Dave Erfle – Unpacking The Disconnect In PM Mining Stocks Versus The Relatively Strong Underlying Gold And Silver Prices

Dave Erfle, Founder and Editor of The Junior Miner Junky, joins us for a nuanced discussion around the disconnect between the relatively solid  gold and silver prices, versus where we’ve seen the precious metal mining stocks being valued for some time.  Dave provides his technical outlook on where the support and resistance levels are for both GDX and GDXJ, for investors to keep focused on. 


We also discuss that there has been something more going on that last few years, beyond just the narrative that underperformance in all PM stocks is simply due to inflation eating in the margins of producers.   There has been continued downside pressure in the PM mining stocks for years now, even when the metals prices were moving sideways to higher, and even this year as inflation metrics have been steadily coming down lower.  Inflation and crimped producer margins doesn’t come close to accounting for just how hard the corrections have been in earlier-stage exploration drill plays or why the ounces in the ground are at such low levels for the valuations that developers are getting in the market. 


  It really comes down to simply low investor sentiment in the PM sector and traders using key news as liquidity events to sell PM stocks across each stage of the spectrum.  This has been the case long before inflation started ticking higher, and remains even as inflation has been trending lower all year long. We ask Dave what he sees on the horizon that could change the lack of interest in this sector, and it involves precious metals prices breaking out to new highs to create more momentum, and possibly seeing this paired with a correction in the general stock indexes. Until then, we remain solidly in the summer doldrums, ironically as gold just put in it’s highest monthly close ever to wrap up the month of July. 




Click here to visit the Junior Miner Junky website to follow along with Dave’s market commentary.

    Aug 04, 2023 04:09 PM

    Week started as usual but I ended green. Been a long time. I am hoping to continue the new trend.

    Aug 04, 2023 04:03 PM

    Stick a fork in it. Relative to its 15 dma AAPL just put in its worst close since January 3rd…

    Aug 04, 2023 04:11 PM

    It’s not always important for our miners to have a good week but unfortunately it was important for this week. That doesn’t mean that we can’t have a low right here right now but it does open the risk to quick and large downside. Perhaps the miners “know” what AAPL seems to know: lookout below!?
    If so, GDX could be at its March low in no time…

    Aug 04, 2023 04:36 PM
    Aug 04, 2023 04:48 PM
      Aug 04, 2023 04:16 PM

      Added some Brixton Thursday.

    Aug 04, 2023 04:56 PM

    Bought more Kootenay too but will wait on HL, CDE, etc.