Minimize

Welcome!

Craig Hemke – Tariffs, Dollar Breakdown, and Commodities Momentum: Does Gold Need To Make Another Leg Higher?

Cory
July 8, 2025

 

Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TF Metals Report, joins us for a timely discussion ahead of the July 9th tariff deadline. We open with expectations around the expiration of the 90-day tariff pause and examine whether a renewed trade war could trigger short-term volatility, or present another “buy the dip” opportunity for metals.

 

Gold and silver may have more room to run, but will a falling dollar and global demand keep fueling this bull market?

 

Topics covered include:

  • The fading impact of geopolitical risks on gold

  • Institutional momentum and quarterly breakout trends in gold and silver

  • Why silver’s recent breakout above $35 could be the start of a bigger move

  • The role of the falling U.S. dollar and surging M2 money supply

  • What sideways gold prices mean for miners, M&A, and re-rated project economics

  • Differentiating between long-term secular trends and short-term policy noise

  • Could we be entering a broader reflationary environment, with capital finally flowing into commodity equities?

 

Click here to visit Craig’s website – TF Metals Report

Discussion
17 Comments
    Jul 08, 2025 08:15 AM

    Good day to add to AG, EXK, PAAS. I did! Stockchart shows that July is the best month for silver equities.

    Reply
    Jul 08, 2025 08:38 AM

    Woodstock, we have to get back to the garden. No more Wars! DT

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lx86B6a3kc&list=PL7geoeWeH7nQbfWn1o-vocnHoOa4u6bMQ&index=20

    Reply
    Jul 08, 2025 08:48 AM

    Go copper!

    Reply
      Jul 08, 2025 08:09 PM

      Yeah, that was wild news on the proposed Trump tariffs on copper of 50%.

      Copper jumped up to an all-time high of $5.83 at the end of the trading session and closed at an all-time high close of $5.45. Wild!

      I bought some COPX at the end of the trading session in case this move gets sustained in the red metal, and already have a nice handful of quality copper developers and small producers in the portfolio.

      Reply
        Jul 08, 2025 08:11 PM

        Trump Says He Will Impose A 50% Tariff On Copper Imports

        CNBC – Tue, Jul 8 2025

        President Donald Trump said he will impose a 50% tariff on copper imports and suggested more steep sector-specific duties are on the way.

        “Today, we’re doing copper,” Trump said during a Cabinet meeting. “I believe the tariff on copper, we’re going to make it 50%.”

        https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/08/trump-tariffs-copper-trade.html

        Reply
          Jul 08, 2025 08:18 PM

          That also keeps the pattern of higher highs going for Copper, with this 3rd time being (3 times a charm) and looking like people are going to have to get used to $5 handle on the red metal.

          Look at that daily candle – Gadzooks!

          https://cdn-ceo-ca.s3.amazonaws.com/1k6r2m9-Copper%202%20year%20daily%20chart.JPG

          Reply
            Jul 08, 2025 08:13 PM

            It never, never, never, works when governments interfere with the workings of markets, it always becomes a disaster. Trump is messing around with things he doesn’t understand. He is causing all sorts of distortions; this will turn out badly. I’m sure China and The Bric nations are watching this disaster unfold and they will step into the breach. DT

    Jul 08, 2025 08:42 PM

    I was watching Talon because of its recent drill hole with some interesting Nickel and copper among other things. It is located in US. Algos didn’t care what Trump said. Prices for explorers seemed orchestrated for the day in advance.

    Reply
    BDC
    Jul 09, 2025 09:50 AM

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/JyoRbqnK/
    NatGas : Triple Expander (Fractal)
    Bottom Soon (Now?)

    Reply
    BDC
    Jul 09, 2025 09:24 AM

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/69BZJ4Kb/
    DOLLAR : Cross Roads (Come & Go)

    Reply
    Jul 09, 2025 09:54 AM

    Copper: Drill results out on Magna Mining and Canterra Minerals.

    Reply
    BDC
    Jul 09, 2025 09:09 AM

    Copper may have topped for awhile.

    Reply
      Jul 09, 2025 09:11 PM

      Probably copper will walk back as no one knows whether to believe Trump or not. It makes no sense to have Tariffs on metals as shortages kind of affect a supply/demand competition.

      Reply
    BDC
    Jul 09, 2025 09:25 AM

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/t90zuHTt/
    GOLD : Possible Bearish Gartley
    (Third Time Up Fail?)

    Reply
    BDC
    Jul 09, 2025 09:48 AM

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/pJcdQP7A/
    GDX : Pull Back To 382 Possible

    Reply
    BDC
    Jul 09, 2025 09:39 AM

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/k6OM6PzU/
    SILVER : Update : Pulling Back?

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *