Darrell Fletcher – Year-End Trends in Energy, Precious & Base Metals
In this KE Report Daily Editorial, I am joined by Daryl Fletcher, Managing Director of Commodities at Bannockburn Capital Markets, for a fast-moving review of energy, precious metals, and base metals as markets cool into December.
Key Discussion Highlights
- Overall Commodity Tone
Broad consolidation across sectors, with volatility sharply lower and the Bloomberg Commodity Index largely flat for the month. - Natural Gas
Winter-driven spike in the front month; storage ~4% above the 5-year average; production strong; market balanced unless a deep winter hits. - Crude Oil
Persistent downtrend toward mid-$50s; risk premium fading; curve extremely flat; potential for sharper contango if Russia–Ukraine risk fully unwinds. - Precious Metals
Gold and silver holding firm after a strong year; technical consolidation continues; ETF inflows (especially U.S.) remain supportive. - Copper & Base Metals
Copper steady near $5; COMEX inventories at highs; tariff uncertainty keeps buyers cautious; longer-term fundamentals still constructive. - Looking Ahead
Gas remains weather-driven; crude could move quickly lower; metals likely range-bound through year-end; 2026 tariff dynamics worth watching.
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Investment disclaimer:
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.
And even the good solid plays will drop with the general market initially as typically winners get sold to cover the bad ones.
Possible Ukraine War resolution.
Russian Gas into Europe.
LNG demand down.
Nvidia is cracking this morning, it is the bell weather for tech stocks. Be Careful! This is a time to have some cash. Cash is about the only thing that holds up in a market crash, cash goes down but only in terms of inflation. You need cash to buy back in if we get a big correction. DT