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Rate Hike Odds at 70% – Here’s The Data That the Fed Continues to Ignore

Cory
April 27, 2017

With inflation data peaking and estimated GDP for Q1 now at 0.2% it is surprising the see rate hike odds this week move up. Rate hike odds now at 70% show that the Fed is continuing to look at the equity markets more than anything. Craig Hemke joins me to shares his thoughts on the Fed and brings together all the recent data.

Click here to visit Craig’s site for more of his comments.

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Discussion
5 Comments
    CFS
    Apr 27, 2017 27:42 PM
    Apr 27, 2017 27:47 PM

    You can’t fight the Fed. It’s that simple.
    Anyone whose continually suprised or outraged that the Govt. and CB’s are in control to the extent they are is simply flailing away at a dead horse at this point. What’s the point? To educate anyone brain dead enough who hasn’t figured that out yet? For a fee of course. Their indispensible, oft-wrong “expertise” is internet metals legend at this point.

    If folks haven’t figured out yet that pumpers like Maguire and Turd will say anything and everything on a daily basis in an attempt to play their crowd and keep them onboard then they simply aren’t interested in accepting some uncomfortable realizations about (insert-your-favorite-pumpets-name-here).
    I believe for the most part that just about everyone whose been around the metals long enough have mostly tuned their noise out and ignore the daily excuses for the metals underperforming or the chronic outrage against (insert- whatever-authority-figure-du’jour-here) that all malcontents like to gripe about obsessively.
    Turd’s a crackpot plain and simple with a doomer’s outlook and overall approach at times. He’s created an unsustainable negative feedback loop that feeds on itself or themselves.
    I mean, if a person truly believes the metals markets are mostly/always rigged downwards with no realistic end in sight (once the blockchain comex trading takes over it’ll get worse) while they also believe that the equity or bond markets are continually rigged by the CB’s with no end in sight (you can all fool yourselves it’s coming to an end soon but if cash is eliminated in the coming years and digital/blockchain currency is the new normal it’ll change EVERYTHING) and because of that CB manipulation that equities will continue to slowly melt up as a consequence then WHY would a rational, logical (uncompensated) person keep advising people to stay away from making large paper profits (yeah I know, paper money is evil, right?lol) in the market and then in turn keep imploring people to buy metals (which isn’t a bad idea in moderation) based on some rather silly, anxiety/doomer laden rational (metal shortages?lol) that quite frankly at times seems very irritational or simply another pumped up meme to sell?
    For the most part these people have shredded their own credibility in public by making these types of repetitive synthetic or manufactured daily analysis online and it was only a matter of time before people would tune out the noise and see it for what it is.

    Carl Sagan was right.

    “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we allow ourselves to be bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” ~ Carl Sagan

    Apr 27, 2017 27:46 PM

    Democrats exploring lawsuit against Trump

    Senate Democrats are exploring a lawsuit against President Trump on the grounds that his vast business empire has created conflicts of interest that violate the Constitution.

    The effort is being led by Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.), who has had preliminary discussions with several senators about the idea.

    Sen. Ben Cardin (D-Md.) confirmed Blumenthal has pitched the idea of a lawsuit, but stressed that no decision has been made.

    “I’m yielding to him on the legal issues. I’m not a constitutional scholar on standing, so if he can figure out a way to do it, I’m rooting for him,” he said.

    Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), the ranking member of the Judiciary Committee, said her committee colleague Blumenthal “is leading an effort, asking each one of us to contribute an amount of money for a court case.”

    http://thehill.com/blogs/floor-action/senate/330996-democrats-exploring-lawsuit-against-trump

    Apr 27, 2017 27:05 PM

    Congress Refers Hillary’s Private Server Company To DOJ For Prosecution

    “This is atypical. There were absolutely zero negotiations, there was no willingness on their part to discuss whether any information they would provide would satisfy the committee’s request. It was just the company, with council, refusing to discuss the matter.”

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-27/oh-shit-congress-refers-hillarys-private-server-company-doj-prosecution

    Apr 28, 2017 28:58 AM

    .2% GDP growth is essentially NO GROWTH….

    Why is the market so jazzed about this economy?