Minimize

Welcome!

Dave Erfle – What’s The New Floor For Gold?

Cory
March 18, 2026

 

In this Daily Editorial, we are joined by Dave Erfle, the founder and editor of Junior Miner Junkie, to break down the current state of the precious metals sector. Despite a recent pullback, Dave provides a technical and fundamental perspective on why the current market action is a “positive correction” rather than a breakdown.

 

The discussion covers the macro environment influencing gold and silver, the looming pressure on the Federal Reserve, and why certain junior mining stocks remain incredible value plays even as energy costs rise.

 

Key Discussion Points:

  • Gold and Silver Technicals: Dave analyzes the consolidation patterns for gold at the $5,000 level and silver at $80, noting that the current symmetrical triangle formation suggests a strong base is being built for the next leg up.
  • The Federal Reserve’s Dilemma: An exploration of the “stagflation trap” where the Fed must choose between cutting rates to support slowing GDP or holding rates to fight geopolitical-driven inflation that they cannot control.
  • Mining Equity Divergence: Insight into why the GDX and GDXJ have pulled back despite high metal prices and why this disconnect offers a “gentleman’s entry” for investors who missed the initial bull run.
  • Junior vs. Producer Risks: A look at how rising energy prices act as a headwind for large open-pit producers like Newmont (NEM), shifting the tactical advantage toward early-stage developers with high-margin projects.

 

Click here to visit the Junior Miner Junky website to learn more about Dave’s investment letter – https://www.juniorminerjunky.com/

 


For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: 


Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

Discussion
7 Comments
    14 hours ago

    Silver 1h, failed support… No audio for Dave.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/nxv6P7DC/

    Reply
    13 hours ago

    Silver looking like it wants to drop lower…….
    Soloway says…… we might see silver in the $50’s….

    Reply
      11 hours ago

      And he also says gold at $3500 by year end

      Reply
      11 hours ago

      I don’t believe Soloway whoever he is. Silver is expensive but the US dollar is worthless, silver might consolidate but it will do just fine, just check prices on The Shanghai exchange where they aren’t influenced by paper contracts. DT

      Reply
    13 hours ago

    Juniors going glug, glug, glug. Except for Brixton, BBBXD…

    Reply
      12 hours ago

      With intercepts like they released today there’s no way Brixton would be red….. in typical fashion for them they show up late to the party as always. The pop would have been unreal during silvers big run

      Reply
        10 hours ago

        Today’s results should deliver a lot more than a pop. The best hole is equal to almost 2 ounces of gold per ton and is very likely to reach twice that or more since the gold-silver ratio will probably go way below 30 before this bull is over.
        https://schrts.co/YjnAJPZg

        Reply

Leave a Reply to Dick Tracy CANCEL

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *