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Joel Elconin – Geopolitical Volatility, Contagion Effects From Higher Oil Prices, Picks and Shovels Trades, And Quad-Witch Expiration

 

 

In this episode of The KE Report, host Shad Marquitz sits down with Joel Elconin, co-host of the Pre-Market Prep Show and founder of the Stock Trader Network, to dissect a market that appears to have rolled over into a corrective period. With oil prices surging, a disruptive geopolitical backdrop, the major averages testing near-term support, and the Quadruple Witching Expiration tomorrow, Joel provides a candid, sobering assessment of the macroeconomic and geopolitical forces currently rattling investors.

 

Key Discussion Points:

 

  • Geopolitical Catalysts and Inflation: The direct link between global conflict, surging oil prices, an increase inflation, and lower expectations for near-term rate cuts from the Fed.
  • High Oil Price Contagion Effect: Everything from airline prices to shipping containers is seeing rising prices, and with higher prices at the gas pump, and businesses passing along higher freight and input costs, this could slow down the economy.
  • The “R” Word:   Is a Recession looming in the future if economic growth contracts, and when paired with higher inflation, loss of jobs, and rising energy costs, are we actually drifting towards Stagflation?
  • Loss of Market Momentum: Why the choppy technical action in the S&P 500 and Dow suggests a waning appetite for risk among investors in early 2026.
  • Picks and Shovels:  Joel is favoring hardware over software, in a market that is selling off AI stocks, in favor of hardware companies like Micron, Scandisk, Modine Manufacturing, and MasTec
  • The Nvidia is still the biggest hardware stock in the market: Joel dives into the forward guidance and analyst expectations for NVDA and what that means for the weighted indexes.
  • Agriculture Hardware:   As farmers scramble to lock down fertilizer supplies for planting season, Joel remains more animated by farming equipment manufacturers like John Deer and Caterpillar.
  • Quad-Witch Expiration on Friday:  These can be important days where institutional positions come off the board, and we see a change in direction or an acceleration of a trend.

 

Click here to visit Joel’s PreMarket Prep website – https://www.premarketprep.com/

 

Click here to visit the Stock Trader Network – https://www.stocktradernetwork.com/

 

 

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The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/

Shad’s resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/

 

 

Investment disclaimer:

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

 

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