Michael Oliver, CEO and founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, joins us to share how he sees the technical momentum setup in silver, gold, precious metals stocks, copper, oil, the Bloomberg commodities index, US general equities, and bonds.

We start off getting his technical outlook on silver, where Michael is pounding the table here that silver is going to make a crazy move higher and faster than people are expecting.  He stated, “It’s white knuckles time,” and likens this period to where silver was in 1979 and 2010 before big sudden moves higher.  He believes a move over $100 in the next 6 months is probable, and it could go as high as $200; the inflation-adjusted high for silver.

Michael reminds listeners that silver has not kept up with the decay of the monetary unit of fiat currency debasement, like gold has and that it has made a mistake.  As a result, it is really going to catchup to where it should have moved more suddenly than most are expecting and then enter a new reality at a much higher level.

With regards to gold, it has kept up better with the decay in the monetary units, and this is what will keep sending it higher, not geopolitics or flash in the pan fear events.  Those play a part, but the loss of fiat purchasing power is what is ultimately been moving gold higher since becoming unpegged from the dollar many decades ago.  “Currency debasement is the fuel in the tank of the monetary metals.”

Michael is not expecting an imminent correction in silver and gold, and believes we’ll see one in a few more months at the end of the year or beginning of next year; but that will precede an even bigger leg higher in the monetary metals.

He is not as animated by the potential in copper, and feels while it could double from here, it won’t be anything as fast or as pronounced as what we see play out in silver.  As a general outlook, he expects that copper, and other base metals, and oil to stay more in alignment with the more gradual catchup move higher that we’ll see play out in the Bloomberg commodities index. He anticipates the commodity indexes to get more in alignment with the moves in gold, which we have not seen in a very long time.

Michael postulates that when the US bonds and general equities markets really start to roll over, that a portion of investors will rotate funds into gold, silver, and the PM equities.  He believes there will be a shocking loss of confidence in the bonds and US stocks, and that capital flows and rotation into gold and silver will put more fuel onto the upward price pressure already underway.

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