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Craig Hemke – Gold/Silver Huge Volatility, Silver Backwardation, Equity Valuations

Cory
October 20, 2025

 

Gold and silver remain in strong uptrends despite last week’s sharp pullback. Gold is still up ~50% YTD, silver over 60%, and miners (GDX, GDXJ, SIL, SILJ) continue to surge. 

 

Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TF Metals Report, joins us to explain why last week’s volatility was typical bull-market action – not the end of the move.

 

Key Topics

 

– Options expiry shakeout: Expiring calls triggered forced selling and sharp, short-term pressure.

 

– Silver above $50: After decades, silver’s sustained breakout signals a new phase; holding that level could ignite more CTA and fund buying.

 

– Backwardation insight: Spot silver trading above futures reflects institutional supply tightness in London, not a retail shortage.

 

– Miners’ earnings torque: With record prices and lower costs, producers and developers remain undervalued heading into Q3 results.

 

– Investor roadmap: Expect a brief consolidation after earnings before the next leg higher.

 

Visit Craig’s website – TF Metals Report: https://www.tfmetalsreport.com/

 


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Investment disclaimer:
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

Discussion
10 Comments
    Oct 20, 2025 20:12 PM

    What Did You Get For $30 Trillion In Debt?

    Quoth the Raven – Substack – Oct 20, 2025

    https://quoththeraven.substack.com/p/what-did-you-get-for-30-trillion

      Oct 21, 2025 21:18 AM

      Audit The Fed and ESF and see where the money actually went. Created money may have not gone where legally authorized. If so, thefts would go a long way in explaining deregulation and attempts to destroy the Constitution. Can’t prosecute crimes when law eliminated. Explains the behavior of a portion of every branch of government. If the law says one is a criminal, get rid of the law.

        Oct 21, 2025 21:22 AM

        Under the current Administration, it would also be prudent to audit OMB, particularly for misuse of Appropriated Funds.

    Oct 21, 2025 21:35 AM

    21st:
    Walt Disney intervening in the metals market again. Another “fantasy day” in the neighborhood.

      Oct 21, 2025 21:38 AM

      They walked back yesterday’s trading in 5 minutes. AI has to learn more “grace and diplomacy.”

    Oct 21, 2025 21:06 AM

    Silver 30m, just sayin’

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/A5cr6T3t/

    BDC
    Oct 21, 2025 21:10 AM

    https://tinyurl.com/bddmb9wj
    PMs: 16th High Confirmed

      BDC
      Oct 21, 2025 21:53 AM

      GDX : AB.CD = 72.32 : Now 72.27 Low

        BDC
        Oct 21, 2025 21:36 AM

        Error correction:
        GDX : AB.CD = 72.29