TG Watkins – Rebound or Bull Resumption? Key Signals Behind Monday’s Market Rip
We’re joined by TG Watkins, Director of Stocks at Simpler Trading and editor of Profit Pilot, for a breakdown of Monday’s sharp market rebound following Friday’s China-driven selloff. TG shares how his Moxie Indicator helped flag the correction in advance, why volatility was flashing warnings, and how he’s now positioning into the next phase of this bull market.
Key topics discussed:
- Friday’s selloff setup: how rising VIX + Moxie divergences signaled a short-term top
- Monday’s rebound: why TG views it as “healthy” and what must confirm a true uptrend
- Trading framework: waiting for price to reclaim moving averages and Moxie > 0 before sizing long
- Sector leadership: nuclear energy, AI infrastructure, and drone stocks still showing strong relative strength
- Commodities watch: gold and silver looking stretched; uranium and copper remain structurally bullish
- Webinar preview: TG’s upcoming Thursday, Oct 16 session on spotting divergences, Moxie signals, and risk management strategies
Stocks / ETFs Mentioned:
SPX, UVIX, VIX, RUT, IBIT, FNGU, FNGS, GDX, SIL, SILJ, URA, URNM, UUUU, SMR, OKLO, COPX, COPJ, XLE, RCAT, DNA, GEV
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Investment Disclaimer:
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.
Is the AI Stock Bubble Partially Fake? – The vendor financing illusion
John Rubino – Substack – Oct 13, 2025
There’s a business practice sometimes called “vendor financing” in which a company lends money to a customer, who then uses that money to buy the company’s products. The company reports the proceeds as sales and income, usually without a full accounting to its shareholders.
Why do we care about this arcane, borderline-sleazy business practice? Because it’s taking over the world of AI, which is currently supporting the entire US financial system. Two examples:
1) Chip maker Nvidia invests $100 billion in AI leader (and supposed non-profit) OpenAI. OpenAI uses that money to build more AI data centers, which run on Nvidia chips.
2) Chip maker Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) gives OpenAI 10% of its stock in return for a promise to use AMD chips in future AI data centers. Investors pour into AMD stock on the news, raising its market cap by more than the cost of the stock it sold.
This story continues through numerous other deals worth hundreds of billions of potentially illusory sales and market cap. Here’s a graphic depicting some recent action…
https://rubino.substack.com/p/is-the-ai-stock-bubble-partially