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US Market and Gold Outlook To The End Of The Year

Cory
August 23, 2020

Here is a weekend special with Doc. We chatted later in the day on Friday focused on the US markets (the new all-time highs in the S&P vs the lagging Dow) and gold’s correction. While a lot can still happen from now to the end of the year Doc shares where he sees these markets trading.

Discussion
94 Comments
    Aug 23, 2020 23:29 AM

    Doc, what do you think of Oceanagold (OCANF) and Goldmining (GLDLF) at current levels?

      Aug 24, 2020 24:28 AM

      Pardu, I own both. I probably should take some gains on gldlf because I believe it’s overbought technically. OCANF has sold off a little and I believe it will sell off a little more—then I’ll add.

        Aug 24, 2020 24:25 AM

        Pardu, for transparency I just sold my GLDLF/

    FIH
    Aug 23, 2020 23:37 PM

    I heard that Barrick was granted exemptions to cover shorts under the Evergreen agreement granted well before 2000. I wonder if American Barrick is still holding those shorts? If so could they be in trouble? Is it Warren to the rescue somehow?

      Aug 23, 2020 23:54 PM

      How can you make an agreement to allow the covering of shorts. That doesn’t sound legal at al? Just wondering…

    Aug 24, 2020 24:31 AM
    Aug 24, 2020 24:25 AM

    Brien Lundin talks to Frederick Davidson, CEO of (IPT)(ISVLF) Impact Silver Corp at the August MIF

    August 13, 2020 #VIDEO

    Frederick Davidson, President & CEO of Impact Silver Corp. and Brien Lundin, Publisher and Editor Of Gold Newsletter discuss the successful $silver #explorer – #producer with two processing plants on adjacent districts within its 100% owned mineral concessions in central #Mexico at the August Virtual Metals Investor Forum.”

    https://youtu.be/uhgpWAvgGKs

    Aug 24, 2020 24:29 AM

    (MKO) (MAKOF) Mako Mining Receives Permit Amendment to Process Up To 1,000 Tonnes Per Day

    by @newswire on 24 Aug 2020

    https://ceo.ca/@newswire/mako-mining-receives-permit-amendment-to-process-up

      Aug 24, 2020 24:45 AM

      That is also good news for Sailfish Royalty (FISH).

    Aug 24, 2020 24:43 AM

    (NAK) (NDM) down about 48% on the day because of continued environmental concerns in Alaska. Now where have we seen this story before with Northern Dynasty…. oh yeah, about every 1-2 years for the last dozen years….

    “*Northern Dynasty Minerals shares are trading lower following a WSJ report suggesting the company’s gold and copper mine planned for Alaska faces a roadblock by the Trump administration over environmental concerns.”
    — Benzinga

    Aug 24, 2020 24:03 AM

    As a reminder (JAG) (JAGGF) Jaguar Mining has their 10:1 share rollback this week, and the consolidated shares hit the market on Thursday morning August 27th. Shareholders on record will also get their first dividend post reverse-split.

    __________________________________________

    Jeff Kennedy, Chairman and Director of the Company, stated, “The declaration of a dividend and the concurrent announcement of a share consolidation represent an important milestone for Jaguar as we believe it will create greater exposure for the Company and attract an expanded and diverse group of new institutional and retail investors in the United States, Canada and abroad. The payment of this quarterly dividend also reflects the strong confidence we have in the expected future operating and financial performance of the Company and its mineral properties including the needs of our exploration team in providing for future growth.”

    https://www.jaguarmining.com/en/investors/news-releases/2020/jaguar-mining-announces-quarterly-dividend-and-decision-to-proceed-with-a-share-consolidation/

    Aug 24, 2020 24:29 AM

    Well, we start this week with an acquisition in the royalty space. I mentioned just a few weeks back that medium sized royalty companies needed to start preying on the smaller royalty companies, and mentioned Coral Gold was one of the companies to pick off… and the M&A season in royalties has now begun.
    ______________________________________________

    (NSR) (NSRXF) Nomad Royalty Company to Acquire (CLH)(CLHRF) Coral Gold, Marking the Start of Its Sector Consolidation Strategy

    24 Aug 2020

    https://ceo.ca/@accesswire/nomad-royalty-company-to-acquire-coral-gold-marking

      Aug 24, 2020 24:32 AM

      Wow. Nomad Royalty is on a roll today with yet another acquisition of a cash-flowing NSR on Northern Vertex’s Moss Mine. I’m going to pick up some shares in Nomad as these are both fantastic royalties they gobbled up today.

      __________________________________________

      (NSR) (NSRXF) Nomad Enters Into Agreement to Acquire a Cash Flowing Royalty on the Moss Gold Mine in Arizona

      by @newswire on 24 Aug 2020

      https://ceo.ca/@newswire/nomad-enters-into-agreement-to-acquire-a-cash-flowing

        Aug 24, 2020 24:36 AM

        Vincent Metcalfe, Chief Executive Officer of Nomad, commented on the transaction, “The Moss mine is generating strong gold & silver cash flows, holds considerable exploration upside on a district-scale and is located in a stable jurisdiction. In adding this royalty, Nomad further diversifies its portfolio and again strengthens’ its global presence by adding Arizona to its list of jurisdictions”.

        “Northern Vertex Mining Corp. is the operator of the Moss Mine, which is targeting production of 55,000 to 65,000 gold equivalent ounces per year. Northern Vertex is currently conducting a 60,000ft drilling program and is aiming to increase the mine life past 10 years.”

          Aug 24, 2020 24:28 AM

          Ex, looks like I’m an owner of Nomad now since I own Coral Gold. I understand I’ll get warrants as well.

            Aug 24, 2020 24:09 AM

            Nice Doc. Well I just became a new shareholder of Nomad Royalty as well today, so we can be wandering precious metals nomads together.

            Yes, it was only a matter of time before Coral Gold got picked off for that royalty, and that just beefs up Nomad even more and will be a substantial value driver down the road.

            I’m a shareholder of Northern Vertex as well, and was glad the NSR was moved from a private company, to a public royalty company I can invest in, as I really like their Moss Mine in Arizona.

            Aug 24, 2020 24:13 AM

            Also, I like that Nomad has royalties on Equinox Gold, Premier Gold, Lundin Mining, Nevada Gold Mines, Heron Resources, and they just picked up one on Trolius recently.

            > (NSR) (NSRXF) Nomad Royalty – Corporate Presentation (obviously this doesn’t reflect the acquisition of Coral Gold or the NSR on Northern Vertex yet)

            https://img1.wsimg.com/blobby/go/adb7d1e4-239e-427f-b020-bff16697f965/Nomad%20-%20Aug%2024%202020%20-%20Robertson%20%26%20Moss%20Ac-0001.pdf

            Aug 24, 2020 24:19 AM

            Nomad has had a very busy August making 3 big acquisitions. Here was the 3rd that happened earlier in the month.

            (NSR) Nomad Closes (TLG) Troilus Royalty Acquisition

            by @newswire on 4 Aug 2020

            https://ceo.ca/@newswire/nomad-closes-troilus-royalty-acquisition

    Aug 24, 2020 24:34 AM

    Doc, do you own Aurania, New Range, or Monarch Gold? I just bought some MRQRF today
    @.368. I hope Aurania comes down some.

      Aug 24, 2020 24:48 AM

      Hi Bonzo – I have positions in New Range (just added more last week as it pulled back some more), and have been a big fan of Monarch Gold for a while, and glad it got a bit more attention on the weekend show from Brian Leni & Cory. I mentioned back with Monarch picked off those two mines/mills from Richmont (during the Alamos takeover of Richmont) that Monarch really scored on that deal and it was underappreciated at the time. Now investors are finally waking up to what they have at their 4 projects and I’m thrilled to see what they find during their 50,000 meter drill program this year.

      Ever upward!

        Aug 24, 2020 24:24 AM

        Bonzo, I have none of them—-just took profits on GLDLF—I’ll have to look at those companies and maybe purchase them some if I like what I see.

          Aug 24, 2020 24:54 AM

          Doc – I believe you’ll remember Richmont (and thought you mentioned you were a shareholder of them a few years back). Well, Monarch raided a few assets from Richmont right before Alamos took them over and only now are folks waking up to their value, because 2017 wasn’t a bangup year in most miners.

          ____________________________________

          Monarques Gold Enters Into A Definitive Agreement To Acquire All The Mining Assets Of Richmont Mines In The Province Of Quebec
          September 11, 2017

          > Monarques will acquire all of Richmont’s mining assets, properties and claims in Quebec.
          > Monarques will become the owner and operator of the Beaufor mine and the Camflo mill.
          > Monarques to retain Richmont’s highly experienced Quebec-based site teams.

          https://www.monarquesgold.com/news-releases/monarques-gold-enters-into-a-definitive-agreement-to-acquire-all-the-mining-assets-of-richmont-mines-in-the-province-of-quebec

            Aug 24, 2020 24:56 AM

            Next up, in December of 2017, Monarch picked up projects from Agnico Eagle on the cheap. Talk about a Merry Christmas. 🙂

            __________________________________

            Monarques Gold Acquires Agnico Eagle’s McKenzie Break And Swanson Properties
            December 21, 2017

            “This is an excellent transaction for Monarques, as it could significantly increase the resource available for processing at our Beacon mill,” said Jean-Marc Lacoste, President and Chief Executive Officer of Monarques. “The previous owners made significant investments on these properties, including building ramps to access the two deposits. Furthermore, both deposits have the benefit of lying close to surface. The next step for Monarques will be to confirm the historical estimate of the two deposits in line with NI 43-101 and explore the options for extracting those resources. We will also try to determine the potential for increasing the resources of the deposits, as most of the drilling done on the properties was at a shallow depth.”

            https://www.monarquesgold.com/news-releases/monarques-gold-acquires-agnico-eagles-mckenzie-break-and-swanson-properties

            Aug 24, 2020 24:00 AM

            Then this year Monarch has divested a few projects and did well flipping the properties to others, so they could hone on their main properties:

            ______________________________________________

            > Monarch Gold Sells The Monique Property To Probe Metals
            March 2, 2020

            > Monarch Gold Sells Its Regcourt And Louvem Properties To O3 Mining
            March 17, 2020

            > Monarch Gold Announces The Closing Of The Sale Of The Fayolle Property To IAMGOLD
            June 8, 2020

            Aug 24, 2020 24:03 AM

            Then Monarch had 2 transactions with some of the big boys (and I know you are a Yamana shareholder).

            > Yamana Gold Invests In Monarch Gold
            June 11, 2020

            “Closing of a $5,419,800 private placement with Yamana Gold ($4.2 million), Alamos Gold ($720,000) and other investors ($499,800).”

            “This strategic investment by a mining company of Yamana’s calibre is tangible proof that we are on the right track. I would like to thank them for their confidence and their future contribution to our Board of Directors,” said Jean-Marc Lacoste, President and Chief Executive Officer of Monarch. “The steps we have taken to advance our flagship Wasamac project continue to attract a great deal of interest from the mining and financial community and it is only a matter of time before we are fully appreciated. With this financing, our overall financial position now stands at more than $25 million, which will allow us to move more quickly to develop Wasamac, Beaufor and McKenzie Break, gold projects at various stages of development that each have excellent upside potential.”

            __________________________________________________________________

            Monarch Gold Signs MOU With Glencore Canada Regarding The Potential Use Of The Kidd Concentrator For Its Wasamac Gold Project
            May 14, 2020

            Aug 24, 2020 24:05 AM

            Then more recently they connected the dots for ore haulage to Glencore’s concentrator.

            Monarch Gold Signs MOU With Ontario Northland For Wasamac
            July 9, 2020

            “The agreement will allow negotiation of a favourable rate for the transportation of ore from the Wasamac gold project to the Kidd concentrator under the MOU with Glencore Canada.”

            https://www.monarquesgold.com/news-releases/monarch-gold-signs-mou-with-ontario-northland-for-wasamac

        Aug 24, 2020 24:57 AM

        Excelsior, thanks for mentioning Monarch after the Leni interview. I listened to 2 interviews with the CEO and studied the presentation yesterday and was impressed and decided to go ahead and buy today. I want some Aurania too but will wait. I have a dental appointment tomorrow and 2 hurricanes headed my way. Help!

          Aug 24, 2020 24:05 AM

          Good luck in your investing bonzo. Monarch Gold is a solid company with an enviable pipeline of projects and a near-term production thesis, and larger scale production thesis. I’m amazed they’ve stayed so quiet and unloved as long as they have, but now their value is starting to get daylighted.

          Yikes a dental appointment and 2 hurricanes doesn’t sound like much fun, but I hope everything works out for you man. Best wishes!

            Aug 24, 2020 24:00 PM

            Val d’Or: Highest Grade Archean Gold Camp Globally

            Sprott Capital Partners (08/17/2020)

            > Monarch Resources (MQR) Initiating with BUY rating and C$1.65/sh

            “Monarch: potential bidding war for 2Moz, stock is just too cheap”

            > O3 MINING (OIII): Initiating with BUY rating and C$4.60/sh

            “O3: 5Moz and largest land position, 120koz pa on the way”

            > Probe Metals (PRB): Initiating with BUY rating and C$2.60/sh

            “Probe: now at 3.2Moz, with momentum shifting to new ground, and the entire Lower Detour belt”

            “The take homes for us are (i) drill dollars and rising gold price drive new ounces even in mature Archean belts, and (ii) while the Canadians are king of deep narrow-vein, the Australians rule the hub-and-spoke model. Val d’Or not only has eight gold plants, it has better inter-mine infrastructure than Australia with rail links, including to Timmins. So why own Val d’Or developers? We expect current ounces to start falling into feasibility studies either standalone or through third party mills, with improved reserve conversion at high gold prices. More drilling equals more ounces.”

            https://sprott.com/media/3230/200817-sector-scp-valdor.pdf

        Aug 24, 2020 24:37 PM

        Ex, you have a fantastic memory—I did own Richmont at low prices and was touting it before anyone was pushing the stocks. It took off as one of the first and did very well.

          Aug 24, 2020 24:47 PM

          Yes, I remembered you mentioning that, I had positioned in both Richmont and Klondex when they had pulled back right before they were both acquired. I also owned Monarch at that time, as we happy that they scooped up Richmont’s Beaufor mine and the Camflo mill and other properties in Quebec (along with some of the Richmont personnel).

          Now I believe investors are rediscovering Monarch and these secondary assets that compliment their massive Wasamac flagship project.

          Cheers!

    Aug 24, 2020 24:52 AM

    QMX Gold Corp (QMX) (QMXGF) High-Grade Focus, Mill and Resource Estimate Coming

    CruxInvestor on 24 Aug 2020 #VIDEO Interview

    https://youtu.be/JWuOi9Fmj_8

    Aug 24, 2020 24:10 AM

    … and here is another acquisition of property today by Brixton. It sold off further on this news, so I’ve added more and now have 75% of my position back where I had trimmed to tranches back at higher levels a few weeks back.

    This is precisely why buy and hold isn’t always the best strategy in these volatile miners, and most Junior explorers should simply be traded. People that say “you’ll lose your position” or “you’ll never get back in” are just wrongo in the congo. It made far more sense to sell the crazy rip higher in Brixton on Aug 10 and add on a pullback. I initially added some BBB back on (08/18/2020) when it pulled back to the gap on the charts, and just a little more last Friday (08/21/2020) when it pulled back even lower, but this news today provided an even better opportunity to add so even though I ultimately want to exit this position, I can’t pass up a good trade and I do believe Brixton has higher to go still, especially when it starts putting out some more exploration results from Thorn and Hog Heaven over the next 2 months.
    ______________________________

    (BBB) (BBBXF) Brixton Metals to Acquire the Metla Property Expanding its Thorn Project

    August 24, 2020

    https://ceo.ca/@nasdaq/brixton-metals-to-acquire-the-metla-property-expanding

      Aug 24, 2020 24:08 AM

      Added starter position in Pan Global resources. Spain.

        Aug 24, 2020 24:07 AM

        Interesting. I’ve seen Eric Coffin promoting their story.

        In addition to topping up Brixton, I also added some more to positions in Lion One, Metalla, and Anaconda today as the miners sold off. I also started a new position in Nomad Royalty today. I’ve got stink bids sitting in a half dozen other names in case the sell-off gets more pronounced.

          Aug 24, 2020 24:23 PM

          I had my stink bids hit in QMX Gold and Silver Tiger while I wasn’t looking.

          For now I’m removing the other stink bids, just in case things get ugly from here, as I feel I’ve done enough buying for today.

    Aug 24, 2020 24:12 AM

    Trump attacks Kamala will drive up afro american voters to register and increase voter response . Pence will look like limp lettuce , on debate stage with Kamala . Capitalisim will do fine under Biden , inflation is real but under reported . Canned meats and stews up 15% in price in my grocery store . i bought kirkland lake recently ahead 5%

    Aug 24, 2020 24:23 AM

    Obama/Biden deregulated and filled the Administrative Branch with Wall Street and Goldman people. Same corruption.

    Aug 24, 2020 24:25 AM

    This is Fed Week at Jackson Hole. Think they will let the PMs go up until after the bar closes after the last attendee leaves?

      Aug 24, 2020 24:33 AM

      Jackson Hole: Big Dollar Moves Expected; Sell Gold Now Or Hold? – Gary Wagner

      Kitco News – Aug 24, 2020 #VIDEO

      “The annual Jackson Hole Symposium, a gathering of central bankers, economists, and financial institutions, will see its first ever virtual conference this week, and will likely set the tone for further U.S. dollar depreciation, said Gary Wagner, editor of TheGoldForecast.com.”

      https://youtu.be/aeZ8zaO0W_s

        Aug 24, 2020 24:04 AM

        Jackson Hole. Forgot it was virtual. Gary Wagner is refreshing in his presentation.

          Aug 24, 2020 24:07 AM

          Yes, the age of the virtual conference is now upon us… Gary is a sharp guy.

            Aug 24, 2020 24:23 AM

            Gary is sharp enough when it comes to his charts but leaves a lot to be desired when the discussion turns to economics.

            Aug 24, 2020 24:10 AM

            In general, I agreed with Gary’s outlook for a weaker US Dollar, a bit more to the gold correction before the next move higher to $2200-$2300, and that issues with a contracting GDP will have the Fed printing trillions more to try an equalize markets, after already taking on over $3 Trillion earlier this year and expanding their balance sheet to ridiculous levels. All of this bodes well for the precious metals.

            Aug 24, 2020 24:33 AM

            I was referring to his talk about what the politicians/Fed “should” or “need” to do (come together and “stimulate”). Then the interviewer spouted the widely believed myth that Japan has not had inflation for 30 years. This nonsense is due to a complete misunderstanding of inflation.

            Aug 24, 2020 24:58 AM

            Oh, yeah, I agree with you there. When David (host) did the Japan stagnation comparison I cringed a bit, and then Gary agreed with it. Yes, there has been worse inflation in Japan and in the US than how it is reported by the massaged government metrics, rather than when measured against real money = gold. The fed stimulating is just throwing more gasoline on the debt fire and their balance sheet and anyone rooting for that as a solution doesn’t realize the longer term ramifications of dumping Trillions of dollars on top of the Tirllions they’ve already spent.

            Also, I cringed when Gary mentioned this year’s economic problems were caused by a “disease” when instead it was reckless political policies & lockdowns that created the issues, not a “disease.”

    Aug 24, 2020 24:48 AM

    Rick Rule Explains Why Micro-Cap Gold Juniors Are Moving Up Earlier in This Bull Market

    MiningStockEducation – August 24, 2020 #AudioInterview

    0:00 Introduction
    1:43 Buffett believes gold price going higher?
    6:23 Significance of Buffett selling bank stocks?
    8:19 Timing a new junior gold stock position
    10:30 Still playing the M&A game?
    14:39 Gold-ounce-in-the-ground valuation metric
    16:21 Bulk-tonnage, high-capex gold projects to see positive production decisions this cycle?
    19:49 Gold market topping indicators
    23:30 Copper bull market after gold bull market?
    27:02 Key takeaways from 2020 Sprott Symposium
    29:55 Rick will review your mining stock portfolio

    https://youtu.be/xa7cVrSU0JI

    Aug 24, 2020 24:41 AM

    Looks like Nemaska Lithium is giving up the ghost to other operators. After a looong period of credit protection a deal has been struck, and it is such a shame as they went from one of the most promising Lithium explorers to developers, built pilot plants and were gearing up for production, but they underestimated their capex, got into a debt spiral, and couldn’t pull out as the price of Lithium crated the last few years. Another one bites the dust….

    ______________________________________________________

    $NMX $NMKEF Nemaska Lithium Accepts a Sale Proposal from Orion Mine Finance, Investissement Québec and The Pallinghurst Group

    by @nasdaq on 24 Aug 2020

    https://ceo.ca/@nasdaq/nemaska-lithium-accepts-a-sale-proposal-from-orion

    Aug 24, 2020 24:21 AM

    Seen enough today. Two hours of locked in place. Going to walk the dog.

      Aug 24, 2020 24:15 PM

      Final:
      Added: Anaconda, QMX twice, Sokoman
      New: Pan Global and Nomad Royalty

        Aug 24, 2020 24:15 PM

        Not a bad day’s work David.

        Added: Anaconda, QMX, Brixton, Silver Tiger, Metalla, Lion One
        New: Nomad Royalty

    Aug 24, 2020 24:05 AM

    AS I mention a week + or so back about taking some off the table.
    Pretty saggy charts now….Don’t be a gold nut bug…..just trade.

      Aug 24, 2020 24:14 AM

      Agreed Bill. I took some off the table from late July through the first 2 weeks of this month, and have been buying back the saggy charts at much better prices. Most of the miners should be trades, and most are at far better prices now than they were a few weeks ago when people were crooning be right and sit tight or beating their chests about not selling anything. It makes far more sense to sell into strength and overbought conditions, and buy into weakness in neutral to oversold conditions.

      Cheers!

      Aug 24, 2020 24:27 AM

      I bought back more BBB, IPT and KTN today and believe we will rise this week despite the Fed’s Jackson Hole activities.

        Aug 24, 2020 24:33 AM

        Some holding better than others…all good. DEF is trying to blast off..

          Aug 24, 2020 24:43 AM

          Yeah, I noticed DEF has been strong lately, and they do have a highly anticipated drill program underway.

          > (DEF) Defiance Commences Exploration at San Acacio Silver Project

          by @newsfile on 20 Jul 2020

          https://ceo.ca/@newsfile/defiance-commences-exploration-at-san-acacio-silver

            Aug 24, 2020 24:49 AM

            Another silver company I’ve just started a new position in recently as it’s pulled back is (SLVR)Silver Tiger. I was hoping it would fall more than it has to add more tranches, and I believe they may really be onto a massive deposit. Some are calling them Silvercrest 2.0 (which may be a stretch), but I’m looking forward to seeing their exploration updates and buying on any more weakness.

            ______________________________________

            (SLVR) (SLVTF) Silver Tiger – Summer Silver Conference 2020

            Red Cloud Financial Services Inc. – August 19, 2020

            “Red Cloud Financial Services Presents Summer Silver Conference: Preparing for the Expected Move Higher. Glenn Jessome, President, CEO, and Director, Silver Tiger joins Derek Macpherson, VP, Equity Research Analyst, Red Cloud Securities Inc.”

            https://youtu.be/ztVRCT6UIP8

            Aug 24, 2020 24:51 AM

            SF Live Ep 64 – Silver Tiger Metals Inc. (SLVF)

            Soar Financial – July 21, 2020 #VIDEO

            https://youtu.be/uV_TwPywG0w

            Aug 24, 2020 24:34 PM

            I ended up getting a small fill on Silver Tiger today afterall, so continuing to build. It would be nice to see it fall further though, as this is one I want to load up on before their next round of drilling results come out, and even though it has pulled back nicely off it’s highs, I still feel like I’m chasing it at current prices, as I missed getting in earlier.

          Aug 24, 2020 24:07 PM

          BBB went up 6-fold off the March low so a 50% is no surprise, especially considering that it has always delivered big swings.
          https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BBB.V&p=D&yr=1&mn=5&dy=0&id=p60926607660&a=804414355

            Aug 24, 2020 24:11 PM

            It blew out of the top of this modified Schiff fork just like it blew out of the bottom of it in March. Such “symmetry” seems to be the norm in technical analysis.
            https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BBB.V&p=D&yr=1&mn=5&dy=0&id=p92868996705&a=642531471

            Aug 24, 2020 24:28 PM

            I guess it could always fall a bit further to the 61.8% retracement, but I’ve added enough BBB last week and today to be very happy if it bounces here and starts heading higher. If for some reason Brixton does get down to that 61.8% retracement at $.27 then I’d add one final tranche there, but hopefully it doesn’t come to that.

        Aug 24, 2020 24:41 AM

        I added more BBB today as well as Friday, and added to IPT on Tue & Thur last week, but I’ve topped up over a dozen other companies last week and this week, so a rise later this week sounds good.

        The normal pattern of trading before these Fed babble meetings is the PMs sell off in the days leading up to them, and then things often jump higher afterwards, when investors come to realize they’ve used most of their tools, and all that is left is more money creation & debt.

    Aug 24, 2020 24:14 AM

    Buffets news is gold bug news was the top..
    It was priced in I think.

    Aug 24, 2020 24:18 PM

    Is Silver Overvalued at $27 Per Ounce: Rob Kientz

    Arcadia Economics – Aug 21, 2020 #VIDEO

    “There are 2 companies that are highly leveraged to Silver and that is First Majestic and Impact Silver” — Rob {at the 8:22 min mark}

    https://youtu.be/uJhoLro-Tps?t=505

    Aug 24, 2020 24:27 PM

    Hate to say but told ya so impact was headed lower lol..
    .83 portion of my tranche was filled. Waiting for .81 .74 70% probability and than up we go.

    I’m quite sure .81 gets filled..

    My red candle for the month on gold is intact..

    Gold update tonight stay tuned.

    Glen

      Aug 24, 2020 24:54 PM

      I don’t think anyone ever said it couldn’t go lower but I did say to watch .87 and .81
      It’s still a long ways from your .74 and will probably have get there tomorrow if it is going to at all.

      Experience should tell us that speaking in absolute terms about future action is not a good idea, especially regarding the short term.

    Aug 24, 2020 24:18 PM
      Aug 24, 2020 24:08 PM

      A sub of Chan’s on another site reported that he made some bad calls in the recent move up but his simple approach is generally good. Yes, most of the sector is objectively on sell signals based on the daily chart MACDs but that is always the case at a low. You can wait for the buy signals and miss a significant part of the next rise or you can look at other factors and methods to improve your entry.
      I’d say the downside risk for GDXJ right here is just over $1 but the upside could be $30 (before a significant, multi-month top).

        Aug 24, 2020 24:21 PM

        I dont follow Chan much…just thinking hes correct now.
        We had a hell of a run…COs that went nuts on a super spike are pulling back more then less volitile companies. Provides opportunity… Market as a whole i think your correct Matthew

      Aug 24, 2020 24:25 PM

      Gold Market Update – upside breakout and advance to new highs looking imminent…

      Clive Maund – Sunday, August 23, 2020

      “For those who expect gold to keep going up nonstop the past few weeks have been disappointing, but for more experienced investors and traders who like to “keep one foot on the ground” the pullback of the past few weeks across the sector is a blessing – let me proceed to show you why.”

      “On the latest 6-month chart for gold we can see that it broke out to new all-time dollar highs and then above the “magic” $2000 level early this month, a development that brought forth a plethora of bullish articles and prognostications as you would expect, sucking in the less experienced at a top as usual. Gold’s action in doing that was actually very bullish, but as it did it at the end of a steep unbroken rally that resulted in it becoming extremely overbought, it needed to stop for a rest, and it has taken a rest over the past few weeks.”

      “Gold’s corrective action since its early August peak is actually as bullish as its breakout to new highs and above $2000, for we can see that the reaction has taken the form of a fine bull Pennant that has gone a long way towards working off the earlier overbought condition. No technical damage whatsoever has been caused by the 2 declines within this Pennant – on the contrary, it has been accompanied by a very bullish volume pattern, which is why the Accumulation line, shown at the top of this chart, has risen to new highs as the Pennant has formed, which is a most auspicious indication. With the price now not far above its rising 50-day moving average, the MACD histogram (blue bars) well into a negative reading and the Pennant closing up, the time looks right to gold to break out upside into another upleg and here it is worth noting that many PM stocks are on the point of upside breakouts, which is why we have been piling into them in recent days.”

      https://www.clivemaund.com/gmu.php?art_id=68&date=2020-08-23

    Aug 24, 2020 24:19 PM

    For All the Jaguar devotees the high today 8/24 was .6666 US, OF COURSE

      Aug 24, 2020 24:49 PM

      Yeah I saw that on the low/high levels for JAG and chuckled.

        Aug 24, 2020 24:54 PM

        Correction on JAGGF. High in JAG $.86 on the day. Collect them both…

    Aug 24, 2020 24:37 PM

    Matthew:
    Some where in these posts you indicated that we may get some up movement in the metals despite there is a Fed Meeting virtually. You are probably right. I just hate to even allow them to meet or talk about anything. But, what can they do to affect PMs but something positive. They can’t much lie anymore. They can’t remove the debt, they still want to inflate and ruin the dollar…and they probably want to do negative interest rates. But, then Trump wants a never ending upside on the stock market as nothing else about the economy is working for him…he particularly wants to do a rant all this week . The end result is probably a little action today to continue the correction and some where during the week they will throw the PMs a bone and we can get on to September and our RALLY.

      Aug 24, 2020 24:58 PM

      David, I agree. The Fed’s actions as well as those of Trump and virtually all other politicians will ultimately send gold much higher.
      It would be fantastic if they weren’t allowed to meet or talk about anything.

    cfs
    Aug 24, 2020 24:39 PM

    https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/22/trump-set-to-block-alaska-pebble-mine-400206

    I don’t see why a bond can’t be posted, say equal to 10 years worth of salmon fishing profits, which would still be small compared to the value of the gold.

    Aug 24, 2020 24:09 PM

    Hi!
    Comstock mining (Lode) had a great earningsreport and had a great breakout. Now it backtested the breakout and is ready to blast of again. What do you think of this miner?

    https://www.comstockmining.com/latest-developments/independent-analysis-report-laying-the-groundwork-for-growing-shareholder-value-from-noble-capital-markets-channelchek/

      Aug 24, 2020 24:48 PM

      Hey Blue – good to see you posting again. I used to own LODE Comstock, but sold out a while back when they paid off debt and sold some real estate and then sold a project to Toma Gold (sp?) Our resident expert on Lode is now Buzz, so maybe he’ll see this and respond.

      Aug 24, 2020 24:49 PM

      Hey Blue – good to see you posting again. I used to own LODE Comstock, but sold out a while back when they paid off debt and sold some real estate and then sold a project to Toma Gold (sp?) Our resident expert on Lode is now Buzz, so maybe he’ll see this and respond.

        Aug 25, 2020 25:13 AM

        Hi Ex!
        I was just curious. It seems the stock is being on fire, crazy volatility. Maybe the last earningsreport was the trigger. Anyway I might go for the ride😄

    Aug 24, 2020 24:39 PM

    For those following the Copper stocks, there was simply massive volume today (3.14 Million shares traded) in Regulus Resources compared to it’s normal trading of 59,000 shares. Eric Coffin opines on the potential cross sale:

    _______________________________

    @HRA-Coffin – “Definitely looks like something got cleared out based on the size and non-round amount of stock that got crossed. The dip in front of it is pretty normal. It would have been a pre-arranged trade at a pre-arranged price. Haywood probably had a limit sell order, with the limit set at the price of the cross, so they would have hit all the bids on the way down until they got to the price of the cross. No idea if the account that just got cleaned out has been the longer term seller but someone obviously believes that, given how the bids built up as soon as that trade cleared. $REG”

    https://ceo.ca/reg?b200d8854e49