sales may not be replaced st this time. 6.5% losses today.Almost from open.
In reviewing my order log (which was insanely long today as I changed a number of bids,canceled a number, had a number that filled, and some that partial filled…) it looks like I did pick up some MMG Metalla today as it dipped down further when I wasn’t watching (but I didn’t pick up any Metallica – haha!) 🙂
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Metallica – The Unforgiven
My log was long too after cancelling 10 sells before opening, and then on sells/buys during day if they weren’t responding quick enough, I was cancelling and moving on. Discovery came back a couple of times but I filled back before the second and third wave. Metallica I did hit again and have more than I had. The selling was persistent. The general markets tanked end of day, so not are the metals bad for curing the virus, but we will probably best buddies with the Other markets also and experience a kick to our head while on the ground.
I added to BCEKF at it’s low, $2.26, & EXK 1st time this year 3 cents from the low
I was wrong again, as Biden picks Kamala Harris for VP running mate.
Doc, today gold pulled back to $1907. Do you still think it can go down to $1850? Also, with this pull back, do you have a favorite PM stock you think is good to pick up?
A bad break for sure but one thing most investors learn is that this is a great time to buy. Something is wrong, but not in the precious metal market. I am not going to spread alarm because the alarm that will finish off this economy is not coming for the metal investors it is coming for the conventional stocks. DT
I was expecting gold to decline to its former all-time high of $1921 but I didnt expect it to happen so quickly. A spot price drop of nearly $150 in 24 hours is extreme in any event. Certainly now a short term top has evolved in gold and silver. A good process to wash out the short term investor and trader interest. Hopefully weve found a bottom already otherwise there could be some damage inflicted if we get some follow through selling.
USD wont collapse to many worldly problems and there wont be hyperinflation.
Just inflation as usual….standard currency debasement…..maybe $3,000 gold one day not pie in the eye gold bug calls…..I think.
Long and strong CND RE in the right places. safest place on stupid earth…cheers
The USD has fallen as much as 44% vs gold in just the last 24 months and is going much, much lower long term. We definitely don’t need hyperinflation to see our miners go to the moon.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24USD%3A%24GOLD&p=W&yr=5&mn=11&dy=0&id=p48413001008&a=798032826
Flash Crash……..GLEN………… $1882 ………..gold…..
Test
Thanks , Cory for getting DOC back on. I have to agree with him when he said he wasent too happy with G & S going up so fast , i did mention it some days ago.