Hour 1 – How Dangerous Are The US Markets After This Week?
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This week we saw a significant pullback in US markets and money finally start to flow into the precious metals. The key topics we focus on are the possibility of a full fledged bear market in US equities and if gold and gold stocks are in for a prolonged run higher. We also wrap up the first hour with an in depth look at the uranium sector and how much higher the price still needs to go to entice more production.
Please keep in touch by emailing me at Fleck@kereport.com. If you want more thoughts on a company or would like to see a certain guest share their thoughts on the show just let me know and I’ll reach-out to them.
- Segment 1: We kick off the first hour with Fund Manager Dana Lyons addressing the drop in the US markets this week. Dana has been pointing to worrisome market internals for the past couple months.
- Segment 2: Avi Gilburt joins me to share the levels he is watching for the S&P and the precious metals.
- Segment 3: John Kaiser, Founder of Kaiser Research take a look at two stocks he is excited about, Great Bear Resources and Nevada Exploration.
- Segment 4: The uranium sector and price is the topic to wrap up the first hour. I chat with Scott Melbey, Executive VP of UEC.
Segment 1
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Segment 2
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Segment 3
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Segment 4
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Great lineup of guests for this weekend’s show. Keep up the good work Cory!
All the contributions from the rotating KER contributors all week long are very much appreciated.
Gold Finishes Above Key Levels
October 12, 2018 – by Gary Wagner #VIDEO #TechnicalAnalysis #Charts
https://thegoldforecast.com/video/gold-finishes-above-key-levels
Ira Epstein’s Metals #Video (10/12/2018)
#TechnicalAnalysis, Gold, Silver, Copper, Platinum
Stock Market & Gold Stock Trading Tactics
Morris Hubbartt – Oct 12, 2018 Super Force #PreciousMetals #Video #TechnicalAnalysis
(click on the blue links for the video segments)
This past week in Gold
Jack Chan – Oct 11, 2018 #TechnicalAnalysis #Charts
Gold COT Report — Breakout Ahead?
iGold Advisor – Oct 10, 2018 #VIDEO #TechnicalAnalysis #Charts
Excellent Article…….EX…….on the COT………..
Cheers OOTB!
Hey Jerry, where you been?
Hanging with the robot that operated on OWL? 🙂
This robot is better coordinated than some humans.Boston Dynamics
EBO…..Ran over to Baltimore, Maryland…..for a couple of days……..My daughter had an invite to view John Hopkins for Grad School…..needless to say, we were very excited for her.
I should leave more often, looks like gold has a great day while I was gone….
has to had….
Don’t do it! Don’t be a victim of the “higher ed” scam…plus Baltimore is an absolute sewer.
EBO……thanks for the heads up…..
Higher Ed, has to provide Full Scholarship or Forget it…….
Gold’s Best Day In 2 Years Sees 2.5 Percent Gain As Global Stocks Sell Off – This Week’s Golden Nuggets
12, October 2018
https://news.goldcore.com/ie/gold-blog/this-weeks-golden-nuggets-oct-12/
A Crash but Maybe Not The Crash
Bob Moriarty – Oct 12, 2018
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/moriarty/moriarty101218.html
Bet On Gold To End The Year Higher As Risk Appetite Shifts
Anna Golubova – Friday October 12, 2018
Gold will benefit going into the end of the year as well as beyond,” RBC Capital Markets commodity strategist Christopher Louney told Kitco News on Thursday. “There’s plenty of room for gold to run, but it doesn’t mean it is going to be a straight shot higher. On average, there’s potential for upside in prices.”
“Louney said the gold will average $1,266 an ounce in the final quarter of this year, which means the yellow metal has at least another $40 climb to make just to reach that average. ”
“The rally fits with a long-held view that the market is under-appreciating risks — a new normal/higher tolerance for uncertainty. But I think with the sell-off in equity markets we ‘ve definitely seen some reset in risk appetite in gold in the short-term,” Louney said.
“A lot of what we are looking at for gold prices going into not only the end of this year but into 2019, is how the equity markets play out, how the U.S. dollar performs versus other major currencies, and how risk appetite is either changed or at least re-priced in the context of gold,” Louney stated.
Gold: Commercials Get Longer, Hedge Funds Reach New Record Short Position
by @Goldfinger on October 12, 2018
https://ceo.ca/@goldfinger/gold-commercials-get-longer-hedge-funds-reach-new-record-short-position
Gold Miners Lift-Off
by: @Goldfinger – October 11, 2018
“I’ve been on the long gold miners (via GDX) theme for about a month now, you can see some of my thoughts in posts here and here. In the last 24 hours the gold miners have erupted from a powerful head & shoulders bottom pattern on the daily chart and broken out above resistance near $19.11:”
“The way this breakout came about, via a sideways consolidation over several weeks, appears to have given it considerable potential energy judging by the surge in the FORCE Index (at bottom). While one could now argue that GDX is ‘overbought’ on shorter time frames, this is exactly what we want to see to confirm a powerful trend change on longer time frames.”
Short Squeeze in the Gold Sector
David Erfle – Friday October 12, 2018
https://www.kitco.com/commentaries/2018-10-12/Short-Squeeze-in-the-Gold-Sector.html
This would be a good way to end the year. Fingers crossed!
Rick Rule: Large Miners “Crowding” Back Into Exploration
By Tekoa Da Silva – October 10, 2018
“Twenty years of underinvestment and malinvestment in exploration,” Rule explained, “has [created] a circumstance where major, mid-tier, and intermediate mining companies, are now crowding back into the exploration space, after having laid off their exploration staffs.”
Unloved Gold Sector Regains Shine With Mergers, Price Spike
Cecilia Jamasmie | 2 days ago
http://www.mining.com/unloved-gold-sector-regains-shine-mergers-price-spike/
World’s top Copper producer faces lengthy smelter halt at major mine
Cecilia Jamasmie | about 20 hours ago
http://www.mining.com/worlds-top-copper-producer-faces-lengthy-smelter-halt-major-mine/
Chile Environmental Court Orders Barrick To Close Pascua-Lama Gold Mine
Reuters | about 14 hours ago
http://www.mining.com/web/chile-environmental-court-orders-barrick-close-pascua-lama-gold-mine/
Congo miners seek concessions in new code as arbitration on hold
Bloomberg News | about 23 hours ago
http://www.mining.com/web/congo-miners-seek-concessions-new-code-arbitration-hold/
LME Week metals puzzle is how to trade a trade war
Reuters | about 19 hours ago
http://www.mining.com/web/lme-week-metals-puzzle-trade-trade-war/
Chile’s Supreme Court signals death knell of Kinross gold mine
Reuters | 3 days ago
http://www.mining.com/web/chiles-supreme-court-signals-death-knell-kinross-gold-mine/
THE BULL CASE FOR URANIUM IN 2019 IS VERY STRONG
Michael Alkin: Uranium Series Part 2
HEDGE FUND MANAGER GOES ALL IN ON URANIUM
Michael Alkin: Uranium Series Part 1
Uranium Series Part 3 – Goviex Uranium CEO Daniel Major
by @PalisadeRadio on October 13, 2018
https://ceo.ca/@palisaderadio/uranium-series-part-3-goviex-uranium-ceo-daniel-major
Allied Nevada Gold Corps response brief to the U.S. Supreme Court. Re: ANV filed bogus financial conditions and puffery in SEC filings and statements to ANV shareholders. Hopefully justice prevails.
I still own the warrants in my account.
There is a good case for a lower low for gold but I doubt very much that it’s going to happen.
http://schrts.co/aTzByb
The 30 year T-bond hasn’t looked so friendly to the PM miners, and gold, since early 2016:
USB:GOLD
http://schrts.co/V23dJw
Industrial metals have been struggling vs silver all year so GYX:SILVER looks almost ready for a fall:
http://schrts.co/4ba7x7
It looks to me like silver is building a double bottom versus gold:
http://schrts.co/1nDK7Y
SLV:GLD looks a little different but still equally favors silver. Notice that silver bottomed versus gold a month ago:
http://schrts.co/1nDK7Y
I see speculators just increased their net-short position in gold to the biggest level since 2006 right before golds jump. Classic!!!
Agreed. Some things never change, and most of the market stays continually wrong-footed. I saw a number of grumbling posters over at ceo.ca selling their PM stocks 2 weeks back, that missed epic moves in those same ones last week because they sold near the lows once again. That’s what makes a market.
Joe Mazumdar, Economic Geologist, Exploration Insights
Metals Investor Forum – September 2018 #VIDEO
Gwen Preston, Resource Maven
Metals Investor Forum – September 2018 #VIDEO
Eric Coffin, Publisher of HRA Advisories
Metals Investor Forum – September 2018 #VIDEO
Jay Taylor, Editor, J. Taylor’s Gold, Energy & Tech Stocks
Metals Investor Forum – September 2018 #VIDEO
Greg McCoach, Editor of The Mining Speculator
Metals Investor Forum – September 2018 #VIDEO
Jordan Roy-Byrne, Editor & Publisher of The Daily Gold Premium
Metals Investor Forum – September 2018 #VIDEO
Jordan said MGG was a good buy at .52 and that it was at strong support. Then it went to .42. Technically speaking, it doesn’t look very appealing to me.
I don’t agree with him on gold either.
I’m interested to see how the MGG drilling program goes at their Alamos Silver Project, but technically it looks like it could roll over a bit more. With more thinly traded exploration stocks awaiting key news, it is more difficult to say if a change in the narrative may suddenly swamp the technical set up.
Eric Coffin is right about tariffs. Contrary to Trump supporters’ beliefs, they are paid by the importer, not the exporter. So the tariffs placed on China are really a tax on U.S. citizens.
Agreed. The tarrifs just make US citizens prices go up on a number of goods, and for all the pomp and circumstance, the deal with Canada regarding the dairy wasn’t a radical overhaul of NAFTA anyway, just a few small tweaks.
Joe Mazumdar is on bnn this Wednesday for those interested….
That Joe Mazumdar presentation above on where instiutional equity, private equity, and retail equity was flowing, was a great recap of his Beaver Creek panel for those that missed that talk.
Michael Williams, CEO of Vendetta Mining Corp. (VTT)
Metals Investor Forum – September 2018 #VIDEO
“Anticipating the PEA” Eric Coffin and Michael Williams, CEO of Vendetta Mining (VTT)(VDTAF)
Metals Investor Forum – September 2018 #VIDEO
“Upcoming PEA” Gwen Preston and Michael Williams, CEO & President of Vendetta Mining (VTT)(VDTAF)
oops – I forgot the link to Gwen’s interview with Michael. Here it is:
Greg McCoach and Michael Williams, CEO of Vendetta Mining (VTT)(VDTAF)
“Pegmont Project” Jay Taylor & Michael Williams President, CEO & Director of Vendetta Mining Corp. (VTT)(VDTAF)
Metals Investor Forum – September 2018 #VIDEO
There sure was a ton of coverage of Vendetta Mining at the MIF last month, and that is because these newsletter writers are aware the PEA is coming and the stock will likely get re-rated to the upside once it is released, and more importantly, it will put a target on (VTT) from one of the larger base metals companies.
I’ve been a fan of VTT for a while now, and had a good profitable trade on the first run up, and then stepped aside as it pulled back, but when I started rebuilding the position I’ve had to average down 3 times now, because the stock just kept selling off in these apathetic markets. Now seems to be the time where the coverage of the company has arrived and where they have a significant milestone approaching, so for those looking to add a Zinc position to their portfolio, this looks like a good probabilistic set up for a good run higher over the next 3-6 months.
Ever Upward!
Ex, I agree on Vendetta Mining, I traded them only briefly when I first heard about them on 321gold a long time ago. DT
I made some money trading their run up last year that coincided with more exploration work they were doing and the increasing Zinc & Lead prices in 2017.
The base metals cooled back off, but I agree with the thesis that longer term Zinc prices may be near $1.10-$1.20 when everything settles, Glencore is regulating output to keep prices stable as swing producer and key producer, and there is large Asian demand for steel so Zinc is crucial for galvanizing. Due to this I believe they will have underestimated their project on their upcoming PEA at around $1.00 Zinc , so there will be more upside if Zinc stays up near $1.10+ or Lead can stay around a buck.
It isn’t the most impressive Zinc project by size or grade, but just makes economic sense, even as a stand-alone operation, so either they’ll build a profitable mine, or the local companies like the Chinese miners or the South 32 group will be an economic mine for ore sourcing. Either way, Vendetta’s value will need to increase and they are currently undervalued.
That should have said:
“either they’ll build a profitable mine, or the local companies like the Chinese miners or the South 32 group will BUY (no be) an economic mine for ore sourcing.”
Lots of smelters around as well:
http://vendettaminingcorp.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/2017-Australia-Location.png
Other than Vendetta are there any other good zinc plays??? Trevali and Tinka were 2 I used to play in the zincs but I haven’t been following it as closely with the severe pullback in base metals….
In addition to Vendetta, Tinka, (don’t have a position currently in Trevali, but did), there is ZincX Res (ZNX) and Callinex (CNX), and Fireweed (FWZ), and Heron Res (HER) and Constantine (CEM) and Foran (FOM) and dozens of others….
Callinex has never been the same since the hype runup by Wealth Research……Fireweed is the only other one I’ve had any real interest in in the past
Callinex had a great discovery hole (which created the initial hype), but then they had a few holes that were OK but nothing special and they fell in shareprice for a long time, but their last results were more encouraging, but didn’t capture back the market’s attention. Still, they are very close to Hudbay’s operations, and they’ll need to do something to acquire more ore to feed that processing center, and Callinex could fit that bill if they keep expanding their resource. The only issue I see is that they’ll need to raise money and dilute existing shareholders down to do more exploration work, and they’ll have to raise near their lows which will mean more shares will have to be issued. Still, at an $11.5 million market cap they aren’t expensive here by any stretch, and if they make another good discovery then things can turn on a dime.
ZincX Resources is the old Canada Zinc Metals company, and they have Teck Resources and Korean Zinc as JV partners, and their lands are contiguous, so they would make an ideal takeover candidate for Teck.
Heron, is about done building out their huge Woodlawn Zinc/Copper project, so they’ll actually be going into production and cashing in on the better Base Metals prices in this cycle.
Constantine is still making progress on their Zinc/Copper/Gold/Silver polymetallic project, but have some very vocal environmental groups opposed to their project. Still, it looks like they have an economic deposit there.
Foran has a good polymetallic project, in a good jurisdiction, but they had to do a raise which diluted down existing shareholders and gave some of the ownership away, but still, they’re one to keep an eye on.
Some of the Precious Metals companies have nice zinc resources as well:
My favorite is still Americas Silver at present because they are still fast-tracking all their Zinc & Lead production over the next year or two, but have conserved most of their higher grade Silver and Copper for higher prices, and just acquired Pershing for more Gold & Silver resources to put into production in the next 12 months.
Excellon Resources has a nice Zinc credit to their high-grade Silver in Mexico.
Both Alexco and Metallic Minerals have high grade Silver/Zinc/Lead in the Keno Hill area.
Silver Bull has a large Zinc focuses resource with Lead & Silver.
Sierra Metals is a solid Precious Metals & Base Metals producer with a nice Zinc component.
Bunker Hill mining has a nice Zinc/Silver resource growing.
GPM Metals has 2 Lead/Zinc/Silver projects in Australia and Peru.
Hannan Metals has a Lead/Zinc/Silver/Copper project in Ireland.
Adventus Zinc in Ireland on their Curipamba Project has a polymetallic Copper/Gold/Zinc/Lead/Silver deposit.
GTA Resources has a growing gold project, but also have a secondary Burnt Pond Copper/Zinc project that shows promise.
Aquila Resources has an interesting Zinc/Gold resource they are developing.
Galway Metals has a polymetallic VMS deposit of Gold/Copper/Zinc/Silver in Quebec.
Thunderstruck Resources has Zinc/Copper/Gold in Fiji of all places.
There are dozens more but you get the idea…… There are no shortage of companies with Zinc Exposure. I have a list with about 100 companies on it that I follow, and haven’t even finished doing due diligence on all of them yet, but there are tons I didn’t mention.
Well, well, well…it appears young Jared paid no income tax for years…gee what a surprise…being a member of the tribe does have its advantages, after all…but he says he’ll be one of of us tax slaves now and pay…yeah, right…Leona told it like it is: taxes are for the little people.
“Only the Little people pay taxes”……She left all her money to her dog………LOL
Dang, ‘Merica is awesome! Apparently, Jared and his clan paid no feral income tax on tens of millions. I’ve paid nearly 40% of every penny I’ve ever earned to the feral gooberment. Ain’t that awesome???
Makes me want to go out and fight for all that ‘Merica exceptionalism and the freedumbs are emperors are always squawking about.
Ebolan, stop being so uppity. It never ends well when little people like you get uppity. Resistance is futile. You are nothing but a nobody peon. Accept your lot in life as a tax serf and stop criticizing your betters such as the Kushners. So what if they don’t pay taxes? Unlike you, they’re entitled, so keep your mouth shut and like Korelin says just be happy you can afford to pay your taxes.
Real Estate is great , if you know how to play the game…….
I use to like the Double Declining Balance Method………lol
or was that the Double Depreciation method………lol
oops ,……..the Chinese just got taken
Vancouver next……..
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-13/violence-public-anger-erupts-china-home-prices-slide
Hey Jerry, update on the missing 21 trillion…but I got to warn you…it will make your blood boil…never forget you live in an empire of corruption!
https://usawatchdog.com/entire-federal-budget-now-national-security-secret-dr-mark-skidmore/
If Skidmore pursues this sooner of later the MIC will have him fitted with a pair of cement tennis shoes and he will be sleeping with the fishes!
Unbelievable gooberment/MIC corruption.
And the lamestream media is complicit.
OWL should interview Skidmore or Fitts.
Agree…….OWL…….should interview him….or her……both are good…..IMO
There is noway there will ever be an accounting of the $21 Trillion,
the insiders have pocketed the cash .
Just like everything else, the con job being pulled on the sheeple is Huge……
The govt. is full of LIARS……and the joke is on the sheeple.
EBO……..the SYSTEM IS STILL SCREWED UP ,….and will continue to be so….The TWO HEADED SNAKE is alive and well……
Bush Jr…..is coming to Indiana to promote a senate seat for Brawn…What does that tell ya….Bush should be in Jail.
$21 Trillion goes a LLLLLLLLLLLLLLoooooooooong way………
The fascist state is defined as a tight collusion between the government and several key business sectors, within a self-designed and evolved crime syndicate of vast proportions, which has arranged privilege for profiteering like a parasite, and in almost all cases engages in hostile actions militarily against enemy and allied nations alike.
taken from Jim Willie Oct 14….article…..see under Irish Post next section…….
The key conclusion from the Jackass is that the Fascists have a perfect record of failed foreign policy since the 9/11 coming out party for American Fascism. The Jackass himself received two death threats in 2006, both related to the events of 9/11. Another threat in 2009 was related to the expansive control by the syndicate whose name begins with the last letter of the alphabet. It will never to put in print in my work, but Pike was an infamous promoter of their vile plans in a sequence of planned global wars.
The rule of law and the political process are crushed in the process. Truth becomes the enemy of the fascist state, while those who promote the truth become targets for harassment and worse. The principal sectors which lead the fascist state are the banks and military. In the United States, the general sectors are financial, military, energy & services, pharmaceutical & medicine, news networks, and entertainment. The coopted sectors are educational and scientific research, in addition to the economic counsel. We will know they are fascists by their hatred, violence, corruption, and ruinous behavior. Few Americans admit that the United States has morphed into a vicious fascist state.
The Jackass has made a key conclusion, often borne out, since the 9/11 attacks committed by the globalist elite fascists. They used contractors and had many official entities, working together as groups complicit in the mass murder crime which covered the grand larceny of $100 billion in gold bullion, $100 billion in bearer bonds, and $100 billion in diamonds from the World Trade Center. Few Americans, and even few Western citizens, are aware that at the time, the WTC contained the largest private bank in the world
The simultaneous crime scene at the Pentagon on that fateful day was to destroy the USArmy Accounting Office records, which contained evidence against Israel for $2.2 trillion in weapons fraud and vast thefts. The Patriot Act served as its Fascist Manifesto.
First they “sample stole” $2 TRillion………and that was so easy………They decided to do a 10 bagger……………and make it $21 Trillion……..chump change for the Rothechilds..LOL
Thanks for all the info, Jerry. It makes my head spin. And what Jim Willie has to say gives me the willies.
I tell you, if I was OWL I would sure be interviewing these people and following up on what they say.
EBO>>>>>>My pleasure……thanks for reading….
Dang, Atlantic Counsel. That’s OWL’s friend old Harlin what’s his name’s outfit!
The entity that is making censorship decisions for Facebook, as publicly announced, is the Atlantic Council, a partly US government-funded entity.
And they are going after the Ron Paul Institute’s McAdams through Facelessbook and Twatter.
I tell you Jerry, people have got to walk away from all the damned socialist media outfits and go to decentralized platforms.
BIG OWL……..had his eyes closed, concerning Harlin….the man was an…Educated Mess…..JMO
Now that Excelsior has its final permit done and only has to finalize its financing and finish construction on the mine would think its share price would be heading higher…….financing must be more equity than most hoped and perhaps set at a price around these levels. I know the Norway institutional investors bailed and so is the New York fund but still…….
I see Irving Resources made a big jump on Friday, up 33.3%. Keep your glass eye on this one! LOL! DT
Good start to the week so far for all PMs at this stage. Can they follow through?
Yes, the PMs are continuing their bounce from last week so far, but it will be nice to see if they can sustain this momentum through the week.
Go SILV !
That’s one impressive chart. The P&F price objective is $6.25 and it probably will get there easily.
http://schrts.co/h1cbhy
I should have posted it this way:
http://schrts.co/K2bRjD
I do not own it.
Silvercrest has been on an epic run for years. Part of it is that their team is great and sold First Majestic their last property, and the second is that they continue to hit out of the park exploration results with the new Silvercrest (on the properties they wouldn’t sell Keith N.) and will likely sell this one too. A great company, but most of the success has been priced in at this point (except the takeover premium).
A 30 bagged & a 3 baggerin less than 3 years -SILV
+3
Thanks for the weekend show guys as always.
Really appreciate your efforts in putting it together.
Cheers,
Skeeta.