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Dave Erfle – Gold and Silver Stocks Rebound On Strong Volume, Is This Leading To A Breakout?

Cory
March 14, 2023

Dave Erfle, Founder and Editor of The Junior Miner Junky joins us to discuss the pop in gold and silver and the underlying stocks over the past 3 trading days on the back of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and a couple other banks.

 

Dave points out the large volume yesterday (Monday) in GDX , GDXJ and SIL. It’s al about follow through now as Dave is focused on gold getting over $2,000/oz for a monthly close. He thinks this could be the major driver for another bull market run.

 

 

 

Click here to visit the Junior Miner Junky website to follow along with Dave’s comments on PMs and the stocks he is buying or selling.

 

Discussion
16 Comments
    Mar 14, 2023 14:28 PM

    This Is Only the Start: Bank Runs are the First Sign the Fed ‘Broke Something’

    By Lance Roberts – Investing.com – Mar 14, 2023

    “With the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, questions of potential “bank runs” spread among regional banks. ‘Bank runs’ are problematic in today’s financial system due to fractional reserve banking. Under this system, only a fraction of a bank’s deposits must be available for withdrawal. In this system, a bank only keeps a specific amount of cash on hand and creates loans from deposits it receives.”

    “Banks have a continual inflow of deposits which it then creates loans against. The bank monitors its assets, deposits, and liabilities closely to maintain solvency and meet Federal capital and reserve requirements. Banks have minimal risk of insolvency in a normal environment as there are always enough deposit flows to cover withdrawal requests.”

    > A $17 Trillion Problem

    “While higher rates increase consumer borrowing costs, they also negatively impact bank capital. As noted above, banks are fine until customers begin to withdraw funds.”

    > What the Federal Reserve didn’t account for in hiking rates were two critical things.

    – The negative impact on bank collateral (as interest rates rise, collateral values fall)
    – At what point would customers liquidate demand deposits for higher-yielding assets?

    “These two points have a crucial relationship…”

    https://www.investing.com/analysis/this-is-only-the-start-bank-runs-are-the-first-sign-the-fed-broke-something-200636211

    BDC
    Mar 15, 2023 15:54 AM

    Is it the “Perfect Storm” for goldbugs?

    Mar 15, 2023 15:31 AM

    The Fed… ‘Higher for longer’ becomes ‘raise till it breaks’. Most of us here could read between the lines of their drivel, now we get the satisfaction of seeing the Ivy Leaguers with that ‘deer in the headlights’ expressions. Another reason to get rid of these criminals and their nefarious guessing game that they seem to lose every time in the long run.

    No contagion here, look away, look away…

    Mar 15, 2023 15:10 AM

    TSX.v we have a gap to fill 25 points lower, this will cap the micro gold/silvers for a short time, IMHO. There is no trust in this index yet, it has been fickle and will only shake that off with a good PM run. The run could start anytime.

    https://schrts.co/DyDXquhN

      Mar 15, 2023 15:38 AM

      My reasoning that the TSX.v will drop more is the micro gold and silver stocks mostly need new financings and the competition will be fierce between who has a deposit and who is a liar sitting over a hole in the ground.

        Mar 15, 2023 15:55 AM

        The TSX.V acts nothing like a gold/silver mining index because it’s not. Take a look at the top 10 constituents on page 3 here:
        file:///C:/Users/Trader/Downloads/fs-sp-tsx-venture-composite-index.pdf

    Mar 15, 2023 15:10 AM

    At the beginning of the last bull market the TSX.V didn’t act as well as the HUI or XAU until after the S&P bottomed and that’s because there are so many “conventional” stocks among its constituents.
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24CDNX&p=M&yr=25&mn=0&dy=0&id=t5622955294c&r=1678903557474&cmd=print

    Mar 15, 2023 15:28 PM

    Harnessing Fusion in a power station during a rock concert.