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Dave Erfle – Making Sense Of Today’s Big Gold & Silver Correction 

Cory
October 21, 2025

 

In this Daily Editorial, we welcome back Dave Erfle, Founder and Editor of The Junior Miner Junky, for his thoughts on the gold and silver selloff. After massive rallies that pushed gold to nearly $4,400/oz and silver up $3.50/oz, both metals are now retracing hard, leaving investors questioning whether this is an interim top or something more significant.

 

Dave breaks down the technical and psychological dynamics driving the pullback, including:

 

  • Gold and Silver Volatility – CME margin hikes triggered a massive washout following weeks of overextension, with gold reversing nearly $300 from its peak.
  • Miners’ Correction – GDX and GDXJ up 65–75% since August now face a natural 20–25% retracement, with key support levels at 67 (GDX) and 85 (GDXJ).
  • Chart and Cycle Patterns – After achieving long-term “cup-and-handle” breakout targets, gold may consolidate between $3,500–$4,000 before resuming its uptrend.
  • Earnings Season Setup – Despite volatility, Q3 earnings for producers like Newmont (NEM) should showcase record margins thanks to sustained high gold and silver prices.
  • Sector Leadership and Accumulation – Miners and silver often lead both tops and bottoms; investors should prepare to accumulate “fishing lines” after “rhino horn” spikes.
  • M&A Momentum – IAMGOLD’s (IMG.TO) twin acquisitions underscore growing consolidation interest in large, high-quality land packages across Tier-1 jurisdictions.

 

Click here to visit the Junior Miner Junky website to learn more about Dave’s investment letter. 

 


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Investment disclaimer:
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

Discussion
10 Comments
    BDC
    21 hours ago

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/Q34wj7ui/
    DOLLAR : Possible Bullish Turn!

    Reply
    21 hours ago

    First bunch of daily chart sell signals in 3 months for silver/SLV:
    https://schrts.co/ZIrQiUUc

    Reply
    21 hours ago

    SLV appears to have bottomed vs SILJ; SIL; GDXJ; GDX…
    https://schrts.co/aivWrEZV

    Reply
    BDC
    20 hours ago

    Margin Requirement Increase??

    Reply
      BDC
      20 hours ago

      DE @ 1:57 — Gold 5% & Silver 8% increases.
      Not Hunt Brothers level, but ???

      Reply
    19 hours ago

    It looks like Hydro Graph will get a military contract! Lots of news pointing in this direction. I can’t imagine the share price surge in such an event. DT!

    https://x.com/bambroughkevin/status/1980736167973679483?s=46

    Reply
    15 hours ago

    Silver lease rates that normally hover under 1% exploded to 35-39% overnight…
    https://no01.substack.com/p/the-loss-of-legitimacy

    Reply
    15 hours ago

    A Tale Of Two Metals
    The Great Silver Squeeze of 1839 to 2025
    https://radiofarside.substack.com/p/a-tale-of-two-metals

    Reply

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