Craig Hemke – Tariffs, Dollar Breakdown, and Commodities Momentum: Does Gold Need To Make Another Leg Higher?
Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TF Metals Report, joins us for a timely discussion ahead of the July 9th tariff deadline. We open with expectations around the expiration of the 90-day tariff pause and examine whether a renewed trade war could trigger short-term volatility, or present another “buy the dip” opportunity for metals.
Gold and silver may have more room to run, but will a falling dollar and global demand keep fueling this bull market?
Topics covered include:
- The fading impact of geopolitical risks on gold
- Institutional momentum and quarterly breakout trends in gold and silver
- Why silver’s recent breakout above $35 could be the start of a bigger move
- The role of the falling U.S. dollar and surging M2 money supply
- What sideways gold prices mean for miners, M&A, and re-rated project economics
- Differentiating between long-term secular trends and short-term policy noise
- Could we be entering a broader reflationary environment, with capital finally flowing into commodity equities?
Woodstock, we have to get back to the garden. No more Wars! DT
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lx86B6a3kc&list=PL7geoeWeH7nQbfWn1o-vocnHoOa4u6bMQ&index=20
Go copper!
Yeah, that was wild news on the proposed Trump tariffs on copper of 50%.
Copper jumped up to an all-time high of $5.83 at the end of the trading session and closed at an all-time high close of $5.45. Wild!
I bought some COPX at the end of the trading session in case this move gets sustained in the red metal, and already have a nice handful of quality copper developers and small producers in the portfolio.
Trump Says He Will Impose A 50% Tariff On Copper Imports
CNBC – Tue, Jul 8 2025
President Donald Trump said he will impose a 50% tariff on copper imports and suggested more steep sector-specific duties are on the way.
“Today, we’re doing copper,” Trump said during a Cabinet meeting. “I believe the tariff on copper, we’re going to make it 50%.”
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/08/trump-tariffs-copper-trade.html
That also keeps the pattern of higher highs going for Copper, with this 3rd time being (3 times a charm) and looking like people are going to have to get used to $5 handle on the red metal.
Look at that daily candle – Gadzooks!
https://cdn-ceo-ca.s3.amazonaws.com/1k6r2m9-Copper%202%20year%20daily%20chart.JPG
It never, never, never, works when governments interfere with the workings of markets, it always becomes a disaster. Trump is messing around with things he doesn’t understand. He is causing all sorts of distortions; this will turn out badly. I’m sure China and The Bric nations are watching this disaster unfold and they will step into the breach. DT
I was watching Talon because of its recent drill hole with some interesting Nickel and copper among other things. It is located in US. Algos didn’t care what Trump said. Prices for explorers seemed orchestrated for the day in advance.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/JyoRbqnK/
NatGas : Triple Expander (Fractal)
Bottom Soon (Now?)
https://www.tradingview.com/x/wGSygTqn/
NatGas : Possible Spike Low Forming
https://www.tradingview.com/x/69BZJ4Kb/
DOLLAR : Cross Roads (Come & Go)
Copper: Drill results out on Magna Mining and Canterra Minerals.
Copper may have topped for awhile.
Probably copper will walk back as no one knows whether to believe Trump or not. It makes no sense to have Tariffs on metals as shortages kind of affect a supply/demand competition.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/t90zuHTt/
GOLD : Possible Bearish Gartley
(Third Time Up Fail?)
https://www.tradingview.com/x/pJcdQP7A/
GDX : Pull Back To 382 Possible
https://www.tradingview.com/x/k6OM6PzU/
SILVER : Update : Pulling Back?
Good day to add to AG, EXK, PAAS. I did! Stockchart shows that July is the best month for silver equities.