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Dave Erfle – Gold Correction, Juniors Outperforming, $2.1B M&A Deal 

Cory
May 13, 2025

 

Dave Erfle, founder and editor of The Junior Miner Junky, joins me to break down the latest moves in the precious metals markets and what they could mean for investors.

 

We begin with Monday’s sharp correction in gold and major mining stocks, driven by trade deal optimism between the U.S. and China. Dave explains why silver held up surprisingly well and what the resilience in juniors might signal about sector rotation.

 

Key topics include:

  • A closer look at Pan American Silver’s $2.1B acquisition of MAG Silver – one of the biggest silver M&A deals in years.

  • The disconnect between strong ETF gold inflows and weak fund flows into GDX and senior miners.

  • How Newmont’s Q1 free cash flow surge and broad-based earnings strength are attracting generalist investors.

  • Why a potential 15% gold price correction to $2,950-$3,000 could be healthy for the ongoing bull market.

  • Outlook for continued silver M&A, with majors hunting for growth through acquisition.

We also touch on the macro backdrop, including the latest CPI data and the stagflation risk narrative building in U.S. markets. Dave highlights what he’s watching next, and why juniors with strong bases could be the next big winners in this cycle.

 

Click here to visit the Junior Miner Junky website to learn more about Dave’s investment letter. 

Discussion
10 Comments
    May 13, 2025 13:59 PM

    Watch what Giustra does with WRLG, once it starts spinning off real cash. I have seen his business model before. DT

    Reply
      24 hours ago

      I’m skeptical of these big hits coming from WRLG and the timing. You might remember similar big numbers coming from I-80 before they imploded and showed their CEO the window.

      Reply
      9 hours ago

      SHeeple have short memories on FG……..
      Haiti anyone… Uranium One anyone….

      Reply
    24 hours ago

    We’ve all heard of The American Dream this is The Chinese Dream!!!!!! DT 😉

    “Just imagine that one day in our own robot factory, our robots are assembling themselves,” said Yao Maoqing, a partner at AgiBot.

    Reply
      20 hours ago

      Just imagine hiring a bot to clean, do laundry, cook. So you come home after work, the place is a mess, no dinner and the bot is on the couch watching TV

      Reply
        12 hours ago

        ………..and if you complain the bot machine will show no mercy and cut off your privileges! LOL! DT 😉

        Reply
    BDC
    14 hours ago

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/vHx5Rjjh/
    NatGas : Turn : Retracement

    Reply
    13 hours ago

    Ivanhoe Mines, (IVN) they have a treasure trove of valuable metals, this is just another case in point: DT 🤣

    Ivanhoe Mines Drilling Doubles the Size of Makoko-Kitoko Copper Discoveries in the Western Forelands in 18 Months.

    https://money.tmx.com/quote/IVN/news/6999570605049968/Ivanhoe_Mines_Drilling_Doubles_the_Size_of_MakokoKitoko_Copper_Discoveries_in_the_Western_Forelands_in_18_Months

    Reply
    12 hours ago

    Historical comparisons cited in this interview don’t consider the cost of capital. 10-year yields weren’t 4.4+ percent in 2011. Since the 2015 lows, the cost of capital has increased as much as the price of gold. Ignoring this fact and focusing solely on the POG will lead to more disappointment and disillusionment with investments in the sector.

    Reply
    11 hours ago

    Added ASM @ $2.19

    Reply

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